Pratique du Shadowing: This Bond Selloff Isn't Over Just Yet: 3-Minutes MLIV - Apprendre l'anglais à l'oral avec YouTube

C1
Just hearing there about the Japanese story.
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28 phrases
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1
Just hearing there about the Japanese story.
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The role that Japanese bond markets are playing is a really interesting one right now. Looking at the U.S.
3
Treasury market, though, 4.6% on the ten year.
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We spoke to a guest earlier on who was talking about, you know, this likely to go to 5%, in his view, and even that might not encourage him into the market.
5
How are you thinking about the global bond conversation at this at this stage?
6
Well, first of all, a longer term view. I completely agree with that.
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Guest. I think ultimately yields are going a lot higher. I just think this does not happen rapidly or in a straight line. I've had that view for the last, you know, number of years. And I think we're, you know, we're going into a much higher range now that plays out over years.
8
And the reason that is, is that ultimately, there are a lot of people who are income collectors who will basically sees jumps and yields as a chance to just buy into long term bonds. So, so that the kind of transition to a higher yield environment takes place over months and if not years.
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But I think we do need to move into that world in the short term.
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I don't think bonds are quite out of the current selloff just yet.
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We've paused in the short term. I think some of the political concerns in the UK have dumped down a little bit with, uh, you know, the comments from Andy Burnham last night about being a little bit more fiscally restrained or expressing sentiment that regard, and also Trump, again, providing some people, I think, real optimist out there, that there might be a diplomatic solution to the state of Vermont. So it's temporarily paused.
12
But I think the sell off has more to go in the short term.
13
Then we'll get those bars and bonds. But later on this year, yeah, we'll see much higher yields again. How do stocks do if yields are going higher over the long term. So I actually think that stocks can cope okay with higher yields if it's for the right reason.
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If that's because the economy is doing really well, then that's actually okay.
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Now the problem is we have higher yields for some good reasons.
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There is a relatively resilient and strong economy.
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And we've got a lot of spending in the expanding in the eye space, which is driving the K shaped economy support in the K shaped economy.
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But we also have higher yields for a lot of bad reasons.
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We have the supply side inflation shock, which isn't being resolved, and we have fiscal concerns. Um, so that's that's a message to say that I think it's going to ebb and flow. Ultimately, higher yields are bad for stocks. Um, but it's maybe less dramatic.
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Kind of at some binary level. I will say that given the move higher near the last couple of weeks, I actually think right now, uh, bonds are closer to the dip buying moment than stock.
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We talked about this yesterday. I think we're now in a couple of weeks where stocks can retrench a bit. Only in context.
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The extraordinary gains. This is not the end of the bubble.
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The dip will be bought again, but the dip won't be bought that quickly.
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Mark, I was going to follow with that. With what?
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The dip uh, buying impulse will be, particularly when it comes to the semis and the selloff that we've seen in the US and Asia today as well.
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You think that could happen, but maybe at a more moderated pace?
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Yeah. I just I just think you've got to put it in context of two things. One is we've just seen extraordinary gains. So quite sizable headline pullbacks will still leave us like massively up on on you know on a on any reasonable lookback window. So it's not going to be blowing up this kind of this bubble issues bull market we're seeing in this sector.
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We've also got just massive herding because everyone's using the same AI advice for these trades. Um, so that's why I think it can be quite painful. It'll clean out the first initial dip buyers who then get cleaned out. So maybe this lasts a few weeks this time.

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Context & Background

The discussion in this video centers around the current trends in the bond market and their implications for the economy. The speaker highlights the complex situation of global bonds, particularly U.S. Treasury yields, which have recently surged. With a projection of a possible rise to 5%, the dialogue emphasizes how varying economic indicators from different countries, including Japan and the UK, influence the bond market dynamics. The speaker also touches on the relationship between bond yields and stock performance, noting that higher yields might not always correlate negatively with economic growth. This conversation offers an essential backdrop for learners interested in economics and finance while practicing their English speaking skills.

Top 5 Phrases for Daily Communication

  • “The selloff has more to go” - A phrase indicating that a decline in market prices is likely to continue.
  • “Higher yields are bad for stocks” - This expresses the negative correlation between rising bond yields and stock prices.
  • “The dip will be bought again” - This suggests that investors will likely take advantage of a temporary decline in prices to make purchases.
  • “Extraordinary gains” - Refers to substantial profits or performance improvements in the market over a short period.
  • “Context of two things” - Highlights the importance of understanding multiple factors before forming judgments or opinions.

Step-by-step Shadowing Guide

For learners aiming to improve their English speaking skills through the shadowing technique, here is a step-by-step approach based on this video:

  1. Listen Actively: Watch the video, paying attention to the speaker's tone, pace, and pronunciation. Take note of how they emphasize specific phrases.
  2. Repeat in Real-time: As you listen, try to repeat the sentences immediately after hearing them. This will help you mimic the speaker's rhythm and intonation, essential for effective communication, as seen in IELTS speaking practice.
  3. Break it Down: If certain phrases or sentences are difficult to follow, pause the video and practice them separately. Focus on pronunciation and clarity of each word.
  4. Record Yourself: Use a recording device to capture your repetitions. Play it back to evaluate your pronunciation and fluency compared to the original.
  5. Engage with the Content: Reflect on the discussed topics, such as the bond market or economic indicators. This contextual understanding will enhance your vocabulary and confidence in discussing similar topics in English speaking practice.

By utilizing these strategies and integrating localized practices such as learn English with YouTube videos, you can effectively enhance your language skills while gaining insights into complex discussions like those found in economic contexts.

Qu'est-ce que la technique du Shadowing ?

Le Shadowing est une technique d'apprentissage des langues fondée sur la science, développée à l'origine pour la formation des interprètes professionnels. Le principe est simple mais puissant : vous écoutez de l'anglais natif et le répétez immédiatement à voix haute — comme une ombre suivant le locuteur avec un décalage de 1 à 2 secondes. Les recherches montrent une amélioration significative de la précision de la prononciation, de l'intonation, du rythme, des liaisons, de la compréhension orale et de la fluidité.

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