शैडोइंग अभ्यास: Iran 'not a forever war', says US Vice President JD Vance | BBC News - YouTube के साथ अंग्रेजी बोलना सीखें

Will there be a peace deal or will the fighting resume?

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Will there be a peace deal or will the fighting resume?

The answer seems to be changing by the hour, especially in Washington.

Donald Trump says he was only an hour away from going ahead with a strike on Iran on Tuesday,

but put it on pause when Gulf leaders indicated that a deal with Iran might be closed.

Qatar has since put a dampener on that,

claiming negotiators need a lot more time.

But they might not have much.

The president said he may still decide to launch strikes on Iran in two

or three days if there's still no progress on talks.

And speaking at the White House press briefing,

his vice president said the U.S is ready to return to military action if a deal cannot be agreed.

We think that we've made a lot of progress.

We think the Iranians want to make a deal.

The president of the United States has asked us to negotiate in good faith,

and that's exactly what we've done.

So we're in a pretty good spot here,

but there's an option B.

And the option B is that we can restart the military campaign to continue to prosecute the case,

to continue to try to achieve America's objectives,

and we can talk a little bit about what that looks like.

But that's not what the president wants,

and I don't think it's what the Iranians want either.

We have an opportunity here,

I think, to reset the relationship that has existed between Iran and the United States for 47 years.

That's what the president has asked us to do,

and that's what we're going to keep on working at.

but it takes two to tango.

We are not going to have a deal that allows the Iranians to have a nuclear weapon.

So as the president just told me, we're locked and loaded.

We don't want to go down that pathway,

but the president is willing and able to go down that pathway if we have to.

So let's speak now to our White House reporter, Bernd de Boosman.

Bernd, listening to J.D.

Vance there, he's saying option B is not what the president wants to do,

but they are locked and loaded and ready to go

if iran cannot come to an agreement what's new about what we just heard

well we still don't have any details about the progress

that vice president vance said is being made with regards to

these negotiations he did seem a little more optimistic about the

prospect of a negotiated end to the war than the president has in in recent days

but we don't know exactly what the sticking points are.

Vance repeated the administration's red line that Iran cannot have a nuclear weapons.

And he says he believes the Iranian government has internalized that,

but that there can't be any guarantees about the talks until they see Penn put to paper.

And in the meantime, that option B,

a resumption of full-scale combat operations, is still a possibility.

I think one interesting new tidbit

that Vance mentioned was the kind of rationale for the war

that we haven't heard much from the administration again and

that they believe that if Iran were to secure a nuclear weapon

that

that would start a kind of a domino effect of other

countries in the region also trying to manufacture a nuclear weapon

and that's part of why the administration believes that need to be stopped.

That's not something that's often repeated by administration officials

when they discuss the various reasons that they say they went to war for.

But what is clear, isn't it,

Ben, is that the nuclear option,

as far as the U.S administration is concerned,

is the absolute key sticking point.

That is very much still the sticking point.

And that's something that President Trump,

even as late as this morning,

he says that that's his primary goal in the campaign.

At the beginning of Operation Epic Fury in late February,

there were several other reasons given for this war beginning,

including, for example, Iranian support for proxy militias in Iraq or Lebanon.

That seems, at least in public discourse,

to have gone away as far as the Trump administration goes.

And now the overarching campaign and goal that he brings up almost daily now is that Iran cannot have a nuclear weapon.

Now, we don't know where he stands,

for example, on a complete pause of a civilian nuclear program in Iran.

But the primary focus is now,

even more so than the straightforward moves,

that Iran cannot have a nuclear weapon.

AMNA NAWAZI, The President of the United States,

The President of the United States,

White House reporter Bernda Guzman, thank you.

Meanwhile, fighting continues in the south of Lebanon,

despite an extended ceasefire on paper.

Israel issued urgent evacuation orders for 12 towns on Tuesday as it continues its strikes on Hezbollah targets.

Lebanese media then reported a number of strikes across the south of the country.

More than 400 people have been killed in Lebanon since the ceasefire started.

More than 3,000 in total since the war started in March.

Well, let's speak to our Middle East correspondent, Lina Sinjab, in Beirut.

Lina, just bring us right up to date with the details of those strikes.

Well, all these strikes are taking place in the south of the country,

everywhere, Israel seems to be using the ceasefire

that has been announced by expanding the airstrikes in the areas

that they're controlling from what it appears to be

that they're trying to even get further inside the south of Lebanon in some areas,

reaching more than 10 kilometers inside the south of the country.

More, as you said, more than 12,

you know, villages have been ordered to be evacuated today alone.

But over the weekend, since this ceasefire extension was announced on Friday,

more and more villages and towns have been ordered to be evacuated with more airstrikes.

And Hezbollah at the same time,

you know, is also intensifying its counterattacks on the Israelis,

you know, targeting even sometimes trying to attack inside Israel,

100

not only trying to attack Israeli forces on the ground inside the south of Lebanon.

101

Yeah, Israel arguing, of course, that it's targeting Hezbollah.

102

But the reality is that over the last few months since the war started,

103

there's had to be a huge amount of people,

104

numbers of people relocating from their trying to find safe space in Lebanon.

105

Just take us through where we are now as this war continues.

106

And in terms of the humanitarian efforts,

107

even as there is a ceasefire,

108

there are lots of people requiring a lot of help at the moment.

109

Well, let's start by talking about the figures and numbers that the Ministry of Health provided.

110

You know, until today, since the war started on the 2nd of March,

111

3,020, or probably a little bit more,

112

including today, have been killed.

113

Over 600 of this number are women,

114

children and paramedics, including also journalists.

115

The government doesn't show combatant numbers among the figures that they are quoting.

116

And there are media reports suggesting that Hezbollah,

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those who were killed among Hezbollah,

118

are not included in this number.

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So imagine the death toll that is rising.

120

Some families have been killed completely.

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In the past few weeks,

122

there were families that were killed entirely,

123

including mother, you know, a grandmother, children, grandchildren.

124

And the story continues because,

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you know, the Israelis are destroying villages and homes and infrastructure in the south,

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forcing more and more people into evacuation.

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Before the ceasefire, the number of the people who were displaced exceeded a million.

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Some of them tried to go back to their towns and villages after the ceasefire,

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but still many, thousands of them are displaced.

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Today, even here in Beirut,

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the government is trying to find new locations for those stranded by the sea that they're still sleeping in tents.

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And most of these people require aid,

133

require medical attention, require food, require hygiene kits.

134

And the government is stretched out.

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International organizations, civil society are trying to help.

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But it's really making it more and more difficult with more evacuation orders,

137

with complete villages and towns being destroyed.

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And the Lebanese are so much attached to their land,

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to their homes, that brings their,

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connect them to their history,

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to their ancestors, to their, you know, grand families.

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And they are now feeling that they're just looking at the photos of destruction and the negotiations that are taking place

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you know sponsored by the americans are getting nowhere

144

because israel seems to be determined to continue its fights against hezbollah

145

but the ones who are paying the price are the civilians who are losing homes

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and losing lives lena sinjab there with the impact of the war on the civilian population of lebanon thank you Well,

147

as the conflict continues in the Middle East,

148

the sustained high price of oil is having a real impact on the cost of living in a number of countries.

149

Here are two examples.

150

India raised fuel prices for the first time in four years on Friday,

151

but less than a week later they've hyped them again as

152

a result of the supply chain issues in the Strait of Hormuz.

153

And then there's Kenya.

154

Petrol prices were raised last week more than 20% to a record high,

155

causing huge protests across the country on Monday.

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Our correspondents in Mumbai and Nairobi have the latest.

157

There definitely is frustration on price rise.

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It's not something that is welcome any time.

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But there is also concern on the uncertainty of it.

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The fact that there have been two price rises in just less than a week indicates now,

161

these are clear indications from the government,

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that the buffers could be thinning in terms of how much the government can absorb,

163

you know, the increase in global crude oil prices.

164

And now it is now being passed on to the consumers.

165

And the fact that more could come in the days ahead.

166

And that is adding on to concerns.

167

We already know that small industries that depend on crude and gas,

168

they've already been struggling for the last two months because of the shortages.

169

Their operations have been curtailed.

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Some contractual workers have been let go.

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But that impact, is there a possibility that that impact is now expanding?

172

You know, everyday goods have already started becoming more expensive.

173

Transport will become more expensive now that the petrol and diesel hikes.

174

And even hikes for the gas that powers some of the public transport like tuk-tuks

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and buses have also been hiked over the weekend.

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And all of this will start trickling down,

177

making everyday goods transport more expensive.

178

And also on the macroeconomic front,

179

with the rupee depreciating and India's import bills rising because of the global crude oil price rise,

180

that is also putting a lot of pressure on the government.

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And economists say more price hikes could come in the days ahead.

182

Well, the government has said that global oil prices

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and their instability in the Middle East really remain a major factor in this,

184

but also outside of Kenya's direct control.

185

but experts and opposition members

186

and Kenyans have been urging them to relook at other domestic solutions like the reduction of taxes and levies.

187

I'd have you know that the price pump here in Kenya,

188

about 27 to 35 percent of it,

189

depending on what you're using,

190

petroleum, diesel, or kerosene, a big chunk of this percentage goes to taxes and levies,

191

some of it going up to 35 percent.

192

So the government is being urged to relook at the taxes

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and levies that they have imposed on the prices of petroleum to try and bring the prices down,

194

regardless of the situation in the Middle East.

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That's not under their direct control.

196

They're also being asked to perhaps reconsider the government to government framework that they have entered into.

197

Most of Kenya's oil comes from the Gulf countries,

198

hence the kind of strain and pressure that the government finds itself into.

199

So the government is also being urged perhaps to relook at this G2G,

200

as it's been called here,

201

a framework and think about open tender system where they can bring in an aggressive and robust private sector competition

202

for forcing these oil prices to go down.

203

But the bigger picture, these protests have led to four deaths so far.

204

30 people have been injured and more than 300 people have been arrested.

205

We've seen total disruption of businesses,

206

both formal and informal,

207

as well as learning disruptions as children have not been able to go to school since yesterday because of this particular strike.

208

Whether you are joining us on YouTube,

209

TikTok, Sounds, radio or TV,

210

thank you for your time.

211

We will be back at the same time tomorrow with the Iran war today.

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