쉐도잉 연습: This Bond Selloff Isn't Over Just Yet: 3-Minutes MLIV - YouTube로 영어 말하기 배우기

C1
Just hearing there about the Japanese story.
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1
Just hearing there about the Japanese story.
2
The role that Japanese bond markets are playing is a really interesting one right now. Looking at the U.S.
3
Treasury market, though, 4.6% on the ten year.
4
We spoke to a guest earlier on who was talking about, you know, this likely to go to 5%, in his view, and even that might not encourage him into the market.
5
How are you thinking about the global bond conversation at this at this stage?
6
Well, first of all, a longer term view. I completely agree with that.
7
Guest. I think ultimately yields are going a lot higher. I just think this does not happen rapidly or in a straight line. I've had that view for the last, you know, number of years. And I think we're, you know, we're going into a much higher range now that plays out over years.
8
And the reason that is, is that ultimately, there are a lot of people who are income collectors who will basically sees jumps and yields as a chance to just buy into long term bonds. So, so that the kind of transition to a higher yield environment takes place over months and if not years.
9
But I think we do need to move into that world in the short term.
10
I don't think bonds are quite out of the current selloff just yet.
11
We've paused in the short term. I think some of the political concerns in the UK have dumped down a little bit with, uh, you know, the comments from Andy Burnham last night about being a little bit more fiscally restrained or expressing sentiment that regard, and also Trump, again, providing some people, I think, real optimist out there, that there might be a diplomatic solution to the state of Vermont. So it's temporarily paused.
12
But I think the sell off has more to go in the short term.
13
Then we'll get those bars and bonds. But later on this year, yeah, we'll see much higher yields again. How do stocks do if yields are going higher over the long term. So I actually think that stocks can cope okay with higher yields if it's for the right reason.
14
If that's because the economy is doing really well, then that's actually okay.
15
Now the problem is we have higher yields for some good reasons.
16
There is a relatively resilient and strong economy.
17
And we've got a lot of spending in the expanding in the eye space, which is driving the K shaped economy support in the K shaped economy.
18
But we also have higher yields for a lot of bad reasons.
19
We have the supply side inflation shock, which isn't being resolved, and we have fiscal concerns. Um, so that's that's a message to say that I think it's going to ebb and flow. Ultimately, higher yields are bad for stocks. Um, but it's maybe less dramatic.
20
Kind of at some binary level. I will say that given the move higher near the last couple of weeks, I actually think right now, uh, bonds are closer to the dip buying moment than stock.
21
We talked about this yesterday. I think we're now in a couple of weeks where stocks can retrench a bit. Only in context.
22
The extraordinary gains. This is not the end of the bubble.
23
The dip will be bought again, but the dip won't be bought that quickly.
24
Mark, I was going to follow with that. With what?
25
The dip uh, buying impulse will be, particularly when it comes to the semis and the selloff that we've seen in the US and Asia today as well.
26
You think that could happen, but maybe at a more moderated pace?
27
Yeah. I just I just think you've got to put it in context of two things. One is we've just seen extraordinary gains. So quite sizable headline pullbacks will still leave us like massively up on on you know on a on any reasonable lookback window. So it's not going to be blowing up this kind of this bubble issues bull market we're seeing in this sector.
28
We've also got just massive herding because everyone's using the same AI advice for these trades. Um, so that's why I think it can be quite painful. It'll clean out the first initial dip buyers who then get cleaned out. So maybe this lasts a few weeks this time.

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이 영상에서는 여러 중요한 문법 구조와 표현들이 사용되었습니다. 다음은 그 중 몇 가지입니다:

  • “It doesn’t happen rapidly or in a straight line.” - 이 표현은 상황이 급격하게 변화하지 않음을 강조합니다. “happen”과 “in a straight line”의 결합은 일상적인 대화에서 자주 사용되는 구조입니다.
  • “There are a lot of people who...” - 이 구문은 특정 대상을 명확히 하기 위해 사용되며, 복잡한 문장에서 명확한 주제를 제공하는 역할을 합니다. 영어 표현의 다양성을 높이는 데 기여합니다.
  • “Ultimately, yields are going a lot higher.” - “ultimately”라는 단어는 어떤 일이 결국 어떤 결과를 초래할 것임을 나타내며, 톤을 확실하게 전달하는 데 중요합니다.

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