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Will there be a peace deal or will the fighting resume?
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Will there be a peace deal or will the fighting resume?
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The answer seems to be changing by the hour, especially in Washington.
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Donald Trump says he was only an hour away from going ahead with a strike on Iran on Tuesday,
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but put it on pause when Gulf leaders indicated that a deal with Iran might be closed.
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Qatar has since put a dampener on that,
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claiming negotiators need a lot more time.
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But they might not have much.
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The president said he may still decide to launch strikes on Iran in two
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or three days if there's still no progress on talks.
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And speaking at the White House press briefing,
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his vice president said the U.S is ready to return to military action if a deal cannot be agreed.
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We think that we've made a lot of progress.
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We think the Iranians want to make a deal.
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The president of the United States has asked us to negotiate in good faith,
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and that's exactly what we've done.
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So we're in a pretty good spot here,
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but there's an option B.
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And the option B is that we can restart the military campaign to continue to prosecute the case,
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to continue to try to achieve America's objectives,
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and we can talk a little bit about what that looks like.
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But that's not what the president wants,
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and I don't think it's what the Iranians want either.
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We have an opportunity here,
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I think, to reset the relationship that has existed between Iran and the United States for 47 years.
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That's what the president has asked us to do,
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and that's what we're going to keep on working at.
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but it takes two to tango.
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We are not going to have a deal that allows the Iranians to have a nuclear weapon.
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So as the president just told me, we're locked and loaded.
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We don't want to go down that pathway,
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but the president is willing and able to go down that pathway if we have to.
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So let's speak now to our White House reporter, Bernd de Boosman.
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Bernd, listening to J.D.
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Vance there, he's saying option B is not what the president wants to do,
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but they are locked and loaded and ready to go
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if iran cannot come to an agreement what's new about what we just heard
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well we still don't have any details about the progress
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that vice president vance said is being made with regards to
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these negotiations he did seem a little more optimistic about the
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prospect of a negotiated end to the war than the president has in in recent days
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but we don't know exactly what the sticking points are.
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Vance repeated the administration's red line that Iran cannot have a nuclear weapons.
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And he says he believes the Iranian government has internalized that,
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but that there can't be any guarantees about the talks until they see Penn put to paper.
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And in the meantime, that option B,
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a resumption of full-scale combat operations, is still a possibility.
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I think one interesting new tidbit
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that Vance mentioned was the kind of rationale for the war
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that we haven't heard much from the administration again and
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that they believe that if Iran were to secure a nuclear weapon
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that
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that would start a kind of a domino effect of other
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countries in the region also trying to manufacture a nuclear weapon
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and that's part of why the administration believes that need to be stopped.
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That's not something that's often repeated by administration officials
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when they discuss the various reasons that they say they went to war for.
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But what is clear, isn't it,
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Ben, is that the nuclear option,
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as far as the U.S administration is concerned,
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is the absolute key sticking point.
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That is very much still the sticking point.
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And that's something that President Trump,
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even as late as this morning,
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he says that that's his primary goal in the campaign.
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At the beginning of Operation Epic Fury in late February,
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there were several other reasons given for this war beginning,
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including, for example, Iranian support for proxy militias in Iraq or Lebanon.
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That seems, at least in public discourse,
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to have gone away as far as the Trump administration goes.
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And now the overarching campaign and goal that he brings up almost daily now is that Iran cannot have a nuclear weapon.
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Now, we don't know where he stands,
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for example, on a complete pause of a civilian nuclear program in Iran.
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But the primary focus is now,
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even more so than the straightforward moves,
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that Iran cannot have a nuclear weapon.
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AMNA NAWAZI, The President of the United States,
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The President of the United States,
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White House reporter Bernda Guzman, thank you.
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Meanwhile, fighting continues in the south of Lebanon,
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despite an extended ceasefire on paper.
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Israel issued urgent evacuation orders for 12 towns on Tuesday as it continues its strikes on Hezbollah targets.
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Lebanese media then reported a number of strikes across the south of the country.
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More than 400 people have been killed in Lebanon since the ceasefire started.
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More than 3,000 in total since the war started in March.
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Well, let's speak to our Middle East correspondent, Lina Sinjab, in Beirut.
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Lina, just bring us right up to date with the details of those strikes.
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Well, all these strikes are taking place in the south of the country,
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everywhere, Israel seems to be using the ceasefire
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that has been announced by expanding the airstrikes in the areas
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that they're controlling from what it appears to be
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that they're trying to even get further inside the south of Lebanon in some areas,
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reaching more than 10 kilometers inside the south of the country.
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More, as you said, more than 12,
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you know, villages have been ordered to be evacuated today alone.
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But over the weekend, since this ceasefire extension was announced on Friday,
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more and more villages and towns have been ordered to be evacuated with more airstrikes.
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And Hezbollah at the same time,
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you know, is also intensifying its counterattacks on the Israelis,
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you know, targeting even sometimes trying to attack inside Israel,
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not only trying to attack Israeli forces on the ground inside the south of Lebanon.
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Yeah, Israel arguing, of course, that it's targeting Hezbollah.
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But the reality is that over the last few months since the war started,
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there's had to be a huge amount of people,
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numbers of people relocating from their trying to find safe space in Lebanon.
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Just take us through where we are now as this war continues.
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And in terms of the humanitarian efforts,
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even as there is a ceasefire,
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there are lots of people requiring a lot of help at the moment.
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Well, let's start by talking about the figures and numbers that the Ministry of Health provided.
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You know, until today, since the war started on the 2nd of March,
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3,020, or probably a little bit more,
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including today, have been killed.
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Over 600 of this number are women,
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children and paramedics, including also journalists.
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The government doesn't show combatant numbers among the figures that they are quoting.
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And there are media reports suggesting that Hezbollah,
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those who were killed among Hezbollah,
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are not included in this number.
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So imagine the death toll that is rising.
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Some families have been killed completely.
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In the past few weeks,
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there were families that were killed entirely,
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including mother, you know, a grandmother, children, grandchildren.
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And the story continues because,
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you know, the Israelis are destroying villages and homes and infrastructure in the south,
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forcing more and more people into evacuation.
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Before the ceasefire, the number of the people who were displaced exceeded a million.
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Some of them tried to go back to their towns and villages after the ceasefire,
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but still many, thousands of them are displaced.
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Today, even here in Beirut,
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the government is trying to find new locations for those stranded by the sea that they're still sleeping in tents.
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And most of these people require aid,
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require medical attention, require food, require hygiene kits.
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And the government is stretched out.
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International organizations, civil society are trying to help.
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But it's really making it more and more difficult with more evacuation orders,
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with complete villages and towns being destroyed.
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And the Lebanese are so much attached to their land,
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to their homes, that brings their,
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connect them to their history,
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to their ancestors, to their, you know, grand families.
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And they are now feeling that they're just looking at the photos of destruction and the negotiations that are taking place
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you know sponsored by the americans are getting nowhere
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because israel seems to be determined to continue its fights against hezbollah
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but the ones who are paying the price are the civilians who are losing homes
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and losing lives lena sinjab there with the impact of the war on the civilian population of lebanon thank you Well,
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as the conflict continues in the Middle East,
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the sustained high price of oil is having a real impact on the cost of living in a number of countries.
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Here are two examples.
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India raised fuel prices for the first time in four years on Friday,
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but less than a week later they've hyped them again as
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a result of the supply chain issues in the Strait of Hormuz.
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And then there's Kenya.
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Petrol prices were raised last week more than 20% to a record high,
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causing huge protests across the country on Monday.
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Our correspondents in Mumbai and Nairobi have the latest.
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There definitely is frustration on price rise.
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It's not something that is welcome any time.
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But there is also concern on the uncertainty of it.
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The fact that there have been two price rises in just less than a week indicates now,
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these are clear indications from the government,
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that the buffers could be thinning in terms of how much the government can absorb,
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you know, the increase in global crude oil prices.
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And now it is now being passed on to the consumers.
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And the fact that more could come in the days ahead.
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And that is adding on to concerns.
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We already know that small industries that depend on crude and gas,
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they've already been struggling for the last two months because of the shortages.
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Their operations have been curtailed.
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Some contractual workers have been let go.
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But that impact, is there a possibility that that impact is now expanding?
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You know, everyday goods have already started becoming more expensive.
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Transport will become more expensive now that the petrol and diesel hikes.
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And even hikes for the gas that powers some of the public transport like tuk-tuks
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and buses have also been hiked over the weekend.
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And all of this will start trickling down,
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making everyday goods transport more expensive.
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And also on the macroeconomic front,
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with the rupee depreciating and India's import bills rising because of the global crude oil price rise,
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that is also putting a lot of pressure on the government.
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And economists say more price hikes could come in the days ahead.
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Well, the government has said that global oil prices
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and their instability in the Middle East really remain a major factor in this,
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but also outside of Kenya's direct control.
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but experts and opposition members
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and Kenyans have been urging them to relook at other domestic solutions like the reduction of taxes and levies.
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I'd have you know that the price pump here in Kenya,
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about 27 to 35 percent of it,
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depending on what you're using,
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petroleum, diesel, or kerosene, a big chunk of this percentage goes to taxes and levies,
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some of it going up to 35 percent.
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So the government is being urged to relook at the taxes
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and levies that they have imposed on the prices of petroleum to try and bring the prices down,
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regardless of the situation in the Middle East.
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That's not under their direct control.
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They're also being asked to perhaps reconsider the government to government framework that they have entered into.
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Most of Kenya's oil comes from the Gulf countries,
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hence the kind of strain and pressure that the government finds itself into.
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So the government is also being urged perhaps to relook at this G2G,
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as it's been called here,
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a framework and think about open tender system where they can bring in an aggressive and robust private sector competition
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for forcing these oil prices to go down.
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But the bigger picture, these protests have led to four deaths so far.
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30 people have been injured and more than 300 people have been arrested.
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We've seen total disruption of businesses,
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both formal and informal,
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as well as learning disruptions as children have not been able to go to school since yesterday because of this particular strike.
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Whether you are joining us on YouTube,
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TikTok, Sounds, radio or TV,
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thank you for your time.
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We will be back at the same time tomorrow with the Iran war today.
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