쉐도잉 연습: Dan Ives: Apple had to raise prices and this was the right time - 영상으로 영어 말하기 배우기

레슨 만드는 중...
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Now let's bring in Wedbush's Dan Ives for more on this.
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How do you read this today?
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What is the impact going to be on Apple?
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It feels like there's a lot of pain here.
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I'm looking at a quote from Tim Cook to the Wall Street Journal in mid-June where he said, quote, this is a hundred year flood.
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I've never seen anything like it in any area in over 40 years.
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Yeah, look, they had to do this, and it's our view, $150, $200 price increase on the iPhone as well.
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But when you put it, And you look at gross margins and what this ultimately, we're talking about one, two percent churn maybe on some of the high end products.
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And I just think they're trying to get ahead of this.
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Now, ultimately, Intel and other partnerships, they'll have, they'll be able to sort of navigate this.
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They're supply chain tacticians.
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But it just speaks to it.
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It was sort of a new mod.
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They had to now raise the price.
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This was the right time to make sure they do it, that margins do not degradate.
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trying to get ahead of it.
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I mean, they're reacting to it.
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How are they getting ahead of something?
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They're reacting to what they're seeing in the marketplace.
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Yeah.
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Scott, I think at these price increases, I would actually view it they waited as long as they could.
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I mean, you could argue they could have done this six, nine months ago.
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And the reason they're doing this now is that they realize
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when it comes to their elasticity AND WHAT THEY BELIEVE CHURN COULD BE.
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WHEN YOU LOOK AT THE ACTUAL increases, we're talking, like we said, max 1%, 2% churn.
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So I think they recognize, despite what's happened with the stock, and I view it as an overreaction relative to what it's going to actually be from a demand perspective,
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the supply chain dictated.
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They held off as long as they could.
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But I think there'll be less price increases relative when it comes to iPhone.
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And they're going into a three-year massive hardware cycle.
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They need to do this at the beginning of it.
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Sure.
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But there's why is there an overreaction in the stock if there's going to be a reaction to gross margins?
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Whatever they do from a pricing standpoint, as you mentioned, what the increases are, that's not going to fully make up or offset for the costs of what they have to pay for memory.
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Yeah, I'd say I think when you put it through numbers.
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I mean, you're talking maybe from an EPS perspective, like I said, like less than two, three percent.
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So when you actually flow that through the model
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and there's flexibility in there relative to street numbers as well going into the next 12, 18 months.
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And I just think we sit here a year from now
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and the question will be how come we have not seen the degradation
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so far that we expected based on the sell off in gross margins and in EPS.
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they are supply chain tacticians.
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Cook's handing the baton to Turnus, but he will still be there in terms of, and his team in terms of navigating the supply chain.
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And that's important because of what they need to do to make sure that they keep margins essentially where they are.
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I mean it's not just an Apple problem we had news
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this afternoon in fact Microsoft reaching session lows today on news
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that they're raising Xbox prices quote unfortunately console storage
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and memory prices have increased by more than two
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and a half x and we expect another doubling by the fall of 2027.
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That tells you that this issue isn't going away anytime soon, and Apple is far from the only one that's having to deal with these problems.
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Look, we're talking about the historic price increases that we're seeing in memory.
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You see it to the benefit of Micron, S.K., and Samsung.
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But, you know, Apple, Microsoft, many others throughout the supply chain, they're going to need to navigate.
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But I think the most important thing here is what is it going to translate to in numbers?
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And I think when you actually look at the next one, two, three years going into what's going to be just a massive hardware cycle for Apple,
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I think they've done it sort of baby steps here when you actually look at the overall price increases.
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And that's the smartest move.
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But Apple's been here before.
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It's not their first rodeo.
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They will be able to navigate.
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They'll have other partnerships.
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And then they'll be on the other side of this.
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And I think that's why we will look at this as an overreaction relative to this news.
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What do you make of what's happened with the mega caps?
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I mean, you've got some of these names in a full-fledged bear market.
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You have others that are decidedly in correction territory.
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Now, I'm talking from their most recent 52-week highs.
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You've got to be concerned about that.
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Are we entering an environment where investors think they've squeezed all they can out of these names for the time being, and they're just going to rotate into other areas,
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and then over the second half of this year, those names are going to underperform?
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Look, I think there's definitely concerns.
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I mean, the calls that we're getting from investors, obviously is massively up relative to what we're seeing on large cap.
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I think part of it is that AI is being funded by all the hyperscalers, from Microsoft to Oracle to Google to everyone.
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But the reality is the stocks are under reformed because it's almost like they're funding the AI party,
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but the ones that are benefiting are from memory to chip to supply chain to some of the infrastructure plays.
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I think investors are, right now, we're in this cap-backs we see, but we haven't seen monetization.
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Next six to nine months, we see that.
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As we see that, I think you see a huge reversal.
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And then you start to get some of their pricing power back.
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And I think the sell-off you've seen here is, I think, some of it's misguided,
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but some of it is just a fear of that this is going to continue as they fund it.
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Everyone else benefits, but they're ultimately, from a large cap perspective, they're the ones that the capex,
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the trillions of dollars, that's ultimately what the ripple effect that we're seeing in terms of this AI revolution play out.

이 수업에 대해

이번 수업에서는 Dan Ives의 인터뷰 내용을 통해 경제적 요소와 기업의 가격 인상에 대한 이해를 높이며, 관련된 영어 표현들을 연습합니다. 특히, 영어 쉐도잉 기법을 사용하여 발음과 억양을 개선하고, 자연스러운 대화를 이끌어낼 수 있는 실력을 기르는 데 중점을 둡니다. 이 수업은 유튜브 영어 공부에 매우 유용하게 활용될 수 있습니다.

주요 어휘 및 구문

  • 가격 인상 (price increase) - 제품이나 서비스의 가격을 높이는 것
  • 공급망 (supply chain) - 생산에서 소비자에게 전달되는 과정
  • 마진 (margin) - 수익과 비용의 차이, 일반적으로 이익을 의미함
  • 수요 (demand) - 소비자가 상품이나 서비스를 사고자 하는 욕구
  • 전환율 (churn rate) - 고객이 서비스를 중단하는 비율
  • 반응 (reaction) - 특정 상황에 대한 회사의 대응 방법
  • 가격 탄력성 (elasticity) - 가격 변화에 대한 수요의 민감도
  • 제품 주기 (product cycle) - 제품의 개발에서부터 퇴출까지의 기간

연습 팁

영어 쉐도잉을 효과적으로 하고 싶다면, 이 영상의 속도와 톤을 유념하여 연습하십시오. Dan Ives의 인터뷰는 경제적 주제를 다루고 있어 어휘가 다소 어려울 수 있으나, 억양과 발음 연습을 통해 도움이 될 것입니다. 특히, 자신이 이해한 내용을 바탕으로 shadow speak를 통해 소리 내어 반복하세요. 이를 통해 실시간으로 말을 주고받는 듯한 느낌을 받을 수 있습니다. 처음에는 천천히 따라 하다가 점차 속도를 높여 보세요. 이 과정에서 shadowspeaks 방법을 통해 자연스럽게 자신의 목소리를 들어보는 것도 좋습니다. 다소 어려운 부분이 있다면 여러 번 반복하여 연습해 보십시오. 계속해서 영어 쉐도잉 연습을 하면 발음과 억양이 개선될 것입니다.

쉐도잉이란? 영어 실력을 빠르게 키우는 과학적 방법

쉐도잉(Shadowing)은 원래 전문 통역사 훈련을 위해 개발된 언어 학습 기법으로, 다언어 학자인 Dr. Alexander Arguelles에 의해 대중화된 방법입니다. 핵심 원리는 간단하지만 매우 강력합니다: 원어민의 영어를 들으면서 1~2초의 짧은 지연으로 즉시 소리 내어 따라 말하는 것——마치 '그림자(shadow)'처럼 화자를 따라가는 것입니다. 문법 공부나 수동적인 청취와 달리, 쉐도잉은 뇌와 입 근육이 동시에 실시간으로 영어를 처리하고 재현하도록 훈련합니다. 연구에 따르면 이 방법은 발음 정확도, 억양, 리듬, 연음, 청취력, 말하기 유창성을 크게 향상시킵니다. IELTS 스피킹 준비와 자연스러운 영어 소통을 원하는 분들에게 특히 효과적입니다.