쉐도잉 연습: [Học tiếng Anh THẬT] Elon Musk - Future, AI - YouTube로 영어 말하기 배우기

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So what is life for you?
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So what is life for you?
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I mean, you look at our life,
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and I heard you before speaking.
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Is it a dream?
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Is it a dream?
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Is it a million D?
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What is life for Elon Musk?
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I find as I get older,
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I find that question to be maybe more and more confusing or troubling or uncertain.
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I think particularly when you see the advancement of something like video games.
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You know, like say 40 years ago, you had video games.
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The most advanced video game would be like Pong,
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where you had like two rectangles and a dot.
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You're like batting it back and forth.
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I played it.
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Oh yeah, me too, exactly.
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That's all.
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Exactly.
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It sort of dates you a little bit.
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But yeah, we both played the same game.
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And that was like, wow,
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that was a pretty fun game at the time.
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But now you can see a video game that's photorealistic,
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almost photorealistic, and millions of people playing simultaneously.
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And you see where things are going with virtual reality and augmented reality.
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And if you extrapolate that out into the future with any rate of progress at all,
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like even 0.1% or something like that a year,
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then eventually those games will be indistinguishable from reality.
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They'll be so realistic, you will not be able to tell the difference between
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that game and the reality as we know it.
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And then it seems like,
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well, how do we know that that didn't happen in the past,
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and that we're not in one of those games ourselves?
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Interesting.
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Interesting.
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I mean, could be.
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Everything is possible in life.
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I mean, there's...
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I mean, yeah, particularly things seem to be accelerating to something.
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Isn't it?
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I mean, if we look at our life,
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it seems in the past 100 years,
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life has been accelerating quite fast.
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Yeah.
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In the past 20, much faster.
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It's getting faster and faster.
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Is it more slow?
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So my question is really,
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how life will be in air 20,
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30, 50 years from now, our education, our transport?
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How do you see it?
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Well, I think this is one of those things that's quite difficult to predict.
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When you think of, say,
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the first controlled powered flight was 1903 with the Wright brothers.
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And then 66 years later,
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we put the first people on the moon.
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I mean, if you'd asked people,
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say, in 1900, what are the odds of man landing on the moon,
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they would have said, that's ridiculous.
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And if you try to talk to them about the internet,
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They would not even know what the heck you're even talking about.
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Like, this sounds so crazy.
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But today, with a $100 device,
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you can video conference with anyone in the world.
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On the other side of the world.
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And if you have a Wi-Fi connection, it's basically free.
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Free to have an instant visual communication with anyone,
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or even with millions of people.
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With social media, you can communicate to millions of people simultaneously.
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You can Google something and ask any question.
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It's like an article of wisdom that you can ask almost any question and get an instant response.
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It would have been incredibly difficult to predict these things in the past,
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even the relatively recent past.
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I think the one thing that we can be quite certain of is
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that any predictions we make today for what the future will be like in 50 years will be wrong.
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That's for sure.
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I mean, I think directionally,
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I can tell you what I hope the future has,
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as opposed to maybe what it will be,
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because this may just be wishful thinking.
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I mean, I hope we are out there on Mars and maybe beyond Mars,
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the moons of Jupiter.
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I hope we're traveling frequently throughout the solar system,
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perhaps preparing for missions to nearby star systems.
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I think all of this is possible within 50 years.
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And I think that will be very exciting to do that.
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And I think we'll see autonomy and artificial intelligence advance tremendously.
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That's actually quite near term.
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My guess is in probably 10 years,
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it will be very unusual for cars to be built that are not fully autonomous.
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10 years.
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10 years from now.
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Yeah.
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I think almost all cars built will be capable of full autonomy in about 10 years.
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As it is, the Tesla cars that are made today have the sensor system necessary for full autonomy,
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and we think probably enough compute power to be safer than a person.
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So it's mostly just a question of developing the software and uploading the software.
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And if it turns out that the compute power,
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that more compute power is needed,
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we can easily upgrade the computer.
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And so that's all Tesla's built since October of last year.
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And other manufacturers will follow and do the same thing.
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So getting in a car will be like getting in an elevator.
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You just tell it where you want to go,
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and it takes you there with extreme levels of safety.
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And that'll be normal.
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It'll just be normal.
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For elevators, they used to be elevator operators.
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You get in, there'll be a guy moving a lever.
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Now you just get in,
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you press the button, and that's taken for granted.
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So autonomy will be widespread.
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I think one of the most troubling questions is artificial intelligence.
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And I don't mean narrow AI.
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Like vehicle autonomy, I would put in the narrow AI class,
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it's narrowly trying to achieve a certain function.
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But deep artificial intelligence, or what is sometimes called artificial general intelligence,
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where you could have AI that is much smarter than the smartest human on earth.
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This, I think, is a dangerous situation.
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Why it is dangerous?
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I mean, there is two views.
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One view is artificial intelligence will help humanity.
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There is another school of thought is artificial intelligence is a threat to humanity.
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Why is it?
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Well, I think it's both.
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You know, it's like one way to think of it is imagine we're going to be visited,
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imagine you're very confident
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that we were going to be visited by super intelligent aliens in let's say 10 years or 20 years at the most.
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Super intelligent.
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So you think within 20 years we'll have alien in Earth?
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Well, digital super intelligence will be like an alien.
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It will be like an alien.
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But my question is, do you think there is other intelligent life outside the Earth?
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It seems probable, but I think this is one of the great questions in physics and philosophy,
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is where are the aliens?
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Maybe they're among us, I don't know.
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Some people think I'm an alien.
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Not true.
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Not true.
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But maybe we are aliens.
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Of course I'd say that.
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Maybe we are aliens, Ellen.
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I mean, if you look at this part of the world,
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they believe that human beings are not from Earth.
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They came from somewhere else.
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Eve and Adam came from somewhere else to Earth.
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So in a way, human beings are alien to this land.
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Do you think?

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  • "I find as I get older..." - 이 표현은 시간이 지남에 따라 변하는 감정이나 생각을 전달하는 데 유용합니다. 이 구조를 사용하면 자신의 경험에 기반한 의견을 말할 수 있습니다.
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