ฝึกพูดภาษาอังกฤษด้วยเทคนิค Shadowing จากวิดีโอ: Will European Equities Outperform the S&P?

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This is the markets.
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I'm Chris Hussey and today is Thursday June 4th
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and I'm joined from the Goldman Sachs trading floor in London
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by Sharon Bell who is our European portfolio strategist within Goldman Sachs research.
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Sharon thanks so much for taking time with us on the markets.
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Thank you.
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So let's you know go right into your specialty which is European equities.
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Stocks are up a lot this year.
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What's driving the rally.
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Yep.
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So Europe is at close to all time highs.
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hasn't performed as well as the US or Asia
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but it's bounced a lot from the lows
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and I think the reason Europe's bounced
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so much is the earnings have been quite strong obviously the energy stocks you've seen earnings rise for energy companies
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because of higher oil and gas prices
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but it's not just energy companies the whole commodity complex is doing very well utilities mining companies for example
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but also financials with higher interest rates chemicals have been doing well in terms of earnings so
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if I look at the suite of European companies then actually earnings estimates have been upgraded on average by six
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or seven percent this year.
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You have had some downgrades but that's been in consumer discretionary areas of the market.
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But net net it's been upgrades and I think that's really driven the rally.
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Okay Sharon you mentioned a bunch of different sectors.
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You didn't really mention tech though.
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Without tech is there more to go in a European rally?
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Yeah Europe has got some tech and tech has also been seeing upgrades as well.
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It's not as big as you point out as it is in Asia
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or the US but tech is also helping to drive European earnings
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so I think
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if you look overall in Europe it's got some tech not
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as much as elsewhere it's got energy it's got other areas
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that have done reasonably well like heavy asset companies companies like
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industrials utilities energy defense aerospace companies all seeing upgrades as to
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whether you've got more to go yes we've recently upgraded our
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stock 600 forecast we're now looking WE ARE WORKING FOR 660 ON THAT INDEX OVER THE NEXT 12 MONTHS.
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THAT IS AN UPGRADE COMPARED TO PREVIOUSLY.
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THE REASON WE HAVE DONE THAT IS BECAUSE EARNINGS HAVE BEEN GOOD AND THE ECONOMY HAS BEEN MORE RESILIENT THAN EXPECTED.
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IT'S NOT AS STRONG AS YOU SEE IN THE U.S.
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BUT YOU ARE NOT IN RECESSION.
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GERMANY CONTINUES TO SPEND FISCALLY JUST AS THE PLAN WAS LAID OUT LAST YEAR.
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YOU ARE STARTING TO SEE THAT FISCAL SPEND COME THROUGH.
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here because in the U.S., of course, it's been a concentrated rally.
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You were talking about so many different parts of Europe that have been doing well.
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Is Europe less concentrated than the U.S.?
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A simple answer is yes.
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It is much less concentrated than the U.S., and you see that in a couple of different ways.
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One way, you take the top 10 companies, the largest 10 companies, in the U.S., they make up 40 percent of the index.
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In Europe, Europe's top 10 companies make up just 15 percent of the entire index market cap.
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So very, very different.
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Not only that, that 40 percent I mentioned for the U.S is a high, more or less, whereas in the case of Europe, top 10 companies make up 15 percent.
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And that's actually at the lower end of the concentration that Europe has seen historically.
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So, no, I don't think Europe is as concentrated as the U.S.
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There's another way of looking at it as well, which is what's been driving returns.
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Has it been a narrow breadth of companies or has it been a wider breadth of companies in the U.S.?
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Not only is the US market concentrated in terms of size of companies and market cap, it's also concentrated in terms of returns.
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Very few companies have driven the returns in the US.
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In Europe, it's been a bit broader.
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There has been similar themes.
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Keep that in mind that you've had energy, tech, AI, and some of the companies which have been in other sectors have been driven by those same themes.
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So industrials, utilities, for example, you need to power the AI revolution are all drivers.
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And in that sense, similar themes have driven the European market as the U.S., but it's been much less concentrated in terms of number of stocks.
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Does that lack of concentration in Europe give it more legs to a rally, or do you feel like it is too insulated from the AI trade to do that?
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I think it's not completely insulated from the AI trade.
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It's got a lot of potential there.
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it's got exposure to AI via obviously the tech companies themselves
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but also the utilities companies by the need for energy Europe is undersupplied in energy needs to improve those networks
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and grids and the companies doing
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that are great investments we think industrials this is an area
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that Europe is well known for very high quality industrials
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and their demand
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and their businesses are very much driven by AI demand data centers at the moment CapEx as well
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and And then it's not just an AI driven trade.
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You've also seen investment by Germany, for example, in more defense, more infrastructure.
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Europe generally has a lack of infrastructure and defense spending in recent years.
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So you're seeing European companies win a lot of that business and do very well.
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So I think, yes, it's not AI, it's one part of it, but it's broader than that.
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No, it is broader than that that.
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Help me understand this, because at the beginning of the call, you mentioned that while Europe is doing great, it's actually not doing as great as U.S or even Asia.
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What is your view going forward?
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Can Europe outperform?
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So it's not our view.
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Our base case is that you get positive returns from Europe, and we have upgraded our index forecast, but we would still have the U.S and Asia outperforming.
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Why is that?
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So we would have the US outperforming because it's got big hyperscalers where we're expecting pretty good returns.
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And we're looking for an economy which actually is growing quite nicely in the next couple of years in the US.
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So we do think the US market continues to outperform.
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Asia as well, we see driven by earnings, driven by the semi-stocks and driven by the tech sector.
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For Europe, it's broader.
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So you've got the diversification benefit when you invest in Europe.
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And you also have some value benefit as well.
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But I do have lower returns in Europe because the European economy is, after all, more hit by the higher energy prices.
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We don't have energy independence in the same way that, say, the U.S does.
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So I see lower returns, but still positive.
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I'm looking for about high single digits, let's say, total return for Europe in the next 12 months.
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So we're at that point in the Markets podcast where I normally ask, what's the trade?
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But you're not a trader.
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You're a strategist.
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So I'm going to ask you, what's the investment?
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Where do you want to put your money here?
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Yeah, and that's an interesting question because I think there's potential for shorter term trades and things like consumer discretionary companies.
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If and when the Straits of the Moos open and you see more flow of oil or prices come down, energy costs reduce, then I could see a bounce in some of these companies that have been sold off.
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But I think the longer term investment, which is what you're really asking me, is still in those structural winners.
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So we would call, for example, for halo stocks to do well.
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That's heavy assets, low obsolescence companies, companies that did not do well over the decade or decade and a half after the financial crisis.
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Then you want to just be purely digital assets.
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None of these heavy assets types companies, heavy capital companies think they would do well.
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And by that, I mean things like utilities,
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telecoms, industrials, even energy companies that are investing and have good assets and can make return on those assets.
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And I think Europe has a lot of those.
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I also like our renewables companies, defense companies, aerospace companies.
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I think the tech sector in Europe trades at a discount to similar companies elsewhere in the world.
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Banks as well.
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We think interest rates will be higher for longer, and that will help the bank sector.
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Okay, Sharon, what are you looking for in the summer ahead?
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I think the absolutely crucial thing for Europe particularly is a reopening of the Straits of Hormuz
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and some topping out and decline in energy prices.
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I think
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that is absolutely key keys for confidence in the economy key for investors particularly domestic investors would like to see
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that in order to start feeling more confident and buying the market.
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We've got a lot of big IPOs coming through in the U.S seeing how those are absorbed as well.
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We'll also be important for European equities.
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So the straights of the moves, those big IPOs, and of course we have an earning season coming up the second quarter.
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How have companies digested the higher energy prices?
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What's their resilience like?
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Those will all be absolutely crucial for Europe.
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Okay.
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One last question for you Sharon.
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Can England win the World Cup?
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Well we have a 5% chance of England winning the World Cup.
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Our economists, not me, our economists crunched all the data.
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They put Spain as the likely winners.
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So European European country.
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So they put Spain I think it's 25 or 26 percent chance of Spain winning.
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Then France.
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Unfortunately England my home 5 percent chance haven't won since 1966 but you never know.
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Well I do know it's going to be Argentina.
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But Sharon thanks so much for taking the time with us here on the markets.
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That's great thank you.
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That does it for this week's episode of the markets.
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I'm Chris Hussie.
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listening.
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เกี่ยวกับบทเรียนนี้

ในบทเรียนนี้ นักเรียนจะได้ฝึกพูดภาษาอังกฤษผ่านการฟังและการพูดซ้ำจากการสนทนาที่เกี่ยวข้องกับตลาดหุ้นยุโรป โดยจะมีการวิเคราะห์ประสิทธิภาพของหุ้นในยุโรปและสาเหตุที่ทำให้ตลาดมีการฟื้นตัว นอกจากนี้ยังให้โอกาสในการเรียนรู้คำศัพท์และวลีที่สำคัญจากการสัมภาษณ์ เพื่อช่วยในการปรับปรุงทักษะการพูดและการฟังในบริบทเชิงพาณิชย์

คำศัพท์และวลีที่สำคัญ

  • European equities - หุ้นยุโรป
  • energy stocks - หุ้นพลังงาน
  • earnings estimates - การประมาณการผลกำไร
  • financials - สถาบันการเงิน
  • fiscal spending - การใช้จ่ายทางการเงิน
  • resilient economy - เศรษฐกิจที่มีความเข้มแข็ง
  • market cap - มูลค่าตลาด
  • concentrated rally - การฟื้นตัวที่มีความเข้มข้น

เคล็ดลับในการฝึกพูด

การฝึกพูดตาม (shadowspeak) เป็นวิธีที่ดีในการพัฒนาทักษะการพูดภาษาอังกฤษ โดยเฉพาะเมื่อพูดถึงการฟังและพูดซ้ำจากวิดีโอ เช่น วิดีโอนี้ที่มีจังหวะการพูดค่อนข้างเร็ว แต่ไม่เร็วเกินไป ซึ่งจะช่วยให้ผู้เรียนสามารถเข้าใจและติดตามได้ง่ายขึ้น คุณสามารถใช้เทคนิคการพูดตาม (shadowing) โดยการฟังวลีแล้วพูดซ้ำทันทีในสโลว์เวอร์ชั่นก่อน แล้วจึงทำตามด้วยจังหวะปกติของวิดีโอ นอกจากนี้ยังควรฝึกฟังซ้ำหลาย ๆ ครั้ง เพื่อให้คุ้นเคยกับเสียงและน้ำเสียง โดยเฉพาะในบริบทที่มีการใช้คำศัพท์ทางการเงินเพื่อที่จะเข้าใจได้อย่างถูกต้องเมื่อถึงเวลาใช้งานจริง

การเรียนภาษาอังกฤษจากยูทูปเป็นวิธีที่มีประสิทธิภาพและสนุกสนาน คุณสามารถเข้าไปที่ shadowing site ที่ให้บริการฝึกพูดได้ เพื่อค้นหาวิดีโอที่เหมาะสมกับระดับความสามารถของคุณ

เทคนิค Shadowing คืออะไร?

Shadowing เป็นเทคนิคการเรียนรู้ภาษาที่ได้รับการรับรองทางวิทยาศาสตร์ พัฒนาขึ้นสำหรับการฝึกนักแปลมืออาชีพ วิธีการนี้เรียบง่ายแต่ทรงพลัง: คุณฟังเสียงภาษาอังกฤษจากเจ้าของภาษาและพูดตามทันที — เหมือนเงาที่ตามผู้พูดด้วยช่วงเวลาห่าง 1-2 วินาที การวิจัยแสดงว่าเทคนิคนี้ปรับปรุงความแม่นยำในการออกเสียง ทำนองเสียง จังหวะ การเชื่อมเสียง การฟังเข้าใจ และความคล่องแคล่วในการพูดได้อย่างมีนัยสำคัญ

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