シャドーイング練習: SOCIETAL COLLAPSE: US Reading Test SCORES PLUNGE - YouTubeで英語スピーキングを学ぶ
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Turning now to test scores.
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Turning now to test scores.
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This is a really depressing investigation from the New York Times with a lot of data behind it.
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I encourage you not only to go read it for yourselves,
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but there's a tool where all of you can go
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and look at your individual school district
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and see what is almost certainly a 10-year decline in the test scores for children for math and reading.
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So let's go ahead and put this up here on the screen.
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They say why test scores are in a generational long decline.
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And in general, what they see is that across America,
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whether you're rich, whether you're poor,
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whether you're black, whether you're white,
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whether you're Hispanic, whether they've done this program,
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whether they've done that program,
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students are performing worse than their peers 10 years ago.
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District level test data, which was released by the Educational Opportunity Project at Stanford,
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reveals that compared with a decade earlier,
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reading scores were down last year in 83% of school districts where data was available.
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Math scores were also down in 70%.
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The declines have affected rich and poor and cross-racial and geographic divides.
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The new data provides the first national comparison of school districts through 2025
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and shows a detailed picture of individual school districts have performed over time.
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From 2017 to 2019, students lost as much ground in reading as they did during the pandemic.
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Reading scores continued to fall at a similar rate through 2024.
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Immediately after the pandemic, there was hope that students would recover quickly.
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New data shows that scores have inched upward in reading last year and have climbed more steadily in math since 2022,
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but it's been nowhere near enough to make up for lost ground.
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So in other words, the decline began in 2017,
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if you look on this long timescale.
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However, it got exacerbated, but way worse by COVID,
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then there's been a modest uptake,
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but it's still lower than where we are in 2017.
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And I think that's what,
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you know, and the funny thing is,
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is when everybody starts to look at like, oh, what is it?
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Here's the thing about the education system.
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And I see a lot of conservatives,
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like the whole education system is corrupt.
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You think the education system is corrupt in Utah?
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Because school district is down in Utah.
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Okay, math and reading is down in Utah.
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Education is one of the last bastions of localism that we have here in the United States.
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If you as a citizen want to have an impact,
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as we saw during all the CRT debates, you actually can.
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You actually can have an impact on your school district if you want to.
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As a parent, that's what property taxes are for, by the way.
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And one of the reasons you pay them is because you have an investment actually in it.
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Yes, even if you're childless,
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boomer, or if your children are no longer in the education system.
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But the point that you see here,
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the whole nation, it's one of the most decentralized systems in the world, right?
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Every school has, by their local school board and the state,
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there's been all of the,
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I mean, how many pilot programs have there been, right?
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Of charter schools and this school and that's magnet schools
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and New York City does something this way and California does something that way.
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At the end of the day,
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the test score has gone down,
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which means only one thing.
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It's cultural, almost certainly, and it's technology.
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I just, I do not see a way out of it.
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And let me just put my cards up here at the front.
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Technology alone in the school is not going to save you because as they point out,
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they've still continued to see declines even in schools where they have had phone bans.
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Yeah.
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Because it's not just about the phone.
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We were talking earlier about Chromebook and you were telling me about how your kids' school,
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like they issue them all Chromebooks and all the homework has to be done on Chromebook.
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Yeah.
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I think that's got to go.
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Honestly, at this point, I even think the overhead projector has got to come back.
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No PowerPoints, nothing, paper homework, period.
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Because, I mean, you read these stories,
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the Wall Street Journal, Chromebooks,
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and somehow, you know, there's some whiz kid,
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as we all used to do with LAN on our computers,
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this is 20 years ago,
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you know, to play Halo or whatever.
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People will always figure it out.
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Some mother discovers that her son's been watching 7,000 hours of YouTube in two years on his school-issued,
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7,000 hours of YouTube on his school-issued Chromebook.
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That's an extreme example, but I'm just giving one of what it is.
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The fact is, is that the mass distraction in college,
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because remember this is also being found in college and universities,
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is we are seeing it now across the entire United States.
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And that's why, again, a lot of conservatives were like,
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oh, it's being woke.
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I'm like, again, like you literally,
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it's in in Florida too, guys.
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It's in Utah.
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It's the whole nation.
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It's a much more, it's a much bigger problem.
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Like you can have those individual debates, but I don't know.
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I see no other evidence.
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Like it's just technology.
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And there are, I think if memory serves,
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I could go back and look at the chart.
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There were three places that defied the trend.
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One of them was DC.
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Yeah.
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And Mississippi.
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Mississippi was another, and I think Hawaii was the third,
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which shows you, to your point,
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those are very different places ideologically.
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So this isn't really a liberal versus conservative thing,
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and we should all be looking at Mississippi and D.C.
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Also, I hate to say this, but Mississippi and D.C were so shitty that being modestly increased is like,
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so let's be honest.
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Look, no disrespect, but it's true.
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D.C.
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I don't think Hawaii was great shakes either.
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Remember the documentary about D.C schools and how awful they were with that eight?
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What was that woman?
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Oh, yeah.
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The Asian lady.
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Yeah.
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Yeah.
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Oh, gosh, I forgot too.
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She came in, she was a big charter school, whatever.
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Anyway, I know part of what they did in DC is there's this very,
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it's very controversial, like the way to teach kids to read,
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even though there's a very clear science-based analysis that teaching phonics is the way to go and like doing it in a,
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you know, rather than the sight reading ways that,
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you know, people used to do, whatever.
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Anyway, so DC really fully implemented that and that seems to have worked for them well.
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But to your point about this is obviously a national issue,
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it's obviously a cultural issue.
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I don't really know that I would pin it so much on the Chromebooks and the school.
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I think it's more about culturally.
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Like people, they don't read books, right?
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Instead they're on their screens.
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That's a big shift.
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You know, another one that people don't talk about is another thing that screen time replaced is board games.
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Now board games are very good in terms of math skills,
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like just very basic.
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I have to roll the dice and I have to add them together
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and know how many places to move and be able to count that out.
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Or, you know, dealing with money if you're playing Monopoly and these sorts of things.
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This is something that one of my children's teachers told me.
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She was like, you know, older towards retirement.
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She said one of the big differences she notices is kids coming into kindergarten.
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They don't have that basic numeracy because they're not playing card games.
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They're not playing board games.
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So that's another one.
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I mean, this is just,
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you know, the screens take up everything.
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And so that means that other activities that were more educational
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and helped to develop brains more effectively are pushed out to the side.
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And the other thing that this data shows you is that whether you looked at families where they were like,
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go wild with the screens,
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or families that considered themselves to be more restrictive,
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they did a little bit better,
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but there is a huge increase in screen time for everyone.
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And this is where I get sort of frustrated with some of the conversations,
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the debates that unfold online that's like very judgmental about parents and how much screen time their kids are getting.
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And listen, we have restrictions in my household.
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I do my best.
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I know every parent is out there doing their best for their kids to try to figure all this stuff out.
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But you are up against a multi-trillion dollar industry.
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You are up against an entire culture.
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The idea that you are going to be able to just individually bootstrap your way to avoid the complete dominant culture.
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I mean, it's impossible.
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It's genuinely impossible.
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You can, you have to be rich and you have to be fucking crazy.
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You actually have to be crazy.
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Yes.
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And then there's downsides to that because then your kid is weird.
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They're not in touch with the dominant culture.
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And there's something to be said for being weird, right?
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Some of the greatest thinkers and insights and creatives
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and whatever come out of people who don't grow up in the mainstream culture and so they have a different perspective.
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But most people are not going to be able to pull that off.
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The other thing that came out in this data
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that I thought was really interesting is in In terms of the post-COVID improvements,
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the two sectors of society that have done the best are the rich,
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predictable, because they can invest in tutoring and whatever supports they need, blah, blah, blah.
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And the poor, because there were programs,
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there was money put in place of like,
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okay, we know we had this learning loss during COVID,
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we've got to do something.
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And it's actually the sort of middle income,
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just like your average middle income district and family
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that has seen the least improvement post-COVID
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because they don't have the resources of the rich to helicopter parent in
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and do everything possible and potentially with one stay at home parent that can do all the work on the side.
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And they don't have the extra support from the state
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and from the government to help get their kids back up to speed.
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So I thought that was really noteworthy as well.
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Yeah, and to your point here about the culture,
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and this is when I say Chromebook,
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I'm not blaming just the Chromebook.
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I'm saying that it's about the ethos of doing things on the screen.
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You know, there's been a ton of evidence about education and retention of information.
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Typing is not the same as writing.
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It's just not.
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And yet, what do we teach?
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Oh, all homework has to be done on the Chromebook.
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No, paper needs to come back.
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And look, it's one of those for retention,
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patience, lack of instant gratification.
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It's like a whole ethos around it.
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So when I say ban the screens and the Chromebooks inside,
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I'm talking about introducing friction and learning and retention,
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which at this point only exists in private school,
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which I'm personally very against.
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Like I don't, I'm not saying we shouldn't have the option.
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I'm saying for me personally,
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I don't believe in private school,
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like literally in terms of my own family.
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A, because I think it's like kind of antithetical to like a social project,
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but you know, more so more what I'm saying is like,
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what it means is the,
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the American project of like mixing and actually getting to know like a lot of different people,
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I think is very important.
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I support people's right to do so homeschool or private school or whatever,
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if they want to religious school,
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if that's your thing, but I'm saying the way that I look at things.
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And that's why though, I think the government policy around this is so vital and important.
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Let's go to the D2.
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This supports your point here about technology.
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So American children now spend a massive amount of time on internet-enabled devices.
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And this is the best part.
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All families, it's all the way up.
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What you also see though is families who say they are low-tech and prioritize outdoor play,
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not all that different than the families who say they encourage engagement with technology.
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There's a gap, but it's not that big.
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The point is that based on the reports of parents,
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40,000 children reported by 24,000 parents that adults may have reported children as using multiple devices simultaneously,
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it shows the weekly combined hours that a child use any internet-enabled device
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that has steadily climbed up with their age
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that ultimately culminates in some 19 hours per week that a child is on an internet-enabled device.
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And I think that points out the even
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if you're one of the conscientious people that you're really just not that far off from even the people who are like,
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oh yeah, whatever, you can use an iPad.
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So when I said you have to be crazy, I really mean it.
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You have to be nuts.
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And you can also see this in terms of a broader culture.
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Go to the next one.
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This is another fascinating one.
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You could tell me more about this because your kids are older.
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American children are not allowed to go many places.
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The percent of children at each age allowed to walk,
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bike, or drive given distance without an adult accompanying them according to each parent.
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So what you see is
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that there has been a dramatic decrease of the ability for children to not go too many places,
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cannot leave the house, cannot leave the street,
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cannot leave the yard, and cannot leave the neighborhood.
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And that obviously children become more independent as they get older,
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but the age at which they're allowed to go and to be able to do things is steadily climbed.
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Some of this is probably,
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you know, there's all this talk about anxious generation.
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A lot of this might be,
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you know, a surveillance, like with technology,
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just because people literally know like where you're going with what's
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that app called that all these families are using like life life 360.
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I think that's what it is.
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Yeah.
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It's like a tracker, which I get,
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you know, but in general,
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the lack of independence of the street,
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we were talking about with board games, critical thinking.
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I just think a lot of these formative experiences have dramatically declined over the last 20 years or so,
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even just compared to my childhood,
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which was already pretty embedded in the television culture,
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which was already dramatically different.
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There are trade-offs.
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It's a value neutral phenomenon,
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but you have to observe it and say,
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what's the impact here on the education system?
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Yeah.
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I think I'm just thinking this through in real time about the increased protection about what you're allowed to do.
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So I'll just say my nine-year-old,
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she's certainly allowed onto the house.
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But if she was going to go,
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I'm uncomfortable with her just going around the neighborhood,
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yourself at nine years old.
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And I'm worried about cars.
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Yeah, it should be.
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People don't pay attention.
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That's what I am fearful of.
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My 12-year-old is allowed to go around the neighborhood by himself.
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I want him to tell me before he leaves.
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But when he's got his phone with him,
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that's another thing is the nine-year-old doesn't have a phone.
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The 12-year-old does have a phone,
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so that's a difference as well.
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So that's the balance that I struck.
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When I was 9, 10,
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I lived in a much larger neighborhood,
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and I was allowed to go anywhere on my bike at any time.
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And so I know that it's different.
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And I'm not sure why there's a different level of comfort for me.
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And by the way, if my mom was watching my kids,
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she's putting even more limitations on them than I am,
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even though she raised me in a much more permissive way.
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So something about the culture and the mentality has changed.
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I think part of it is that there is just people have fewer kids.
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And so there's a lot more invested in these like fewer numbers of kids that people have.
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And you see that in everything.
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You see that in the number of activities and the amount of time that people spend.
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Even as women have entered the workforce in large numbers at this point,
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women spend more time spending time playing games with teaching their kids than they did in previous generations.
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So there's just like a lot invested in them.
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So it makes the stakes really high of like,
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I don't want anything to happen to them.
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So I think there also was a shift with like the crime wave panics of the 80s and 90s too.
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There was a lot of emphasis on local news about this kid getting kidnapped down at the blue.
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And I think that led to a lot more protective parenting as well.
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So it's a whole host of reasons why we've had this shift.
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But I try to push my own comfort zone with my kids doing things that are a little bit risky even,
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because I think it's important for kids to be able to
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manage their own risk levels without always having a parent jump
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and don't do that it's not safe blah blah blah
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but um there's no doubt
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that i raise my kids in a more restrictive way than i myself was raised yeah
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but you're already probably still out of step
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because most of these helicopter parents around like where i live
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and others nobody's gonna leave the house probably till like 13
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14 in terms of yeah i mean granted i live in a rural area right
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so it's also a little different see this is why where
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you live matters it really does i will tell you some of the parents
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that do the best job of this are like New York City because I know New York City parents where,
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you know, if you're a teenager,
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you're riding the bus in the subway around the city,
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you're going to school on your own on public transit from the time you're certainly in high school,
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even middle school.
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And I feel like there's a lot more independence baked into that culture.
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Yeah, that culture than there is in most of American life.
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Makes sense.
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Yeah.
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I remember when you meet like an 18-year-old New York kid,
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you're like, you're like 30, dude.
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Yeah, there's so much more,
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yeah, together and like self-sufficient than your average.
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Very true.
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There's a few other elements here.
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Oh, yeah.
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We wanted to put this up here.
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D6, we're always keeping an eye on other countries.
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What are they doing?
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This is an interesting one out of Israel.
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Benjamin Netanyahu has unveiled ...
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We're speaking of different systems.
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Their system, they have unveiled a sweeping summer AI initiative where students will be trained in GPT,
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cloud tech, and more before matriculation exams while also closing wartime gaps.
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The education minister says over a billion shekels will be invested,
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with July counted as a full but optional school month.
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And Bezal Smotrich is framing it as freeing parents to work while delivering real learning, not babysitting.
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So it's like a national Vision 2040 system where all of Israel's future will be shaped through AI and training in GPT.
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Not really what I would want to sign my kids up for over the summer.
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Sounds appropriately dystopian for that country.
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And then in terms of hours,
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there was this great bit from Tim Dillon.
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Let's put this here on the screen.
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You may have missed it.
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Melania Trump doing this event at the White House with the queen consort,
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Camilla, where children are all donning VR headsets for,
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quote, AI-powered cross-cultural educational program.
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Friggin' dystopian.
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Melania has been on this weird,
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like wanting to put AI in the school systems and like this is her thing this time around.
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And I, yeah, I don't know.
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No, thanks.
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Good on that.
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Thank you.
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I'm exiting.
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That's that.
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Those are the, if those start showing up in public schools,
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that's where I'm going to go private.
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That's why we need the ability.
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There is a line.
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If we need to.
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There is a line.
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That's my line for sure.
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Oh, you start to put GPT in a five-year-old's face?
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No, no, no, no, no. All right.
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on this vein.
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We've got a great guest standing by, Zach Exley.
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Let's get to him.
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