Shadowing-Übung: Gold Selloff is Starting... - Englisch Sprechen Lernen mit Video
Lektion wird erstellt...
1
Gold is rolling over here today, down about 1 % of the time of recording this video.
2
We've found resistance at the 4200 level and so far seem to be rejecting it nicely here.
3
But let's talk about whether or not this has sustained room to the downside, or if maybe we could see buyers step in and actually hold this new potential support area.
4
And in this video, I'll also be addressing a concept
5
that I've been seeing a lot of comments make on my YouTube videos
6
and my Twitter videos and all the things that I've been posting which is aren't central banks buying gold aggressively?
7
And shouldn't that mean that gold should be going up right now?
8
Well, we'll talk about that as well as both the short, mid and long term outlook that I think gold currently has in the here and now.
9
I do think that the downtrend persists, that sellers are in full control of the technical analysis here that we're looking at.
10
But I'll also acknowledge what could mean more bullishness potentially is ahead for
11
structure
12
but right now from a technical analysis perspective looking left gold
13
seems to be respecting at this time the 4200 an ounce
14
level i do have a short position open on gold with
15
a stop loss above this level in case i am wrong
16
of course gold potentially could bottom out here start to rally
17
and if it does i will cut the trade for a controlled small loss but why do i think that really simple.
18
The macro fundamentals still suggest bearishness in our summary.
19
We'll take a look at that just a bit.
20
But then also the technical analysis here from a four hour chart and daily chart still show a downtrend is intact.
21
And if there's one thing I've learned over all the years of doing this, I've been trading for nearly 10 years here at this point, don't fight the trend.
22
It is a simple concept that you learn in the first week of trading.
23
And it took me a long that has taken place in 2026 is very violent.
24
It's very aggressive and could continue in the here and now.
25
A lot of people are making the case, well, gold shouldn't go down because central banks are buying it.
26
But understand, central banks have been buying it for many years now,
27
but that doesn't mean that gold goes up every single day and cannot have pullbacks within the broader context.
28
In fact, if we're looking at the secular, you know, incredible uptrend that we've seen the that we could have a completely normal,
29
rational pullback to something like a 50 % retracement in coming weeks
30
and months in gold and still largely in a long -term perspective, continue to see prices rise.
31
Just because central banks are buying
32
or national debts are at record highs does not mean gold will go up every single day.
33
This is a common kind of conceptual misstep that a lot of gold pointed at me,
34
I am not a long -term gold bear that thinks this thing's going to zero.
35
I'm not like a perma bear by any means.
36
In fact, my best trade ever took place in December and January of 2026, where I was long riding with a trailing stop loss.
37
And once the market started to turn around, I was able to get out of there for my biggest winner ever.
38
So I've made a lot of money more so on the long side than on the short side.
39
But this year has been really good for shorts because the Are central banks buying gold quietly in the background?
40
Sure.
41
But does that mean we have to go up today, this week, next month, the next few months, all at the same time?
42
No. We could very well see this thing continue to drift
43
downwards for a couple months as the central banks just love the cheaper prices.
44
I mean, that just gets more gold for them in the long term.
45
you know several months a lot of people who are in
46
painful situations with gold trades may just have not really fully accepted
47
that maybe they chased something inappropriately with too much risk
48
or leverage and a lot of leverage gold traders really blew up on this pullback
49
and again I want to just say I'm not teasing those people
50
or trying to be harsh in any way markets are full
51
of painful lessons for me for you for everyone trading is not easy it's a really hard process
52
and all we are ever doing when I share my videos here all we're doing is traders is making educated guesses.
53
A lot of traders think they know what price is going to do, but intelligent traders know that they do not know what price is going to do.
54
It is usually the more ignorant, beginner, losing trader that thinks they know what price is going to do next,
55
whereas a more professional, experienced person in trading is going to acknowledge that they could be right, that they could be wrong,
56
and they're going to map out their scenarios for no matter what happens.
57
So if I am wrong on gold, if I think that we are going to continue to respect the downtrend
58
small loss and if we can start to make some grounds to the downside
59
if we start breaking through support levels one more once more
60
then what i'll do is i will manage my risk by taking my initial stop loss here
61
and starting to trail it into profit as i have done
62
several times in past gold trades this year i don't know
63
if gold's going to go lower i think it could
64
but i don't know and there is a very very big difference
65
and that is usually the fine line between profitable and profitable trading is not knowing what's going to happen.
66
Profitable trading is making an educated guess and managing your downside in case you're wrong.
67
In fact, in my experience from doing this for so long, usually if you can handle and manage your downside, the upside takes care of itself.
68
And at the time of recording this, the macro outlook for gold still overall looks bearish.
69
Our edge finder here is a tool that tracks a bunch of economic growth, inflation, jobs market data, as well as institutional activity through the commitment of traders,
70
crowd sentiment through market, seasonal trends, four hour chart trends, daily chart trends,
71
and it brings it all together to build a summarized report card for the underlying selected asset.
72
In this case, we're looking at gold, which has a bearish reading overall because macro fundamentals, commitment of traders data and sentiment readings,
73
and technical readings generally suggest bearishness, at least in the way the algorithm here for Edgefinder works.
74
And we've been bearish on Edgefinder for several months for this very reason.
75
Most of our metrics have been strong for the dollar has been relatively upbeat versus expectations,
76
putting upward pressure on the dollar and negative pressure on precious metals.
77
That is why, yes, long term, you can still be bullish national debt, central banks buying gold, etc. I get that story.
78
But you can also acknowledge that a uptick in jobs data or, for example, stronger than expected economic growth metrics strengthen the dollar
79
and that can cause gold to move lower for a couple months in the meantime.
80
In fact, if you're a real bull, you probably want gold to go down so that you can get it at cheaper prices.
81
By the way, if you don't have Edge Finder right now, here is your chance to get access for a huge discount that we're doing right now.
82
We're doing our summer sale, which gets you access to all the tools, all the features, track commitment of traders, data, macroeconomic figures, crowd sentiment, and more with one platform within Edge Finder.
83
If you don't have access to it and you would like to take advantage of this discount while it lasts, here's how you can do it.
84
Down below in the description, there's a bunch of information about signing up for the tool while the discount is still live.
85
You can get, like I said, 40 % off.
86
Scan the QR code
87
that you see on your screen right now to connect to
88
a real person on my staff who can set you up
89
with a discounted payment plan to spread the cost out over a few months.
90
If you're serious about macro fundamentals but need the right tools to actually track them,
91
that is why my company A1 Trading specializes in building these sorts of dashboards for serious macro traders.
92
I also wanted to show you guys something in terms of net options flow on gold.
93
I thought this was really interesting and I think that we should continue to closely watch this.
94
surrounding gold here has gone from very, very crowded on the bearish side to suddenly getting crowded on the bullish side.
95
And this to me is a really nice contrarian signal.
96
When everybody is sort of fresh to or rushing to be bullish on gold all at once,
97
I typically look at that as more of a contrarian bearish signal.
98
You can see a lot of times when things get extreme,
99
the crowd sentiment that oftentimes can produce a contrarian reversal signal.
100
So as crowd sentiment is getting really bullish on gold, that makes me more interested in potentially staying on the short side for the here and now.
101
Check out the put call ratio.
102
This is also showing a lot of call volume for gold recently, which again kind of confirms, okay, crowd sentiment is chasing the long side.
103
I may want to hover a little bit more on the bearish side.
104
That's at least how I use our crowd sentiment tools.
105
I primarily use them as contrarian signals.
106
Now, for those of you guys who really like the and I know there's a lot of you.
107
Our COT data tools, we had a lot of people asking, hey, why haven't they updated?
108
It is because of the 4th of July holiday.
109
It pushed back the report date for the commitment of traders day by one day.
110
That data will be coming in the next few days.
111
So take advantage of the COT report when it comes out.
112
We'll get a closer view of what institutional money has been doing with gold,
113
silver, NASDAQ, US dollar, etc. The new COT velocity charts may on assets that you care about.
114
Taking a bigger picture look at the COT data history for gold, however, you can see that institutions are still very parked on the long side as of, you know, the latest report.
115
But I'm curious to see tonight where the COT report comes in at.
116
Of course, if there is a drastic change to gold positioning or NASDAQ positioning, you'll be able to see it under the COT data history chart,
117
which is really nice because it gives you kind of this rolling asset.
118
Today's video is sponsored by Ola Prime
119
and I wanted to share a few of the things that they offer to their traders.
120
They recently had an audit done by Deloitte and came out with payouts that averaged under one hour.
121
They also offer up to a 95 % profit split.
122
They offer direct and challenge accounts.
123
And for the swing traders out there, who I know is a lot of my audience, they do allow holding through news events as well as over the weekend.
124
They also offer one of the
125
platforms out there for traders so you can choose the platform that you like to trade best.
126
It's also worth mentioning that they offer both futures, Forex and CFDs, and so much more.
127
And finally, one of the most attractive offers that Ola Prime has is that their prices are very, very low relative to competitors in the space.
128
And when I say low prices, I mean it.
129
Check this out.
130
103 bucks for a challenge on a 25k one -step Prime challenge.
131
And if you choose the two -step option instead, they offer several different account sizes, et cetera.
132
And these are all simulated trading capital.
133
So there's no real risk to capital at stake.
134
And you put down just a small amount of money for the potential to get real payouts.
135
And with our referral link and promo code that you can see on the screen right now, that A1 trading, you can actually get 35 % off any of their challenges.
136
So if you're interested in exploring Ola Prime further and seeing if it's the right firm for you
137
promo code A1TRADING for 35 % off.
138
Thank you again to Ola Prime for sponsoring today's video, and now back to the content.
139
Let's also now take a look at the DXY.
140
This is the dollar index, which is generally still in a constructive upward trend.
141
We did retest this 100 .5.
142
Well, actually, it technically came in at 100 .6, but close enough.
143
We did nail this level and found support very quickly off of it.
144
I'm very curious to see this week if we can follow through following this move here.
145
But to the credit of the bulls, we had a very nice response from this level and actually a bit of a, you know, kind of lower timeframes around that area.
146
Here's the 15 minute chart where the dollar dropped hard, found buyers, and then came back to that general area, found buyers again.
147
But why is the dollar so strong against peers?
148
Well, one way to compare the dollar versus other currencies is to look at the edge finders economic surprise index.
149
This is a pretty powerful short term fundamental indicator for traders.
150
Check this out.
151
The economic surprise index scores from zero to 100 and it measures the economic growth metrics,
152
etc. And what this thing does, it looks at what percentage of those metrics are beating estimates or what percentage of those are missing estimates.
153
The higher the score, the more the currency underneath is beating expectations.
154
So the way to read this would be the US dollar, the Japanese yen, the Swiss franc, and the Canadian dollar have been beating expectations here recently, whereas things like the Australian dollar,
155
the Kiwi dollar, British pound is a little bit more.
156
These ones are a little bit more neutral, but specifically like the Australian dollar has been missing expectations.
157
You can actually break these things out into more detail under our economic heat maps.
158
So here's the US, for example, where we can look at a whole bunch of economic metrics to get a general idea of whether these things are beating,
159
missing, or exceeding expectations, etc. So in this case, you can see the US dollar,
160
for example, is beating take a look at Australia's, for example, here is a little bit softer of a print.
161
And we can also compare a lot of different currencies here.
162
I'll add some minor currency pairs as well, all at the same time here with the top setups page here.
163
Now, what we'll see here is that we have a lot of different currency pairs that are looking very neutral right now.
164
What that means is that across our metrics, they are not really showing a clear, decisive directional bias.
165
bullish or bearish reading within Edgefinder.
166
If something is getting a plus five, that means that most of the metrics are suggesting bullishness for the underlying.
167
And if something is getting a minus five or lower, it suggests bearishness based on the metrics that we study here within Edgefinder.
168
So the way to read this would be things like pound yen, cad yen, Swiss yen, pound Aussie.
169
These things are getting bullish readings overall.
170
And if you flip the score around, here are some bearish reading currency pairs right now.
171
And because we mentioned pound yen as an example, breaking to fresh highs here on this one,
172
and it has been a really nice overall upward trend for pound yen the last few months.
173
To potentially craft an idea here, I could be looking at something like a break and retest idea if my strategy allowed for it.
174
But because we were talking about the dollar, let's also take a look at our asset scorecard for the US dollar specifically.
175
Most of our metrics here, fundamentally, sentiment, COT, and technicals are reversing the idea of gold, which is bearish.
176
Dollar is getting a bullish reading.
177
Let's also take a look at what's with oil prices, which have collapsed back down to pre -war levels.
178
We're trading below $70 a barrel, and this is definitely helpful for the inflation story.
179
The question is, does oil stay down here?
180
Do things stay tame in the Middle East?
181
It does seem like right now that is the base case, is that things are resolving slowly but surely over there.
182
So as long as that continues to be the story, it is hard to see, in my view, a very sharp rise for oil from here.
183
But again, with geopolitics, know and something could change drastically all of a sudden.
184
That being said, geopolitical risk is back on the rise here, at least according to our risk tracker.
185
Check this out.
186
There's still stuff going on between Russia and Ukraine and the Gulf markets slip as US -Iran talks stall.
187
There's also the ever persistent worry about Taiwan and China getting into things.
188
And so there are many potential catalysts that could be problematic for oil.
189
While there's a lot of oil supply coming onto the market, that's why a lot of the bears would say this thing should keep going lower.
190
The certain tensions around the corner for stuff.
191
Clearly, we've seen that in 2026.
192
They can come out of nowhere and be very, very aggressive.
193
The oil price can double really quickly like that.
194
Who's to say that the lower this thing goes, there are still some ideas of, hey, this potential geopolitical event could erupt.
195
And then there's people out there who are probably wanting to just be long oil for that possibility.
196
For me, though, that's not really how I trade.
197
I do like to trend prediction of that sort of thing taking place.
198
But I do think that it exists in the oil market right now.
199
And stocks are continuing their slow and steady climb higher here.
200
The S &P 500 is just shy of all time highs once more.
201
I do generally think that stocks can continue to see upside for the rest of this year unless, of course, there's some sort of new catalyst.
202
But I do prefer pullbacks in terms of ideas if we do get them on stocks.
203
I'm watching, you know, pull back into like the 7250 go to my readings here with an edge finder.
204
We can just pull this up for asset scorecard and we go to S &P 500.
205
It's kind of getting a neutral reading for now.
206
Technicals look pretty solid, but fundamentals are a bit mixed with higher inflation.
207
The jobs market does look healthy and economic growth looks pretty good, but kind of some mixed signals on the fundamental macro side.
208
The big one to watch, I would say, would be CPI.
209
As this number comes in, if this number comes in softer than confirm this cooling inflation theory that is going around, that would be really positive for stocks,
210
I think, and could potentially be a catalyst for fresh all -time highs.
211
Trading fundamentals can be a lot of hard work, but we actually made a pretty cool free Telegram channel where
212
we are publishing constantly updates on what is going on from a macro fundamentals perspective.
213
And no, it's not AI.
214
It's not written by a robot.
215
It's written by a real person on our team.
216
His name gold, currency pairs,
217
commodities, indices, et cetera, on a global financial fundamental analysis basis.
218
It's a really cool newsletter where you can basically stay on top of things by reading for like a minute per day.
219
If that would be interesting to you to join the free Telegram channel, there is a link in the description down below on this video that you can join and get into the action there.
220
We also offer special discount perks for our products, as well as for funded accounts and for some giveaways as well.
221
So definitely take a second to join the Telegram channel in the description down below.
222
I also want to take a second to just genuinely thank you for supporting my content here.
223
Make sure to subscribe and hit the thumbs up button if you have not already.
224
And I do hope that more videos in the future will continue to help you on your trading journey.
225
Good luck.
226
Thanks for watching.
📺 Gleicher Kanal
C12
Hola Prime Payouts were Audited by Deloitte...
Business EnglishWorking Adults
C1I'm Shorting.
Business EnglishWorking Adults
B21
Did the Ai Bubble just Pop?
Business EnglishUniversity StudentsWorking Adults
C12
How to Trade Risk on vs. Risk Off: Macro Environments Explained
Business EnglishUniversity StudentsWorking Adults
✨ Empfohlenes Video
C11
294 Sätze
Gold: Dubious Speculation
Business EnglishUniversity StudentsWorking Adults
C14
203 Sätze
It Only Takes 1 Good Trade...
Business EnglishUniversity StudentsWorking Adults
C11
583 Sätze
ULTIMATE Supply and Demand Masterclass (Beginner to Pro)
Business EnglishUniversity StudentsWorking Adults
B2254 Sätze
Trump PANICS As US Military RUNS OUT OF MONEY!! | The Kyle Kulinski Show
Business EnglishDaily ConversationUniversity Students
C1162 Sätze
Forward Guidance: A Stronger Canada
Business EnglishDaily ConversationUniversity Students
C15
413 Sätze
A Once in a Lifetime Financial Reset is Coming. (Why Gold is Next)
Business EnglishUniversity StudentsWorking Adults
C13
444 Sätze
Here's what's REALLY Happening...
Business EnglishUniversity StudentsWorking Adults
C14
51 Sätze
The Reasons for the Bull Market to Resume
Business EnglishUniversity StudentsWorking Adults
C1411 Sätze
Trade Liquidity Like the Pros: Stop Guessing Entries With Inducement and Market Structure
Business EnglishUniversity StudentsWorking Adults
B21
3 Sätze
Powerful XAUUSD Gold Trading Strategy
Business EnglishWorking Adults
Über diese Lektion
In dieser Lektion wirst du lernen, wie man über wirtschaftliche Entwicklungen spricht, insbesondere über den Goldmarkt und die Rolle der Zentralbanken. Du wirst dich mit technischen Analysen, Trendidentifikation und den emotionalen Aspekten des Handelns auseinandersetzen. Das Video bietet nicht nur interessante Einblicke in die Marktbewegungen, sondern auch nützliche Sprachstrukturen, die dir helfen werden, deine Englischkenntnisse zu verbessern. Durch das Nachahmen der Redewendungen kannst du deine Sprachfertigkeit durch shadowspeaks weiterentwickeln.
Wichtige Vokabeln & Phrasen
- Goldverkauf - Gold selloff
- Widerstand - resistance
- Technische Analyse - technical analysis
- Abwärtstrend - downtrend
- Zentralbanken - central banks
- Marktbewegungen - market movements
- Unterstützungsniveau - support area
- Risikomanagement - risk management
Übungstipps
Um das Gelernte aus dem Video effektiv zu üben, empfehle ich dir, die shadow speech Technik anzuwenden. Höre das Video mehrmals und achte auf Geschwindigkeit und Tonfall des Sprechers. Versuche, gleichzeitig mit ihm zu sprechen, wobei du darauf achtest, deine Aussprache und Intonation anzupassen. Nutze die Pausen im Video, um deine eigenen Gedanken zu formulieren und sie laut auszusprechen. Dies wird dir helfen, dein shadowspeak zu verbessern und ein besseres Gefühl für die Sprache zu bekommen.
Zusätzlich kannst du dir Notizen zu spezifischen Marktbegriffen machen, die im Video erwähnt werden. Versuche, diese in eigenen Sätzen zu verwenden, um dein Verständnis zu vertiefen. Engagiere dich aktiv mit dem Inhalt, indem du darüber nachdenkst, wie die diskutierten Konzepte in dein eigenes Leben oder deine Interessen passen. Auf diese Weise kannst du nicht nur dein Englisch verbessern, sondern auch dein Wissen über Finanzmärkte erweitern – eine hervorragende Kombination für Englisch lernen mit YouTube.
Grammatik in diesem Video
Die Strukturen, die der Sprecher am häufigsten verwendet, mit den genauen Worten aus dem Video:
| Struktur | Im Video |
|---|---|
| Present Perfect Continuous have/has been + -ing – eine Handlung, die früher begann und noch andauert | I've been seeing · I've been posting · I've been trading |
| Bedingungssätze if + Satz, will/would + Verb – eine Bedingung und ihre Folge | if it does i will cut |
| Present Perfect have/has + Partizip Perfekt – eine vergangene Handlung, die jetzt noch wichtig ist | We've found · has sustained · I've learned |
| Relativsätze who / which + Satz – eine Zusatzinformation über eine Person oder Sache | posting which is · people who are · gold, which has |
Was ist die Shadowing-Technik?
Shadowing ist eine wissenschaftlich fundierte Sprachlerntechnik, die ursprünglich für die professionelle Dolmetscherausbildung entwickelt und durch den Polyglotten Dr. Alexander Arguelles populär gemacht wurde. Die Methode ist einfach aber wirkungsvoll: Du hörst englisches Audio von Muttersprachlern und wiederholst es sofort laut — wie ein Schatten, der dem Sprecher mit nur 1–2 Sekunden Verzögerung folgt. Anders als passives Hören oder Grammatikübungen zwingt Shadowing dein Gehirn und deine Mundmuskulatur, gleichzeitig echte Sprachmuster zu verarbeiten und zu reproduzieren. Studien zeigen, dass es Aussprachegenauigkeit, Intonation, Rhythmus, verbundene Sprache, Hörverständnis und Sprechflüssigkeit signifikant verbessert — was es zu einer der effektivsten Methoden für die IELTS Speaking-Vorbereitung und reale englische Kommunikation macht.