Shadowing-Übung: Professor Jiang Predicts: US WILL LOSE Iran War - Englisch Sprechen Lernen mit YouTube

All right, guys, we've got yet another heavy hitter guest and first time guest on the show, Professor Zhang.

⏸ Pausiert

Geschwindigkeit:

261 Sätze

Wenn Sätze zu kurz oder zu lang sind, klicke auf Edit, um sie anzupassen.

All right, guys, we've got yet another heavy hitter guest and first time guest on the show, Professor Zhang.

He is the star of the popular YouTube channel, Predictive History.

He uses game theory to analyze past,

current, and to predict future geopolitical events.

And he joins us now.

Professor, great to have you.

Good to see you, sir.

Thanks for inviting me.

Yeah, of course.

So, you know, for people who aren't familiar with your work,

I wanted to show folks that back in 2024,

you made three big predictions.

One, that Trump would win.

Two, that he would start a war with Iran.

And three, that the U.S would lose that war.

Let's take a listen to that.

In this class, this semester,

I'm making three big predictions, right?

First is that Trump will win in November.

Second is that the United States will go to war against Iran.

And the third big prediction is that the United States will lose this war,

which will forever change the global order.

So obviously, that last one is the only one that has not yet come to fruition is quite a stunning prediction.

Do you stand by it?

And what have you seen so far that leads you to sort of stand firm in that conclusion?

So, given my analysis of how the war is progressing,

I think that Iran has many more advantages over the United States.

The reality is that right now,

it's a war of attrition between the United States and Iran,

and the Iranians have been preparing 20 years for this conflict.

In their eschatology, in their religion,

this is a war against the great Satan.

They've had many practice runs.

Last June was a 12-day war when the Iranians were able to examine

and analyze the strike capacities of both the Israelis and the Americans.

And they've had a lot of time,

eight months, to prepare fully for this new attack.

They, through their proxies, the Hufis,

Hezbollah, Hamas, and the Shia militias,

have been able to really grasp the American mentality.

And now they have a pretty good strategy of how to weaken and ultimately destroy the American empire.

So what the Iranians are doing is they're waging war against the entire global economy.

And so they are striking the GCC countries.

And not only are they striking GCC countries,

American bases, they're going after the critical energy infrastructure of these bases.

They've blocked off the tropical moves.

And eventually they will go after the water desalination plants,

which is the lifeblood of these nations because they don't have fresh water supply.

In fact, the water desalination plant provides 60% of the GCC's water supply.

So if a drone, and these drones cost $50,000,

if they wiped out a desalination plant in Riyadh,

Saudi Arabia, and it's a city of 10 million people,

right, they'd be out of water in two weeks.

In two weeks.

And right now the Iranians have de facto closed off the Shreve Hormuz

and the GCC gets 90% of its food from the Shreve Hormuz.

So I know a lot of people are talking about the disruptions to the global economy,

but right now the Iranians are actually threatening the very existence of Saudi Arabia, UAE, Bahrain, Qatar.

And why this is important is that the Gulf States are really the linchpin of the American economy.

So what they do is they sell petrodollars

and then they recycle the petrodollars back into the American economy through the investments in the stock market.

And right now we know that the entire global,

the entire American economy is propped up by AI investments data centers.

And a lot of that comes from the Gulf states.

So if the Gulf states are no longer able to sell oil,

and they're no longer able to finance AI,

this AI bubble in the United States,

then AI will burst, and with it,

will burst as well as the entire American economy,

which is really a financial policy scheme.

So that's a dire situation that the Americans are facing right now.

Yeah, I mean, to your point,

sir, an Amazon data center was literally hit in the UAE.

And now, of course, big tech companies,

which we're looking at the UAE as a major potential data center investment hub with cheap and abundant energy,

probably going to be rethinking that.

We also want to talk to you about munitions.

We can put this next one up here on the screen.

The United States is racing to accomplish Iran mission before munitions run out.

This is specifically around interceptor math.

There's a famous video just from yesterday in Israel,

which shows a single Iranian ballistic missile,

which is being targeted by some 11 different interceptors, all of which miss.

Most of those come from the United States,

not to mention all of the different bases,

the GCC countries that you just talked about,

and the asymmetry of the cost.

It's a million dollar for a missile,

tens of millions per interceptor in some of these cases.

With these munitions running out,

how does that change the global picture?

So here in China, obviously,

much of the stocks in Asia of the United States are likely to have to be cannibalized

if this were to go on.

How is that going to affect the global picture here?

Right.

So my first point is that the United States military is not designed to fight a 21st century war.

Remember that the military industrial complex came to being after World War II and was designed to fight the Cold War.

And the Cold War was really about muscle flexing,

100

about who was able to send people up into space,

101

was able to, who was the first get the person on the moon,

102

who had the more complex missile systems.

103

And so the entire American military strategy revolves around very sophisticated technology that costs a lot of money to build.

104

And that's what the American air defense system is,

105

is basically, and that's why we're seeing this asymmetry,

106

as you point out in this war,

107

where you have these million dollar missiles trying to take out these $50,000 drones,

108

and it's not sustainable in the long term.

109

And so what we're seeing is really the puncturing of the aura of invincibility

110

and inviability that sustained American hegemony for the past 20 years,

111

especially after the collapse of the Soviet Union.

112

And this is really a reordering,

113

not just a global economy,

114

because this signals the collapse of the petrodollar and with it,

115

the entire US dollar-based reserve currency system,

116

but also the global hegemony of the United States.

117

We're moving towards a multipolar world.

118

Professor, this morning, Secretary of War,

119

Pete Hegseth, was asked a question about potential ground troops in Iran.

120

He refused to rule out that possibility.

121

And he said, you know,

122

oh, well, we're not gonna project to you what we will or will not do,

123

what we don't want to rule anything out,

124

we will do what it takes.

125

Do you think

126

that America will end up invading Iran from the ground since

127

it's already becoming relatively clear they won't be able to accomplish the goal of regime change

128

or even regime collapse using just air power alone?

129

Right.

130

So everyone says that the worst calamity

131

that could happen in the United States is if it were to send ground troops into Iran.

132

At the same time, the United States are committed to regime change in Iran.

133

We've never had a

134

precedent in history where you were able to regime change from the air alone you need ground troops

135

and so unfortunately what's going to happen over the next few months is

136

that uh pressure will build on america to send ground troops especially from the gcc countries

137

and from israel which are being pounded right now by uh the iranians

138

so remember that if the gcc country saudi arabia uh qatar uae Iran,

139

if they go, then the petrodollar goes with them.

140

So the Americans need to protect these countries.

141

And these countries are going to demand that either the Americans bribe the Iranians to seize,

142

and this is like $5, $20 in indemnity,

143

okay, or send ground troops to wipe out the Iranian threat once and for all.

144

And I know that there's no political will for ground troops to be used against Iran among the American people.

145

Remember that 70-80% of American people was against initial strikes against Iran in the first place.

146

Right.

147

And one of the things that really comes into question,

148

I think, with all of this,

149

sir, when we're looking at the geopolitical picture

150

and the sacrificing in much of this from the United States

151

on behalf of Israel is kind of a question as to who and what wanted this.

152

We were actually curious for your view on a disputed report here from The Washington Post.

153

We can put it up here on the screen.

154

F3, a push from the Saudis.

155

Israel helped move Trump to attack Iran.

156

Now, this has been internally disputed by Saudi Arabia,

157

saying that they did not push the Trump administration to attack Iran.

158

However, this is clearly an authorized leak from our own government

159

trying to at least lay some of the blame on behalf of the GCC.

160

What do you make of this analysis and of this narrative

161

that Saudi Arabia was also trying to be behind this push to bomb Iran?

162

So I've always argued that both Saudi Arabia and Israel are heavily invested in regime change in Iran.

163

In fact, Saudi Arabia sees Iran as much more of an existential crisis than Israel.

164

Because remember, Israel still has nuclear weapons and Israel is a very diverse,

165

very sophisticated economy, whereas Saudi Arabia is completely reliant on oil.

166

And it's always had problems with Iran because Iran is a theocracy opposed to the Saudi monarchy,

167

Iran funds and equips the Houthis,

168

which have been antagonistic towards Saudi Arabia for the longest time.

169

And right now, the Saudi economy is suffering.

170

It's been trying to pivot towards more of a tourist economy.

171

That's why they brought in Renato.

172

That's why they're switching to e-gaming.

173

That's why they're building something called a line, Neom.

174

And all these things are not working out.

175

So they need to be able to control the oil resources of the entire Middle East

176

if they are to survive and thrive as a nation.

177

So I do believe that this reporting is credible,

178

even though it does make Saudi Arabia look bad.

179

But remember, Saudi Arabia says that they wanted peace,

180

but they are helping the Israelis and Americans attack Iran right now

181

because they're allowing the Air Force Reliefs and Americans to use Saudi airspace.

182

So help us understand, because it still feels to me like there are some pieces that don't totally add up.

183

You had in advance of this war on Iran,

184

you had top military brass up to the chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff saying,

185

this is a really bad idea.

186

You know, we are not ready for this.

187

You know, all the math on the interceptors that's been talked about for months at this point.

188

And yet Trump still decided to go ahead.

189

What is the calculus that he was making here that led him to take what,

190

you know, already appears to be catastrophic actions?

191

Right.

192

Okay.

193

So this is the key question.

194

Why do they do this?

195

I think there are three possibilities.

196

Okay.

197

And I think all three possibilities are valid.

198

The first is that of hubris.

199

You look at history, this is how empires behave.

200

So the Mindoro kidnapping was quick,

201

successful, and it was adrenaline rush for Trump.

202

And that made him overconfident in the capacity of the American military.

203

So hubris is a factor.

204

And we see this throughout history.

205

Why did Hitler invade Stalin?

206

Because he conquered Europe really easily and he thought he was invincible.

207

And that led to the destruction of the German army in the Soviet Union.

208

So hubris is a factor,

209

then you have to look at internal political calculus,

210

where even though America does not benefit from this war against Iran,

211

Trump himself personally benefits.

212

Why?

213

Because the Saudis and Israelis are bribing him to attack Iran.

214

Remember that the Saudis invested $2 billion in the private equity fund of Jared Kushner,

215

who is the son-in-law of Donald Trump,

216

and the Israelis through Mayor Adelson have been financing Trump's political career, right?

217

So Mayor Adelson a few months back said that she will put up $20 million if Trump were to run a third term.

218

So Trump is getting a lot of financial and political support from the Saudis and Israelis.

219

Also remember that if this war goes sideways and Trump is forced to use ground troops,

220

he will probably get approved from Congress,

221

and this will give him emergency war powers,

222

which will allow him to influence the midterms.

223

So Trump is thinking about a third term.

224

And I think at the public box,

225

he probably won't get it.

226

But if there's a war going on,

227

and you can delay elections,

228

and you have emergency war powers,

229

and people rally around the flag,

230

then he probably will get a third term.

231

And the last factor that is very important is the eschatological factor where

232

if you look at the epson files it's clear

233

that we are run by secret societies it's clear

234

that the world is run by these uh individuals who have

235

a lot of power we don't know who they are

236

but they control the military they control the national security apparatus

237

and these people we we there are different names for these people uh you can call them the illuminati

238

and the illuminati are composed of three major groups okay you have the jesuits who control the Vatican.

239

You have the Sepertine Frankists,

240

which control the modern state of Israel today.

241

You have the Freemasons, which control the national security apparatus of the United States.

242

And they believe that Israel,

243

this one Middle East, is key to the end times in creating heaven on earth.

244

So it's almost like a script that they're following,

245

even though it doesn't make any duplicity sense.

246

Okay.

247

So I would say that these three are the best reasons why this is happening.

248

Wow.

249

Well, sir, I hope you come back.

250

This was very informative, I think, for both of us.

251

We deeply appreciate your time.

252

Thank you.

253

Thank you.

254

Hey, if you like that video,

255

hit the like button or leave a comment below.

256

It really helps get the show to more people.

257

And if you'd like to get the full show ad free and in your inbox every morning,

258

you can sign up at breakingpoints.com.

259

That's right.

260

Get the full show.

261

Help support the future of independent media at breakingpoints.com.

TRENDING

Beliebt

Was ist die Shadowing-Technik?

Shadowing ist eine wissenschaftlich fundierte Sprachlerntechnik, die ursprünglich für die professionelle Dolmetscherausbildung entwickelt und durch den Polyglotten Dr. Alexander Arguelles populär gemacht wurde. Die Methode ist einfach aber wirkungsvoll: Du hörst englisches Audio von Muttersprachlern und wiederholst es sofort laut — wie ein Schatten, der dem Sprecher mit nur 1–2 Sekunden Verzögerung folgt. Anders als passives Hören oder Grammatikübungen zwingt Shadowing dein Gehirn und deine Mundmuskulatur, gleichzeitig echte Sprachmuster zu verarbeiten und zu reproduzieren. Studien zeigen, dass es Aussprachegenauigkeit, Intonation, Rhythmus, verbundene Sprache, Hörverständnis und Sprechflüssigkeit signifikant verbessert — was es zu einer der effektivsten Methoden für die IELTS Speaking-Vorbereitung und reale englische Kommunikation macht.

☕ Kauf uns einen Kaffee

ShadowingEnglish bleibt 100% kostenlos dank deiner Unterstützung. Server- und KI-Kosten sind hoch — dein Kaffee hält uns am Laufen! 🙏

Über PayPal spenden

ShadowingEnglish.com – Englisch-Shadowing-Übung

Sprich fließend Englisch mit der Shadowing-Technik. Höre nativen YouTube-Videos zu, wiederhole Satz für Satz und baue echte Aussprache und Sprachflüssigkeit auf — weltweit von IELTS-Lernenden genutzt.

Shadowing-Übung: Professor Jiang Predicts: US WILL LOSE Iran War - Englisch Sprechen Lernen mit YouTube

Beliebt

Warum mit diesem Video sprechen üben?

Grammatik & Ausdrücke im Kontext

Gemeinsame Aussprachefallen

Was ist die Shadowing-Technik?

Shadowing-Übung: Professor Jiang Predicts: US WILL LOSE Iran War - Englisch Sprechen Lernen mit YouTube

App herunterladen

Warum mit diesem Video sprechen üben?

Grammatik & Ausdrücke im Kontext

Gemeinsame Aussprachefallen

Was ist die Shadowing-Technik?