Prática de Shadowing: What the Chessboard for WW3 Looks Like - Prof. Jiang Xueqin - Aprenda a falar inglês com o YouTube
C2
We have seven more classes left in the semester.
202 frases
Se as frases estiverem muito curtas ou longas, clique em Edit para ajustá-las.
1
We have seven more classes left in the semester.
2
And what I want to do in these last seven classes is look at the game theory of World War III.
3
So what I want to do in this class is just introduce the chessboard,
4
or the players, and how the game will be played over the next five to ten years.
5
So the two major players in World War III are the United States and Russia.
6
And right now, they are fighting a proxy war in the Middle East between Israel and Iran.
7
Where the United States obviously supports Israel, Russia supports Iran.
8
And what's going to happen is that this war in the Middle East,
9
it's going to spread out and it will engulf the entire world.
10
So what I want to do today is look at the individual players,
11
USA, Israel, Iran, and Russia,
12
and explain to you who they are and how they will play this game.
13
And once we understand their strategy,
14
then it's going to be pretty easy for us to make certain predictions about how they will behave.
15
So that's the first thing that I want to point out.
16
The other thing that I'll point out is that there's a lot of people who believe that peace can be achieved.
17
this war is a temporary thing and that once Donald Trump leaves office,
18
once the United States divorces Israel,
19
then peace will come to the world.
20
And that's not true.
21
Because on one hand, what's driving this World War III is a conflict between these four nations.
22
But on the other hand,
23
the other force that's driving this conflict is the internal tensions within these countries.
24
So before, we looked at the idea of elite overproduction.
25
And so the idea is that the elite are parasites that collect rent from the people.
26
And so whoever who's in the elite can exploit other people.
27
So there's competition to join the elite.
28
And when you have too many people who are trying to join the elite,
29
this creates internal conflict.
30
And this is what's happening throughout the world today.
31
So World War III, it's not just being driven by the disparities between these four nations.
32
It's really being driven by internal politics within these countries, okay?
33
So let me put this in a very simple way.
34
Right now, the people who run the world are transnational capital.
35
Okay?
36
And a very simple way of saying this is that if you're a rich person in Russia,
37
you're incentivized to work with rich people in Iran,
38
Israel, and the United States.
39
And as a result, for the longest time,
40
we've been able to achieve global peace and prosperity.
41
But because they only get richer and richer,
42
more powerful, this causes resentment among other elite forces in these countries.
43
And so there are three major forces that oppose transnational capital within these four countries.
44
So let's just list them.
45
The first is of course nationalism.
46
There are people like Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin who believe that it's important to put their nation first.
47
That globalism is hurting their own people and their own nation.
48
So that's one force that opposes transnational capital.
49
Another force that opposes transnational capital is religion or orthodoxy.
50
Why?
51
Because capital believes that money is God.
52
It is Godless, it is secular.
53
And it tries to create a multicultural,
54
secular society in order to allow capital to pass through society easily.
55
That also allows capital to control and dominate society.
56
So religion is opposed to transnational capital as well.
57
And the last force that's opposed to transnational capital is artificial intelligence, okay?
58
AI.
59
Why?
60
Because right now, money is what structures society.
61
And artificial intelligence wants to replace money as a force that structures and centers society.
62
Okay?
63
So, in other words, what's happening is that there's a civil war going on in the world where right now,
64
transnational capital is dominant and transnational capital is represented by Wall Street and City of London.
65
And there are these three forces,
66
nationalism, religion, and technology that oppose transnational capital.
67
So what's gonna happen over time is that they will form an alliance to defeat transnational capital.
68
And so this is already happening in America where these three forces come together and they support Donald Trump.
69
And so what drives a lot of Donald Trump's policies is to help his alliance ultimately defeat transnational capital, okay?
70
That's something that we'll discuss for the rest of the semester.
71
So another thing that I'll point out is this.
72
Okay, internally there is a civil war going on,
73
but externally as well, there are forces that drive these nations to war.
74
And this is basically environmental collapse.
75
So for the past few decades,
76
we humans have been very lucky in that there have been no major ecological disasters.
77
But if you look at human history, weather patterns fluctuate.
78
So many speculate that we are heading towards a time of extreme weather patterns.
79
That means that it becomes harder to grow food.
80
It means it's harder to access energy.
81
And so this is going to put strain on the world.
82
And so the world needs to compete for precious resources.
83
And quite honestly, we are going to probably approach a time in human history when famine It will be much more common.
84
We thought that we defeated famine.
85
We thought that we had developed a system that could feed anyone and everyone.
86
But over the next few years,
87
we'll discover an increase in famine around the world and an increase in ecological disasters around the world.
88
So this is the schematic that I want you to understand.
89
In World War III, there will be four major players,
90
the United States, Israel, Iran,
91
and Russia, and they are competing for global dominance.
92
No one will win, but the conflict among these four nations will drive geopolitics for the next five to 10 years.
93
This conflict is driven not just by disputes among these countries,
94
it's mainly driven by internal civil discord within these countries.
95
The two forces are the transnational capital versus a coalition of nationalist,
96
religious people, as well as tech people, okay?
97
And they have their champions.
98
So in America, they have Trump.
99
Trump's national capital is represented by Carney, Mark Carney.
100
We'll talk more about him later, okay?
101
Mark Carney is currently the Prime Minister of Canada.
102
Okay, so they have their different champions,
103
and they're gonna fight this war.
104
Now, one question that you're gonna have,
105
which is the most obvious question is,
106
yeah, but what about everyone else, right?
107
What about China?
108
What about India?
109
What about Brazil?
110
What about South Africa?
111
And yes, it is true,
112
oh sorry, and what about Europe?
113
And Japan, right?
114
And then South Korea.
115
And while it is true that these are major economies with a lot of people,
116
and it is true that they could in theory have great militaries.
117
I will show you what makes these four nations distinct,
118
USA, Israel, Iran, and Russia.
119
What makes them distinct is that they have a grand strategy that allows them to mobilize their population for total war.
120
That's what makes them distinct, okay?
121
I'll show you this later on.
122
So let me explain to you how this dynamic will play out.
123
So you have US, A, Russia, Iran, Israel.
124
So the major players that will determine how these four play the games are of course Europe,
125
China, Japan, India.
126
Okay, alright, so I understand that a lot of people believe
127
that China and the United States are in competition with each other.
128
That is not true.
129
The reason why is that China does not have what we call a grand strategy.
130
A grand strategy is just how you perceive geopolitics and how you want to dominate geopolitics.
131
China does not do grand strategy.
132
China is called 中国.
133
Okay?
134
中国 means the middle kingdom.
135
The idea of the Middle Kingdom is that we are a universe onto ourselves.
136
We don't care what happens outside of this universe.
137
We would like others to pay tribute to our cultural superiority and we could help develop your other civilizations,
138
but honestly, we don't care.
139
So China has always been an isolationist society for most of its history.
140
Today yes, I understand for these past few decades China has become much more globalized,
141
has become much more international,
142
much more cosmopolitan, but this is not part of the Chinese tradition.
143
So what's happening today, these past few decades, it is an aberration.
144
It goes against cultural norms in China.
145
But in the long term,
146
China will return to its cultural norms and become much more isolationist.
147
So China doesn't really matter in the great scheme of things, okay?
148
The same is true for India as well.
149
All right, so I know India and China have a lot of people,
150
but historically they have not really mattered in geopolitics.
151
And that's to do with their cultural values and norms.
152
Okay?
153
Does that make sense?
154
Alright.
155
So, there are right now three major battlefields in the world.
156
The first, obviously, is Ukraine,
157
where NATO and Russia are fighting each other, okay?
158
And this is a proxy war between the United States and Russia because the United States controls Europe and NATO.
159
The second major battlefield, of course,
160
is Iran, where right now the United States and Israel is attacking Iran and trying to force it into a surrender.
161
Now, the last battlefield is actually in North America, Cuba.
162
Okay?
163
So this is not really discussed a lot.
164
What's been happening is the United States has been embargoing Cuba,
165
trying to blockade it, trying to cause society to collapse,
166
and Russia has been trying to save Cuba, okay?
167
So these are the three major battlefronts we're seeing right now.
168
Now, obviously what's going to happen is that more battlefronts will break out.
169
Okay?
170
And what's going to happen is that as this conflict increases,
171
the conflict between the United States and Russia will increase as well.
172
So one major area of contention is the oceans.
173
Okay?
174
Why?
175
Why?
176
Because the United States believes that it controls all trade access.
177
Because the oceans represent trade access.
178
And so what the United States has been doing is it has been seizing Russian Shadow Fleet tankers.
179
And so what's going to happen is that the Russians will eventually decide to arm its ships,
180
and this will create a war in the oceans, okay?
181
So that's one trend that we will see happening.
182
Another trend that we'll see happening is the rise of Germany and Japan.
183
Okay?
184
And why?
185
Well, historically, the most powerful nation in Europe has been Germany.
186
Historically, the most powerful nation in East Asia has been Japan.
187
The United States defeated both in World War II.
188
And, but now that the United States is at war of Russia,
189
it needs proxies, it needs allies to counter both the threat of Russia as well as China.
190
So it makes sense that what the United States is gonna do is it's gonna arm Israel to counter Iran,
191
it's gonna arm Germany to counter Russia,
192
and it's gonna arm Japan to counter China.
193
Okay?
194
And what's going to happen now is that you have new,
195
in this conflict, you have other players emerge that will take advantage of these conflicts to amass more power for themselves.
196
So think about North Korea in East Asia, okay?
197
Because North Korea is a military society and it can threaten South Korea, Japan, and China.
198
Then in Europe you have Poland.
199
In the Middle East you have Turkey.
200
So these nations are going to try to navigate all this chaos in order to amass more power for themselves.
201
So in other words, what's going to happen is complete chaos in World War III.
202
Okay, and something that we'll discuss more concretely for the rest of the semester.
Baixar aplicativo
Pontuação por IA para cada frase que você fala
TRENDING
Populares
Contexto & Antecedentes
Neste vídeo, o Professor Jiang Xueqin discute a teoria dos jogos no contexto de uma hipotética Terceira Guerra Mundial, enfocando as dinâmicas de poder entre nações como os Estados Unidos e a Rússia. A aula se concentra nas tensões atuais no Oriente Médio e em como essas disputas podem influenciar o cenário global nos próximos anos. O professor oferece uma análise detalhada dos jogadores principais, como Israel e Irã, e discute as forças internas que alimentam esses conflitos, como a competição entre elites e o nacionalismo. Este conteúdo é ideal para aqueles que buscam não apenas entender o inglês em um contexto geopolítico, mas também desenvolver habilidades de conversação através da técnica de "shadowspeak".
As 5 Principais Frases para Comunicação Diária
- “O que eu quero fazer nesta aula é apenas introduzir o tabuleiro de xadrez” - uma expressão que pode ser usada para iniciar uma discussão ou apresentar um tópico.
- “Os principais jogadores na Terceira Guerra Mundial são os Estados Unidos e a Rússia” - útil para abordar temas que envolvem política e relações internacionais.
- “Este conflito é impulsionado por tensões internas” - uma frase que pode ser aplicada em debates sobre conflitos sociais e políticos.
- “A competição para se juntar à elite cria conflitos internos” - excelente para discussões sobre economia e sociologia.
- “Existem forças que se opõem ao capital transnacional” - perfeita para conversas sobre economia globalizada e suas implicações.
Guia Passo-a-Passo de Shadowing
Para aproveitar ao máximo as técnicas de "shadow speech" deste vídeo, siga estas etapas:
- Assista ao vídeo com atenção: Foque na pronúncia e no ritmo da fala do professor. Anote palavras ou expressões que você não entende.
- Escute em partes: Divida o vídeo em segmentos menores. Ouça uma frase ou uma seção e pause para repetir o que ouviu.
- Pratique a repetição: Use a técnica de "shadowspeaks", onde você fala junto com o professor. Tente imitar não apenas o que ele diz, mas também a entonação e a emoção.
- Grave-se: Use seu smartphone ou computador para gravar sua própria voz praticando. Compare-a com a do professor para perceber diferenças e áreas a melhorar.
- Repita regularmente: A prática constante é a chave para o sucesso. Dedique 15 a 30 minutos diariamente para praticar o conteúdo do vídeo.
Ao seguir essas etapas, você não apenas melhorará sua fluência em inglês, mas também ganhará confiança ao discutir temas complexos. O "shadowing site" que você escolher pode ser um ótimo recurso para continuar sua prática!
O que é a Técnica de Shadowing?
Shadowing é uma técnica de aprendizado de idiomas com base científica, originalmente desenvolvida para o treinamento de intérpretes profissionais. O método é simples, mas poderoso: você ouve áudio em inglês nativo e repete imediatamente em voz alta — como uma sombra seguindo o falante com 1-2 segundos de atraso. Pesquisas mostram melhora significativa na precisão da pronúncia, entonação, ritmo, sons conectados, compreensão auditiva e fluência na fala.
☕ Pague-nos um café
O ShadowingEnglish permanece 100% gratuito graças ao seu apoio. Os custos de servidor e IA são altos — seu café nos mantém ativos! 🙏