Shadowing Practice: I Simulated The World Cup 10,000 Times! - Learn English Speaking with Video

What happens when you simulate the World Cup 10,000 times?

This simulation was built using a model trained on thousands of real matches and probability data, not AI.

And we're going to tell you exactly how it unfolds.

Within this video, there will be a team that progresses from the group with only one point.

A team that doesn't concede a single goal all tournament long and possibly the greatest final of all time.

We've got so many crazy simulations,

you honestly will not believe how some of them played out and hopefully will play out because that's the fun of this.

So let's kick this off with the group stages.

And despite not having a clear favourite,

Group A threw out some really interesting results.

South Africa were the most likely to finish bottom of this group.

They did so 4,670 times.

Now, despite this, there were 12 simulations where they didn't just get through the group.

They won the whole tournament.

In simulation 4733, they beat Belgium,

the USA, Croatia, Germany, and then Argentina in the final to win the whole thing.

South African fans, are you excited?

Let me know in the comments down below, please.

But ultimately, the most likely winners of this group were Mexico.

And in roughly half of the simulations, they won the group.

with Korea Republic being the second most likely to do so,

meaning that the probabilities from the simulations have them finishing second.

However, in simulation 1-2-2 or 122,

depending on who you are,

every single game in this group finished as a draw,

with Mexico and Czechia progressing on goals scored.

Now, Group B, it was an interesting one because there was a clear dominant team in this one.

The neutrals' favourite, Switzerland, won the group over 5,400 times,

making them by far the most likely to win the group.

But Canada, Canada fared very well in the 10,000 simulations too.

They've never made the knockout stages before,

but in our simulations, they made the round of 32 over 9,000 times.

Get ready for history to be made, possibly.

And the simulations actually had quite a few instances of Canada making the final.

But, of course, it's not that simple because in 17 of these finals,

their opposition was the USA.

And Canada actually won 11 of those finals.

Elsewhere in the group, Bosnia were the most likely to finish third,

whilst Qatar finished bottom in over half of the simulations.

Now, Group A and Group B, great stuff, OK?

And there's wonderful things to come.

But I've got to say,

Group C is by far the most surprising.

Now, typically, most people would have Brazil as favourites for the group, obviously.

The simulations saw it differently overall because Morocco topped this group 46.7% of the time,

with Brazil only topping it 43.7% of the time.

Now, obviously, Morocco have a point to prove after AFCON.

And actually, the AFCON final was replayed in 15 different simulations.

Speaking of AFCON, in simulation 9016,

they beat Senegal 4-0 to win the whole thing.

Could you imagine?

But in Sim 2482, Brazil were involved in possibly the best World Cup final ever.

Yep, trumping the last one.

They faced Belgium and it ended 5-5.

Imagine that.

It went to penalties, but I'm sorry to say,

Brazil, Belgium came out on top in that simulation.

Now, before I give you the bad news, bad news for some.

Let me tell you this.

In simulation 6,775, what a bell that was.

Scotland beat Germany, France, Switzerland,

and Bosnia to make it to the final against England.

And it went to penalties.

And Scotland won.

Now, for the most part,

Scotland finished third in our simulations,

but still retained a 65% chance of making the round of 32.

Meanwhile, debutants Haiti finished bottom in over 7,800 simulations.

Right, onto group D.

And it really didn't pan out the way that I thought it would do because,

you know, the USA came out on top in this group 41.9% of the time.

And in simulation 656, they made it all the way to the final with an insane route.

They beat Belgium, then Argentina,

then Portugal, off you go Messi,

off you go Ronaldo, and then France before meeting Spain in the final and losing on penalties.

Elsewhere in this group, Turkey placed second on average the most times,

meaning that Australia finished third.

But in simulation 6337, they made it out of the group by drawing every game.

But the draws didn't stop there.

They continued drawing all the way to the final,

winning on penalties each time.

They even won the whole thing.

If you win the tournament,

but you haven't won a game in regular time, does it count?

Yes, it does.

Now, Paraguay, Group D did not come out that well in the simulations at all,

finishing bottom 39.2% of the time,

which is a bit of a surprise for me.

Not fun for Paraguay, but Group E was fun for everyone because you've got Germany's clear favourites,

and that was evident in the likelihood of them winning the group being 56.9%.

But then you've got Ecuador and Cote d'Avoire,

who have underrated squads, in my opinion.

That is the group of death,

clearly, right now ecuador especially considering some of the talent

that they have in their squad are definitely a team to keep an eye out on

when it came to the simulations

and the simulations really reflected this giving ecuador the highest probability of finishing second

but cote d'avroir weren't that far behind them either

so this group could well be one to keep an eye

100

on for unpredictability now interestingly curacao i think that's how you say it finished bottom 70% of the time, not great.

101

But in one of the 10,000 Sims,

102

they actually reached the final.

103

But it was heartbreak for them against Portugal in the final.

104

But I think you'd take that, right?

105

Right, let's talk Group F because it is another one that could throw up some surprises.

106

The Netherlands came out on top in terms of probability of finishing first with Japan frequently coming second.

107

But Sweden in this group,

108

they threw up some interesting results.

109

Sweden qualified for the tournament,

110

of course, despite not winning any qualifying matches thanks to the playoff of course.

111

But in simulation 5,471 Graham Potter's side met England in the final and even won it on penalties.

112

The irony if an English manager that takes over from Thomas Tuchel wins the World Cup against Thomas Tuchel.

113

No, this can't happen.

114

Very good.

115

Let's move on.

116

Lastly, Tunisia were the unfortunate team in fourth spot most of the time.

117

Group G may have been the most cut and dry when it came to first and last.

118

You've got Belgium frequently coming out on top at 54.5% chance of winning the group.

119

Meanwhile, with only 1% chance of winning the group, it's New Zealand.

120

So with this happening, it meant

121

that it was a bit of a head-to-head between Egypt

122

and Iran for the second place spot and on average it went in Iran's favour,

123

meaning that Iran's most likely opponent in the round of 32 was frequently the USA.

124

Yeah.

125

Group H featured the biggest favourite to win their group,

126

with Spain pulling in a 73.9% chance of winning their group.

127

That's the highest percentage of any team in the tournament totaled.

128

And in one simulation, Spain even scored a total of 32 goals.

129

For context, the current record is 27,

130

set by Hungary in 1954.

131

And to finish second, there was also quite a clear favourite in Uruguay at 47.7%.

132

And therefore, that didn't give much hope to Saudi Arabia and Cape Verde,

133

apart from this simulation.

134

3,931 because Cape Verde won the whole tournament while scoring only four goals.

135

They scored twice in the group,

136

drew 0-0 in the round of 32 and the round of 16,

137

winning both on penalties.

138

They then drew 1-1 with England in the semifinal,

139

going through on penalties, and then drew with France in the final and won again on penalties.

140

Now, I've chosen my group of death,

141

but group I is considered the group of death because there are three heavy hitters in this group.

142

And despite this, the simulations massively favoured France on average,

143

giving them a 62% likelihood of winning the group.

144

So it became a shootout for second place between Senegal and Norway.

145

Now, on one hand, you've got a team who had a perfect qualifying record in Norway.

146

And on the other hand,

147

you've got Senegal winners or losers, depending on whatever.

148

Finalists, they were in the final of AFCON.

149

But Senegal came out on top and the simulation did struggle to separate them with a big majority.

150

So keep an eye out for their game on the 23rd of June.

151

It will be blockbuster.

152

Apologies to Iraq.

153

The quality in this group proved to be too much,

154

making them the likeliest to be by a distance the team that finishes bottom.

155

Group J features the current winners.

156

But now Messi is four years older.

157

So surely he won't win another, right?

158

We don't know yet when we played,

159

but it does bode quite well for the group stages for Argentina

160

because they were the most dominant team when it came to winning the group.

161

And we'll have a look at Argentina's chances of winning the whole thing a little bit later.

162

But whilst we've got you,

163

and surely this is the last opportunity for this, Ronaldo versus Messi.

164

Who's better?

165

Let us know in the comments.

166

But the final between the two,

167

it did actually happen 68 times in the 10,000 simulations.

168

Elsewhere in the group, the simulations were really splitting hairs deciding between Austria

169

and Algeria with Austria coming out on top by just 1%.

170

But ultimately this made it very difficult for Jordan who finished bottom more than two thirds of the time.

171

And then finally, before heading to England's group,

172

we took a look at group K.

173

Now, Portugal came out on top,

174

unsurprisingly, and in simulation number one,

175

the first one, which I don't know if that carries any more meaning.

176

It probably doesn't.

177

They're all equally valued.

178

They made it to the final without conceding a single goal.

179

But they lost on penalties to the Netherlands.

180

And this group for them was quite straightforward,

181

really, because Colombia finished second in 40% of the simulations,

182

with DR Congo and Uzbekistan fighting out for third.

183

And now, England's group.

184

I know, this is what you've been waiting for, eh?

185

Well, it's actually quite disappointing.

186

In almost every group, the favourites have won it with big majorities.

187

But England, for some reason,

188

it wasn't that straightforward because Croatia finished first 47.2% of the time,

189

whilst England finished first 46.8% of the time.

190

Surprisingly, the simulation also favoured Panama over Ghana.

191

I guess we'll see how it plays out.

192

And all of that factors,

193

of course, into who everyone plays in the round of 32.

194

And so to understand who faces who,

195

we need to take a look at the teams who made it through as the best third place finishers.

196

So who are everyone's most likely opponents for this round?

197

So this is what we've done.

198

We've built a bracket considering the entire 10,000 simulations.

199

And there were some really interesting ties here.

200

You've got England against Colombia,

201

Ecuador versus Senegal, Mexico versus Scotland.

202

Portugal versus the Ivory Coast,

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Argentina versus Marcelo Bielsa's Uruguay.

204

And that gave us this bracket.

205

But the problem is we're still no closer to understanding who will win the entire tournament.

206

So we took into account every single team's 10,000 simulations and put it into one number.

207

Their percentage chance of winning the World Cup.

208

So in 10th, surprisingly, it was the USA with 4.3% chance.

209

Then only in 9th, I couldn't believe this,

210

was Brazil with 4.6% chance.

211

Morocco were joint with Brazil also on 4.6.

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Then we have a little jump up to Belgium at 6%,

213

which felt a bit low to me.

214

Croatia, interestingly, were, however, ahead of them with 6.9%.

215

Now the top five is where it gets so interesting because in 5th, Argentina.

216

Only 7% of the simulations favouring Messi's team.

217

The top four, it then becomes extremely close.

218

Interestingly, despite what we said earlier about the group stage,

219

England came in fourth with 8.3%,

220

but only 0.3% above them was Portugal.

221

Then, in second, Spain with 8.7%,

222

giving France the highest chance of winning the tournament at 8.9%.

223

So of course, this is a bit of fun

224

and it's really interesting to see the different narratives that are going to play out.

225

Which narrative do you think you will see at this tournament?

226

Let me know in the comments down below.

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Now, I use data to find the World Cup's best wonder kids at this World Cup.

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If you want to find out who they are before it starts, click it.

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Vocabulario y notas de pronunciación para esta lección

Esta lección de conversación de nivel C1 se basa en el vídeo “I Simulated The World Cup 10,000 Times!”. Las palabras que más se repiten: simulation, winning, won, finished, penalties. Este vídeo tiene 228 frases y 2119 palabras para practicar shadowing. La parte hablada dura 14:03. El hablante habla a un ritmo natural de unas 151 palabras por minuto, cercano a una conversación cotidiana. El 84 % de las palabras está entre las 3.000 más comunes del inglés; conviene repasar el resto antes de empezar.

Vocabulario clave de este vídeo

Las 15 palabras más avanzadas del vídeo, con su pronunciación y significado:

Palabra	Pronunciación	Significado
simulation sustantivo	/ˌsɪm.jəˈleɪ.ʃn̩/	simulación
probability sustantivo	/ˌpɹɑ.bəˈbɪl.ə.ti/	probabilidad
interestingly adverbio		interesantemente
concede verbo	/kənˈsid/	conceder
favoured adjetivo	/ˈfeɪ.vɚd/	agraciado, favorido (disused)
straightforward adjetivo	/ˌstɹeɪtˈfɔː(ɹ)wə(ɹ)d/	sencillo, llano
bracket sustantivo	/ˈbɹækɪt/	consola, soporte
likelihood sustantivo	/ˈlaɪklihʊd/	probabilidad
surprisingly adverbio	/səˈpɹaɪzɪŋli/	sorprendentemente, sorpresivamente
blockbuster sustantivo	/ˈblɑkˌbʌs.tɚ/	bombazo
curaçao sustantivo	/ˈk(j)ʊəɹ.əˌsaʊ/	curazao, curasao
finalist sustantivo		finalista
heartbreak sustantivo	/ˈhɑɹt.bɹeɪk/	desamor, corazón roto
semifinal sustantivo		semifinal
simulate verbo	/ˈsɪm.jə.lət/	simular

Phrasal verbs que vas a escuchar

Palabra	Pronunciación	Significado
play out verbo		discurrir
throw up verbo		lanzar
come out verbo	/ˌkʌm ˈaʊt/	revelarse, salir a la luz
find out verbo		averiguar, anoticiarse
get through verbo	/ɡɛt ˈθɹu/	aguantar, salir adelante
throw out verbo	/ˈθɹəʊ ˌaʊt/	botar, tirar

Frases que vale la pena repetir

Frases cortas y completas del vídeo que puedes reutilizar en la conversación diaria:

I know, this is what you've been waiting for, eh?
I guess we'll see how it plays out.
Which narrative do you think you will see at this tournament?

Gramática en este vídeo

Las estructuras que más usa el hablante, con las palabras exactas del vídeo:

Estructura	En el vídeo
Present perfect have/has + participio pasado — una acción pasada que sigue importando ahora	They've never made · haven't won · have underrated
Voz pasiva be + participio pasado — importa lo que ocurre, no quién lo hace	was built · be made · was replayed

Pronunciación a tener en cuenta

El hablante usa 35 contracciones y formas reducidas, como you've, didn't, we've. Dilas en su forma corta, tal como las oyes.

Los sonidos de “sh” y “zh”: simulation /ˌsɪm.jəˈleɪ.ʃn̩/, finisher /ˈfɪnɪʃɚ/, shootout /ˈʃuːtaʊt/
Palabras largas — cuida el acento: probability /ˌpɹɑ.bəˈbɪl.ə.ti/, surprisingly /səˈpɹaɪzɪŋli/, underrated /ʌn.dɚˈɹeɪ.təd/, apology /əˈpɑ.lə.d͡ʒi/

Sonidos difíciles para hispanohablantes:

/v/ — no es /b/: los dientes tocan el labio inferior: favoured /ˈfeɪ.vɚd/, massively /ˈmæs.ɪv.li/, evident /ˈɛv.ə.dənt/
/z/ — sonora, no /s/: surprisingly /səˈpɹaɪzɪŋli/, loser /luzɚ/
/h/ — una aspiración suave, no la “j”: likelihood /ˈlaɪklihʊd/, heartbreak /ˈhɑɹt.bɹeɪk/, hitter /ˈhɪtɚ/

Cómo practicar con este vídeo

Escucha el vídeo entero una vez sin hablar y anota las palabras que no conoces.
Empieza a velocidad 0,75×, haz shadowing frase por frase y vuelve a la velocidad normal cuando te resulte fácil.
Grábate y compara con el original, prestando atención a palabras como simulation, probability, interestingly.

¿Qué es la Técnica de Shadowing?

Shadowing es una técnica de aprendizaje de idiomas respaldada por la ciencia, desarrollada originalmente para la formación de intérpretes profesionales y popularizada por el políglota Dr. Alexander Arguelles. El método es simple pero poderoso: escuchas audio en inglés nativo y lo repites en voz alta de inmediato, como una sombra que sigue al hablante con solo 1-2 segundos de retraso. A diferencia de la escucha pasiva o los ejercicios de gramática, el shadowing obliga a tu cerebro y músculos de la boca a procesar y reproducir simultáneamente patrones de habla reales. Las investigaciones muestran que mejora significativamente la precisión de la pronunciación, la entonación, el ritmo, el habla conectada, la comprensión auditiva y la fluidez al hablar, convirtiéndola en una de las metodologías más efectivas para la preparación del IELTS Speaking y la comunicación en inglés en el mundo real.

Técnica de shadowing: lee la guía completa paso a paso →