تدريب Shadowing: I Don't Care About Illegal Immigration - تعلم التحدث بالإنجليزية عبر الفيديو
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1
I don't care about illegal immigration, and neither should you.
أنا لا أهتم بالهجرة غير الشرعية، ولا يجب أن تهتم أنت أيضاً.
2
Here's why.
إليك السبب.
3
This was originally supposed to be a video on whether or not we should abolish ICE, but I feel like that's such an obvious no-brainer at this point that it would just be a waste of time.
كان من المفترض أن يكون هذا في الأصل فيديوًا حول ما إذا كان يجب علينا إلغاء وكالة ICE أم لا، لكني أشعر أن هذا الأمر أصبح بديهيًا للغاية في هذه المرحلة لدرجة أنه سيكون مجرد مضيعة للوقت.
4
No, instead, on this episode of Progressive Primers, we're going to explain why illegal immigration is actually not a problem.
لا، بدلاً من ذلك، في هذه الحلقة من برنامج Progressive Primers، سنشرح لماذا الهجرة غير الشرعية في الحقيقة ليست مشكلة.
5
I mean, yeah, like, ideally people should be coming in legally, but also ideally people should never jaywalk.
أعني، نعم، من الناحية المثالية يجب أن يأتي الناس بشكل قانوني، لكن من الناحية المثالية أيضاً يجب ألا يعبر الناس الشارع بشكل غير قانوني أبداً.
6
Millions of people do it every day and nobody cares.
الملايين من الناس يفعلون ذلك كل يوم ولا أحد يهتم.
7
Okay, so here's the essential grievance that the right has.
حسنًا، إذًا هذا هو الشكوى الأساسية التي يطرحها اليمين.
8
Alright, so this is North America.
حسنًا، إذًا هذه أمريكا الشمالية.
9
It was formed around 2 billion years ago and today has a population of 600 million people.
تشكلت منذ حوالي ملياري سنة ويبلغ عدد سكانها اليوم 600 مليون شخص.
10
Here we have the border between the United States and Mexico, finalized in 1853 with the Gadsden Purchase.
هنا لدينا الحدود بين الولايات المتحدة والمكسيك، التي تم الانتهاء منها في عام 1853 مع صفقة شراء جادسن.
11
And here is Hugo.
وإليكم هوغو.
12
Now, what Hugo is gonna do is walk from here to here.
الآن، ما سيفعله هوغو هو المشي من هنا إلى هنا.
13
The horror!
يا للرعب!
14
The outrage!
يا له من غضب!
15
The disgrace!
يا للعار!
16
Lock him up and send him back.
اقفل عليه وأعده إلى حيث أتى.
17
Except, what's the actual harm here?
إلا أن ما هو الضرر الفعلي هنا؟
18
How does Hugo doing this harm anyone?
كيف يؤذي هوغو أي شخص بفعله هذا؟
19
Like, there's nothing.
مثل، لا يوجد شيء على الإطلاق.
20
It's a victimless crime.
إنها جريمة لا ضحايا لها.
21
It's very silly to be obsessed with this phenomenon.
من السخف الشديد أن يكون المرء مهووسًا بهذه الظاهرة.
22
But I just care that people are breaking the law!
لكن ما يهمني فقط هو أن الناس يخالفون القانون!
23
But the parents have some blame here.
لكن الوالدين يتحملان جزءاً من اللوم هنا.
24
Oh, for what?
أوه، لماذا؟
25
For wanting a better life for their kids?
لأجل رغبتهم في حياة أفضل لأطفالهم؟
26
Isn't that what America is? for breaking the law.
أليس هذا هو جوهر أمريكا؟ أن يُعاقب من يخالف القانون.
27
Do you though?
هل تفعل ذلك حقاً؟
28
I live on a college campus and I see underage drinking literally all the time.
أنا أسكن في حرم جامعي وأرى شرب الكحول من قبل القاصرين حرفيًا طوال الوقت.
29
People have fake IDs, which is another crime.
الناس يحملون بطاقات هوية مزورة، وهي جريمة أخرى.
30
And I see restaurants that don't even check ID and sell it to obviously young looking students anyways.
وأرى مطاعم لا تتحقق من الهوية على الإطلاق وتبيعها للطلاب الذين يبدو عليهم الصغر بوضوح على أي حال.
31
Another crime.
جريمة أخرى.
32
Although the phenomenon has been on the decline, according to the National Institute on Alcohol Abuse and Alcoholism,
على الرغم من أن هذه الظاهرة آخذة في الانخفاض، وفقًا للمعهد الوطني الأمريكي لإدمان الكحول وإدمان الكحول،
33
five million Americans aged 12 to 20 admit to underage drinking in the past month.
يعترف خمسة ملايين أمريكي تتراوح أعمارهم بين 12 و20 عامًا بأنهم تناولوا الكحول تحت السن القانوني خلال الشهر الماضي.
34
Unlike crossing an imaginary line, consuming alcohol actually harms lives.
على عكس عبور خط وهمي، فإن استهلاك الكحول يضر بالأرواح فعليًا.
35
Where is the national outrage?
أين هو الغضب الوطني؟
36
Where is the Republican propaganda machine?
أين آلة الدعاية الجمهورية؟
37
Nobody cares.
لا أحد يهتم.
38
If we cared about illegal immigration simply because people are breaking the law, why not equally care about this or a dozen other laws that people break every day without consequence?
إذا كنا نهتم بالهجرة غير الشرعية لمجرد أن الناس يخالفون القانون، فلماذا لا نهتم بنفس القدر بهذا القانون أو بعشرات القوانين الأخرى التي يخالفها الناس كل يوم دون أن يواجهوا أي عواقب؟
39
Stop virtue signaling.
توقف عن إظهار الأخلاق الزائفة.
40
You guys just don't like brown people.
أنتم يا رفاق لا تحبون الناس ذوي البشرة السمراء فحسب.
41
Here are three more crimes people commit every day that do more harm than crossing the border illegally.
إليك ثلاث جرائم أخرى يرتكبها الناس كل يوم وتسبب ضرراً أكبر من عبور الحدود بشكل غير قانوني.
42
Speeding, in which 9 out of 10 drivers admit to, killed over 12,000 people in 2022 in the US.
السرعة الزائدة، التي يعترف 9 من كل 10 سائقين بارتكابها، تسببت في وفاة أكثر من 12000 شخص في عام 2022 في الولايات المتحدة.
43
Over 2 million high schoolers in America use tobacco products, even though federal law bans it to people under 21 years of age.
يستخدم أكثر من مليوني طالب في المرحلة الثانوية في أمريكا منتجات التبغ، رغم أن القانون الفيدرالي يمنعها على الأشخاص دون سن الحادي والعشرين.
44
It's typically not illegal for minors to use tobacco products, but it is illegal to sell or distribute tobacco products to minors,
عادةً لا يُعتبر استخدام القاصرين لمنتجات التبغ أمرًا غير قانوني، لكن بيع أو توزيع منتجات التبغ على القاصرين يُعد أمرًا غير قانوني.
45
which is clearly happening a lot because of how many kids use them.
وهذا يحدث بكثرة بوضوح بسبب عدد الأطفال الذين يستخدمونها.
46
use is the leading cause of preventable death in the United States and kills half a million Americans every year.
التعاطي هو السبب الرئيسي للوفيات التي يمكن الوقاية منها في الولايات المتحدة، ويودي بحياة نصف مليون أمريكي كل عام.
47
Yet we don't treat it like a national emergency.
ومع ذلك، لا نتعامل معها كحالة طوارئ وطنية.
48
This survey found that there's 50 billion pieces of litter along US waterways and roadways.
وجدت هذه المسح أن هناك 50 مليار قطعة من النفايات على طول المجاري المائية والطرق السريعة في الولايات المتحدة.
49
That's 152 items per US resident.
هذا يعادل 152 قطعة لكل مقيم في الولايات المتحدة.
50
The damage that littering does to the ecosystem is far worse than Hugo crossing an imaginary line without the appropriate paperwork.
الضرر الذي يلحقه التخلص غير المناسب للنفايات بالنظام البيئي أسوأ بكثير من عبور هوغو لخط وهمي دون الأوراق الرسمية المطلوبة.
51
So why do we single out illegal immigration.
إذًا لماذا نستهدف الهجرة غير الشرعية تحديدًا؟
52
Which, by the way, itself isn't a felony.
والتي، بالمناسبة، ليست في حد ذاتها جناية.
53
Crossing the border illegally is typically a misdemeanor with the civil penalty of a small fine.
عبور الحدود بشكل غير قانوني يُعتبر عادةً جنحة بغرامة مالية بسيطة كعقوبة مدنية.
54
Why do Americans list this as a top issue?
لماذا يصنف الأمريكيون هذا كأحد القضايا الأكثر أهمية؟
55
Simple.
بسيط.
56
The American people were gaslit into caring about it by right-wing media.
لقد تم التلاعب بعقول الشعب الأمريكي ليجعلوا يهتمون بهذا الأمر من قبل وسائل الإعلام اليمينية.
57
The military needs to be deployed to our southern border immediately
يحتاج الجيش إلى الانتشار على حدودنا الجنوبية فوراً
58
to stop the caravan of thousands of illegals pouring into our nation.
لإيقاف قافلة آلاف المهاجرين غير الشرعيين الذين يتدفقون إلى دولتنا.
59
Why did you vote for that?
لماذا صوتت لصالح ذلك؟
60
Why would you allow sex crime convicts to stay in the country that entered the country illegally?
لماذا تسمحون لمدانين بجرائم جنسية بالبقاء في البلاد بعد أن دخلوا إليها بشكل غير قانوني؟
61
Why would you vote for that?
لماذا قد تصوت لذلك؟
62
They're eating the dogs, the people that came in.
إنهم يأكلون الكلاب، أولئك الناس الذين جاءوا.
63
They're eating the cats.
إنهم يأكلون القطط.
64
They're eating the pets of the people that live there.
إنهم يأكلون حيوانات أليفة الأشخاص الذين يعيشون هناك.
65
Yes, we should be a nation ruled by law.
نعم، يجب أن نكون أمة يحكمها القانون.
66
But instead of punishing otherwise innocent people, let's reform our immigration laws and grant mass amnesty to those who came here illegally.
ولكن بدلاً من معاقبة أشخاص أبرياء في الأصل، دعونا نُصلح قوانين الهجرة لدينا ونمنح عفواً جماعياً لمن جاءوا إلى هنا بشكل غير قانوني.
67
Ha!
هاه!
68
So you admit it!
إذن أنت تعترف بذلك!
69
You want mass amnesty, you radical communist!
أنت تريد عفواً عاماً، أيها الشيوعي المتطرف!
70
Oh yeah?
أه صحيح؟
71
Well, is Ronald Reagan a communist?
حسنًا، هل رونالد ريغان شيوعي؟
72
What?
ماذا؟
73
Of course not!
بالطبع لا!
74
Well, in 1986, President Reagan signed a bipartisan bill granting mass amnesty to three million undocumented immigrants.
حسنًا، في عام 1986، وقع الرئيس ريغان قانونًا حزبيًا يمنح العفو الشامل لثلاثة ملايين مهاجر غير حاملين لوثائق قانونية.
75
Huh?
هاه؟
76
Yup, just like that.
نعم، تماماً هكذا.
77
And this wasn't a compromise that he begrudgingly signed to appease Democrats.
ولم يكن هذا حلاً توفيقياً وقّع عليه بترحال لاسترضاء الديمقراطيين.
78
He actually supported this.
لقد كان يدعم هذا في الواقع.
79
In the 1984 election, he talked about it on the debate stage.
في انتخابات عام 1984، تحدث عن ذلك على منصة المناظرة.
80
I supported this bill.
لقد دعمت هذا المشروع القانون.
81
I believe in the idea of amnesty for those who have put down roots and who have lived here,
أنا أؤيد فكرة العفو عن أولئك الذين ترسخت جذورهم وعاشوا هنا.
82
even though sometime back they may have entered illegally.
رغم أنهم ربما دخلوا بطريقة غير قانونية في وقت سابق.
83
The consensus on immigration used to be the complete opposite 40 years ago.
كان الإجماع بشأن الهجرة عكس ذلك تماماً قبل 40 عاماً.
84
Here's how Republicans used to talk about immigration.
إليكم كيف كان الجمهوريون يتحدثون عن الهجرة في السابق.
85
Do you think the children of illegal aliens should be allowed to attend Texas public schools free?
هل تعتقد أنه ينبغي السماح لأطفال الأجانب غير الشرعيين بالالتحاق بالمدارس العامة في تكساس مجانًا؟
86
Or do you think that their parents should pay for their education?
أم تعتقد أن على والديهم دفع تكاليف تعليمهم؟
87
I would reluctantly say I think they would get whatever it is that they're, you know, what the society is giving to their neighbors.
سأقول مترددًا إنني أعتقد أنهم سيحصلون على كل ما يقدمه المجتمع لجيرانهم.
88
But it has, the problem has to be solved.
لكن المشكلة موجودة، ويجب حلها.
89
The problem has to be solved.
يجب حل المشكلة.
90
I don't want to see a whole, if they're living here, I don't want to see a whole thing of six and eight year old kids being made,
لا أريد أن أرى الأمر كاملاً، إذا كانوا يعيشون هنا، فلا أريد أن أرى مجموعة كاملة من الأطفال في السادسة والثامنة من عمرهم يتم تصنيعهم.
91
you know, one totally uneducated and made to feel that they're living with outside the law.
أنت تعلم، شخص غير متعلم تمامًا ويُشعر بأنه يعيش خارج نطاق القانون.
92
Let's address ourselves to the fundamentals.
لننتقل إلى الأساسيات.
93
These are good people, strong people.
هؤلاء أناس طيبون، أناس أقوياء.
94
Part of my family is a Mexican.
جزء من عائلتي من المكسيك.
95
Rather than making them or talking about putting up a fence, why don't we work out some recognition of our mutual problems,
بدلاً من صنعها أو الحديث عن وضع سياج، لماذا لا نتوصل إلى نوع من الاعتراف بمشاكلنا المشتركة،
96
make it possible for them to come here legally with a work permit, and then while they're working and earning here, they pay taxes here.
اجعل من الممكن لهم القدوم إلى هنا بشكل قانوني بتصريح عمل، وبعد ذلك بينما يعملون ويكسبون هنا، يدفعون الضرائب هنا.
97
And when they go on to go back, they can go back and they can cross and open the border both ways by understanding their problems.
وعندما يقررون العودة، يمكنهم العودة وعبور الحدود وفتحها في كلا الاتجاه من خلال فهم مشاكلهم.
98
This is the only safety valve right now they have with that unemployment that probably keeps the lid from blowing off.
هذا هو صمام الأمان الوحيد الذي يمتلكونه حالياً بخصوص البطالة، والذي يمنع على الأرجح الوضع من الانفلات تماماً.
99
What changed?
ما الذي تغير؟
100
Simple.
بسيط.
101
The Republicans lost control over the xenophobic elements of their party.
خسر الجمهوريون سيطرتهم على العناصر المعادية للأجانب داخل حزبهم.
102
Ever since the election of Barack Obama in 2008, The Republican Party has been non-stop about white grievance politics.
منذ انتخاب باراك أوباما في عام 2008، لم يتوقف الحزب الجمهوري عن ممارسة سياسات التظلم العرقي للبيض.
103
People lost control of themselves after seeing a black man in the Oval Office.
فقد الناس سيطرتهم على أنفسهم بعد رؤية رجل أسود في المكتب البيضاوي.
104
I can't trust Obama.
لا أستطيع الوثوق بأوباما.
105
I have read about him and he's not, he's not, he's a, um, he's an Arab.
لقد قرأت عنه وهو ليس، وهو ليس، هو، أمم، هو عربي.
106
He is not.
إنه ليس كذلك.
107
A woman named Marilyn Davenport is no exception to that.
المرأة المسماة مارلين دافنبورت ليست استثناءً من ذلك.
108
She's an elected Republican Party official in Southern California's Orange County.
هي مسؤولة منتخبة في الحزب الجمهوري في مقاطعة أورانج بجنوب كاليفورنيا.
109
Friday afternoon, she forwarded an email.
في مساء يوم الجمعة، قامت بإعادة توجيه رسالة إلكترونية.
110
This is what Ms. Davenport forwarded, President Obama's head on a baby chimp's body, a mother and father chimp sitting beside him.
هذا ما أرسلته السيدة دافنبورت، رأس الرئيس أوباما على جسم شمبانزي صغير، مع شمبانزي أم وأب يجلسان بجانبه.
111
And above it, the text says this, now you know why, no birth certificate.
وفوقه، يقول النص هذا، والآن أنت تعرف السبب، لا يوجد شهادة ميلاد.
112
The NAACP points to the racial epithets allegedly hurled at black
تشير منظمة NAACP إلى الإهانات العرقية التي يُزعم أنها استُخدمت ضد السود
113
members of Congress by Tea Party members during the health care debate, and to the racist signs
أعضاء الكونغرس من قبل أعضاء حزب الشاي خلال النقاش حول الرعاية الصحية، وإلى اللافتات العنصرية
114
that critics say they've spotted at Tea Party events to support its conclusion
يقول النقاد إنهم رصدوه في فعاليات حزب الشاي لدعم استنتاجه
115
that the Tea Party movement is a threat to the pursuit of human rights, justice, and equality for all.
أن حركة تي بارتي تشكل تهديداً للسعي نحو حقوق الإنسان والعدل والمساواة للجميع.
116
The Tea Party was a right-wing, libertarian, fiscally conservative movement within the Republican Party.
كانت حركة حفلة الشاي حركة يمينية ليبرتارية محافظة مالياً داخل الحزب الجمهوري.
117
Some members used the acronym Taxed Enough Already Party.
استخدم بعض الأعضاء الاختصار "حزب الضرائب الكافية بالفعل" (Taxed Enough Already Party).
118
It gained traction during the first two years of Obama's presidency and was the main backlash force to him.
اكتسب هذا الحرك زخماً خلال السنتين الأوليين من رئاسة أوباما، وكان القوة الرئيسية للردة الفعلية ضده.
119
It stood for smaller government, lower taxes, cutting spending, and reducing the debt.
لقد دعت إلى حكومة أصغر، وضرائب أقل، وخفض الإنفاق، وتقليل الديون.
120
All that stuff.
كل تلك الأشياء.
121
The movement was backed by the Koch brothers, who were billionaire oil barons.
كانت الحركة مدعومة من قبل الأخوين كوخ، اللذين كانا من أقطاب النفط المليارديرات.
122
The backlash the Tea Party caused led to the Republican wave in the 2010 midterm elections, in which many candidates described themselves as part of the Tea Party movement.
رد الفعل العنيف الذي تسبب فيه حزب الشاي أدى إلى الموجة الجمهورية في انتخابات التجديد النصفي عام 2010، حيث وصف العديد من المرشحين أنفسهم كجزء من حركة حزب الشاي.
123
But the Tea Party wasn't just about fiscal conservatism.
لكن حزب الشاي لم يكن يُعنى فقط بالمحافظة المالية.
124
It also had elements of the populist right, and one of the things they wanted to push the GOP right on was immigration.
كما كانت تضم عناصر من اليمين الشعبوي، وكان من بين الأمور التي أرادوا دفع الحزب الجمهوري نحو اليمين بشأنها مسألة الهجرة.
125
For example, Sarah Palin, former failed VP candidate and Tea Party member, said in 2016 that immigrants should quote, speak American.
على سبيل المثال، قالت سارة بالين، المرشحة الفاشلة السابقة لمنصب نائب الرئيس وعضوة حزب الشاي، في عام 2016 إن المهاجرين يجب أن تنقلًا عن كلامها، "يتحدثون اللغة الأمريكية".
126
You want to be in America?
هل تريد أن تكون في أمريكا؟
127
A, you better be here legally or you're out of here.
أ، من الأفضل أن تكون هنا بشكل قانوني وإلا فستخرج من هنا.
128
B, when you're here, let's speak American.
ب، عندما تكون هنا، لنتحدث باللهجة الأمريكية.
129
In 2014, the Tea Party Patriots released a film called The Border States of America, which said that illegal immigration was quote, threatening the fabric of our nation.
في عام 2014، أصدرت منظمة "تي بارتي باتريوتس" فيلمًا بعنوان "الولايات الحدودية لأمريكا"، والذي ادعى أن الهجرة غير الشرعية، كما نقل عنه، تهدد نسيج أمتنا.
130
Herman Cain, another Tea Party member who ran for president in 2012, proposed an electrified fence along the southern border.
131
Sound familiar?
132
We will build a great wall along the southern border.
133
Yes, the Tea Party in many ways was the precursor to Trump and the MAGA movement.
134
Over time it became less and less about fiscal responsibility and more and more about fighting the culture war.
135
So the Tea Party was a major factor in pushing the Republican Party right on immigration.
136
But it wasn't the only factor factor.
137
Local news is in crisis.
138
By some estimates, more than 3,200 print newspapers have vanished since 2005.
139
According to the nonprofit Rebuild Local News, the number of newsroom employees has declined 60 percent since 2000,
140
a collapse comparable in scale to the coal industry.
141
And on average, two newspapers close each week.
142
The decline of local newspapers meant more and more Americans were getting their news from TV channels like Fox, or worse, Facebook.
143
But it wasn't just the changing news industry.
144
The rise in anti-immigration rhetoric is not totally made up and based off of nothing.
145
There were real-world trends that created the movement.
146
Starting in the 90s, more and more people started coming into the country both legally and illegally.
147
It fueled a national conversation beginning in the Clinton years to do something about it.
148
most of these people weren't actually crossing the border illegally, they rather came here legally and just overstayed their visas.
149
Regardless, both parties started to move to the right on immigration.
150
But why do Republicans care so much more about it?
151
Well, you could say it's racism, and yeah, that's a part of it.
152
But perhaps the most persuasive case made to Republican voters was the idea that illegal immigrants would vote Democrat,
153
and immigration was just a way for Democrats to bring in more voters.
154
Joe Biden's open border is killing Ohioans, with more illegal drugs and more Democrat voters pouring into this country.
155
Elon Musk still spreads this talking point to this day, even though undocumented immigrants can't and don't vote.
156
So now we're at today, where the anti-immigration movement dominates the Republican Party.
157
And they make all the typical talking points.
158
Mass amnesty?
159
Nope.
160
The Republican Party stands for mass deportations.
161
By the way, how's that going?
162
They claim their reasoning is sound and based off of fact.
163
It isn't.
164
Here are five reasons why all undocumented immigrants should be deported, and why they're wrong.
165
According to the Institution on Taxation and Economic Policy, undocumented immigrants paid $96.7 billion in federal, state, and local taxes in 2022.
166
More than a third of these taxes were through the federal payroll tax, which pays Social Security and Medicare.
167
Fake news!
168
Illegals don't get Social Security cards, so they can't pay the payroll tax.
169
Well, they don't have Social Security cards, but anyone who has applied for a job knows that you can put down your individual taxpayer identification number.
170
You don't need to be a citizen to have one.
171
All you need is your name, date of birth, residence, and proof of identity.
172
Not proof of work authorization or proof that you're in the US legally.
173
So yeah, they do pay taxes.
174
Well, it doesn't matter, they use more welfare than they pay taxes anyways.
175
Ugh.
176
As I said, research shows that undocumented immigrants pay tens of billions of dollars into Social Security and Medicare every year.
177
But this is despite the fact that they are ineligible to receive Social Security and Medicare benefits.
178
Social Security and Medicare aren't welfare?
179
This is true, both are earned benefits that are universal, not means tested.
180
So most people don't consider them to be welfare, rather social insurance.
181
But when it comes to programs that everyone can agree are welfare, like food stamps and Medicaid, well, they're ineligible for benefits.
182
All the stories you've heard about undocumented immigrants using welfare are either false or need more context.
183
For example, an undocumented immigrant can apply for SNAP benefits for their American-born children.
184
The same goes for Medicaid.
185
But what about emergency rooms?
186
Yes, a 1986 federal law signed by Reagan requires all Medicare
187
participating hospitals to provide emergency care to anyone regardless of their ability to pay or insurance status.
188
When I mean emergency care, I mean these hospitals simply have to stabilize the patients.
189
Nothing is free in America.
190
But that's bad!
191
Like no, people shouldn't be left on the street to die just because they aren't a citizen.
192
You wouldn't oppose tourists being denied access to emergency rooms, would you?
193
A report from the Cato Institute found that immigrants, including undocumented immigrants, were a net fiscal surplus,
194
meaning they contributed more into taxes than they received in benefits.
195
From 1994 to 2023, immigrants created a cumulative fiscal surplus of $14.5 trillion.
196
But they're taking our jobs!
197
The immigrants are taking our jobs line has been repeated for centuries.
198
It was actually the motivation for the first major immigration ban in US history, the Chinese Exclusion Act of 1882,
199
which prohibited the entry of Chinese laborers for 10 years.
200
It's basic economics, the law of supply and demand.
201
If there are more workers chasing fewer jobs, wages go down.
202
Additionally, immigrants tend to be more willing to accept lower salaries for quote, low-skilled jobs.
203
Approximately 8.5 million undocumented immigrants have a job.
204
If we achieve Stephen Miller's dream of deporting all of them, then his theory would suggest that real Americans would finally be able to have them.
205
Except, no. What would actually result is a massive shortage.
206
This 2024 working paper from the Peterson Institute for International Economics found
207
that Trump's mass deportations could lead to a 1.2 to 7.4% decrease in GDP from the baseline by 2028, depending on how many are deported.
208
It could also cause employment to fall by 1 to 7%.
209
But won't employers just replace immigrants with Americans?
210
Not necessarily.
211
To quote the article from the Institute's website, the Trump campaign assumes that employers would simply replace the deported workers with native workers.
212
But the historical record shows that employer behavior is far more complicated than that.
213
Past experiences with deportations demonstrates that employers do not find it easy to replace such workers.
214
Instead, they respond by investing in less labor-intensive technologies to sustain their businesses, or they simply decide not to expand their operations.
215
The net result is fewer employed people in key business sectors like services, agriculture, and manufacturing.
216
We do not yet know the full economic impact of Trump's mass deportations.
217
They might not be as catastrophic as this paper projected simply
218
because Trump has ordered his administration to wind them down because of all the public backlash.
219
Still, we are already seeing anecdotal stories of deportations hurting farm labor.
220
The Trump administration had to hilariously revamp the H-2A visa program
221
that hires migrant labor to fill the shortage because there weren't enough Americans willing to take these jobs.
222
The bottom line is that most economists agree that immigrants, documented or not, actually help the economy,
223
since all workers are consumers and thus their spending drives economic growth.
224
Well, who cares if they help the economy?
225
They're dangerous!
226
If anyone remembers my Zoron video, I revealed one of the oldest Republican tricks in the playbook.
227
When the left is in power, focus on crime.
228
Crime, crime, crime, crime.
229
Crime is everywhere.
230
On the subway, on the streets, in the bodega.
231
Despite decades of declining crime in New York City, they'll highlight every incident, reacting with exaggerated concern.
232
Now of course in reality, crime is actually at record lows under Zoran, so glory to Sharia law.
233
But whatever, you get the point.
234
Almost immediately after Biden became president, Fox News and Newsmax were screaming at the top of their lungs in despair over the so-called migrant crime crisis.
235
They took anecdotal stories of undocumented immigrants committing violent crimes
236
and then blew it up to make it seem like this was a statistically significant problem among undocumented immigrants, when in reality it was just a few bad apples.
237
The most famous example being Lakin Riley, who was murdered by an undocumented Venezuelan immigrant at GU in February of 2024.
238
The perpetrator had previously been arrested for smaller crimes numerous times, but he was always released.
239
The reaction to Riley's death culminated in the passage of the Lakin Riley Act, which was opposed by all of these civil rights organizations.
240
The act exploited the tragedy of Riley's murder to give the federal government unprecedented new powers and hurt due process.
241
The law requires the mandatory detention of all undocumented immigrants who are arrested for even small crimes like shoplifting.
242
The law automatically denies bail to anyone detained under it.
243
Yup, there can't even be a bail hearing.
244
And even if their criminal charges are dropped, they still have to stay detained until their deportation hearing, which could take years.
245
The law also lets states sue the federal government
246
if they believe they aren't doing enough to protect their citizens from paroled immigrants who commit crimes.
247
This will essentially clog up the legal system and restrain federal policymaking.
248
I say the bill exploited a tragedy because it made it seem like most immigrants were violent criminals.
249
But of course the opposite is true.
250
Immigrants commit less crime than native-born citizens.
251
Even undocumented immigrants commit less crimes.
252
Republican rhetoric is just not based on facts.
253
This working paper found that immigrants are 60% less likely to be incarcerated than US-born men.
254
And before the racists in the comments say, that's just talking about black people, the study also found that immigrants are 30% less likely to be incarcerated than white men.
255
A Cato Institute study looked at Texas in 2019 and found
256
that undocumented immigrants were 37% less likely to be convicted of a crime than a U.S.-born citizen.
257
There is also no correlation between the increased presence of undocumented immigrants and an increase in crime,
258
as an investigation by the New York Times and Marshall Project has found.
259
Sorry guys, facts don't care about your feelings.
260
And it's at that point where the immigration debate shuts down
261
and people start bringing up weird racist dog whistles about losing our culture and losing our heritage.
262
No, no, no, no, no, no, we are losing our way of life and our culture.
263
There are millions of Mexicans coming.
264
Oh god, really?
265
And don't make this a race thing.
266
You always make this a race thing.
267
I would say the same thing if they were European.
268
Oh yeah, so if the Swiss were like clogging and the Swiss...
269
No, no, we allow them in and they think they own their...
270
Now of course, this is just a bigoted argument that people have been making for hundreds of years.
271
People said the same thing about the Irish and the Italians, and today, Americans all enjoy pizza and get wasted on St. Paddy's Day.
272
I've already kind of addressed this argument in a previous video on birthright citizenship, and I don't feel like entertaining it any further.
273
If you think more immigrants, undocumented or not, leads to America losing its culture, you're un-American.
274
The overall point is that immigration, legal or not, is, on the whole, a net positive for the country.
275
Yes, people should ideally be coming in legally.
276
But have we considered that maybe if our system wasn't so broken, people wouldn't be coming in illegally in the first place?
277
I mean, part of the reason why there was such a large spike under Biden was
278
because our asylum system was totally broken.
279
The Trump administration had a remain in Mexico policy, where if you claimed asylum from a Latin American country, you had to stay in Mexico before your hearing in the U.S.
280
This was criticized because it meant asylum seekers could still be endangered in Mexico.
281
Biden ended Remain in Mexico, meaning you could come into the country, claim asylum, and then it could be months or years before your asylum hearing.
282
By early 2021, immigration information spread like crazy on the internet in Latin America, and there was a lot of people abusing the system for access into the US.
283
You could criticize Biden for repealing Remain in Mexico, or you could criticize Congress for not creating enough immigration courts to process all these asylum claims.
284
There are only 73 in the entire country.
285
73 courts to handle 3 million cases.
286
No wonder there's a backlog.
287
There's this great set of articles from our libertarian friends at the Cato Institute
288
that explains how the crisis largely wasn't Biden's fault
289
and was the result of a ton of other factors that just so happened to culminate in the early 2020s.
290
So, what's the solution?
291
Well, when it comes to immigration, I stand with Ronald Reagan.
292
That's right, I'm a Reagan progressive.
293
I'm calling on Congress to give amnesty to the 13 million undocumented immigrants in this country.
294
So long as they haven't committed a crime, they should be granted legal status.
295
Next, let's get Congress to quadruple the number of immigration courts.
296
We need more immigration judges and more legal infrastructure to support all these asylum claims.
297
Can't fit immigrants in your city?
298
Let's upzone and build tons of new affordable housing.
299
Not only will there be enough housing for immigrants, there'll also be enough housing for American citizens.
300
The bottom line is that immigration is a good thing.
301
It's good for the economy, and it honors our history.
302
Instead of mass deportations, we need mass amnesty.
303
After all, it's what Reagan would have wanted.
304
for setting that whole thing up.
305
Members also get their name in the credits, which you can see right here.
306
I'd like to shout out my Hamiltonian supporters Tim Spot, Aseemate, and Poison Geordie.
307
I'm not a perfect person, and I wouldn't be surprised if there were mistakes in this video.
308
If you see any, please let me know in the comments, and I'll have corrections in the description.
309
If you just can't get enough of my political takes for some reason, follow me on Twitter, at TheHadiRahim.
310
While I was making this video, Trump decided to go to war with Iran.
311
Why?
312
Because Israel told him to.
313
That's not me saying it.
314
That's Secretary of State Marco Rubio saying it.
315
So the president made the very wise decision.
316
We knew that there was going to be an Israeli action.
317
We knew that that would precipitate an attack against American forces.
318
And we knew that if we didn't preemptively go after them before they launched those attacks, we would suffer higher casualties and perhaps even higher those killed.
319
And then we would all be here answering questions about why we knew that and didn't act.
320
No, no, no, you don't understand.
321
It's to take out their ballistic missile capabilities.
322
The United States is conducting an operation to eliminate the threat of Iran's short-range ballistic missiles
323
and the threat posed by their navy, particularly to naval assets.
324
That is what it is focused on doing right now and it's doing quite successfully.
325
Like you do realize they're just gonna build back their ballistic missile capabilities in a few years, right?
326
Like I don't, like this is just a weird, that's a weird justification.
327
You want regime change.
328
We know your true underlying goal for all of this.
329
The whole war is crazy and Americans are dead and we bombed a school and so many innocent civilians are dead.
330
And I want to see if I can make a video about it
331
while I work on Iraq Part 3 because the videos are actually very related
332
and it looks like we might even send troops.
333
It's very crazy, gas prices are up because of it, so it's a big deal and if you want to hear more of my thoughts on it, go follow me on Twitter.
334
Thank you all for watching, have a great day, let's try not to start World War 3, see you in the next video.
تنزيل التطبيق
كل ما تحتاجه للتحدث بطلاقة
تقييم النطق بالذكاء الاصطناعيتقييم كل جملة
تدريب IPAأتقن كل صوت
المفرداتابنِ رصيدك من الكلمات
لعبة المفرداتتعلّم أثناء اللعب
FOR YOU
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لمن هذا الفيديو؟
هذا الفيديو مناسب للمتعلمين الذين يرغبون في تحسين مهارات المحادثة باللغة الإنجليزية. سواء كنت مبتدئًا أو لديك مستوى متوسط، ستجد فيه محتوى يساعدك على فهم النقاط الرئيسية للنقاشات الاجتماعية والسياسية. الهدف هو تعزيز قدرتك على التعبير عن الرأي وفهم وجهات النظر المختلفة، مما يجعله مثاليًا لتطوير ممارسة المحادثة الإنجليزية الخاصة بك.
عبارات ومصطلحات تستحق الاقتباس
- victimless crime: جريمة بلا ضحية، تُشير إلى الأفعال التي لا تتسبب في أذى مباشر للآخرين.
- ideal: مثالي، يُعبر عن الحالة المثلى التي ينبغي أن تكون عليها الأمور.
- outrage: غضب، يُستخدم للتعبير عن عدم الرضا الشديد تجاه موقف أو حدث معين.
يمكنك استخدام هذه المصطلحات في حديثك اليومي أو أثناء تعلم الإنجليزية عبر الفيديو. حاول استخدامها في جمل خاصة بك في المحادثات القادمة.
كيفية تحسين النطق
لتحسين نطقك أثناء متابعة الفيديو، ركز على طريقة إلقاء المتحدث للكلمات. يمكنك ممارسة تقنية shadow speak، حيث تكرر أصداء الكلمات بعد المتحدث مباشرة. انتبه إلى تحسين النطق باللغة الإنجليزية من خلال تقليد نغمة الصوت والإيقاع، مما سيساعدك على فهم أفضل لكيفية التعبير بأسلوب طبيعي.
استخدم هذه الطرق في جلسات ممارسة المحادثة الإنجليزية الخاصة بك، سواء مع أصدقاء أو أثناء الدراسة بمفردك. تذكر أن التدريب المستمر هو المفتاح لتحقيق تقدم ملحوظ في مهاراتك.
القواعد في هذا الفيديو
أكثر التراكيب التي يستخدمها المتحدث، مع العبارات نفسها من الفيديو:
| التركيب | في الفيديو |
|---|---|
| “used to” used to + فعل — عادة أو حالة في الماضي لم تعد قائمة | used to be · used to talk |
| المضارع التام have/has + اسم المفعول — حدث ماضٍ ما زال له أثر الآن | has been · have put · have read |
| المبني للمجهول be + اسم المفعول — التركيز على ما يحدث لا على من يفعله | was formed · be obsessed · be deployed |
| جمل الوصل who / which + جملة — معلومة إضافية عن شخص أو شيء | IDs, which is · those who came · those who have |
ما هي تقنية التظليل الصوتي؟
التظليل الصوتي (Shadowing) تقنية تعلم لغة مدعومة علمياً، طُورت أصلاً لتدريب المترجمين الفوريين المحترفين. الطريقة بسيطة لكنها قوية: تستمع لصوت إنجليزي أصلي وتكرره فوراً بصوت عالٍ — كظل يتبع المتحدث بتأخير 1-2 ثانية. تُظهر الأبحاث تحسناً كبيراً في دقة النطق والتنغيم والإيقاع وربط الأصوات والاستماع والطلاقة.