Shadowing Practice: Will Japan's Recession Affect America? | CNBC - Learn English Speaking with Video
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Why should the U.S investor care at this point?
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So we constantly hear, are we becoming Japan?
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Right?
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Because Japan has printed tons and tons of money and they've had interest rates at zero for seemingly forever.
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And yet the economy doesn't grow and inflation doesn't happen.
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I mean, I did a hit, I don't know, about a month ago.
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I said, you want to know how to create inflation?
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It's very easy.
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Look at what Venezuela does.
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They deficit spend and they print money.
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and bam, they got inflation at 65%.
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Well, guess what?
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Japan's been doing the same thing and they have deflation.
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Why the difference there?
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Why?
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Well, so here's the one criticism that economists have had of Japanese-style quantitative easing for a very long time.
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They say they never, for a very long period of time or for enough of a period of time, achieved negative real interest rates.
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Remember what real interest rates are.
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What do we all think inflation is going to be?
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Interest rates that you would get at a bank have to be lower.
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So the expectations are already so low that you can't fall beneath them?
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You've got to do something to get underneath them, right?
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So we really understand this intuitively when we think, why would anybody want to buy a German bond for, you know, less than 1%?
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Well, if you think inflation is zero, 1% looks okay, right?
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Because you're making more than zero what your money would do just sitting in a bank getting nothing.
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But after 20 years and after how that changes the mentality over essentially a generation.
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Right.
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It's brutal.
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The idea of trying to fall beneath that.
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Right.
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If you collectively as a society think, well, inflation's never happening.
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Yeah.
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And I'm used to 150 year mortgage that I'm signing up for at this point.
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And I know I'm always going to be living with my parents and my children will then live with me.
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Right.
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Or even more simply, why would I buy this car today
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if I think it's going to be cheaper in a year from now?
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Why would I buy a house?
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Look, I've been doing that with gas prices this week.
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I keep waiting to fill my tank. Do you?
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Exactly.
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I did until yesterday.
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I was empty yesterday.
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Yeah, that's going to be bad.
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So the question is, you know, we...
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Come on, you're the one who put half a tank of gas in
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because you were turning the car and didn't want to get your 13 bucks.
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So, you highlighted this about this deal between the prime minister and the head of the central bank.
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Let's bring up the quote very specifically that I say Kuroda, Kaorin Joji says.
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There's no emphasis on any sololubles.
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I don't think you do.
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I think it's even.
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You're right.
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That is a good analysis.
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This is what the Bank of Japan governor said.
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He said, fiscal discipline is the responsibility of the government and parliament, that would be Prime Minister Shinzo Abe, not that of the central bank.
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Understand, you know, central banking THE CITY IS NOT A LITTLE BIT OF THE CITY.
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THE CITY IS NOT A LITTLE BIT OF
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Vocabulario y notas de pronunciación para esta lección
Este vídeo tiene 58 frases y 538 palabras para practicar shadowing. La parte hablada dura 2:50. El hablante habla rápido, unas 190 palabras por minuto, así que espera sonidos enlazados y reducidos. El 85 % de las palabras está entre las 3.000 más comunes del inglés; conviene repasar el resto antes de empezar.
Vocabulario clave de este vídeo
15 palabras menos comunes del vídeo, con su pronunciación y significado:
- inflation /ɪnˈfleɪ.ʃən/ (sustantivo) — inflación. An act, instance of, or state of expansion or increase in size, especially by injection of a gas or liquid.
- ton /tʌn/ (sustantivo) — tonelada. The short ton of 2000 pounds (about 907 kg), 20 hundredweights of 100 pounds avoirdupois each.
- beneath /bɪˈniːθ/ — bajo de, abajo de. Below.
- essentially /ɪˈsɛnʃəli/ (adverbio) — esencialmente, en esencia. In essence: by nature.
- mortgage /ˈmoɹ.ɡɪd͡ʒ/ (sustantivo) — hipoteca. A legal agreement in which a borrower pledges real property as collateral for a loan used to purchase or refinance that property.
- ease /iz/ (verbo) — aliviar. To free (something) from pain, worry, agitation, etc.
- fiscal /ˈfɪskəl/ (adjetivo) — fiscal, crematístico. Related to the treasury of a country, company, region or city, particularly to government spending and revenue.
- discipline /ˈdɪsəplɪn/ (sustantivo) — disciplina. A controlled behaviour; self-control.
- highlight /ˈhaɪˌlaɪt/ (verbo) — resaltar, enfatizar. To make prominent; emphasize.
- emphasis /ˈɛmfəsɪs/ (sustantivo) — énfasis, hincapié. Special weight or forcefulness given to something considered important.
- brutal /ˈbɹuːtəl/ (adjetivo) — brutal. Savagely violent, vicious, ruthless, or cruel, often in an unintelligent manner.
- underneath /ˌʌndɚˈniθ/ (adverbio) — abajo. Below; in a place beneath.
- deficit /ˈdɛfəsɪt/ (sustantivo) — déficit. Deficiency in amount or quality; a falling short; lack.
- buck /ˈbʌk/ (sustantivo) — buco, gamo. A male deer, antelope, sheep, goat, rabbit, hare, and sometimes the male of other animals such as the hamster, ferret, salmonid, shad, skunk and kangaroo.
- expectation /ˌɛk.spɛkˈteɪ.ʃən/ (sustantivo) — expectación. The act or state of expecting or looking forward to an event as about to happen.
Phrasal verbs que vas a escuchar
- bring up (verbo) — levantar, alzar. To mention.
- come on /ˌkʌm ˈɒn/ — hala, vamos. Come along with me; join me in going.
- look at (verbo) — mirar, funar. To observe or watch.
Pronunciación a tener en cuenta
El hablante usa 15 contracciones y formas reducidas, como I'm, you're, doesn't. Dilas en su forma corta, tal como las oyes.
- Los sonidos de “th”: beneath /bɪˈniːθ/, underneath /ˌʌndɚˈniθ/
- Los sonidos de “sh” y “zh”: inflation /ɪnˈfleɪ.ʃən/, essentially /ɪˈsɛnʃəli/, expectation /ˌɛk.spɛkˈteɪ.ʃən/, deflation /dɪˈfleɪʃən/
- Palabras largas — cuida el acento: essentially /ɪˈsɛnʃəli/, expectation /ˌɛk.spɛkˈteɪ.ʃən/, economist /iˈkɑ.nə.mɪst/, mentality /mɛnˈtæləti/, quantitative /ˈkwɑn.təˌteɪ.tɪv/
Cómo practicar con este vídeo
- Escucha el vídeo entero una vez sin hablar y anota las palabras que no conoces.
- Empieza a velocidad 0,75×, haz shadowing frase por frase y vuelve a la velocidad normal cuando te resulte fácil.
- Grábate y compara con el original, prestando atención a palabras como inflation, ton, beneath.
Gramática en este vídeo
Las estructuras que más usa el hablante, con las palabras exactas del vídeo:
| Estructura | En el vídeo |
|---|---|
| Present perfect continuous have/has been + -ing — una acción que empezó antes y continúa | Japan's been doing · I've been doing |
| Present perfect have/has + participio pasado — una acción pasada que sigue importando ahora | has printed · have had |
¿Qué es la Técnica de Shadowing?
Shadowing es una técnica de aprendizaje de idiomas respaldada por la ciencia, desarrollada originalmente para la formación de intérpretes profesionales y popularizada por el políglota Dr. Alexander Arguelles. El método es simple pero poderoso: escuchas audio en inglés nativo y lo repites en voz alta de inmediato, como una sombra que sigue al hablante con solo 1-2 segundos de retraso. A diferencia de la escucha pasiva o los ejercicios de gramática, el shadowing obliga a tu cerebro y músculos de la boca a procesar y reproducir simultáneamente patrones de habla reales. Las investigaciones muestran que mejora significativamente la precisión de la pronunciación, la entonación, el ritmo, el habla conectada, la comprensión auditiva y la fluidez al hablar, convirtiéndola en una de las metodologías más efectivas para la preparación del IELTS Speaking y la comunicación en inglés en el mundo real.