跟读练习: Will Japan's Recession Affect America? | CNBC - 通过视频学习英语口语
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Why should the U.S investor care at this point?
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So we constantly hear, are we becoming Japan?
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Right?
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Because Japan has printed tons and tons of money and they've had interest rates at zero for seemingly forever.
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And yet the economy doesn't grow and inflation doesn't happen.
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I mean, I did a hit, I don't know, about a month ago.
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I said, you want to know how to create inflation?
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It's very easy.
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Look at what Venezuela does.
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They deficit spend and they print money.
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and bam, they got inflation at 65%.
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Well, guess what?
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Japan's been doing the same thing and they have deflation.
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Why the difference there?
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Why?
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Well, so here's the one criticism that economists have had of Japanese-style quantitative easing for a very long time.
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They say they never, for a very long period of time or for enough of a period of time, achieved negative real interest rates.
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Remember what real interest rates are.
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What do we all think inflation is going to be?
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Interest rates that you would get at a bank have to be lower.
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So the expectations are already so low that you can't fall beneath them?
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You've got to do something to get underneath them, right?
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So we really understand this intuitively when we think, why would anybody want to buy a German bond for, you know, less than 1%?
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Well, if you think inflation is zero, 1% looks okay, right?
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Because you're making more than zero what your money would do just sitting in a bank getting nothing.
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But after 20 years and after how that changes the mentality over essentially a generation.
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Right.
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It's brutal.
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The idea of trying to fall beneath that.
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Right.
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If you collectively as a society think, well, inflation's never happening.
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Yeah.
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And I'm used to 150 year mortgage that I'm signing up for at this point.
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And I know I'm always going to be living with my parents and my children will then live with me.
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Right.
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Or even more simply, why would I buy this car today
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if I think it's going to be cheaper in a year from now?
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Why would I buy a house?
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Look, I've been doing that with gas prices this week.
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I keep waiting to fill my tank. Do you?
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Exactly.
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I did until yesterday.
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I was empty yesterday.
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Yeah, that's going to be bad.
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So the question is, you know, we...
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Come on, you're the one who put half a tank of gas in
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because you were turning the car and didn't want to get your 13 bucks.
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So, you highlighted this about this deal between the prime minister and the head of the central bank.
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Let's bring up the quote very specifically that I say Kuroda, Kaorin Joji says.
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There's no emphasis on any sololubles.
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I don't think you do.
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I think it's even.
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You're right.
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That is a good analysis.
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This is what the Bank of Japan governor said.
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He said, fiscal discipline is the responsibility of the government and parliament, that would be Prime Minister Shinzo Abe, not that of the central bank.
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Understand, you know, central banking THE CITY IS NOT A LITTLE BIT OF THE CITY.
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THE CITY IS NOT A LITTLE BIT OF
背景与背景资讯
在这段对话中，演讲者探讨了日本的经济现状，以及其对美国经济的可能影响。他提到，日本长时间维持低利率和大量印钞，却未能实现经济增长和通货膨胀。这与许多投资者的预期截然不同，使得理解日本模式对英语学习者而言具有重要的时事意义。背景知识的了解有助于学习者更好地理解对话内容，从而在参与讨论时更具自信与流利度。
日常沟通的五个常用短语
- “我们正在变得像日本吗？” - 这句话引发了关于经济模式的思考。
- “印钞和赤字支出” - 指出一些国家通过不同政策实现经济目标的对比。
- “负的实际利率” - 关键经济概念，了解此短语对影子跟读非常重要。
- “通货膨胀期望” - 理解经济预期对决策的影响。
- “社会的心态变化” - 强调长时间经济现象对人们行为的影响。
逐步影子跟读指南
进行英语口语练习时，英语影子跟读是一种有效的方法。请按照以下步骤进行：
- 首先，观看视频并了解整体内容，注意演讲者的语调和节奏。
- 反复播放短句，尝试跟随演讲者逐字逐句模仿。特别关注重要短语，如“印钞和赤字支出”。
- 在听到关键短语时，暂停并重复。此时你可以记录下来，以便后续练习。
- 使用shadowspeaks技巧，专注于音调和发音的正确性。让自己与演讲者的声音同步，增强语言的流利度。
- 最后，尝试在理解这些短语后进行讨论，应用到实际情境中，如与朋友或同学讨论相关经济话题。
通过这种方法，不仅可以提高口语能力，还能增强对经济话题的理解，为雅思口语练习做好充分准备。坚持练习，你会发现英语口语的提升显著。
什么是跟读法？
跟读法 (Shadowing) 是一种有科学依据的语言学习技巧，最初开发用于专业口译员的培训，并由多语言者Alexander Arguelles博士普及。这个方法简单而强大：您在听英语母语原声的同时立即大声重复——就像是一个延迟1-2秒紧跟说话者的影子。与被动听力或语法练习不同，跟读法强迫您的大脑和口腔肌肉同时处理并模仿真实的讲话模式。研究表明它能显着提高发音准确性，语调，节奏，连读，听力理解和口语流利度——使其成为雅思口语备考和真实英语交流最有效的方法之一。