跟讀練習: Will Japan's Recession Affect America? | CNBC - 通過影片學習英語口語
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Why should the U.S investor care at this point?
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So we constantly hear, are we becoming Japan?
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Right?
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Because Japan has printed tons and tons of money and they've had interest rates at zero for seemingly forever.
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And yet the economy doesn't grow and inflation doesn't happen.
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I mean, I did a hit, I don't know, about a month ago.
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I said, you want to know how to create inflation?
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It's very easy.
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Look at what Venezuela does.
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They deficit spend and they print money.
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and bam, they got inflation at 65%.
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Well, guess what?
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Japan's been doing the same thing and they have deflation.
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Why the difference there?
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Why?
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Well, so here's the one criticism that economists have had of Japanese-style quantitative easing for a very long time.
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They say they never, for a very long period of time or for enough of a period of time, achieved negative real interest rates.
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Remember what real interest rates are.
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What do we all think inflation is going to be?
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Interest rates that you would get at a bank have to be lower.
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So the expectations are already so low that you can't fall beneath them?
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You've got to do something to get underneath them, right?
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So we really understand this intuitively when we think, why would anybody want to buy a German bond for, you know, less than 1%?
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Well, if you think inflation is zero, 1% looks okay, right?
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Because you're making more than zero what your money would do just sitting in a bank getting nothing.
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But after 20 years and after how that changes the mentality over essentially a generation.
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Right.
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It's brutal.
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The idea of trying to fall beneath that.
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Right.
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If you collectively as a society think, well, inflation's never happening.
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Yeah.
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And I'm used to 150 year mortgage that I'm signing up for at this point.
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And I know I'm always going to be living with my parents and my children will then live with me.
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Right.
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Or even more simply, why would I buy this car today
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if I think it's going to be cheaper in a year from now?
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Why would I buy a house?
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Look, I've been doing that with gas prices this week.
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I keep waiting to fill my tank. Do you?
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Exactly.
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I did until yesterday.
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I was empty yesterday.
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Yeah, that's going to be bad.
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So the question is, you know, we...
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Come on, you're the one who put half a tank of gas in
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because you were turning the car and didn't want to get your 13 bucks.
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So, you highlighted this about this deal between the prime minister and the head of the central bank.
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Let's bring up the quote very specifically that I say Kuroda, Kaorin Joji says.
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There's no emphasis on any sololubles.
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I don't think you do.
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I think it's even.
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You're right.
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That is a good analysis.
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This is what the Bank of Japan governor said.
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He said, fiscal discipline is the responsibility of the government and parliament, that would be Prime Minister Shinzo Abe, not that of the central bank.
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Understand, you know, central banking THE CITY IS NOT A LITTLE BIT OF THE CITY.
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THE CITY IS NOT A LITTLE BIT OF
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背景與背景資訊
在這段對話中，演講者探討了日本的經濟現狀，以及其對美國經濟的可能影響。他提到，日本長時間維持低利率和大量印鈔，卻未能實現經濟增長和通貨膨脹。這與許多投資者的預期截然不同，使得理解日本模式對英語學習者而言具有重要的時事意義。背景知識的瞭解有助於學習者更好地理解對話內容，從而在參與討論時更具自信與流利度。
日常溝通的五個常用短語
- “我們正在變得像日本嗎？” - 這句話引發了關於經濟模式的思考。
- “印鈔和赤字支出” - 指出一些國家通過不同政策實現經濟目標的對比。
- “負的實際利率” - 關鍵經濟概念，瞭解此短語對影子跟讀非常重要。
- “通貨膨脹期望” - 理解經濟預期對決策的影響。
- “社會的心態變化” - 強調長時間經濟現象對人們行為的影響。
逐步影子跟讀指南
進行英語口語練習時，英語影子跟讀是一種有效的方法。請按照以下步驟進行：
- 首先，觀看影片並瞭解整體內容，注意演講者的語調和節奏。
- 反覆播放短句，嘗試跟隨演講者逐字逐句模仿。特別關注重要短語，如“印鈔和赤字支出”。
- 在聽到關鍵短語時，暫停並重復。此時你可以記錄下來，以便後續練習。
- 使用shadowspeaks技巧，專注於音調和發音的正確性。讓自己與演講者的聲音同步，增強語言的流利度。
- 最後，嘗試在理解這些短語後進行討論，應用到實際情境中，如與朋友或同學討論相關經濟話題。
通過這種方法，不僅可以提高口語能力，還能增強對經濟話題的理解，為雅思口語練習做好充分準備。堅持練習，你會發現英語口語的提升顯著。
影片中的語法
說話人最常用的結構，並附上影片中的原話：
| 結構 | 影片中的用法 |
|---|---|
| 現在完成進行時 have/has been + -ing — 以前開始、現在仍在繼續的動作 | Japan's been doing · I've been doing |
| 現在完成時 have/has + 過去分詞 — 過去發生但與現在仍有關聯的事 | has printed · have had |
什麼是跟讀法？
跟讀法 (Shadowing) 是一種有科學依據的語言學習技巧，最初開發用於專業口譯員的培訓，並由多語言者Alexander Arguelles博士普及。這個方法簡單而強大：您在聽英語母語原聲的同時立即大聲重複——就像是一個延遲1-2秒緊跟說話者的影子。與被動聽力或語法練習不同，跟讀法強迫您的大腦和口腔肌肉同時處理並模模擬實的講話模式。研究表明它能顯著提高發音準確性，語調，節奏，連讀，聽力理解和口語流利度——使其成為雅思口語備考和真實英語交流最有效的方法之一。