Shadowing Practice: Will Japan's Recession Affect America? | CNBC - Learn English Speaking with Video
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Why should the U.S investor care at this point?
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So we constantly hear, are we becoming Japan?
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Right?
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Because Japan has printed tons and tons of money and they've had interest rates at zero for seemingly forever.
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And yet the economy doesn't grow and inflation doesn't happen.
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I mean, I did a hit, I don't know, about a month ago.
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I said, you want to know how to create inflation?
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It's very easy.
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Look at what Venezuela does.
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They deficit spend and they print money.
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and bam, they got inflation at 65%.
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Well, guess what?
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Japan's been doing the same thing and they have deflation.
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Why the difference there?
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Why?
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Well, so here's the one criticism that economists have had of Japanese-style quantitative easing for a very long time.
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They say they never, for a very long period of time or for enough of a period of time, achieved negative real interest rates.
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Remember what real interest rates are.
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What do we all think inflation is going to be?
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Interest rates that you would get at a bank have to be lower.
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So the expectations are already so low that you can't fall beneath them?
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You've got to do something to get underneath them, right?
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So we really understand this intuitively when we think, why would anybody want to buy a German bond for, you know, less than 1%?
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Well, if you think inflation is zero, 1% looks okay, right?
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Because you're making more than zero what your money would do just sitting in a bank getting nothing.
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But after 20 years and after how that changes the mentality over essentially a generation.
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Right.
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It's brutal.
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The idea of trying to fall beneath that.
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Right.
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If you collectively as a society think, well, inflation's never happening.
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Yeah.
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And I'm used to 150 year mortgage that I'm signing up for at this point.
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And I know I'm always going to be living with my parents and my children will then live with me.
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Right.
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Or even more simply, why would I buy this car today
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if I think it's going to be cheaper in a year from now?
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Why would I buy a house?
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Look, I've been doing that with gas prices this week.
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I keep waiting to fill my tank. Do you?
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Exactly.
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I did until yesterday.
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I was empty yesterday.
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Yeah, that's going to be bad.
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So the question is, you know, we...
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Come on, you're the one who put half a tank of gas in
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because you were turning the car and didn't want to get your 13 bucks.
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So, you highlighted this about this deal between the prime minister and the head of the central bank.
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Let's bring up the quote very specifically that I say Kuroda, Kaorin Joji says.
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There's no emphasis on any sololubles.
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I don't think you do.
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I think it's even.
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You're right.
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That is a good analysis.
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This is what the Bank of Japan governor said.
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He said, fiscal discipline is the responsibility of the government and parliament, that would be Prime Minister Shinzo Abe, not that of the central bank.
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Understand, you know, central banking THE CITY IS NOT A LITTLE BIT OF THE CITY.
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THE CITY IS NOT A LITTLE BIT OF
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Bu dersin kelimeleri ve konuşma notları
Bu videoda gölgeleme çalışması için 58 cümle ve 538 kelime var. Konuşma bölümü 2:50 sürüyor. Konuşmacı hızlı konuşuyor, dakikada yaklaşık 190 kelime; bu yüzden birbirine bağlanan ve zayıflayan sesler duyacaksınız. Kelimelerin %85’i İngilizcede en sık kullanılan 3.000 kelime arasında; geri kalanına başlamadan önce bakmakta fayda var.
Bu videodaki önemli kelimeler
Videodan daha az kullanılan 9 kelime, telaffuzu ve anlamıyla:
- inflation /ɪnˈfleɪ.ʃən/ (isim) — enflasyon. An act, instance of, or state of expansion or increase in size, especially by injection of a gas or liquid.
- ton /tʌn/ (isim) — ton. The short ton of 2000 pounds (about 907 kg), 20 hundredweights of 100 pounds avoirdupois each.
- mortgage /ˈmoɹ.ɡɪd͡ʒ/ (isim) — ipotek, rehin. A legal agreement in which a borrower pledges real property as collateral for a loan used to purchase or refinance that property.
- discipline /ˈdɪsəplɪn/ (isim) — disiplin. A controlled behaviour; self-control.
- highlight /ˈhaɪˌlaɪt/ (fiil) — altını çizmek. To make prominent; emphasize.
- underneath /ˌʌndɚˈniθ/ (zarf) — altında, altı. Below; in a place beneath.
- investor /ɪnˈvɛs.tə(ɹ)/ (isim) — yatırımcı, sermayedar. A person who invests money in order to make a profit.
- economist /iˈkɑ.nə.mɪst/ (isim) — ekonomist, iktisatçı. An expert in economics, especially one who studies economic data and extracts higher-level information or proposes theories.
- quantitative /ˈkwɑn.təˌteɪ.tɪv/ (sıfat) — kantitatif, nicel. Of a measurements and data types: based on some quantity or number rather than on some quality.
Duyacağınız deyimsel fiiller
- look at (fiil) — bakmak. To observe or watch.
Dikkat edilecek telaffuzlar
Konuşmacı I'm, you're, doesn't gibi kısaltılmış biçimleri 15 kez kullanıyor. Bunları duyduğunuz gibi kısa söyleyin.
- “th” sesleri: beneath /bɪˈniːθ/, underneath /ˌʌndɚˈniθ/
- “sh” ve “zh” sesleri: inflation /ɪnˈfleɪ.ʃən/, essentially /ɪˈsɛnʃəli/, expectation /ˌɛk.spɛkˈteɪ.ʃən/, deflation /dɪˈfleɪʃən/
- Uzun kelimeler — vurguyu doğru yere koyun: essentially /ɪˈsɛnʃəli/, expectation /ˌɛk.spɛkˈteɪ.ʃən/, economist /iˈkɑ.nə.mɪst/, mentality /mɛnˈtæləti/, quantitative /ˈkwɑn.təˌteɪ.tɪv/
Bu videoyla nasıl çalışılır
- Videonun tamamını konuşmadan bir kez dinleyin ve bilmediğiniz kelimeleri not edin.
- 0,75× hızla başlayın, cümle cümle tekrar edin ve kolaylaşınca normal hıza dönün.
- Kendinizi kaydedin ve orijinaliyle karşılaştırın; inflation, ton, mortgage gibi kelimelere özellikle dikkat edin.
Bu videodaki dil bilgisi
Konuşmacının en çok kullandığı yapılar, videodaki sözcüklerin aynısıyla:
| Yapı | Videoda |
|---|---|
| Present perfect continuous have/has been + -ing — önceden başlayıp hâlâ süren bir eylem | Japan's been doing · I've been doing |
| Present perfect have/has + fiilin üçüncü hâli — geçmişte olan ama şimdi de önemli olan bir eylem | has printed · have had |
Gölgeleme Tekniği Nedir?
Gölgeleme, başlangıçta profesyonel tercüman eğitimi için geliştirilen ve çok dilli Dr. Alexander Arguelles tarafından popüler hale getirilen, bilim destekli bir dil öğrenme tekniğidir. Yöntem basit ama güçlüdür: ana dili İngilizce olan bir sesi dinler ve hemen yüksek sesle tekrar edersiniz — konuşmacıyı 1-2 saniye gecikmeyle takip eden bir gölge gibi. Pasif dinleme veya dilbilgisi alıştırmalarının aksine, gölgeleme beyninizi ve ağız kaslarınızı gerçek konuşma kalıplarını eşzamanlı olarak işlemeye ve yeniden üretmeye zorlar. Araştırmalar, telaffuz doğruluğu, tonlama, ritim, bağlı konuşma, dinleme anlama ve konuşma akıcılığını önemli ölçüde geliştirdiğini göstermektedir — bu da onu IELTS Konuşma hazırlığı ve gerçek dünya İngilizce iletişimi için en etkili yöntemlerden biri yapar.