跟读练习: Bitcoin Is a Brilliant Scam and I Can Prove It (Again) - 通过视频学习英语口语

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That's right, the #1 crypto hater on YouTube has returned, and for those of you who don't know me, about 6 months ago I made a video breaking down how

MicroStrategy had essentially turned itself into a giant leveraged bet on Bitcoin.

My argument was simple: Michael Saylor had turned MicroStrategy from a dying software company into a leveraged time bomb,

and that the whole thing only worked if Bitcoin's price kept going up forever.

And at the time, this was a pretty unpopular take.

The general consensus in the comments was that I didn't understand what Michael Saylor was building, that this video was going to age poorly, and that I was apparently a dumbass.

But I'll have you know that since I made that video, MicroStrategy has lost nearly $100 billion in market cap, and their stock price is down more than 50%.

So then fast forward a few months after the MicroStrategy video, and I uploaded another crypto video.

This time, it was about the broader crypto industry.

It was about how the industry was much more fragile than people realized.

And once again, this video was not exactly popular with the crypto community.

And since that second video was published, the global cryptocurrency market has lost well over a trillion dollars in market value, and the total market is down over 30%.

But let me be clear, I'm not bringing this up to take some victory lap over the people who bullied me in the comments, even though I should be.

I'm bringing this up to highlight the fact that both of these videos were built off of the same idea.

The idea that underneath the narratives, parts of the crypto ecosystem are much more fragile than people are admitting.

And that underneath all the narratives, there are real issues with the crypto industry.

Which leads us to the obvious follow -up question: What about Bitcoin?

And that's because Bitcoin isn't just another crypto project.

It's the foundation the entire industry is built on.

And that's what I'm going to be talking about today, because Bitcoin's price is driven by the same false narratives.

Narratives that say Bitcoin is digital gold, that it's the future of money, and that it's a hedge against inflation and corruption.

And if you've spent any time in the crypto industry, you've heard these same arguments a thousand times.

But here's the problem: when you actually start testing these narratives, when you stop looking at the story and start looking at the data, what you start to see is something very different.

You start to see a pattern where the story keeps changing every time the technology fails to deliver on previous promises.

But to understand Bitcoin's real value, we have to start with a much simpler question: what is Bitcoin actually supposed to do?

And when Satoshi Nakamoto introduced Bitcoin in the original 2008 white paper, the idea was extremely clear.

Bitcoin was described as a peer -to -peer electronic cash system.

In other words, Bitcoin was supposed to function as digital money, a decentralized alternative to banks and governments where people could send payments directly to each other without intermediaries.

And if Bitcoin actually accomplished this, it would have been revolutionary.

But there's a problem.

It didn't.

It wasn't even close.

Because economists generally define money using three basic criteria: First, it has to function as a medium of exchange.

Basically, people need to widely accept it as a form of payment.

Second, it has to function as a store of value, something you can hold today and spend later without massive swings in purchasing power.

And third, it has to function as a unit of account, meaning it must serve as a standard measure for pricing goods and services so it can allow people to compare their value.

And when you start evaluating Bitcoin using these tests, it doesn't just fall short, it fails all of them.

As a medium of exchange, Bitcoin is slow, expensive, and inefficient.

The Bitcoin network processes roughly half a million transactions per day, and if you think that sounds like a lot, It's not.

Because if you compare that to something like Visa, well Visa processes roughly 65 ,000 transactions every single second,

which means Bitcoin's entire daily transaction volume could be cleared by the Visa network in under 8 seconds.

And it doesn't stop there, because a single Bitcoin transaction has a carbon footprint equivalent to roughly 1 .5 million Visa transactions.

And in terms of energy use, a single Bitcoin transaction consumes roughly the same amount of electricity as the average American household uses over 40 ,000 three days,

which explains why Bitcoin hasn't become a widely adopted payment system yet because it isn't a good one.

So what about using Bitcoin as a store of value then?

And at first glance, the argument seems reasonable.

It has a fixed supply, and historically assets with limited supply, like gold, have often been used as a store of value.

And to that I say, no. And there's two reasons why.

The first, stability.

A store of value needs to reliably preserve purchasing power, and Bitcoin has historically been one of the most volatile assets in the world.

Which is exactly why you don't see anyone dumping their entire net worth into Bitcoin.

Because an asset that can swing 20 % in a single month isn't reliable.

That's a level of volatility where businesses, households, and individuals start to treat it as a speculative investment, rather than a true store of value.

And the second issue that rarely gets discussed with Bitcoin: ownership.

Because despite the narratives you read online about Bitcoin being decentralized, the actual distribution is extremely concentrated.

Because roughly 2 % of addresses control 95 % of the supply, and when ownership is this top -heavy,

price movements can easily be manipulated by a relatively small group of large holders.

Like the recent Jane Street incident.

Because right now, Jane Street is currently being sued for allegedly helping trigger the 2022 crypto winter

and wiping out $40 billion in market value.

And the fact something like this is even possible isn't exactly

the kind of foundation you want for a stable store of value.

So, uh, what about the third requirement: Bitcoin as a unit of account?

Well, let's just say this one doesn't exactly knock it out of the park either.

Because even businesses that accept Bitcoin as a form of payment don't actually price things in Bitcoin.

They price everything in dollars and then convert the amount into Bitcoin at the moment of payment.

Which means Bitcoin isn't actually acting as an economic measurement, it's just temporarily passing through the transaction.

And even after laying out the specific reasons why Bitcoin fails each of the three basic functions of money, I already know the response that's coming from the Bitcoin crowd.

Well, we haven't given it a fair shot yet.

And to that I say, well, we actually did.

Because if you want to see what Bitcoin actually looks like when people try to use it as a real currency, you don't have to speculate anymore, because we already ran that experiment.

Because back in 2021, El Salvador became the first country in the world to adopt Bitcoin as legal tender.

The government launched a national wallet called Chivo.

They required businesses to accept it as a payment

and even gave every citizen $30 worth of free Bitcoin as an incentive for people to try it.

Thank you.

It was finally time.

This was Bitcoin's magnum opus moment, the moment where Bitcoin finally showed the world it could function as a real monetary system.

And the results?

Well, it was a huge failure.

Because according to IMF data, Bitcoin accounted for less than 2 % of El Salvador's remittances.

So after years of government promotion, legal tender status, and even a monetary bribe,

98 % of people still chose to send money internationally through a traditional financial system.

Which is a huge deal, because remittances were supposed to be Bitcoin's magical use case, that it would allow people to send money across borders without banks,

fees, and without friction, and when people actually had the option to use Bitcoin to do so, nobody did it.

And it gets worse.

Because when the Chivo wallet launched, millions of people signed up immediately.

But data from the National Bureau of Economic Research shows

that 60 % of users downloaded Chivo to cash the $30 bribe and never made another transaction on the app, meaning they just downloaded it for the free money and bounced.

And fast forward to today, and reports show that 66 % of El Salvador's population considers Bitcoin a failed project,

and 77 % believe that further public funds should not be used to support Bitcoin.

Which brings us to the harsh reality of Bitcoin.

Because if it doesn't function well as a medium of exchange, it doesn't function well as a store of value, and it doesn't function well as a unit of account.

Then we're left with a very obvious question: Where does the value of Bitcoin actually come from?

lies at the foundation of Bitcoin.

Because once you strip away all the narratives, remove all the marketing, and ignore the memes,

the only thing left is a very old concept in finance: something economists call "the greater fool theory."

And this theory says that the price of an asset doesn't necessarily have to be justified by its underlying value.

As long as there's a greater fool willing to buy it from you later on for a higher price.

100

And when you start to look at not only Bitcoin, but the entire crypto market through this becomes a lot more clear.

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Because Bitcoin doesn't generate cash flows like a stock does.

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It doesn't produce goods like a commodity.

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And in reality, it has pretty much no widespread utility.

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The price is entirely dependent on the belief that a greater fool will buy it later for more money.

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And that belief creates demand.

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And then that demand drives the price higher.

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And then the price going higher attracts more buyers.

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And the cycle repeats again and again.

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So every narrative you hear about Bitcoin serves a very specific purpose.

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Whether it's the digital gold argument, the future of money argument, or the hedge against inflation argument, these stories are crafted to create new buyers.

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Because the moment new buyers stop entering the market, the entire machine breaks.

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And that's the uncomfortable reality of Bitcoin.

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It's entirely supported by hope, and its value comes from people believing someone else will buy it for a higher price later on.

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Because the truth is, it's not any of those narratives you hear online.

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It's just the largest and it might not even be tomorrow,

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but eventually, you will run out of greater fools.

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本课的词汇与口语要点

这段视频共有 116 个句子、1791 个单词可供跟读。讲话部分时长为 9:48。说话人语速较快，每分钟约 183 个词，会出现较多连读和弱读。只有 80% 的单词属于英语最常用的 3,000 词，词汇难度较高。

视频中的重点词汇

视频中 15 个不太常见的单词，附发音和释义：

narrative /ˈnæɹ.ə.tɪv/ (名词) — 記敘文 /记叙文. The systematic recitation of an event or series of events.
transaction /tɹænˈzækʃən/ (名词) — 處理 /处理. The act of conducting or carrying out (business, negotiations, plans).
asset /ˈæsɛt/ (名词) — 資產 /资产. A thing or quality that has value, especially one that generates cash flows.
buyer /ˈbaɪ.əɹ/ (名词) — 買主 /买主, 購買人 /购买人. A person who makes one or more purchases.
belief /bɪˈliːf/ (名词) — 相信, 信心. Mental acceptance of a claim as true.
compare /kəmˈpɛɚ/ (动词) — 比, 比較 /比较. To assess the similarities and differences between two or more things [“to compare X with Y”]. Having made the comparison of X with Y, one might have found it…
ownership /ˈoʊnɚʃɪp/ (名词) — 所有權 /所有权. The state of having complete legal control of something; possession; proprietorship.
swing /ˈswɪŋ/ (动词) — 擺動 /摆动, 搖擺 /摇摆. To rotate about an off-centre fixed point.
adopt /əˈdɑpt/ (动词) — 收養 /收养. To take voluntarily (a child of other parents) to be in the place of, or as, one's own child.
wallet /ˈwɑl.ət/ (名词) — 錢包 /钱包, 皮夾 /皮夹. A small case, often flat and often made of leather, for keeping money (especially paper money), credit cards, etc.
inflation /ɪnˈfleɪ.ʃən/ (名词) — 通貨膨脹 /通货膨胀, 通脹 /通胀. An act, instance of, or state of expansion or increase in size, especially by injection of a gas or liquid.
peer /pɪɹ/ (名词) — 同輩 /同辈, 同齡人 /同龄人. Somebody who is, or something that is, at a level or of a value equal (to that of something else).
monetary /ˈmʌnɪtəɹi/ (形容词) — 貨幣 /货币. Of, pertaining to, or consisting of money.
tender /ˈtɛn.dɚ/ (形容词) — 溫柔 /温柔. Sensitive or painful to the touch.
leverage /ˈlɛv.(ə.)ɹɪd͡ʒ/ (名词) — 槓桿 /杠杆. A force compounded by means of a lever rotating around a pivot.

视频中出现的短语动词

come from (动词) — 來自 /来自. To have as one's origin, birthplace or nationality.
look at (动词) — 觀察 /观察, 看. To observe or watch.
break down (动词) — 壞了 /坏了, 出故障. To stop functioning.
follow up (动词) — 跟進 /跟进. To take further actions remaining after an event; to continue, revisit, or persist; especially, to maintain communication or verify.
go up (动词) — 上昇 /上升, 上去. To move upwards.
sign up (动词) — 報名 /报名, 註冊 /注册. To add a name to the list of people who are participating in something.

需要注意的发音

说话人用了 30 次缩略和弱读形式，例如 doesn't, isn't, don't。请按听到的简短形式来说。

“sh” 和 “zh” 音: transaction /tɹænˈzækʃən/, ownership /ˈoʊnɚʃɪp/, inflation /ɪnˈfleɪ.ʃən/, essentially /ɪˈsɛnʃəli/, promotion /pɹəˈmoʊʃn̩/
长单词——注意重音位置: monetary /ˈmʌnɪtəɹi/, historically /hɪˈstɔɹɪkli/, economist /iˈkɑ.nə.mɪst/, necessarily /ˌnɛs.əˈsɛɹ.ə.li/, electricity /ɪˌlɛkˈtɹɪsɪti/

如何用这段视频练习

先完整听一遍视频，不要开口，记下不认识的单词。
先用 0.75 倍速逐句跟读，熟练之后再回到正常速度。
录下自己的声音并与原声对比，特别注意 narrative, transaction, asset 这类单词。

视频中的语法

说话人最常用的结构，并附上视频中的原话：

结构	视频中的用法
被动语态 be + 过去分词 — 强调发生了什么，而不是谁做的	was published · were built · is built
现在完成时 have/has + 过去分词 — 过去发生但与现在仍有关联的事	has returned · has lost · you've spent

什么是跟读法？

跟读法 (Shadowing) 是一种有科学依据的语言学习技巧，最初开发用于专业口译员的培训，并由多语言者Alexander Arguelles博士普及。这个方法简单而强大：您在听英语母语原声的同时立即大声重复——就像是一个延迟1-2秒紧跟说话者的影子。与被动听力或语法练习不同，跟读法强迫您的大脑和口腔肌肉同时处理并模仿真实的讲话模式。研究表明它能显着提高发音准确性，语调，节奏，连读，听力理解和口语流利度——使其成为雅思口语备考和真实英语交流最有效的方法之一。

影子跟读法: 阅读完整分步指南 →

跟读练习: Bitcoin Is a Brilliant Scam and I Can Prove It (Again) - 通过视频学习英语口语

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