Shadowing Practice: Why China's population is shrinking - Learn English Speaking with Video
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This chart shows
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China's birth and death rate over the last 60 years.
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For most of it, births are high.
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But in 2022, China had more deaths than births, causing its population to decrease for the first time in six decades.
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To get why this is such a big deal, consider this.
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China is the world's manufacturing superpower, and that's in large part because of its huge population.
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Nearly 30 % of the country's economic output comes from manufacturing.
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Now here's China's population over the last 60 years.
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Even after losing almost a million people in 2022, its population is still about as big as it's ever been — 1 .4 billion people.
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But that's projected to shrink by nearly half by the end of the century.
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Over the years, China's growth and policies have contributed to its population decline.
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Today, it's looking to reverse course, to keep its population steady.
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The problem is, it might be too late.
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In the 50s under Mao, China experienced one of the most gruesome famines on record.
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30 million people died.
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If we look at that on the birth and death rates chart, you'll see a big spike in deaths.
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At the same time, the birth rate dropped, causing the population to shrink.
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But as often happens with wars, famines and other major crises, immediately after, there was a baby boom.
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Combined with global medical advances that decreased infant mortality rates, China's average family now had six children.
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The birth rate had skyrocketed, which the government saw as a big problem.
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The Chinese leadership realized the population was growing too fast and something needs to be done.
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The government came out with a policy.
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They called it later, longer, fewer.
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Later marriages, longer birth intervals, and fewer births.
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As a result, China's birth rate started trending down.
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But it wasn't low enough for China's leaders.
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And in 1980, they implemented the extreme one -child policy, which limited most families to one child.
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That policy was also backed up by very harsh measures.
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There were campaigns of sterilization, IOD insertion, and induced abortions.
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And while these campaigns began during the later longer -fewer era, they were at their worst under the one -child policy,
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when China sterilized 20 million men and women and induced nearly 15 million abortions in a single year.
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But China had accomplished its goal.
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Population growth was under control.
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Except, as China would soon realize, these restrictive policies worked a little too well.
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In order for any population to stay the same size in the long run, each couple needs to have, on average, 2 .1 children.
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This is called the replacement rate.
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The idea is that one child replaces one parent, and that 0 .1 makes up for children who die before they become adults.
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But China has had a fertility rate that's far below two for over three decades.
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To bring that up, in 2016, China finally ended the one -child policy.
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And after briefly trying out a three -child policy, in 2021, they finally let families have as many children as they'd like.
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But it hasn't worked.
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One big reason is the unique family structure produced by the one -child policy.
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We're looking at what's called a 4 -to -1 family structure with a couple having four parents above them
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and one child below.
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Most countries have diverse family structures, some with three kids, others with none.
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But with China's 4 -to -1 model, millions of only children are under increasing pressure to care for their aging parents and elderly grandparents.
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And this can make having multiple children even harder, especially as the cost of living keeps rising.
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A recent survey revealed
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that more than 50 % of young people don't want more than one child because of financial and work pressures.
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We've seen cash subsidies for additional birth, longer maternal leaves, subsidizes for kindergarten,
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and all sorts of monetary support.
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Well, the thing is, almost none of them has worked because having a child is exceedingly expensive and it's a lifelong commitment.
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And so it's not — it's really actually hard to put a price on this.
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But China's population crisis isn't just about babies.
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It's also about the balance between young and old.
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If we look at population pyramids that show distribution by age, we see that countries like Kenya, with rapid population growth, look like this.
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Wide at the bottom, representing a lot of new young people, and narrow at the top.
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Countries experiencing slower growth, like the Philippines, are still triangular, but the difference between top and bottom is less pronounced.
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Now take a look at China and notice the narrow bottom, so fewer babies, and the heavy top, a larger number of elderly people.
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Which is happy.
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outcome of our improvement in health and in standard of living,
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but combined with sustained low fertility and that just produces sustained population aging.
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In 2050, that pyramid is projected to look like this.
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And that will further drive down
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China's population, shrink its labor force, and put the whole country in a uniquely difficult position.
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In the 80s, China became a hotspot for foreign investment, cheap manufacturing and exports.
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A generation later, it was shooting up the ranks and becoming one of the world's leading and fastest growing economies by GDP.
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But not only did that economic modernization drive birth rates down further, it also didn't translate to an equally strong economy for everyone.
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If we look at the GDP per capita, the best indicator we have for standard of living, China is much lower than these high -income countries.
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China became a major world economy nearly overnight, but it's still a middle -income country.
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Many, especially in rural areas, haven't benefited much from China's economic boom.
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And China has yet to develop the necessary safety nets to support its aging population.
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To build the social infrastructure,
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like the social programs in health care and in pension, It takes time.
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And that's getting actually tougher with the economy that's slowing down.
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And a slower economy will inevitably redefine
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China's role in the world as a manufacturing superpower.
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What this means for China,
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for the world, is that the resource constraints from within would also constrain the Chinese ambition and its global reach.
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In some ways, China isn't alone.
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A lot of Asian and European countries are experiencing population declines, too.
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What makes China different is how fast this all has happened.
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It was only 40 years ago that
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China started leveraging its booming population to become an economic superpower, all while still trying to stem population growth.
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Now that China's population growth is officially over, China may have to rethink its future, not just as a global superpower,
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but for its citizens at home, too.
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Vocabulario y notas de pronunciación para esta lección
Esta lección de conversación se basa en el vídeo “Why China's population is shrinking”. Las palabras que más se repiten: population, China, birth, rate, policy. Este vídeo tiene 87 frases y 1091 palabras para practicar shadowing. La parte hablada dura 7:22. El hablante mantiene un ritmo constante de unas 148 palabras por minuto, cómodo para el shadowing. El 85 % de las palabras está entre las 3.000 más comunes del inglés; conviene repasar el resto antes de empezar.
Vocabulario clave de este vídeo
15 palabras del vídeo que vale la pena aprender, con su pronunciación y significado:
| Palabra | Pronunciación | Significado |
|---|---|---|
| fewer | /ˈfjuː.ɚ/ | menos |
| boom verbo | /bum/ | retumbar |
| chart sustantivo | /t͡ʃɑɹt/ | chart |
| decline verbo | /dɪˈklaɪn/ | periclitar, declinar |
| narrow adjetivo | /ˈnæɹəʊ/ | estrecho, angosto |
| abortion sustantivo | /əˈbɔɹ.ʃn̩/ | aborto, aborto inducido |
| decrease verbo | /dɪˈkɹiːs/ | mermar[se], descrecer |
| elderly adjetivo | /ˈɛldɚli/ | anciano, entrado en años |
| combine verbo | /kəmˈbaɪn/ | combinar, juntar |
| sustain verbo | /səˈsteɪn/ | sostener, sustentar |
| fertility sustantivo | /fɝˈtɪləti/ | fertilidad |
| pyramid sustantivo | /ˈpɪɹ.ə.mɪd/ | pirámide |
| famine sustantivo | /ˈfæm.ɪn/ | hambruna, hambre |
| induce verbo | /ɪnˈduːs/ | inducir |
| subsidy sustantivo | /ˈsʌbsɪdi/ | subsidio |
Phrasal verbs que vas a escuchar
| Palabra | Significado |
|---|---|
| back up verbo | retroceder, ciar |
| slow down verbo | desacelerar, decelerar |
| try out verbo | probar, ensayar |
Gramática en este vídeo
Las estructuras que más usa el hablante, con las palabras exactas del vídeo:
| Estructura | En el vídeo |
|---|---|
| Present perfect have/has + participio pasado — una acción pasada que sigue importando ahora | it's ever been · have contributed · has had |
| Voz pasiva be + participio pasado — importa lo que ocurre, no quién lo hace | be done · was also backed · is called |
Pronunciación a tener en cuenta
El hablante usa 10 contracciones y formas reducidas, como isn't, didn't, don't. Dilas en su forma corta, tal como las oyes.
- Los sonidos de “sh” y “zh”: abortion /əˈbɔɹ.ʃn̩/, pension /ˈpɛnʃən/, harsh /ˈhɑɹʃ/, accomplish /əˈkɑm.plɪʃ/, ambition /æmˈbɪʃ.ən/
- Palabras largas — cuida el acento: fertility /fɝˈtɪləti/, infrastructure /ˈɪnfɹəˌstɹʌkt͡ʃə/, monetary /ˈmʌnɪtəɹi/, indicator /ˈɪn.dɪˌkeɪ.tə(ɹ)/, inevitably /ɪˈnɛvɪtəbli/
Sonidos difíciles para hispanohablantes:
- s + consonante al inicio — sin añadir una “e” delante: steady /ˈstɪdi/, stem /stɛm/, spike /spaɪk/, skyrocket /ˈskaɪˌɹɒk.ɪt/, sterilize /ˈstɛɹɪlaɪz/
- /v/ — no es /b/: los dientes tocan el labio inferior: reveal /ɹɪˈviːl/, reverse /ɹɪˈvɝs/, diverse /daɪˈvɜːs/, overnight /əʊvə(ɹ)ˈnaɪt/, inevitably /ɪˈnɛvɪtəbli/
- /z/ — sonora, no /s/: citizen /ˈsɪtɪzən/, resource /ɹɪˈzɔːs/, translate /tɹænzˈleɪt/, modernization /ˌmɑdɚnɪˈzeɪʃn̩/, sterilize /ˈstɛɹɪlaɪz/
Cómo practicar con este vídeo
- Escucha el vídeo entero una vez sin hablar y anota las palabras que no conoces.
- Haz shadowing frase por frase a velocidad normal, repitiendo cada una hasta que tu ritmo coincida con el del hablante.
- Grábate y compara con el original, prestando atención a palabras como fewer, boom, chart.
¿Qué es la Técnica de Shadowing?
Shadowing es una técnica de aprendizaje de idiomas respaldada por la ciencia, desarrollada originalmente para la formación de intérpretes profesionales y popularizada por el políglota Dr. Alexander Arguelles. El método es simple pero poderoso: escuchas audio en inglés nativo y lo repites en voz alta de inmediato, como una sombra que sigue al hablante con solo 1-2 segundos de retraso. A diferencia de la escucha pasiva o los ejercicios de gramática, el shadowing obliga a tu cerebro y músculos de la boca a procesar y reproducir simultáneamente patrones de habla reales. Las investigaciones muestran que mejora significativamente la precisión de la pronunciación, la entonación, el ritmo, el habla conectada, la comprensión auditiva y la fluidez al hablar, convirtiéndola en una de las metodologías más efectivas para la preparación del IELTS Speaking y la comunicación en inglés en el mundo real.