Shadowing Practice: It Only Takes 1 Good Trade... - Learn English Speaking with Video
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What's up, everyone?
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All right.
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In today's episode, I'm going to break down my trades from the morning.
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We had a couple of stocks today that put in some decent moves.
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One of them was straight off the watch list I uploaded over the weekend.
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But a couple of others were surprise stocks that came out with news this morning and ended up squeezing up.
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RDHL was one of them.
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It's currently up 78% right now, down a bit off its highs.
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So this stock ended up squeezing up over 225%, as you can see right here.
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This one green candle has over 10 million shares of volume.
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So this thing basically was off to the races really fast.
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The problem when that happens is that sometimes the move is
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so quick that the only way to trade it would be just to jump in in the middle of it.
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And while there were a couple little opportunities, and there was a spot I was watching, I ended up not taking it,
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and it ends up going without me.
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So here's the deal.
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RDHL ends up popping up this morning on breaking news.
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It's a biotech stock, and they have this headline that they've sold divesting something that they've owned for $18 million up front.
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And the stock immediately starts surging higher.
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So I'm like, okay, there is a catalyst, goes $1.10, dips down, rips up to $1.40, $1.50.
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Now, as it came up to $1.50 right here, there was like an 80,000 share seller on the ask.
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And it got bought up, but I was like, yikes.
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Someone is excited to sell, whether it's a short seller or someone who's been in for a long time.
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I don't know, but they were within like 30 seconds of the news coming out and the stock popping up, they were selling.
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So then it goes up to $1.80.
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It pulls back, it pops up, does a little pullback right here to $1.90,
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and then pushes over $2, ends up going to a high of $2.20 and then rejecting back down.
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And then it starts to show weakness.
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We had more big sellers that were coming out.
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And at that point, I was like, I don't think this is gonna work.
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And someone asked Ross, how is it
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that a stock with a 5.9 million share float has become so thickly traded so quickly?
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So here's the deal.
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If you have a stock that's squeezing up on breaking news and there's tons and tons of buyers, the price will move very quickly.
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If you have a stock that comes out and it has bad news and there's tons of sellers, the price will move very, very quickly.
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But in the case of something like RDHL, news comes out, the price squeezes up, there's lots of buyers, and then it kind of stops going higher.
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Why?
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Because sellers are coming out.
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Now sellers are holding it back.
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And those sellers can come from a couple different places.
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One, it could be insiders with a company who want to dump the stock.
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They want to get out.
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Number two, it could be the company themselves selling shares to raise money, which we'll find out later when we get the filing that they've performed a secondary offering.
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But in real time, we don't know that that's happening except by interpreting maybe that that's why there's so much selling.
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Number three of course short selling
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and naked short selling is uh not you know excluded
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so both legal short selling and illegal naked short selling these all create more selling pressure
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and so now you have a stock that's up 150 whatever it is
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but it's not going higher
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because sellers are holding it back now buyers are continuing to hold it up
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because they like the stock they think it has potential to go higher
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but a certain point those buyers give up they bail out
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and combined with the increased level of selling already from the from whatever the source is the stock price declines
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and so rdhl now is on the decline
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and no one's gonna buy it here now it just looks too weak
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so short sellers kind of win in this area
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because now the pattern if there was any bullish pattern earlier it's broken anyone who bought
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and was holding and hoping it would go to three
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or four four dollars a share is going to be giving up hope
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and selling and the stock just ends up fading
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so rdhl um i didn't take a single trade on i was watching it it went without me
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and i just said well you know what that's the way
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it sometimes goes here's another one i didn't take a single
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trade on weto it's hitting our scan right now as it
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goes up to 11 a share i didn't get any trades on this one
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and i don't feel too badly about that because
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if you look at this chart this is a stock that's been selling off for quite a while.
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We had some good moves on it back in mid-August.
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We had this squeeze here from $8 all the way up to $52.
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And then we had this descent all the way back down to $6.
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So it pretty much gave back all the gains.
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Now today, it bounced up right here for one candle from $750 to $850 and then goes back down to $7.
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And that to me felt like a trap.
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It popped up a little bit.
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Some long traders jumped on and then shorts hammered it back down and it flushes.
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Then at the open, it rips back up here.
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I'm not really compelled to trade something like that.
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I feel like it's on the backside of this big move from August 17th.
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It's a little bounce off the low.
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What's the total upside potential?
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I find it to be generally pretty limited in this type of scenario.
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And so I didn't go for it.
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And yeah, I don't feel badly for missing that.
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I don't feel that I missed it.
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I feel that I chose not to take that trade because the risk and reward just didn't add up.
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So that was WETO, no trades on that.
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Then we had Xair.
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Xair pops up, and this one has FDA breakthrough designation.
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It squeezes up and comes all the way back down.
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Full round trip.
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It's now down 5% on the day in spite of breaking news.
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Now, again, there's only a couple of things
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that can explain the company putting out positive news and the stock price being negative.
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Number one, the company itself selling shares as the news comes out on a high volume day to raise money,
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which they can then put on their balance sheet and allow them to be better capitalized to continue their research and development.
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That's number one.
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Number two is institutions that have owned the stock for a
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while or participated in previous private placements or secondary offerings own shares
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and are selling them on the open market on a day the stock pops up.
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That's possible.
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Number three, short selling.
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Number four, insider selling.
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Now, insiders do have to be a little bit careful.
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There's lockout periods where insiders are not able to sell right around news because, of course, they know insider information, and so there are restrictions around that.
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I worry about that more with foreign listed securities, especially Chinese Malaysian stocks that may not have people that follow the rules,
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but I don't worry about it as much with U.S publicly trade companies and Beyond Air as a U.S company.
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So for whatever reason, the stock ends up doing this reversal.
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And you know what's interesting is that the XBI, which is the biotech ETF, is actually having one of its best years in the last decade.
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I mean, it's having a really good year.
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The ETF is up in the last 18 months, like over 200%.
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So biotech is hot right now.
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Biotech sector across the board.
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Individual biotech stocks, obviously, are leading the way.
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Not all of them will.
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And all the small cap ones, some of them will fail.
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But this year, we have seen a number of really nice biotech stocks.
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And so this is something that I'm definitely paying attention to.
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But I'm also not trying to fight the momentum.
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If something's not working like XAIR, I'm just leaving it alone.
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So on this one, it comes out with breaking news.
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It pops up.
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I have my hand on the buy button.
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I'm watching it.
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I'm watching at 550, but the volume's a little too light right here.
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See how the volume was building up?
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But even right there, the volume was still less than half a million shares.
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So I was like, I'm not sure if I can trust this.
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As quickly as it pops up, it could drop right back down, right?
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A big seller comes and just pushes it down.
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It could be the end of it.
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And then the chart's broken and I'm in too high.
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So I wait, I wait, I'm watching it here, comes back to 650 right here.
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It pushes a little higher.
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I missed that trade.
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Again, hand was on the buy button, but I was like, do I really want to buy it at high of day?
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Volume is still pretty light.
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I don't.
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Pulls back.
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I'm like, it's all right.
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If it's a really strong setup, a really strong stock, I'll get another setup.
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And I didn't.
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And this here, this sort of liquidation, this big flush, interestingly, this stock was on short sale restriction.
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So that big flush there that we had on the one minute chart was not from shorts hitting the bid.
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Shorts could not market this stock and, you know, bury it because it was on short sale restriction.
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So all of that selling either came from long buyers who bought in this area and bailed out here,
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the company itself selling, institutional investors that have held it for a while selling, or insider selling.
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It's one of those scenarios, and we're not sure which one.
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We can only speculate.
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So XAIR ends up failing.
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All right, so now I've got a couple failures in a row.
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We got NCRA.
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This one popped up earlier.
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Ends up failing as well.
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It's rallying up now, but I was not interested in it.
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And so none of these stocks were really that great.
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COOT, this is one of the ones on the watch list, Australian from Friday.
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It was gapping up on Friday.
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Ended up kind of selling off a bit.
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But AEHL, this one, I did trade.
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And this one has this after hours move on Friday to Chinese stock.
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And basically, I was skeptical about it, but this is the way I approached it.
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I saw that we had this move on Friday, of course.
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And then I noticed pre-market that we were kind of basing out in this area.
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So we had popped up at 4 a.m and sold off, came back to VWAP and rejected, back up and rejected again.
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Then we come back up here and we break through.
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And so I ended up jumping in as it squeezes higher right through here.
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So this is my trade.
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I only took one trade on it.
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And I'll hide my video so you can just see those orders.
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So I was in at 662, 669, and 682 buying as it was squeezing up here for the
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break of seven it breaks seven hits a high of 709 doesn't hold comes back down
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and i'm selling it for about 11 cents per share of profit on 9 000 shares 975.63
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that was not a very exciting trade it ends up selling off comes back up here i don't trade it
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because now at this point i'm not sure i can really trust it i noticed
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that we have um you know sort of this uh this is a channel
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that i was sort of drawing here
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but uh you know we had this um sort of peak here with topping tail a big topping tail here
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so i didn't trade it in there i didn't really trust it
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and you know i sort of felt like maybe i was leaving money on the table
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but at the end of the day august has been a
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roller coaster two of my biggest red days of the year a couple big green days
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and so today finishing the month with a small green day and no trades in the small account, I'll take it.
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It's the end of August.
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September begins tomorrow.
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And so for those of you guys who've been watching over my shoulder
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and thinking about how you can be more active in the market, I would encourage you to check out our two-week trial.
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We also have our Labor Day sales running right now, but you're welcome to begin the trial at the very least, two weeks for 20 bucks.
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And that gives you this week to be in the chat room
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and see what it's like to use this software right here for charting, scanning, and breaking news what it's like to go through some of my classes, to listen to my market commentary.
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And if you decide you like it, then by the end of the week, you can join using the Labor Day Sale coupon code.
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And if it's not a good fit for you, then the two-week trial doesn't auto-renew to anything.
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It's just two weeks for 20 bucks.
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You cover your market data and some of your server costs and you get what you get out of it.
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So I hope you guys check it out.
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I'll put links in the description for both the Labor Day Sale and the two-week trial.
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And I'll be back at it first thing tomorrow morning, streaming at 7 a.m.
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Eastern Standard Time.
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So I'll see you guys then.
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But I'll remind you, as always, that trading is risky.
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My results are not typical.
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And there's no guarantee you'll find success whether you trade with me or you learn on your own.
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So please manage your risk, take it slow, and always practice in a simulator before putting real money on the line.
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With that, I'll see you guys back at it bright and early tomorrow morning.
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אוצר מילים והערות הגייה לשיעור הזה
שיעור הדיבור הזה ברמה C1 מבוסס על הסרטון “It Only Takes 1 Good Trade..”. המילים שחוזרות הכי הרבה: stock, selling, trade, share, seller. בסרטון הזה יש 203 משפטים ו-2396 מילים לתרגול Shadowing. הדיבור נמשך 12:08. הדובר מדבר מהר, כ-197 מילים בדקה, אז צפו לצלילים מחוברים ומקוצרים. 85% מהמילים נמצאות בין 3,000 המילים הנפוצות ביותר באנגלית; כדאי ללמוד את השאר לפני שמתחילים.
אוצר מילים מרכזי בסרטון הזה
15 המילים המתקדמות ביותר בסרטון, עם ההגייה והמשמעות שלהן:
| מילה | הגייה | משמעות |
|---|---|---|
| seller שם עצם | /ˈsɛlɚ/ | מוֹכֵר, מוֹכֶרֶת |
| insider שם עצם | /ɪnˈsaɪdɚ/ | אִישׁ סוֹד |
| buyer שם עצם | /ˈbaɪ.əɹ/ | קוֹנֶה |
| cellar שם עצם | /ˈsɛləɹ/ | מַרְתֵּף |
| restriction שם עצם | /ɹɪˈstɹɪkʃən/ | הַגְבָּלָה, סְיָג |
| candle שם עצם | /ˈkæn.dəl/ | נֵר |
| buck שם עצם | /ˈbʌk/ | אַיָּל |
| bail שם עצם | /beɪl/ | ערבות |
| scan פועל | /skæn/ | סָרַק |
| excite פועל | /ɪkˈsaɪt/ | הלהיב, עורר |
| catalyst שם עצם | /ˈkæt.ɪ.lɪst/ | זָרָז, קָטָלִיזָטוֹר |
| trader שם עצם | /ˈtɹeɪdɚ/ | סוֹחֵר |
| exclude פועל | /ɪksˈkluːd/ | לא הכליל |
| interpret פועל | /ɪnˈtɜː.pɹɪt/ | דּוֹבֵב |
| breakthrough שם עצם | /ˈbɹeɪk.θɹuː/ | פריצת־דרך |
Phrasal verbs שתשמעו
| מילה | הגייה | משמעות |
|---|---|---|
| come out פועל | /ˌkʌm ˈaʊt/ | יָצָא |
| give up פועל | וִתֵּר | |
| back up פועל | נָסוֹג | |
| check out פועל | בדק | |
| come back פועל | שָׁב |
משפטים שכדאי לחזור עליהם
משפטים קצרים ושלמים מהסרטון שאפשר להשתמש בהם בשיחה יומיומית:
- I'm not really compelled to trade something like that.
- What's the total upside potential?
- I don't feel that I missed it.
- I mean, it's having a really good year.
- I'm like, it's all right.
דקדוק בסרטון הזה
המבנים שהדובר משתמש בהם הכי הרבה, עם המילים המדויקות מהסרטון:
| מבנה | בסרטון |
|---|---|
| הווה מושלם ממושך (Present perfect continuous) have/has been + -ing — פעולה שהתחילה בעבר ועדיין נמשכת עכשיו | that's been selling · who've been watching |
| הווה מושלם (Present perfect) have/has + past participle — פעולה שקרתה בעבר ועדיין יש לה חשיבות או השפעה עכשיו | they've sold · who's been · has become |
| משפטי זיקה (Relative clauses) who / which + clause — מידע נוסף על אדם או דבר | anyone who bought · XBI, which is |
הגייה ששווה לשים לב אליה
הדובר משתמש ב-52 קיצורים וצורות מקוצרות, כמו I'm, don't, didn't. אמרו אותם בצורה הקצרה, כפי שאתם שומעים אותם.
- הצלילים של “th”: thickly /ˈθɪkli/, breakthrough /ˈbɹeɪk.θɹuː/
- הצלילים של “sh” ו-“zh”: restriction /ɹɪˈstɹɪkʃən/, flush /ˈflʌʃ/, bullish /ˈbʊlɪʃ/, liquidation /ˌlɪkwəˈdeɪʃən/, designation /dɛzɪɡˈneɪʃən/
- מילים ארוכות — שימו לב להטעמה: capitalize /ˈkæpətəˌlaɪz/, liquidation /ˌlɪkwəˈdeɪʃən/, simulator /ˈsɪmjəˌleɪtɚ/, designation /dɛzɪɡˈneɪʃən/, automobile /ˈɔː.tə.məˌbil/
צלילים שדוברי עברית מתקשים בהם:
- /w/ — שפתיים מעוגלות, לא /v/: squeeze /skwiːz/, liquidation /ˌlɪkwəˈdeɪʃən/
- /æ/ — פתוח יותר מה-“אֶ” העברית, לא כמו “a” ב-“cup”: candle /ˈkæn.dəl/, scan /skæn/, backside /ˈbækˌsaɪd/, capitalize /ˈkæpətəˌlaɪz/, catalyst /ˈkæt.ɪ.lɪst/
- /r/ — הלשון לא נוגעת בשום מקום, לא ה-“ר” הגרונית: buyer /ˈbaɪ.əɹ/, cellar /ˈsɛləɹ/, restriction /ɹɪˈstɹɪkʃən/, reversal /ɹɪˈvɜː(ɹ)səl/, renew /ɹɪˈnjuː/
איך לתרגל עם הסרטון הזה
- הקשיבו לכל הסרטון פעם אחת בלי לדבר, ורשמו את המילים שאתם לא מכירים.
- התחילו במהירות 0.75×, תרגלו Shadowing משפט אחר משפט, וחזרו למהירות רגילה כשזה מרגיש קל.
- הקליטו את עצמכם והשוו למקור, תוך תשומת לב למילים כמו seller, insider, buyer.
מהי טכניקת השאדואינג?
שאדואינג היא טכניקת למידת שפה מבוססת מדע שפותחה במקור להכשרת מתורגמנים מקצועיים ופופולרית על ידי הפוליגלוט ד"ר אלכסנדר ארגואלס. השיטה פשוטה אך עוצמתית: אתה מקשיב לאודיו באנגלית ילידית וחוזר עליו בקול רם מיד — כמו צל העוקב אחרי הדובר עם עיכוב של 1–2 שניות בלבד. בניגוד להאזנה פסיבית או תרגילי דקדוק, שאדואינג מכריח את המוח והשרירים בפה לעבד ולשחזר דפוסי דיבור אמיתיים בו זמנית. מחקרים מראים שזה משפר משמעותית את דיוק ההגייה, האינטונציה, הקצב, הדיבור המחובר, הבנת השמיעה ושטף הדיבור — מה שהופך אותו לאחת השיטות היעילות ביותר להכנה לIELTS Speaking ולתקשורת באנגלית בעולם האמיתי.