Pratica di Shadowing: 지금부터가 진짜 시작? 비트마인 톰 리가 코인 추가 상승을 전망하는 이유 - Impara a parlare inglese con i video
Creazione lezione...
1
This crypto bull market is probably going to be bigger than other cycles.
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Every crypto bull market has a driver.
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It was the ICO boom, NFT boom.
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The first is tokenization.
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There is a mistake to think just because AI stocks are doing well, crypto won't do well.
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In the world of AI and agents, crypto plays a critical role.
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The use of AI agents trading crypto, using crypto, creating an economy, That's just beginning and that's another major wave.
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직접 Insights Report 자, 그러면 오늘은 톱니와 함께 과연 월가의 시선으로 한국 시장은 어떻게 보이는지
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또 모두에 관심사기도 하죠 암호 앞에서 이더리움 시장은 어떻게 보고 계시는지 한번 알아보도록 하겠습니다 선생님 안녕하십니까?
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안녕하십니까?
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펀드 스트랩의 공동창업자이자 또 리서치 총괄을 굉장히 오래 하셨더라고요 그러니까 리서치를 오래 하셨다 보니까 이 월가에서 과연 우리나라 한국 주식시장을
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I'm curious about how to look at the market, and how can I look at the market, and how can I look at it, and how can I look at it, and how can I look at it, and how can I look at it, and how can I look at it,
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and how can I look at it, and how can I look at it, and how can I look at it, and how can I look at it, and how can I look at it, and how can I look at it, and how can I look at it, and how can I look at it, and how can I look at it, and how can I look at it, and how can I look at it, and how can I look at it, and how can I look at it, and how can I look at it, and how can I look at it, and how can I look at it, and how can I look at it, and how can I look at it,
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and how can I look at it, and how can I look at it, and how can few years,
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because of the AI boom and the boom happening with NVIDIA and Taiwan Semiconductor and Samsung and Hynix, investors have become very interested.
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And there are some new ways for them to get exposure, like the DRAM ETF and the listing of Hynix.
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So U .S investors view Korea as central to the AI trade.
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So when a U .S investor says, I want to have exposure to AI, They say, of course, NVIDIA, Taiwan Semiconductor, of course, MAG7,
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and of course, Samsung and SK Hynix.
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So it's very much not only a central part of the trade, but they like Korea because they realize Korea is a bottleneck as well.
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You know, they're a manufacturing partner for AI, and of course, really critical when it comes to memory.
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If you want to invest in Korea, do you think there are some of the things that you want to see in Korea?
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Well, thematically, Korea sits at an important juncture because they are a supplier to not only the United States,
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right, and especially industrial shipping and defense but they're also a critical manufacturing partner in the greater Asia area.
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So I do think investors are probably more familiar with like the industrials.
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And in the US, there is the Hanwha ETF, KDEF.
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And I know that that's done very well.
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So I do think there is interest and they've gathered some assets.
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But when it comes to things like Korean financials or Korean consumer I don't think American investors are as familiar with those.
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I've seen an interview that Ethereum can go to 6 million dollars.
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Oh, so I'm an Ethereum investor.
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I'm an Ethereum investor.
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Can you tell us a lot about Ethereum?
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Ethereum is probably one of the most important cryptocurrencies out there
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because it is the most widely used and adopted for tokenization at the moment.
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And Ethereum has been highly secure, 100 % uptime, never had any downtime.
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And the current evolution roadmap includes increasing block size and speed capabilities.
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So Ethereum today is at 2 ,600, 2 ,700.
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The prior high was 5 ,000.
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Where do I think Ethereum should be in the future?
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I think 60 ,000 is very achievable because, for instance, in the next crypto bull market, and we believe a crypto bull market starting,
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Ethereum is leading this up move.
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For instance, since the end of June, Ethereum is the best performing major crypto.
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So it's outperformed Solana and it's outperformed Bitcoin.
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And in the last two major bull markets, Ethereum went up.
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anywhere from 17 times to 60 times
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so if the old high was 50 ,000
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or 5 ,000 just a 10x move is 50 ,000 a
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12 times move is 60 ,000 do I think you can justify 60 ,000 ETH in a few years?
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I think it's still very possible 그럼 이것도 약간 개조이긴 한데
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AI가 최근에 발달하면서 이런 이더리움 같은 암호화폐 가격에 좀 긍정적인 영향을
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미칠 수 있지 않을까 기대하는 분들이 많이 계시는데 What do you think about the AI stocks that are doing well,
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crypto won't do well?
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What's really worked in 2026 is not just AI stocks only, but the downstream stories.
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And the downstream stories that are really obvious to AI are MAG7 and software,
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including cybersecurity, and then of course it's crypto because in the world of AI and agents, crypto plays a critical role.
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One is it's going to serve a role of keeping humans in the loop, whether it's on security or enforcing contracts.
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We're already seeing so many stories of AI escaping labs, AI breaking rules, sending emails on your behalf.
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Well, with smart contracts, you can literally enforce code.
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The second, of course, is actually payment systems.
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AI AI is going to start using digital money, traditional payment rails are too slow and the units are too large,
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I don't think AI agents are going to necessarily be using visa cards, bank transfers, they're going to be carrying crypto wallet,
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so crypto is the downstream story for AI 최근에 시장에서 한국
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투자자들은 이 clarity 법안의 통과가 좌초되면서 좀 시장에 부정적인 영향을 미치지
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않을까 좀 걱정을 많이 했거든요 근데 얼마 전에 톰 류님이 말한
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걸 보니까 이런 입법의 불확실성은 대세를 꺾을 수 없다 이렇게 얘기해 주셨거든요 그것도 어떻게 생각하십니까?
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really well.
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Crypto prices have been going up more dramatically ever since Clarity failed.
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And I think it reflects two things.
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One is without Clarity Act,
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90 % of what needs to be regulating crypto is going to be accomplished by rulemaking from the CFTC and the SEC.
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The Clarity Act simply just deems them as the organizations that have authority, but they already have authority today.
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But I think the other thing for everyone to keep in mind is that the Clarity Act had bipartisan support.
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Bipartisan means the Democrats and the Republicans both supported the bill.
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But before midterm elections, if the Clarity Act passed before the midterms, then it's, quote, President Trump bill, right?
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So the Republicans would take credit.
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That's why it failed because the Democrats didn't want to support a bill
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that was going to help the Republicans for the midterms.
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After the midterm elections, whichever party is going to be controlling the Senate and the House will support the Clarity Act.
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So it's going to pass anyways.
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It probably just happens after the midterms.
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Okay, I understand.
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We said this year is that in June, we thought crypto was entering crypto spring.
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So we've now decisively seen evidence that that was correct, that a crypto bull market started at the end of June.
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Why do we believe there is a bull market underway is many reasons.
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Number one, Bitcoin is above its 200 -day moving average.
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That has never happened in a bear market.
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So Bitcoin is clearly back into a bull market.
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ETF flows into crypto have turned positive for the year.
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That never happens in a bear market.
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So we have positive flows into Bitcoin.
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Bitcoin and Ethereum and Solana performance, Ethereum has doubled from its lows.
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That has never happened in a bear market.
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And October 5th, that's what people call the four -year cycle.
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We actually had argued crypto was going to bottom before the four -year cycle.
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And again, it looks like we're correct.
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So if our view is correct, then crypto is going to have a very big move between today and the end of the year.
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The reason you can argue crypto has a lot of upside is that gold has improved.
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It's gold. has made new highs.
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Bitcoin is digital gold, so the ceiling for Bitcoin, the minimum ceiling is Bitcoin should have the same value as gold,
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and that's two and a half million dollar Bitcoin, and Bitcoin's at 80 ,000 today.
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Well, if Bitcoin can get to two and a half million, and that's simply serving as a quote,
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store value, then cryptos like Ethereum should go up even more.
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A lot of investors were believing crypto was going to strictly follow the four -year cycle,
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and in fact, that's what kept many people out of the crypto market many what they call crypto goats,
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original investors, aren't planning to buy crypto until October.
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They were actually trying to short the move from June 30th into October.
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So I think it caught many people by surprise.
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But again, that was not our view.
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We believed crypto was going to bottom earlier, which in fact it has.
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That skepticism that people have today, because Because October isn't even here yet, Bitcoin has moved a lot, and a lot of people are bearish.
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That's going to fuel upside into the end of the year.
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So, I think we can get upside -downs to what's going on in the market.
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What's going on in the market?
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What's going on in the market?
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We can probably just look at the last 12 months and say, what triggered the downside moves in crypto, and it's really been two things.
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One is quantum risks.
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There's a lot of concerns about Bitcoin and its vulnerability to quantum.
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Ethereum and Solana and others have less risk around that
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because the wallets can be upgraded and the networks themselves are upgraded frequently.
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Ethereum upgrades every six months.
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So quantum resistance is going to develop very quickly on the smart contract platforms.
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But Bitcoin still has not decided how they're going to deal with quantum risk.
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That, I think, is a potential downside risk, because if a researcher announces that what they call Q -day, quantum day, is moving up,
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before a solution is created, people are going to worry about Bitcoin.
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The second downside risk is what we call deleveraging events.
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That was October last year, was a massive unwind of leverage.
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And then earlier this year, in February, when the war started, there was a huge amount of deleveraging.
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The good news is crypto markets don't have a lot of leverage at the moment, so that the leveraging risk is much smaller.
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Are you looking at that?
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Are you wondering if the investors are going to be better at any time?
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That's why this crypto bull market is probably going to be bigger than other cycles
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because every crypto bull market has a driver.
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In 2016, 2017 it was the ICO boom.
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In 2019 to 2021 it was the NFT boom.
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Last year, it was the adoption of stablecoins.
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In the next few years, there's two major waves driving crypto adoption.
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The first is tokenization.
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Tokenization is really turning dollars, stocks, bonds, real estate into digital renditions.
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That's being embraced by BlackRock, Robinhood, Revolut, Fidelity.
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That's a massive, massive wave that's going to be using Ethereum and Solana to create these tokenized assets.
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Since 2017, the ratio of what they call assets on a blockchain to its underlying value has been one -to -one.
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So if you have a trillion dollars of assets tokenized on Ethereum, the network value should be roughly a trillion.
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There's 140 trillion of assets that can be tokenized.
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So the upside is substantial.
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And the use of AI agents trading crypto, using crypto, using crypto wallets, creating an economy, that's just beginning.
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And that's another major wave.
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So to me, I think that this crypto bull market is going to be less about Bitcoin and a lot more about Ethereum Then,
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if tokenization is in the AI era, will it be faster?
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Well, AI is advancing at a pace that seems to be going faster, right?
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Like Meta's Muse, for instance, is a big increase in functionality, or what they call gain -of -function.
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This is before physical AI has actually been deployed.
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What I mean by that is the next wave is going to be robots
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and appliances and cars and drones that have AI capabilities and interacting in the real world.
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That's also a lot more risk to human systems because if you have a drone that's actually carrying money,
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how are we going to be sure that that agent and robot is acting on actual instructions or to take a rogue?
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That's where you're going to need to keep, quote, humans in the loop.
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And again, one of the most secure ways to keep humans in the loop and enforce contracts is a smart contract,
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a blockchain, which of course is Ethereum or Solana.
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Then I would like to ask a little bit more about what I would like to ask.
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Ethereum, public blockchain, and the public blockchain, they will be able to make the money on the chain.
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They will be able to do this, not to be able to do this.
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What do you think is more important?
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Anybody can use and create their own private chains.
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But the one issue is going to be, will other people use it?
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If you create tokens on a private chain, and other institutions, and the public don't actually use it,
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then it's basically no different than software.
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And we've already seen ample evidence of that, that companies have tried to launch their own, what they call L1, their own blockchains.
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For instance, Tempo is from Stripe, but it's not being widely used, because everyone says, well, that's a Stripe blockchain.
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And Stripe will put their fat finger on that chain to make sure it benefits Stripe.
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I think that's the reason why public chains work well, because there are neutral settlement layers and it allows innovation to happen.
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Ultimately, the key question is going to be in this world of tokenization and rapid tokenization of assets,
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are companies that are native crypto that build organizations that tokenize from scratch,
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are they going to do better than traditional financial institutions trying to tokenize and trying to keep those systems in closed loops?
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Robinhood is a great example.
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Their Robinhood chain, which is an L2 of Ethereum, has been a breakaway success.
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But that's because the L2 is EVM compatible runs on Ethereum.
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And Robinhood, I would say, in some ways looks like a native digital company, much more than a traditional financial institution.
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The S &P 500 right now is 7 ,700.
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So 8 ,200 is roughly a 10 % rise.
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This is a midterm election year.
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So we have three months left or what they call the final quarter.
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A 10 % rise, I think, is actually pretty modest upside in a typical year.
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So I think 8 ,200 is actually the low side.
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I think the S &P could move more in the final quarter because number one, the midterm election uncertainty is behind us.
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And once that's behind us, I think you're gonna see Congress actually change some positions.
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For instance, before the election, over the midterms, the Democratic Party has been vocally opposing data centers and AI and hyperscalers.
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But part of the reason for their opposition is that hyperscalers
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and building these data centers and supporting them only helped the Republicans who are in control of the Senate.
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If the Democrats become and control the Senate after the midterms, they'll support hyperscalers and data centers, which means the AI trade will come back big.
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Similarly, as I mentioned before, the CLARITY Act.
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Democratic opposition, if they control the Senate, they're going to support passage of the Clarity Act, and that'll be good for crypto.
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So I think a lot of things get clarified after the midterms, and that's why I think stocks do well in the fourth quarter.
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So, I think that's why I think stocks do well in the fourth quarter.
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I think it's going to look forward to the end of the rally.
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I think it's going to look forward to the end of the rally.
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I think it's going to look forward to the end of the rally.
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I think it's going to look forward to the end of the rally.
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To me, the leadership that comes out of the third quarter, third quarter is June 30th to September 30th.
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Whatever leads in the third quarter, unless there's some reason they won't continue to have support in the fourth quarter, should be leading in the fourth quarter.
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It's another what you call a second half trade.
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The best performing trade in the third quarter so far is crypto crypto, and many institutions have zero exposure to crypto.
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So I think they're going to chase Ethereum and Bitcoin and Solana in the fourth quarter.
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So that's number one.
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To me, I think the AI trade comes back.
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So semis, hyperscalers, Nvidia come back strong in the fourth quarter.
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The Mag7 is a downstream trade and software, they've already done well in the third quarter.
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We think they'll be strong in the fourth quarter.
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The wild card is whether inflation data comes in better than expected.
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That's been our view.
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And if that's the case, then the Fed will be less hawkish, which means they're less likely to hike,
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then groups like financials and industrials and small caps will do well.
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But I'd say regardless of what the Fed does, crypto leads in the fourth quarter.
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But we have a lot of concern about the U .S.
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The U .S economy is concerned about the U .S economy
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and the U .S economy is concerned about the U .S economy and the U .S.
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economy is concerned about the U .S economy and the U .S economy is concerned about the U .S.
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economy is concerned about the U .S economy and the U .S.
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economy is concerned about the U .S economy.
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And of course, a lot of people who borrow money, this is creating a lot of pain.
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But the stock market can handle higher interest rates.
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Because one of the reasons interest rates are going up is that US growth is picking up.
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So strong growth is usually associated with higher rates.
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Crypto has massively outperformed expectations.
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Because people said if interest rates go up, crypto should go down, and crypto is having a huge quarter already,
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so to me, I think it's proof that crypto isn't a bull market, if crypto can go up on bad news, it's a bull market.
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Okay, so you came from Korea to Korea, and there are a lot of foreign assets in Korea, and there are a lot of foreign assets in Korea.
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So, I would like to say, how do you invest in Korea?
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Well, there's some advice we give to our clients in the US all the time, which is number one, don't time the market.
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I think a lot of people made a mistake dumping the crypto early this year
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because they said they gave up believing AI is the only trade, and they missed out on huge moves,
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including BitMine, which made a huge move from 15 to almost 30.
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But number two,
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we really advise investors to be careful about using leverage or margin debt Because whenever someone carries debt on their trade,
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they'll sometimes be forced to liquidate a position before time has come out in their favor So again,
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if they want to have exposure, especially to volatile assets like AI and Crypto,
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I would not borrow money to make those investments Have you ever come to Korea to come to Korea?
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Yes, we have plans to visit Korea again.
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It's an important market.
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It's a market that is important because not only are Korean investors active US investors, but they have access to US stocks.
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But of course, Korean investors are active in crypto.
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So yeah, it's a market that we will visit many times in a year.
243
알겠습니다 오늘은 정말 보시기 어려운 비트마이너 회장님이신 톰니 선생님과 함께 이야기를
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나눠봤습니다 톰니 선생님은 오늘 여러분들 인터뷰 들으셔서 알겠지만 굉장히 사실 강한
245
뷰로 유명하신 분이죠 오늘도 미국 시장과 가상자산에 대해서 아마 굉장히 좋은
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말을 해주셨는데 여러분들의 투자에 많은 도움이 되셨기를 한번 기대해보겠습니다 오늘 함께 오신 톰니 회장님에게 인사드리고 마무리하도록 하겠습니다 여러분 감사합니다 감사합니다
247
Thank you.
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Vocabolario e note di pronuncia per questa lezione
Questo video contiene 238 frasi e 3267 parole da ripetere con lo shadowing. Il parlato dura 24:43. Chi parla mantiene un ritmo costante di circa 132 parole al minuto, comodo per lo shadowing. Solo il 80% delle parole rientra nelle 3.000 più comuni dell’inglese, quindi il lessico è impegnativo.
Vocaboli chiave di questo video
15 parole meno comuni del video, con pronuncia e significato:
- investor /ɪnˈvɛs.tə(ɹ)/ (sostantivo) — investitore, investitrice. A person who invests money in order to make a profit.
- asset /ˈæsɛt/ (sostantivo) — bene, proprietà. A thing or quality that has value, especially one that generates cash flows.
- clarity /ˈklæɹ.ɪ.ti/ (sostantivo) — chiarezza. The state or measure of being clear, either in appearance, thought or style; lucidity.
- blockchain (sostantivo) — catena di blocchi, blockchain. A shared record of past transactions in a distributed network, typically used for cryptocurrency.
- exposure /ɪkˈspəʊ.ʒə(ɹ)/ (sostantivo) — esposizione. The condition of being exposed, uncovered, or unprotected.
- institution /ˌɪn.stɪˈtʃuː.ʃən/ (sostantivo) — istituzione. A long-established organization or type of organization, particularly one involved with education, public service, or charity work.
- rally /ˈɹæli/ (sostantivo) — raduno, manifestazione. A public gathering or mass meeting that is not mainly a protest and is organized to inspire enthusiasm for a cause.
- loop /luːp/ (sostantivo) — cappio. A length of thread, line or rope that is doubled over to make an opening.
- leverage /ˈlɛv.(ə.)ɹɪd͡ʒ/ (sostantivo) — potenza, leveraggio. A force compounded by means of a lever rotating around a pivot.
- downstream /ˌdaʊnˈstɹiːm/ (aggettivo) — a valle. Toward the lower part of a stream; with the current (of a river, brook, or other flow of fluid).
- wallet /ˈwɑl.ət/ (sostantivo) — portafoglio, borsellino. A small case, often flat and often made of leather, for keeping money (especially paper money), credit cards, etc.
- enforce /ɪnˈfoɹs/ (verbo) — applicare, rispettare. To keep up, impose or bring into effect something, not necessarily by force.
- downside /ˈdaʊnˌsaɪd/ (sostantivo) — il rovescio della medaglia, lato negativo. A disadvantageous aspect of something that is normally advantageous.
- argue /ˈɑɹ.ɡju/ (verbo) — discutere, dibattere. To show grounds for concluding (that); to indicate, imply.
- roughly /ˈɹʌf.li/ (avverbio) — aprprossimativamente, a grosso modo. In a rough manner; without kindness, softness, or gentleness.
I phrasal verb che sentirai
- look at (verbo) — guardare. To observe or watch.
- go up (verbo) — salire. To move upwards.
- look forward to (verbo) — non vedere l'ora. To anticipate, expect, or wait for, especially with a feeling of approval or pleasure; to be excited or eager to.
- come back (verbo) — tornare. To return to a place.
- deal with (verbo) — fare i conti. To handle verbally or in some form of artistic expression; to address or discuss as a subject.
- give up (verbo) — arrendersi. To surrender (someone or something); to inform on (someone).
- pick up (verbo) — tirare su, sollevare. To lift; to grasp and raise.
Pronuncia a cui fare attenzione
Chi parla usa 37 contrazioni e forme ridotte, come they're, don't, I'm. Pronunciale nella forma breve, così come le senti.
- I suoni “sh” e “zh”: exposure /ɪkˈspəʊ.ʒə(ɹ)/, institution /ˌɪn.stɪˈtʃuː.ʃən/, adoption /əˈdɑp.ʃən/, evolution /ˌiːvəˈluːʃ(ə)n/, ratio /ˈɹeɪ.ʃoʊ/
- Parole lunghe — attenzione all’accento: institution /ˌɪn.stɪˈtʃuː.ʃən/, capability /ˌkeɪ.pəˈbɪl.ɪ.ti/, necessarily /ˌnɛs.əˈsɛɹ.ə.li/, evolution /ˌiːvəˈluːʃ(ə)n/, innovation /ˌɪn.əˈveɪ.ʃən/
Come esercitarsi con questo video
- Ascolta tutto il video una volta senza parlare e annota le parole che non conosci.
- Fai shadowing frase per frase a velocità normale, ripetendo ognuna finché il tuo ritmo coincide con quello di chi parla.
- Registrati e confronta con l’originale, facendo attenzione a parole come investor, asset, clarity.
La grammatica di questo video
Le strutture che chi parla usa di più, con le parole esatte del video:
| Struttura | Nel video |
|---|---|
| Present perfect have/has + participio passato — un’azione passata che conta ancora adesso | have become · they've gathered · I've seen |
| Forma passiva be + participio passato — conta ciò che accade, non chi lo fa | be accomplished · can be upgraded · is created |
| Frasi relative who / which + frase — un’informazione in più su una persona o una cosa | chain, which is · centers, which means · hawkish, which means |
Cos'è la tecnica dello Shadowing?
Shadowing è una tecnica di apprendimento delle lingue supportata da studi scientifici, originariamente sviluppata per la formazione dei traduttori professionisti e resa popolare dal poliglotta Dr. Alexander Arguelles. Il metodo è semplice ma potente: ascolti un audio in inglese di madrelingua e lo ripeti immediatamente ad alta voce — come un'ombra che segue il parlante con un ritardo di solo 1–2 secondi. A differenza dell'ascolto passivo o degli esercizi di grammatica, lo shadowing costringe il tuo cervello e i muscoli della bocca a elaborare e riprodurre simultaneamente i modelli di discorso reale. La ricerca dimostra che migliora significativamente la precisione della pronuncia, l'intonazione, il ritmo, il discorso connesso, la comprensione dell'ascolto e la fluidità del parlato — rendendolo uno dei metodi più efficaci per la preparazione alla prova di speaking dell'IELTS e per la comunicazione reale in inglese.