ฝึกพูดภาษาอังกฤษด้วยเทคนิค Shadowing จากวิดีโอ: Why Hasn’t Iran’s Economy Collapsed?

เลือกโหมดฝึก

แต่ละโหมดจะเปิดห้องฝึกแบบเต็มจอ

95 ประโยค

หากประโยคสั้นหรือยาวเกินไป กดที่ Edit เพื่อปรับแก้

A couple of months ago, once it had become clear that airstrikes alone wouldn't force an Iranian capitulation,

the Trump administration pivoted from a strategy of military coercion to one of economic coercion.

The bombing stopped and the US instead imposed a naval blockade of everything going in or out of Iran's ports, accompanied by some fresh sanctions,

in the hopes of imposing enough damage on the Iranian economy to force further concessions.

At first glance, it looks like this plan, or at least the first bit of it, is working remarkably well.

Iran's currency, the rial, has cratered against the dollar.

Inflation has duly spiked to a record high of about 90%.

And in July, the IMF said that it expects the Iranian economy to contract by 5 .4 % this year,

which will be the sharpest contraction since the Iran -Iraq war in the 1980s.

This is probably an underestimate as well.

Data released by Iran's statistical centre last month showed

that GDP shrank by 10 .1 % year on year between March 21st and June 20th, the first quarter of the Persian calendar.

Nonetheless, despite all of this, the regime has shown little interest in making further concessions.

So in this video, we're going to explain why Trump's new strategy of economic coercion isn't really working and why Iran's economy, bad as it might be, hasn't yet collapsed.

For the latest issue of our magazine Too Long, we interviewed The Economist's new Washington bureau chief Shashank Joshi,

all about what he said has left Donald Trump bruised, weakened and humiliated.

That's just one of the articles in our longest issue ever.

Subscribe to get your copy by clicking the link in the description.

So as we see it, there are mainly two reasons the Iranian economy hasn't collapsed at

least not to the extent required to force a change in Iranian strategy.

The first is that the Iranian state has, over time,

become very good at essentially transferring money and resources away from what we might call the normal economy towards the state itself.

This makes life extra miserable for ordinary Iranians, but allows the state to continue pursuing its domestic and foreign policy goals.

The exchange rate is a good case in point.

For context, Trump's defenders, including US Treasury Secretary Scott Besant, like to point to the cratering real dollar exchange rate as proof of the efficacy of their sanctions campaign,

with the implication that the Iranian economy is inescapably headed for collapse.

It is true that the real now trades at about 2 .6 million to the dollar, down from about a million last year.

And in a normal economy, such a sharp depreciation would usually signal some sort of crisis.

But Iran is not a normal economy.

Unlike most of the rest of the world, the rial's exchange rate, or more specifically the one that Trump

and co like to cite because Iran actually has a number of exchange rates, is not determined by the free market because the rial isn't freely traded.

Rather, it's determined by Iran's central bank.

The central bank obviously has to take into account what we might describe as the economic fundamentals, which effectively set an upper limit on the strength of the rial.

The central bank couldn't, for instance, set the rial at one to one with the dollar, but the central bank can quite easily devalue the rial, which is exactly what they do and what is happening now

when they want to essentially transfer wealth away from the so -called normal economy towards the state.

This is because devaluations benefit exporters at the expense of importers.

In Iran, because the state has control over basically every big export -oriented business,

including most obviously the oil industry and most households and small businesses are net importers,

this means that devaluations materially benefit the state at the expense of the rest of the economy.

Interestingly this was actually the proximate cause of the massive protests we saw in December

and January which began with bizarre merchants protesting the central bank's decision to devalue the real

which they believed unfairly benefited well -connected exporters at the expense of their own import -dependent businesses.

Anyway one of the main channels through which this transfer of occurs is the inflation rate.

Devaluations stoke inflation, which in turn erodes living standards, meaning Iranian households consume and import less.

Less consumption means more resources for the state to mobilize, and less imports reduces pressure on the real.

This obviously makes things additionally tough for ordinary Iranians, but unless they rise up and topple the regime,

which looks increasingly unlikely, allows the state to insulate themselves from the worst effects of sanctions.

This also speaks to the more general myth about sanctions.

Their advocates often justify their use by claiming that modern sanctions are targeted against political elites or specific decision makers.

In reality, however, this is rarely true.

Elites can usually find ways to shift the economic burden onto someone else.

And there's some evidence to suggest that sanctions have actually hit poorer Iranians hardest.

So that's the first reason that the economic pressure campaign isn't working.

The Iranian state has ways to divert resources away from the normal economy, which is additionally why the headline macro numbers aren't that informative.

On to the second.

sanctions become less effective with time.

Iran has been under some sort of US sanctions for the best part of 30 years, and every time the US President of the day promises

that this latest round of sanctions will finally be the one to break the Ayatollahs.

But while each new round of sanctions usually incurs some temporary economic pain, the Iranian economy always eventually finds its feet,

usually once Iran and its allies have engineered some new workarounds.

2018, when Trump withdrew the nuclear deal and imposed what he described as maximum pressure sanctions, is a good case in point.

Then as now, Trump claimed that this latest round of sanctions would bring the regime to its knees.

Then as now, oil exports, Iran's main source of foreign currency earnings, fell towards zero.

Then as now, there was subsequently a lot of speculation about impending economic crisis.

But an acute crisis never materialised.

Iran was able to find its way around the sanctions, and by 2022, oil exports were back up and the economy was going again.

The private sector has also developed its own coping strategies, including most notably stockpiles.

According to filings made by companies listed on the Tehran Stock Exchange, the average industrial firm has inventories that could last three months.

In sensitive sectors, such as electrical machinery, which has been heavily targeted by US sanctions in the past, firms maintain inventories that could last nearly seven months.

To be clear, this isn't to say that sanctions aren't painful.

They clearly are, as evidenced by both Iran's dismal economic record

and the emphasis that Iranian officials have put on sanctions relief in recent negotiations.

Rather, the point we're trying to make is that their efficacy wanes over time.

So if they haven't yet incurred an economic collapse or change in Iranian strategy, chances are they won't in the future.

All in all, while the US has been able to impose real and very severe harm upon the Iranian economy, it's unlikely to engender a change in Iranian policy,

not least because the brunt of it has been borne by a public with very little means to affect policy, and that is, by most accounts, broadly supportive of the regime's war effort.

Big issues like these don't just happen overnight, they're so often built up over time,

sometimes even decades of small changes and consequences building up to something massive.

And the same can be said about a lot of things in our day -to -day lives, even for something as small as the razor you use.

Countless razor companies have just added new technology and more blades hoping

that they create a better shave

but they've actually done the opposite they've created friction sure you might think

that the extra blades will compensate for inconsistent cutting

but each additional blade on your razor increases surface contact with your skin

which increases friction more friction means more opportunity for irritation instead

of solving the root issue the industry has sold you solutions to a problem they invented.

What you really need is a razor that focuses on precision and that's where Henson comes in.

Henson uses a single precisely supported blade.

Instead of layering blades to compensate for inconsistency, the design focuses on making one blade cut correctly and predictably every single time.

This superb engineering and precise blade tech provides the incredible shave you've been looking for.

Don't just take our word for it, try it out yourself

and we promise you won't be disappointed henson's even offering 100

free blades with your purchase by using our code as well as next day shipping for our uk audience

so just go to henson shaving .com forward slash tldr

or use code tldr at checkout and you'll never need to buy another razor again

ดาวน์โหลดแอป

ทุกอย่างที่ต้องใช้เพื่อพูดได้คล่อง

AI ให้คะแนนการออกเสียงให้คะแนนทุกประโยค

ฝึก IPAเชี่ยวชาญทุกเสียง

คำศัพท์สร้างคลังคำของคุณ

เกมคำศัพท์เล่นไปเรียนไป

สแกน QR

Download on theApp Store Get it onGoogle Play

ช่องเดียวกัน

Everything Wrong With The 2026 World Cup

IELTS PrepTOEFL PrepUniversity Students

Vietnam’s Insane Economic Boom Explained

IELTS PrepBusiness EnglishUniversity Students

FOR YOU

วิดีโอแนะนำ

221 ประโยค

Significant slowdown in AI payoff could tip economy into a recession, says Apollo Global's Slok

Daily ConversationWorking Adults

คำศัพท์และข้อสังเกตด้านการพูดสำหรับบทเรียนนี้

บทเรียนฝึกพูดระดับ B2 นี้ใช้วิดีโอ “Why Hasn’t Iran’s Economy Collapsed?” เป็นสื่อ คำที่ถูกพูดซ้ำบ่อยที่สุด: Iranian, sanctions, economy, economic, blade วิดีโอนี้มี 95 ประโยค และ 1517 คำ สำหรับฝึกพูดตาม ช่วงที่มีเสียงพูดยาว 8:27 ผู้พูดพูดด้วยความเร็วเป็นธรรมชาติ ประมาณ 179 คำต่อนาที ใกล้เคียงกับบทสนทนาในชีวิตประจำวัน มีเพียง 79% ของคำที่อยู่ใน 3,000 คำที่ใช้บ่อยที่สุดในภาษาอังกฤษ คำศัพท์จึงค่อนข้างยาก

คำศัพท์สำคัญในวิดีโอนี้

คำที่ยากที่สุด 15 คำในวิดีโอ พร้อมคำอ่านและความหมาย:

คำศัพท์	คำอ่าน	ความหมาย
sanction คำนาม	/ˈsæŋkʃən/	การลงโทษ
blade คำนาม	/bleɪd/	ใบ, มีด
razor คำนาม	/ˈɹeɪzɚ/	มีดโกน
collapse คำกริยา	/kəˈlæps/	พัง, ถล่ม
friction คำนาม	/ˈfɹɪkʃən/	การสี, การเสียดสี
shave คำกริยา	/ˈʃeɪ̯v/	โกน, โกนหนวด
import คำนาม	/ˈɪm.pɔɹt/	การนำเข้า
inflation คำนาม	/ɪnˈfleɪ.ʃən/	เงินเฟ้อ, ภาวะเงินเฟ้อ
exporter คำนาม		ผู้ส่งออก
importer คำนาม	/ɪmˈpɔː(ɹ)tə(ɹ)/	ผู้นำเข้า
crater คำนาม	/ˈkɹeɪ.tɚ/	แอ่ง
bruise คำนาม	/bɹuz/	รอยช้ำ, รอยฟกช้ำ
contraction คำนาม	/kənˈtɹækʃ(ə)n/	การหดตัว
humiliate คำกริยา	/hjuːˈmɪliˌeɪt/	ฉีกหน้า, หมิ่น
macroeconomics คำนาม	/ˌmæk.ɹoʊˌiː.kəˈnɒ.mɪks/	เศรษฐศาสตร์มหัพภาค

ไวยากรณ์ในวิดีโอนี้

โครงสร้างที่ผู้พูดใช้บ่อยที่สุด พร้อมคำพูดจริงจากวิดีโอ:

โครงสร้าง	ในวิดีโอ
Present perfect have/has + กริยาช่อง 3 — เหตุการณ์ในอดีตที่ยังเกี่ยวข้องกับปัจจุบัน	has cratered · has shown · has left
Passive voice be + กริยาช่อง 3 — เน้นสิ่งที่เกิดขึ้น ไม่ใช่ผู้กระทำ	are targeted · has been borne · can be said
Relative clauses who / which + อนุประโยค — ข้อมูลเพิ่มเติมเกี่ยวกับคนหรือสิ่งของ	rial, which is · economy, which is · machinery, which has

การออกเสียงที่ควรระวัง

ผู้พูดใช้รูปย่อและรูปลดเสียง 22 ครั้ง เช่น isn't, aren't, don't ให้พูดแบบสั้นตามที่ได้ยิน

เสียง “th”: nonetheless /ˌnʌnðəˈlɛs/, withdraw /wɪðˈdɹɔ/, myth /mɪθ/
เสียง “sh” และ “zh”: sanction /ˈsæŋkʃən/, coercion /koʊˈɝʒən/, friction /ˈfɹɪkʃən/, shave /ˈʃeɪ̯v/, inflation /ɪnˈfleɪ.ʃən/
คำยาว — ลงเสียงหนักให้ถูกพยางค์: efficacy /ˈɛf.ɪ.kə.si/, depreciation /dɪˌpɹiːʃɪˈeɪʃən/, humiliate /hjuːˈmɪliˌeɪt/, inconsistency /ˌɪnkənˈsɪstənsi/, irritation /ˌɪɹ.ɪˈteɪ.ʃən/

เสียงที่คนไทยมักออกเสียงยาก:

เสียงท้ายคำ — ออกเสียงให้ครบ ไม่เปลี่ยนเป็นตัวสะกดแบบไทย: rial /ɹiːˈɑːl/, collapse /kəˈlæps/, shave /ˈʃeɪ̯v/, bruise /bɹuz/, dismal /ˈdɪzməl/
/v/ — ไม่ใช่ /w/ ให้ฟันบนแตะริมฝีปากล่าง: shave /ˈʃeɪ̯v/, devalue /diːˈvæljuː/, inventory /ˈɪn.vən.tɹi/, divert /daɪˈvɝt/, invent /ɪnˈvɛnt/
/z/ — เสียงก้อง ไม่ใช่ /s/: razor /ˈɹeɪzɚ/, bruise /bɹuz/, dismal /ˈdɪzməl/, mobilize /ˈməʊbɪlʌɪz/, bizarre /bɪˈzɑː(ɹ)/

วิธีฝึกกับวิดีโอนี้

ฟังวิดีโอให้จบหนึ่งรอบโดยยังไม่ต้องพูด แล้วจดคำที่ยังไม่รู้จัก
เริ่มที่ความเร็ว 0.75× พูดตามทีละประโยค แล้วกลับไปใช้ความเร็วปกติเมื่อเริ่มคล่อง
อัดเสียงตัวเองแล้วเทียบกับต้นฉบับ โดยสังเกตคำอย่าง sanction, blade, razor เป็นพิเศษ

เทคนิค Shadowing คืออะไร?

Shadowing เป็นเทคนิคการเรียนรู้ภาษาที่ได้รับการรับรองทางวิทยาศาสตร์ พัฒนาขึ้นสำหรับการฝึกนักแปลมืออาชีพ วิธีการนี้เรียบง่ายแต่ทรงพลัง: คุณฟังเสียงภาษาอังกฤษจากเจ้าของภาษาและพูดตามทันที — เหมือนเงาที่ตามผู้พูดด้วยช่วงเวลาห่าง 1-2 วินาที การวิจัยแสดงว่าเทคนิคนี้ปรับปรุงความแม่นยำในการออกเสียง ทำนองเสียง จังหวะ การเชื่อมเสียง การฟังเข้าใจ และความคล่องแคล่วในการพูดได้อย่างมีนัยสำคัญ

เทคนิค shadowing: อ่านคู่มือฉบับเต็มทีละขั้นตอน →

ฝึกพูดภาษาอังกฤษด้วยเทคนิค Shadowing จากวิดีโอ: Why Hasn’t Iran’s Economy Collapsed?

เลือกโหมดฝึก

ดาวน์โหลดแอป

Everything Wrong With The 2026 World Cup

Vietnam’s Insane Economic Boom Explained

Trita Parsi: Trump’s Iran Strategy Is A CATASTROPHE

How The Economic Machine Works by Ray Dalio

Iran's crumbling economy

Iran--Who's Really Winning? #shorts

tagesschau 20:00 Uhr, 19.06.2026

미-이란 종전 합의했지만, 전문가들이 경제 정상화 어렵다 말하는 이유 - BBC News 코리아

The $2.5 Trillion Credit Wave Nobody Sees Coming

The REAL Reason Trump Started The Iran War

Who Are the Houthis — and Why Can't Saudi Arabia Defeat Them? | Times Radio

How China Could Fall Into the Middle-Income Trap

Trump addresses the nation amid Iran conflict | IN FULL