Shadowing Practice: No, Really — Is A.I. a Bubble? | The Ezra Klein Show - Learn English Speaking with Video

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41 משפטים
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1
Paul, make the case to me this is a bubble.
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So in Western economic history, there have been like eight or nine of these moments where we build out some giant general purpose technology.
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And so we're building it out like we were the railroads, like we were electrification, like we were the canals, like we were the interstate highways.
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And every one of those moments has led to overbuild.
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There isn't a major economic CapEx episode in Western economic history that didn't end in a rolling series of crises,
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vastly inflated asset prices, and vast oversupply of capacity of whatever the thing was, right?
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Railroads, fiber, take your pick.
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Now, none of this is to say that like AI is frivolous
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or it doesn't work or that there aren't incredibly useful cases for it.
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That's not the point any more than that was the point for railroads, right?
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Railroads are incredibly useful.
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It didn't still end up where something like 50 % of the track miles ever laid turned out to be useless, right?
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So the bubble is this vast oversupply of something, largely fueled now by credit,
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which in turn will lead to massive business failures and write -down of assets.
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So all of this investment is at risk,
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and it's across the entire economy and sitting inside of all kinds of—but it's even sitting inside of your individual, your 401ks.
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So if you're holding an S &P 500 index, my friend, you are very, very long AI, right?
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Get out of my portfolio, Paul.
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Yeah, get that crap out of my portfolio.
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So you're very, very long AI.
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And this is the problem.
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Everything is leveraged to AI across every asset class, across all the retail investing.
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And then the last stat I'll give you, and the reason why
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that matters is we're at record percentages in terms of the percentage of people's net worth that are tied to equity.
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50 % of people's net worth is now in equity.
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So follow that math through.
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Most of equities is currently tech.
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Most of tech is currently AI.
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That's going to only get worse as these two monster IPOs come to market over the next, I don't know, two months or whatever.
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OpenAI and Anthropic?
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OpenAI and Anthropic.
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And just to put that in context, by the way, OpenAI, Anthropic, and SpaceX, if you want to include it,
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combined, those three IPOs are larger than all post -World War II IPOs combined.
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Like, this is a really unusual moment.
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That's a crazy stat.
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It's a crazy stat.
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And not only
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that, the combined value of those companies is larger than the value of the NASDAQ market capitalization at its peak.
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Like the bubble is sitting right in front of people and they want to say,
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well, I expect you to come with blonde hair, not brown hair.
41
Dude, just because it doesn't look the way you want it to look doesn't make it any less fragile.

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המלץ על סרטון

Vocabulary and speaking notes for this lesson

This speaking lesson is built on the video “No, Really — Is A.I. a Bubble?”. The speaker keeps coming back to these words: railroads, Anthropic, Ipos, Openai, stat. This video has 41 sentences and 494 words to shadow. The speech runs for 2:33. The speaker talks fast, about 194 words per minute, so expect linked and reduced sounds. 83% of the words are among the 3,000 most common in English; the rest is worth studying before you start.

Key vocabulary in this video

15 words from the video worth learning, with pronunciation and meaning:

WordPronunciationMeaning
railroad verb/ˈɹeɪlɹoʊd/To transport via railroad.
equity noun/ˈɛk.wɪ.ti/Fairness, impartiality, or justice as determined in light of "natural law" or "natural right".
asset noun/ˈæsɛt/A thing or quality that has value, especially one that generates cash flows.
bubble noun/ˈbʌbəl/A spherically contained volume of air or other gas in a liquid, commonly a soapy liquid.
combine verb/kəmˈbaɪn/To bring (two or more things or activities) together; to unite.
stat adverb/stæt/Immediately; now.
vast adjective/væst/Very large or wide (literally or figuratively).
percentage noun/pə(ɹ)ˈsɛntɪd͡ʒ/The amount, number or rate of something, regarded as part of a total of 100; a part of a whole.
incredibly adverb/ɪŋˈkɹɛdɪbli/In an incredible manner; not to be believed.
portfolio noun/pɔːtˈfəʊ.liˌəʊ/A case for carrying papers, drawings, photographs, maps and other flat documents.
unusual adjective/ʌnˈjuːʒ(u)əl/Not usual, out of the ordinary.
invest verb/ɪnˈvɛst/To spend money, time, or energy on something, especially for some benefit or purpose; used with in.
canal noun/kəˈnæl/An artificial waterway or artificially improved river used for travel, shipping, or irrigation.
mathematics noun/mæθ(.ə)ˈmæt.ɪks/An abstract representational system studying numbers, shapes, structures, quantitative change and relationships between them.
fiber noun/ˈfaɪ.bɚ/A single elongated piece of a given material, roughly round in cross-section, often twisted with other fibers to form thread.

Phrasal verbs you will hear

WordMeaning
build out verbTo develop or expand (a system, structure, project, etc.).
end up verbTo bring to a conclusion.
get out of verbTo leave, exit or escape from; to become free of.

Pronunciation to watch

The speaker uses 13 contractions and reduced forms, such as doesn't, didn't, we're. Say them the short way, as you hear them.

  • The “sh” and “zh” sounds: unusual /ʌnˈjuːʒ(u)əl/, capitalization /ˌkæpɪtəlaɪˈzeɪʃən/, electrification /ɪˈlɛktɹɪfɪkeɪʃən/
  • Long words — get the stress right: incredibly /ɪŋˈkɹɛdɪbli/, portfolio /pɔːtˈfəʊ.liˌəʊ/, unusual /ʌnˈjuːʒ(u)əl/, mathematics /mæθ(.ə)ˈmæt.ɪks/, oversupply /əʊvəsəˈplʌɪ/

How to practise with this video

  1. Listen to the whole video once without speaking and note the words you do not know.
  2. Start at 0.75× speed, shadow it sentence by sentence, then go back to normal speed once it feels easy.
  3. Record yourself and compare with the original, paying attention to words like railroad, equity, asset.

מהי טכניקת השאדואינג?

שאדואינג היא טכניקת למידת שפה מבוססת מדע שפותחה במקור להכשרת מתורגמנים מקצועיים ופופולרית על ידי הפוליגלוט ד"ר אלכסנדר ארגואלס. השיטה פשוטה אך עוצמתית: אתה מקשיב לאודיו באנגלית ילידית וחוזר עליו בקול רם מיד — כמו צל העוקב אחרי הדובר עם עיכוב של 1–2 שניות בלבד. בניגוד להאזנה פסיבית או תרגילי דקדוק, שאדואינג מכריח את המוח והשרירים בפה לעבד ולשחזר דפוסי דיבור אמיתיים בו זמנית. מחקרים מראים שזה משפר משמעותית את דיוק ההגייה, האינטונציה, הקצב, הדיבור המחובר, הבנת השמיעה ושטף הדיבור — מה שהופך אותו לאחת השיטות היעילות ביותר להכנה לIELTS Speaking ולתקשורת באנגלית בעולם האמיתי.

טכניקת Shadowing: קרא את המדריך המלא שלב אחר שלב →