シャドーイング練習: Warren Buffett & Charlie Munger: Diversification - 動画で英語スピーキングを学ぶ

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My name is Mark Hake.
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I'm from Scottsdale, Arizona, and I am very interested in your policies on diversification and also how you concentrate your investments.
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And I've studied your annual reports going back a good number of years, and there's been years where you had a lot of stocks in your marketable,
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equitable securities portfolio, and there was one year where you only had three in 1987.
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So I have two questions.
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Given the number of stocks that you have in the portfolio now, what does that imply about your view of the market in terms of is it fairly valued,
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that kind of idea?
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And second of all, it seems that whenever you take a new investment, you never take less than about 5 %
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and never more than about 10 % of the total portfolio with that new position.
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And I wanted to see if I'm correct about that.
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Yeah, well, on the second point, that really isn't correct.
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We have positions which you don't even see because we only listed the ones above $600 million in the last report, and obviously those are all smaller positions.
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Sometimes that's because they're smaller companies and we couldn't get that much money in.
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Sometimes it's because the prices moved up after we bought them.
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Sometimes it's because we may be selling the position down even.
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But so we have no – there's nothing magic.
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We like to put a lot of money in things that we feel strongly about.
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And that gets back to the diversification question.
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We think diversification, as practice generally, makes very little sense for anyone that knows what they're doing.
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Diversification is a protection against ignorance.
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I mean, if you want to make sure that nothing bad happens to you relative to the market, you own everything.
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There's nothing wrong with that.
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I mean, that is a perfectly sound approach for somebody who does not feel they know how to analyze businesses.
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If you know how to analyze businesses and value businesses, it's crazy to own 50 stocks or 40 stocks or 30 stocks probably.
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Because there aren't that many wonderful businesses that are understandable to a single human being in all likelihood.
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And to have some super wonderful business and then put money in number 30
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or 35 on your list of attractiveness and forego putting more money into number one just strikes Charlie and me as madness.
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And it's conventional practice, and it may, you know, if all you have to achieve is average,
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it may preserve your job.
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But it's a confession, in our view, that you don't really understand the businesses that you own.
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On a personal portfolio basis, I own one stock.
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But it's a business I know.
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And it leaves me very comfortable.
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So, do I need to own 28 stocks in order to have proper diversification?
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It would be nonsense.
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And within Berkshire, I could pick out three of our businesses,
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and I would be very happy if they were the only businesses we owned and I had all my money in Berkshire.
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Now, I love the fact that we can find more than that and that we keep adding to it.
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But three wonderful businesses is more than you need in this life to do very well.
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And the average person isn't going to run into that.
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I mean, if you look at how the fortunes were built in this country, they weren't built out of a portfolio of 50 companies.
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They were built by someone who identified with a wonderful business.
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Coca -Cola is a great example.
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A lot of fortunes have been built on that.
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And there aren't 50 Coca -Colas.
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There aren't 20.
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If there were, it would be fine.
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We could all go out and diversify like crazy among
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that group and get results that would be equal to owning the really wonderful one.
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But you're not going to find it.
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And the truth is you don't need it.
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I mean,
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if you have a really wonderful business is very well protected against the vicissitudes of the economy over time and competition.
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I mean, you know, we're talking about businesses that are resistant to effective competition,
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and three of those will be better than 100 average businesses.
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And they'll be safer, incidentally.
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I mean,
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there is less risk in owning three easy -to -identify wonderful businesses than there is in owning 50 well -known big businesses.
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And it's amazing what has been taught over the years in finance classes about that.
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But I can assure you that I would rather pick...
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If I had to bet the next 30 years on the fortunes of my family
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that would be dependent upon the income from a given group of businesses, I would rather pick three businesses from those we own than own a diversified group of 50.
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Charlie?
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Yeah, what he's saying is that much of what is taught in modern corporate finance courses is twaddle.
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Do you want to elaborate on that, Charlie?
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You cannot believe this stuff.
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I mean, it's a modern portfolio theory, and, yeah, it's...
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It has no utility.
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I mean, it will tell you how to do average, but, you know, I think anybody can figure out how to do average in fifth grade.
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I mean, it's just not that difficult.
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It's elaborate, and, you know, there's lots of little Greek letters and all kinds of things to make you feel that you're in the big leagues, but there is no value added.
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I have great difficulty with it because I am something of a student of dementia, and I have...
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I can ordinarily classify dementia on some theory structure of models, but the modern portfolio theory,
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it involves a type of dementia I just can't even classify.
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Something very strange is going on.
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If you find three wonderful businesses in your life, you'll get very rich.
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and and if you understand them bad things aren't going to happen to
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that those three i mean
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that that's the characteristic of it by the way maybe that's the reason there's
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so much dementia
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if you believe what warren said you could teach the whole course in about a week yeah
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and the high priest wouldn't have any edge over the lay people and that that never sells well Right.

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この動画には、シャドーイング用の文が82文、単語が1039語あります。 音声の長さは7:12です。 話す速さは1分あたり約144語で安定しており、シャドーイングしやすいペースです。 単語の86%は英語の頻出3,000語に含まれます。残りは練習の前に確認しておきましょう。

この動画の重要語彙

動画に出てくる覚えておきたい単語15語を、発音と意味つきで紹介します。

単語発音意味
portfolio 名詞/pɔːtˈfəʊ.liˌəʊ/ポートフォリオ
dementia 名詞/dɪˈmɛnʃə/認知症
fortune 名詞/ˈfɔːtjuːn/運命, 宿命
analyze 動詞/ˈæn.əˌlaɪz/分析する
relative 名詞/ˈɹɛl.ə.tɪv/親戚, 身内
difficulty 名詞/ˈdɪfɪkəlti/難しさ
priest 名詞/ˈpɹiːst/司祭, 牧師
dependent 形容詞/dɪˈpɛndənt/次第, 依存する
utility 名詞/juːˈtɪlɪti/有用, 有用性
leaf 名詞/lif/葉, 葉っぱ
nonsense 名詞/ˈnɒn.səns/無意味, ナンセンス
concentrate 動詞/ˈkɑn.sən.tɹeɪt/集中させる
ignorance 名詞/ˈɪɡ.nɚ.əns/無知
characteristic 名詞/ˌkæɹ(ə)ktəˈɹɪstɪk/特性, 特徴
madness 名詞/ˈmæd.nəs/狂気

動画に出てくる句動詞

単語意味
go back 動詞戻る, 帰る
go out 動詞出る

この動画の文法

話し手がよく使っている文型を、動画の実際の表現とともに紹介します。

文型動画での表現
条件文 if + 節, will/would + 動詞 — 条件とその結果If there were, it would be
受動態 be + 過去分詞 — 誰がするかより、何が起きるかに焦点を当てるwere built · have been built · has been taught
現在完了形 have/has + 過去分詞 — 過去の出来事が今も関係しているI've studied · have been built · has been taught
関係詞節 who / which + 節 — 人や物について情報を加えるsomebody who does · someone who identified

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話し手はaren't, don't, I'mなど、短縮形や弱形を23回使っています。聞こえたとおりの短い形で発音しましょう。

  • 「sh」と「zh」の音: dementia /dɪˈmɛnʃə/, conventional /kənˈvɛnʃənl̩/, assure /əˈʃʊɹ/, confession /kənˈfɛʃən/, diversification /daɪˌvɜːsɪfɪˈkeɪʃən/
  • 長い単語(アクセントの位置に注意): portfolio /pɔːtˈfəʊ.liˌəʊ/, elaborate /ɪˈlæb.ə.ɹeɪt/, difficulty /ˈdɪfɪkəlti/, utility /juːˈtɪlɪti/, characteristic /ˌkæɹ(ə)ktəˈɹɪstɪk/

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  3. 自分の声を録音して元の音声と比べます。portfolio, dementia, fortuneなどの単語に特に注意しましょう。

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シャドーイング(Shadowing)は、もともとプロの通訳者養成プログラムで開発された言語学習法で、多言語習得者として知られるDr. Alexander Arguelles によって広く普及されました。方法はシンプルですが非常に効果的:ネイティブスピーカーの英語を聞きながら、1〜2秒の遅延で声に出してすぐに繰り返す——まるで「影(shadow)」のように話者を追いかけます。文法ドリルや受動的なリスニングと異なり、シャドーイングは脳と口の筋肉が同時にリアルタイムで英語を処理・再現することを強制します。研究により、発音精度、抑揚、リズム、連音、リスニング力、そして会話の流暢さが大幅に向上することが確認されています。IELTSスピーキング対策や自然な英語コミュニケーションを目指す方に特におすすめです。

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