跟读练习: Warren Buffett & Charlie Munger: Diversification - 通过视频学习英语口语
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My name is Mark Hake.
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I'm from Scottsdale, Arizona, and I am very interested in your policies on diversification and also how you concentrate your investments.
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And I've studied your annual reports going back a good number of years, and there's been years where you had a lot of stocks in your marketable,
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equitable securities portfolio, and there was one year where you only had three in 1987.
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So I have two questions.
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Given the number of stocks that you have in the portfolio now, what does that imply about your view of the market in terms of is it fairly valued,
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that kind of idea?
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And second of all, it seems that whenever you take a new investment, you never take less than about 5 %
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and never more than about 10 % of the total portfolio with that new position.
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And I wanted to see if I'm correct about that.
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Yeah, well, on the second point, that really isn't correct.
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We have positions which you don't even see because we only listed the ones above $600 million in the last report, and obviously those are all smaller positions.
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Sometimes that's because they're smaller companies and we couldn't get that much money in.
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Sometimes it's because the prices moved up after we bought them.
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Sometimes it's because we may be selling the position down even.
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But so we have no – there's nothing magic.
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We like to put a lot of money in things that we feel strongly about.
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And that gets back to the diversification question.
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We think diversification, as practice generally, makes very little sense for anyone that knows what they're doing.
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Diversification is a protection against ignorance.
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I mean, if you want to make sure that nothing bad happens to you relative to the market, you own everything.
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There's nothing wrong with that.
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I mean, that is a perfectly sound approach for somebody who does not feel they know how to analyze businesses.
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If you know how to analyze businesses and value businesses, it's crazy to own 50 stocks or 40 stocks or 30 stocks probably.
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Because there aren't that many wonderful businesses that are understandable to a single human being in all likelihood.
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And to have some super wonderful business and then put money in number 30
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or 35 on your list of attractiveness and forego putting more money into number one just strikes Charlie and me as madness.
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And it's conventional practice, and it may, you know, if all you have to achieve is average,
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it may preserve your job.
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But it's a confession, in our view, that you don't really understand the businesses that you own.
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On a personal portfolio basis, I own one stock.
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But it's a business I know.
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And it leaves me very comfortable.
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So, do I need to own 28 stocks in order to have proper diversification?
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It would be nonsense.
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And within Berkshire, I could pick out three of our businesses,
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and I would be very happy if they were the only businesses we owned and I had all my money in Berkshire.
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Now, I love the fact that we can find more than that and that we keep adding to it.
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But three wonderful businesses is more than you need in this life to do very well.
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And the average person isn't going to run into that.
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I mean, if you look at how the fortunes were built in this country, they weren't built out of a portfolio of 50 companies.
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They were built by someone who identified with a wonderful business.
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Coca -Cola is a great example.
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A lot of fortunes have been built on that.
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And there aren't 50 Coca -Colas.
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There aren't 20.
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If there were, it would be fine.
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We could all go out and diversify like crazy among
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that group and get results that would be equal to owning the really wonderful one.
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But you're not going to find it.
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And the truth is you don't need it.
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I mean,
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if you have a really wonderful business is very well protected against the vicissitudes of the economy over time and competition.
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I mean, you know, we're talking about businesses that are resistant to effective competition,
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and three of those will be better than 100 average businesses.
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And they'll be safer, incidentally.
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I mean,
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there is less risk in owning three easy -to -identify wonderful businesses than there is in owning 50 well -known big businesses.
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And it's amazing what has been taught over the years in finance classes about that.
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But I can assure you that I would rather pick...
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If I had to bet the next 30 years on the fortunes of my family
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that would be dependent upon the income from a given group of businesses, I would rather pick three businesses from those we own than own a diversified group of 50.
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Charlie?
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Yeah, what he's saying is that much of what is taught in modern corporate finance courses is twaddle.
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Do you want to elaborate on that, Charlie?
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You cannot believe this stuff.
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I mean, it's a modern portfolio theory, and, yeah, it's...
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It has no utility.
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I mean, it will tell you how to do average, but, you know, I think anybody can figure out how to do average in fifth grade.
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I mean, it's just not that difficult.
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It's elaborate, and, you know, there's lots of little Greek letters and all kinds of things to make you feel that you're in the big leagues, but there is no value added.
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I have great difficulty with it because I am something of a student of dementia, and I have...
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I can ordinarily classify dementia on some theory structure of models, but the modern portfolio theory,
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it involves a type of dementia I just can't even classify.
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Something very strange is going on.
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If you find three wonderful businesses in your life, you'll get very rich.
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and and if you understand them bad things aren't going to happen to
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that those three i mean
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that that's the characteristic of it by the way maybe that's the reason there's
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so much dementia
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if you believe what warren said you could teach the whole course in about a week yeah
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and the high priest wouldn't have any edge over the lay people and that that never sells well Right.
FOR YOU
推荐视频
本课的词汇与口语要点
这段视频共有 82 个句子、1039 个单词可供跟读。 讲话部分时长为 7:12。 说话人语速平稳,每分钟约 144 个词,很适合跟读。 86% 的单词属于英语最常用的 3,000 词,其余的词建议在练习前先学一下。
视频中的重点词汇
视频中 15 个值得学习的单词,附发音和释义:
| 单词 | 发音 | 释义 |
|---|---|---|
| dementia 名词 | /dɪˈmɛnʃə/ | 癡呆 /痴呆, 失智症 |
| fortune 名词 | /ˈfɔːtjuːn/ | 命運 /命运, 氣數 /气数 |
| analyze 动词 | /ˈæn.əˌlaɪz/ | 分析 |
| relative 名词 | /ˈɹɛl.ə.tɪv/ | 親戚 /亲戚 |
| difficulty 名词 | /ˈdɪfɪkəlti/ | 困難 /困难 |
| priest 名词 | /ˈpɹiːst/ | 祭司, 教士 |
| dependent 形容词 | /dɪˈpɛndənt/ | 依靠, 倚賴 /倚赖 |
| utility 名词 | /juːˈtɪlɪti/ | 效用, 用處 /用处 |
| conventional 形容词 | /kənˈvɛnʃənl̩/ | 协定的 |
| leaf 名词 | /lif/ | еезы, еер |
| nonsense 名词 | /ˈnɒn.səns/ | 廢話 /废话, 胡說 /胡说 |
| concentrate 动词 | /ˈkɑn.sən.tɹeɪt/ | 集中 |
| ignorance 名词 | /ˈɪɡ.nɚ.əns/ | 無知 /无知 |
| characteristic 名词 | /ˌkæɹ(ə)ktəˈɹɪstɪk/ | 特性, 特質 /特质 |
| madness 名词 | /ˈmæd.nəs/ | 狂, 瘋病 /疯病 |
视频中出现的短语动词
| 单词 | 释义 |
|---|---|
| figure out 动词 | 弄清楚 |
| go back 动词 | 回去, 返回 |
| go out 动词 | 出, 出口 |
视频中的语法
说话人最常用的结构,并附上视频中的原话:
| 结构 | 视频中的用法 |
|---|---|
| 条件句 if + 从句,will/would + 动词 — 条件及其结果 | If there were, it would be |
| 被动语态 be + 过去分词 — 强调发生了什么,而不是谁做的 | were built · have been built · has been taught |
| 现在完成时 have/has + 过去分词 — 过去发生但与现在仍有关联的事 | I've studied · have been built · has been taught |
| 定语从句 who / which + 从句 — 补充说明人或事物 | somebody who does · someone who identified |
需要注意的发音
说话人用了 23 次缩略和弱读形式,例如 aren't, don't, I'm。请按听到的简短形式来说。
- “sh” 和 “zh” 音: dementia /dɪˈmɛnʃə/, conventional /kənˈvɛnʃənl̩/, assure /əˈʃʊɹ/, confession /kənˈfɛʃən/, diversification /daɪˌvɜːsɪfɪˈkeɪʃən/
- 长单词——注意重音位置: portfolio /pɔːtˈfəʊ.liˌəʊ/, elaborate /ɪˈlæb.ə.ɹeɪt/, difficulty /ˈdɪfɪkəlti/, utility /juːˈtɪlɪti/, characteristic /ˌkæɹ(ə)ktəˈɹɪstɪk/
如何用这段视频练习
- 先完整听一遍视频,不要开口,记下不认识的单词。
- 用正常速度逐句跟读,每句重复到你的节奏与说话人一致为止。
- 录下自己的声音并与原声对比,特别注意 dementia, fortune, analyze 这类单词。
什么是跟读法?
跟读法 (Shadowing) 是一种有科学依据的语言学习技巧,最初开发用于专业口译员的培训,并由多语言者Alexander Arguelles博士普及。这个方法简单而强大:您在听英语母语原声的同时立即大声重复——就像是一个延迟1-2秒紧跟说话者的影子。与被动听力或语法练习不同,跟读法强迫您的大脑和口腔肌肉同时处理并模仿真实的讲话模式。研究表明它能显着提高发音准确性,语调,节奏,连读,听力理解和口语流利度——使其成为雅思口语备考和真实英语交流最有效的方法之一。












