跟讀練習: A critical week for stocks: Your next move - 通過影片學習英語口語
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I'll show you what we're doing on this Monday with the majors.
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We are in the red.
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A number of headlines today as we said Apple hitting a new all time high.
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happened MID -MORNING?
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Oil moving higher on those Iran tensions.
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SK Hynix is down sharply.
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The Korean market was down as well.
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Chair Warsh is on the Hill tomorrow.
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Earnings are kicking off.
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We got a big week and we really headline it though with this Apple move.
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uh.. you know it's this new intraday high the first since june it shows you
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the move that this thing has been on.
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It's a little below that level now.
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It got up to about 320, I think, was the number.
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323. 323.
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Remember, Josh, last week, said it's going to 400.
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You own the name.
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You've been it's probably
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It's probably been at the top of your list for something
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that you've been focused on more than anything else and buying more recently than anything else, too, consistently.
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Yeah, it's a tactical trade, and I've been buying the breakouts when I see them.
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Last doing so on Thursday, somewhere around $310.
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I'm going to sit back here and not buy further.
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I see the near -term momentum as a little bit stretched.
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That doesn't defeat where I think the long -term target is, where Apple continues to be one of the leaders as it relates to the Max 7.
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NVIDIA IS BENEFITING FROM A LITTLE INTERNAL ROTATION, MAYBE AWAY FROM MEMORY AND SEMICONDUCTORS.
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I THINK THAT'S WHAT'S UNFOLDING RIGHT NOW.
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uh.. and i think collectively the market continues to exhibit this game of rotation.
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AMONG SECTORS AND SUBINDUSTRIES TO THE BENEFIT OF THE OVERALL INDEX ITSELF but as it relates to Apple, steady as she goes moving forward,
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sit back, let it take a breath here because we've had very strong momentum.
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And then after earnings, I'd be interested in buying more.
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Surratt, optimism continues to bloom.
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IN THIS NAME, TARGET 365 AT CITY.
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I told you that Josh Brown $400 of last week.
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They sue OpenAI.
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That news comes out Friday after the close.
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What do you make of the run that this name has had?
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You could pull the chart back, guys.
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Look at it over...
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Yeah, there it is.
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Look at that.
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Like, you know, year to date,
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it just had a great move after So many wanted to criticize this company for being behind the curve on AI, which of course they were.
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There's no...
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SAYING THAT THEY WERE NOT.
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THEIR OWNERS, THEIR OWNERS, THE and it's going to lead to a really robust
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upgrade cycle along with some of the new products they have coming out, whether it's a foldable phone or otherwise, you're underpinned by a robust buyback,
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even in a period of CEO transition.
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This stock has looked beyond that, and it has looked through any...
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bit of uncertainty in ways that other companies might not have exhibited IN THE STOCK MARKET.
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YOU TELL ME THAT SOMEONE LIKE TIM COOK IS GOING TO BE LEAVING, in his role as CEO and then the stock is going to hit new all -time highs a few months later?
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I think some people would have said, well, I'm not sure.
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Yeah.
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And add to that that they've basically said we're raising prices, right?
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I mean, companies that were raising prices, demand is going to be strong.
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And I think, Scott, one of the things that WHEN YOU LOOK AT THE FAB 7 OR
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They're all spending money to grow and going to have negative cash flow.
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Well, Apple's still got positive cash flow.
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We'll have support for the stock.
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And the demand for their products is still increasing.
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So it's like a safe...
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YOU KNOW, SHIP IN A STORM WHERE YOU CAN -- A SPENDING STORM.
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YEAH, A SPENDING STORM WHERE THEY CAN ACTUALLY SAY, OUR SHARES ARE TOO UNDERVALUED, WE 'LL BUY THEM BACK OR WE 'LL ACTUALLY DO SOMETHING TO GROW.
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AND I THINK INVESTORS ARE
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And also looking for all the THE LACK OF VOLATILITY WHEN YOU CAN BUY AN APPLE THAT'S PROVEN THAT THEY CAN INNOVATE.
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AND I THINK AS A .I.
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COMES TO THEM, AS A .I.
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This is a stock that investors want to hold on to as opposed to kind of taking profits from the others.
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Okay, so how do we view the mega caps today?
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This nice move they've had, money coming out of semis, it's found a place in a lot of the mega caps.
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Right?
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Meta had this massive move.
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LAST WEEK, IT'S DOWN A LITTLE BIT TODAY.
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PUT NVIDIA IN A SEPARATE CATEGORY.
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It's not thought of as the hyperscaler, the hyperscalers are spending on NVIDIA.
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Amazon's green, Microsoft is green, What do you think?
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I'm going to bring together two thoughts that we had last week, Scott.
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One is a lot of these mega cap tech stocks are frankly trading at value territory.
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I could look at Meta.
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I could look at Microsoft as two examples of that.
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And I think this is a time that you have to stay true to your knitting.
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That's the second thought.
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These rotations, and Joe, you've been all over them for weeks and weeks.
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These rotations have been coming fast and furious from semis to software, from large cap to small cap, from the market cap weighted ETFs to the equally weighted ETFs.
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pick your style of investing and stick with it.
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And I do think this is a time when many styles can work.
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So somebody who's more, I'm going to say price aware as opposed to price sensitive, like myself, I can find plenty of bargains out there.
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And the thing that I have to do, though, is I have to hold them through whatever the volatility is
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that on a day -to -day basis comes up in terms of the rotation.
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So if, just as an example, I've bought Micron over the past three weeks, and today I'm not looking right at the second, but it was down about 5 % earlier this morning.
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I'm not thinking of getting out of that.
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I'm not paying too much attention to today's downturn.
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We've got Taiwan Semi coming up in terms of earnings at the end of the week.
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That'll be the first look at near -term earnings for the semi -space.
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And I think Micron's going to do fine over the intermediate to long -term.
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My style of investing is not to get too wrapped up in day -to -day rotations.
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No, you put your face right in the middle of the volatility on that one.
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You know what I'm saying?
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Kind of.
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You ever know me to shy away?
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No. Yeah.
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No. It's what endears me to you, I think.
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But really, um, rather than just sort of taking a back seat and saying, you know, this is, this thing's gotten a little too volatile,
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the willingness if not ability to sort of double down on your position
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which I think you basically did I did Even in the face of that, volatility is noteworthy.
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Well, and also fundamental investors.
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So one of the things I've said to you, Scott, I've said to our viewers is I think it's important
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that pretty soon there's going to be an anniversary of the CHIPS Act after
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which Micron can start to return capital to shareholders.
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I like that.
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That's something that I look for in companies that I own.
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So that sort of fundamental bait, if you will, has me nibbling at it, although now it's about a 3 % position, so it's more than a nibble.
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I do think that, look, if you're a momentum investor, Joe, you're fabulous at it, fine.
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There are opportunities here, and what you've done with Apple has been nothing short of genius.
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I'm patronizing, but go ahead.
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What?
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I said don't patronize it.
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Just go ahead.
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Joe and I are friends.
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I'm not patronizing it.
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I'll tell him I think he's wrong.
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Go ahead.
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No, but I'm going to go back to what I said.
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Stick to your style of investing.
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If you're a fundamental investor, if you're price aware, maybe a GARP investor, a value investor, there's plenty of opportunities out there.
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I'm looking at, Stephanie, your meta.
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I MEAN, HOW COULD I NOT BE LOOKING AT YOUR META?
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YOU SHOULD BE LOOKING AT HER FOR THE NVIDIA.
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which is the newest by which was the the move that was noteworthy right last week. for us.
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Yeah, because I've never owned it before.
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So and I just think the valuation has gotten so attractive at 18 times forward estimates.
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And the company is going to grow revenues something like 80 percent and mid 70s gross margins.
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Free cash flow is going to double.
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So I'm looking for opportunities where I either I have positions
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and I have more conviction because the valuations have come down to your point, Jimmy.
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I added to Amazon, too.
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The one I'm not adding to is Meta because It's very cheap,
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but they have to show better monetization for that stock to really take off.
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And I think they eventually will, Scott, but that's a timing kind of thing.
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I think there's more upside in Amazon.
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I think there is more upside in NVIDIA.
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And I have a lot of other technology stocks that I like, too.
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What was the NVIDIA stat that the valuation was like the cheapest?
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It's been seven years.
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It was like seven years or something like that, right?
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Yeah.
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I mean, and this is a company that has 97 % of the GPU market.
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Okay, fine, they're getting more competition, but that's not going to go to below 90.
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SO I THINK THERE'S A LOT OF WAYS YOU CAN WIN WITH THIS ONE.
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I JUST THINK IT'S REALLY OUT OF FAVOR RIGHT NOW.
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THAT IS VERY INTERESTING TO ME.
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I KNOW THE CHART LOOKS HORRIBLE.
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But it's really interesting to me that it's kind of found its footing around these levels.
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本課的詞彙與口語要點
這節 B2 級別的口語課以影片“A critical week for stocks: Your next move”為素材。 這段影片共有 152 個句子、1665 個單詞可供跟讀。 講話部分時長為 8:28。 說話人語速較快，每分鐘約 197 個詞，會出現較多連讀和弱讀。 83% 的單詞屬於英語最常用的 3,000 詞，其餘的詞建議在練習前先學一下。
影片中的重點詞彙
影片中最難的 15 個單詞，附發音和釋義：
| 單詞 | 發音 | 釋義 |
|---|---|---|
| investor 名詞 | /ɪnˈvɛs.tə(ɹ)/ | 投資者 /投資者, 投資家 /投資家 |
| rotation 名詞 | /ɹoʊˈteɪʃən/ | 迴轉 /迴轉, 旋轉 /旋轉 |
| volatility 名詞 | /ˌvɑ.ləˈtɪl.ə.ti/ | 揮發性 /揮發性 |
| patronize 動詞 | /ˈpætɹəˌnaɪz/ | 栽培 |
| momentum 名詞 | /ˌmə(ʊ)ˈmɛntəm/ | 動量 /動量 |
| nibble 動詞 | /ˈnɪb(ə)l/ | 輕咬 /輕咬 |
| oppose 動詞 | /əˈpoʊz/ | 阻止, 對抗 /對抗 |
| headline 名詞 | /ˈhɛd.laɪn/ | 標題 /標題 |
| exhibit 動詞 | /ɪɡˈzɪbɪt/ | 展覽 /展覽 |
| downturn 名詞 | /ˈdaʊntɜːn/ | 衰退, 下降 |
| foldable 形容詞 | 折疊式 /摺疊式 | |
| underpin 動詞 | /ˌʌn.dəˈpɪn/ | 支撐 /支撐 |
| unfold 動詞 | /ʌnˈfoʊld/ | 展開 /展開 |
| semiconductor 名詞 | /ˌsɛmikənˈdʌktə/ | 半導體 /半導體 |
| shareholder 名詞 | /ˈʃɛəˌhəʊl.də(ɹ)/ | 股東 /股東 |
影片中出現的短語動詞
| 單詞 | 發音 | 釋義 |
|---|---|---|
| go ahead 動詞 | /ˌɡoʊ əˈhɛd/ | 請便 /請便 |
| come out 動詞 | /ˌkʌm ˈaʊt/ | 出, 出來 /出來 |
| get up to 動詞 | 幹 /幹, 做 | |
| take off 動詞 | 脫 /脫 |
值得反覆跟讀的句子
影片中簡短而完整的句子，可以直接用在日常對話裡：
- What do you make of the run that this name has had?
- We'll have support for the stock.
- Amazon's green, Microsoft is green, What do you think?
- You know what I'm saying?
- You ever know me to shy away?
影片中的語法
說話人最常用的結構，並附上影片中的原話：
| 結構 | 影片中的用法 |
|---|---|
| 現在完成進行時 have/has been + -ing — 以前開始、現在仍在繼續的動作 | I've been buying · have been coming |
| 現在完成時 have/has + 過去分詞 — 過去發生但與現在仍有關聯的事 | has been · You've been · It's probably been |
需要注意的發音
說話人用了 43 次縮略和弱讀形式，例如 I'm, I've, you're。請按聽到的簡短形式來說。
- “sh” 和 “zh” 音: rotation /ɹoʊˈteɪʃən/, valuation /ˌvæ.ljuːˈeɪ.ʃən/, monetization /ˌmɒnətaɪˈzeɪʃən/, shareholder /ˈʃɛəˌhəʊl.də(ɹ)/, sharply /ˈʃɑɹpli/
- 長單詞——注意重音位置: volatility /ˌvɑ.ləˈtɪl.ə.ti/, valuation /ˌvæ.ljuːˈeɪ.ʃən/, momentum /ˌmə(ʊ)ˈmɛntəm/, monetization /ˌmɒnətaɪˈzeɪʃən/, undervalue /ˌʌndə(ɹ)ˈvælju/
如何用這段影片練習
- 先完整聽一遍影片，不要開口，記下不認識的單詞。
- 先用 0.75 倍速逐句跟讀，熟練之後再回到正常速度。
- 錄下自己的聲音並與原聲對比，特別注意 investor, rotation, volatility 這類單詞。
什麼是跟讀法？
跟讀法 (Shadowing) 是一種有科學依據的語言學習技巧，最初開發用於專業口譯員的培訓，並由多語言者Alexander Arguelles博士普及。這個方法簡單而強大：您在聽英語母語原聲的同時立即大聲重複——就像是一個延遲1-2秒緊跟說話者的影子。與被動聽力或語法練習不同，跟讀法強迫您的大腦和口腔肌肉同時處理並模模擬實的講話模式。研究表明它能顯著提高發音準確性，語調，節奏，連讀，聽力理解和口語流利度——使其成為雅思口語備考和真實英語交流最有效的方法之一。