Shadowing Practice: A critical week for stocks: Your next move - Learn English Speaking with Video
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153 משפטים
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I'll show you what we're doing on this Monday with the majors.
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We are in the red.
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A number of headlines today as we said Apple hitting a new all time high.
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happened MID -MORNING?
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Oil moving higher on those Iran tensions.
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SK Hynix is down sharply.
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The Korean market was down as well.
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Chair Warsh is on the Hill tomorrow.
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Earnings are kicking off.
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We got a big week and we really headline it though with this Apple move.
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uh.. you know it's this new intraday high the first since june it shows you
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the move that this thing has been on.
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It's a little below that level now.
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It got up to about 320, I think, was the number.
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323. 323.
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Remember, Josh, last week, said it's going to 400.
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You own the name.
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You've been it's probably
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It's probably been at the top of your list for something
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that you've been focused on more than anything else and buying more recently than anything else, too, consistently.
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Yeah, it's a tactical trade, and I've been buying the breakouts when I see them.
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Last doing so on Thursday, somewhere around $310.
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I'm going to sit back here and not buy further.
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I see the near -term momentum as a little bit stretched.
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That doesn't defeat where I think the long -term target is, where Apple continues to be one of the leaders as it relates to the Max 7.
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NVIDIA IS BENEFITING FROM A LITTLE INTERNAL ROTATION, MAYBE AWAY FROM MEMORY AND SEMICONDUCTORS.
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I THINK THAT'S WHAT'S UNFOLDING RIGHT NOW.
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uh.. and i think collectively the market continues to exhibit this game of rotation.
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AMONG SECTORS AND SUBINDUSTRIES TO THE BENEFIT OF THE OVERALL INDEX ITSELF but as it relates to Apple, steady as she goes moving forward,
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sit back, let it take a breath here because we've had very strong momentum.
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And then after earnings, I'd be interested in buying more.
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Surratt, optimism continues to bloom.
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IN THIS NAME, TARGET 365 AT CITY.
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I told you that Josh Brown $400 of last week.
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They sue OpenAI.
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That news comes out Friday after the close.
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What do you make of the run that this name has had?
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You could pull the chart back, guys.
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Look at it over...
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Yeah, there it is.
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Look at that.
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Like, you know, year to date,
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it just had a great move after So many wanted to criticize this company for being behind the curve on AI, which of course they were.
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There's no...
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SAYING THAT THEY WERE NOT.
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THEIR OWNERS, THEIR OWNERS, THE and it's going to lead to a really robust
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upgrade cycle along with some of the new products they have coming out, whether it's a foldable phone or otherwise, you're underpinned by a robust buyback,
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even in a period of CEO transition.
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This stock has looked beyond that, and it has looked through any...
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bit of uncertainty in ways that other companies might not have exhibited IN THE STOCK MARKET.
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YOU TELL ME THAT SOMEONE LIKE TIM COOK IS GOING TO BE LEAVING, in his role as CEO and then the stock is going to hit new all -time highs a few months later?
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I think some people would have said, well, I'm not sure.
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Yeah.
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And add to that that they've basically said we're raising prices, right?
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I mean, companies that were raising prices, demand is going to be strong.
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And I think, Scott, one of the things that WHEN YOU LOOK AT THE FAB 7 OR
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They're all spending money to grow and going to have negative cash flow.
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Well, Apple's still got positive cash flow.
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We'll have support for the stock.
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And the demand for their products is still increasing.
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So it's like a safe...
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YOU KNOW, SHIP IN A STORM WHERE YOU CAN -- A SPENDING STORM.
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YEAH, A SPENDING STORM WHERE THEY CAN ACTUALLY SAY, OUR SHARES ARE TOO UNDERVALUED, WE 'LL BUY THEM BACK OR WE 'LL ACTUALLY DO SOMETHING TO GROW.
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AND I THINK INVESTORS ARE
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And also looking for all the THE LACK OF VOLATILITY WHEN YOU CAN BUY AN APPLE THAT'S PROVEN THAT THEY CAN INNOVATE.
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AND I THINK AS A .I.
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COMES TO THEM, AS A .I.
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This is a stock that investors want to hold on to as opposed to kind of taking profits from the others.
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Okay, so how do we view the mega caps today?
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This nice move they've had, money coming out of semis, it's found a place in a lot of the mega caps.
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Right?
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Meta had this massive move.
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LAST WEEK, IT'S DOWN A LITTLE BIT TODAY.
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PUT NVIDIA IN A SEPARATE CATEGORY.
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It's not thought of as the hyperscaler, the hyperscalers are spending on NVIDIA.
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Amazon's green, Microsoft is green, What do you think?
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I'm going to bring together two thoughts that we had last week, Scott.
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One is a lot of these mega cap tech stocks are frankly trading at value territory.
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I could look at Meta.
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I could look at Microsoft as two examples of that.
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And I think this is a time that you have to stay true to your knitting.
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That's the second thought.
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These rotations, and Joe, you've been all over them for weeks and weeks.
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These rotations have been coming fast and furious from semis to software, from large cap to small cap, from the market cap weighted ETFs to the equally weighted ETFs.
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pick your style of investing and stick with it.
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And I do think this is a time when many styles can work.
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So somebody who's more, I'm going to say price aware as opposed to price sensitive, like myself, I can find plenty of bargains out there.
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And the thing that I have to do, though, is I have to hold them through whatever the volatility is
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that on a day -to -day basis comes up in terms of the rotation.
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So if, just as an example, I've bought Micron over the past three weeks, and today I'm not looking right at the second, but it was down about 5 % earlier this morning.
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I'm not thinking of getting out of that.
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I'm not paying too much attention to today's downturn.
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We've got Taiwan Semi coming up in terms of earnings at the end of the week.
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That'll be the first look at near -term earnings for the semi -space.
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And I think Micron's going to do fine over the intermediate to long -term.
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My style of investing is not to get too wrapped up in day -to -day rotations.
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No, you put your face right in the middle of the volatility on that one.
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You know what I'm saying?
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Kind of.
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You ever know me to shy away?
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No. Yeah.
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No. It's what endears me to you, I think.
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But really, um, rather than just sort of taking a back seat and saying, you know, this is, this thing's gotten a little too volatile,
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the willingness if not ability to sort of double down on your position
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which I think you basically did I did Even in the face of that, volatility is noteworthy.
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Well, and also fundamental investors.
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So one of the things I've said to you, Scott, I've said to our viewers is I think it's important
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that pretty soon there's going to be an anniversary of the CHIPS Act after
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which Micron can start to return capital to shareholders.
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I like that.
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That's something that I look for in companies that I own.
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So that sort of fundamental bait, if you will, has me nibbling at it, although now it's about a 3 % position, so it's more than a nibble.
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I do think that, look, if you're a momentum investor, Joe, you're fabulous at it, fine.
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There are opportunities here, and what you've done with Apple has been nothing short of genius.
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I'm patronizing, but go ahead.
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What?
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I said don't patronize it.
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Just go ahead.
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Joe and I are friends.
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I'm not patronizing it.
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I'll tell him I think he's wrong.
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Go ahead.
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No, but I'm going to go back to what I said.
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Stick to your style of investing.
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If you're a fundamental investor, if you're price aware, maybe a GARP investor, a value investor, there's plenty of opportunities out there.
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I'm looking at, Stephanie, your meta.
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I MEAN, HOW COULD I NOT BE LOOKING AT YOUR META?
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YOU SHOULD BE LOOKING AT HER FOR THE NVIDIA.
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which is the newest by which was the the move that was noteworthy right last week. for us.
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Yeah, because I've never owned it before.
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So and I just think the valuation has gotten so attractive at 18 times forward estimates.
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And the company is going to grow revenues something like 80 percent and mid 70s gross margins.
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Free cash flow is going to double.
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So I'm looking for opportunities where I either I have positions
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and I have more conviction because the valuations have come down to your point, Jimmy.
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I added to Amazon, too.
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The one I'm not adding to is Meta because It's very cheap,
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but they have to show better monetization for that stock to really take off.
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And I think they eventually will, Scott, but that's a timing kind of thing.
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I think there's more upside in Amazon.
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I think there is more upside in NVIDIA.
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And I have a lot of other technology stocks that I like, too.
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What was the NVIDIA stat that the valuation was like the cheapest?
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It's been seven years.
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It was like seven years or something like that, right?
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Yeah.
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I mean, and this is a company that has 97 % of the GPU market.
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Okay, fine, they're getting more competition, but that's not going to go to below 90.
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SO I THINK THERE'S A LOT OF WAYS YOU CAN WIN WITH THIS ONE.
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I JUST THINK IT'S REALLY OUT OF FAVOR RIGHT NOW.
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THAT IS VERY INTERESTING TO ME.
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I KNOW THE CHART LOOKS HORRIBLE.
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But it's really interesting to me that it's kind of found its footing around these levels.
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אוצר מילים והערות הגייה לשיעור הזה
שיעור הדיבור הזה ברמה B2 מבוסס על הסרטון “A critical week for stocks: Your next move”. בסרטון הזה יש 152 משפטים ו-1665 מילים לתרגול Shadowing. הדיבור נמשך 8:28. הדובר מדבר מהר, כ-197 מילים בדקה, אז צפו לצלילים מחוברים ומקוצרים. 83% מהמילים נמצאות בין 3,000 המילים הנפוצות ביותר באנגלית; כדאי ללמוד את השאר לפני שמתחילים.
אוצר מילים מרכזי בסרטון הזה
15 המילים המתקדמות ביותר בסרטון, עם ההגייה והמשמעות שלהן:
| מילה | הגייה | משמעות |
|---|---|---|
| investor שם עצם | /ɪnˈvɛs.tə(ɹ)/ | מַשְׁקִיעַ |
| momentum שם עצם | /ˌmə(ʊ)ˈmɛntəm/ | תֶּנַע |
| robust שם תואר | /ɹəʊˈbʌst/ | חָסוֹן, אֵיתָן |
| semiconductor שם עצם | /ˌsɛmikənˈdʌktə/ | מוֹלִיךְ לְמֶחֱצָה |
| shareholder שם עצם | /ˈʃɛəˌhəʊl.də(ɹ)/ | בַּעַל מְנָיוֹת |
| criticize פועל | /ˈkɹɪtɪsaɪz/ | ביקר |
| optimism שם עצם | /ˈɑptɪmɪzəm/ | אופטימיות |
| knit פועל | /nɪt/ | סָרַג |
| volatile שם תואר | /ˈvɑ.lə.təl/ | נדיף |
| viewer שם עצם | /ˈvju.ɚ/ | צוֹפֶה |
| collectively תואר הפועל | בְּיַחַד | |
| bargain שם עצם | /ˈbɑːɹɡən/ | מִקָּח |
| curve שם עצם | /kɚv/ | עקימה |
| conviction שם עצם | /kənˈvɪkʃən/ | הרשעה |
| wrap פועל | /ɹæp/ | כרך, עטף |
Phrasal verbs שתשמעו
| מילה | הגייה | משמעות |
|---|---|---|
| come out פועל | /ˌkʌm ˈaʊt/ | יָצָא |
| take off פועל | הֵסִיר, הוֹרִיד |
משפטים שכדאי לחזור עליהם
משפטים קצרים ושלמים מהסרטון שאפשר להשתמש בהם בשיחה יומיומית:
- What do you make of the run that this name has had?
- We'll have support for the stock.
- I'm not thinking of getting out of that.
- You know what I'm saying?
- You ever know me to shy away?
דקדוק בסרטון הזה
המבנים שהדובר משתמש בהם הכי הרבה, עם המילים המדויקות מהסרטון:
| מבנה | בסרטון |
|---|---|
| הווה מושלם ממושך (Present perfect continuous) have/has been + -ing — פעולה שהתחילה בעבר ועדיין נמשכת עכשיו | I've been buying · have been coming |
| הווה מושלם (Present perfect) have/has + past participle — פעולה שקרתה בעבר ועדיין יש לה חשיבות או השפעה עכשיו | has been · You've been · It's probably been |
הגייה ששווה לשים לב אליה
הדובר משתמש ב-43 קיצורים וצורות מקוצרות, כמו I'm, I've, you're. אמרו אותם בצורה הקצרה, כפי שאתם שומעים אותם.
- הצלילים של “sh” ו-“zh”: rotation /ɹoʊˈteɪʃən/, valuation /ˌvæ.ljuːˈeɪ.ʃən/, monetization /ˌmɒnətaɪˈzeɪʃən/, shareholder /ˈʃɛəˌhəʊl.də(ɹ)/, sharply /ˈʃɑɹpli/
- מילים ארוכות — שימו לב להטעמה: volatility /ˌvɑ.ləˈtɪl.ə.ti/, valuation /ˌvæ.ljuːˈeɪ.ʃən/, momentum /ˌmə(ʊ)ˈmɛntəm/, monetization /ˌmɒnətaɪˈzeɪʃən/, undervalue /ˌʌndə(ɹ)ˈvælju/
צלילים שדוברי עברית מתקשים בהם:
- /w/ — שפתיים מעוגלות, לא /v/: noteworthy /ˈnəʊtˌwɜːði/, willingness /ˈwɪlɪŋnəs/
- /æ/ — פתוח יותר מה-“אֶ” העברית, לא כמו “a” ב-“cup”: patronize /ˈpætɹəˌnaɪz/, valuation /ˌvæ.ljuːˈeɪ.ʃən/, buyback /ˈbaɪˌbæk/, undervalue /ˌʌndə(ɹ)ˈvælju/, stat /stæt/
- /r/ — הלשון לא נוגעת בשום מקום, לא ה-“ר” הגרונית: investor /ɪnˈvɛs.tə(ɹ)/, rotation /ɹoʊˈteɪʃən/, patronize /ˈpætɹəˌnaɪz/, robust /ɹəʊˈbʌst/, undervalue /ˌʌndə(ɹ)ˈvælju/
איך לתרגל עם הסרטון הזה
- הקשיבו לכל הסרטון פעם אחת בלי לדבר, ורשמו את המילים שאתם לא מכירים.
- התחילו במהירות 0.75×, תרגלו Shadowing משפט אחר משפט, וחזרו למהירות רגילה כשזה מרגיש קל.
- הקליטו את עצמכם והשוו למקור, תוך תשומת לב למילים כמו investor, momentum, robust.
מהי טכניקת השאדואינג?
שאדואינג היא טכניקת למידת שפה מבוססת מדע שפותחה במקור להכשרת מתורגמנים מקצועיים ופופולרית על ידי הפוליגלוט ד"ר אלכסנדר ארגואלס. השיטה פשוטה אך עוצמתית: אתה מקשיב לאודיו באנגלית ילידית וחוזר עליו בקול רם מיד — כמו צל העוקב אחרי הדובר עם עיכוב של 1–2 שניות בלבד. בניגוד להאזנה פסיבית או תרגילי דקדוק, שאדואינג מכריח את המוח והשרירים בפה לעבד ולשחזר דפוסי דיבור אמיתיים בו זמנית. מחקרים מראים שזה משפר משמעותית את דיוק ההגייה, האינטונציה, הקצב, הדיבור המחובר, הבנת השמיעה ושטף הדיבור — מה שהופך אותו לאחת השיטות היעילות ביותר להכנה לIELTS Speaking ולתקשורת באנגלית בעולם האמיתי.