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I'll show you what we're doing on this Monday with the majors.
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We are in the red.
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A number of headlines today as we said Apple hitting a new all time high.
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happened MID -MORNING?
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Oil moving higher on those Iran tensions.
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SK Hynix is down sharply.
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The Korean market was down as well.
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Chair Warsh is on the Hill tomorrow.
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Earnings are kicking off.
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We got a big week and we really headline it though with this Apple move.
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uh.. you know it's this new intraday high the first since june it shows you
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the move that this thing has been on.
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It's a little below that level now.
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It got up to about 320, I think, was the number.
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323. 323.
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Remember, Josh, last week, said it's going to 400.
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You own the name.
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You've been it's probably
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It's probably been at the top of your list for something
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that you've been focused on more than anything else and buying more recently than anything else, too, consistently.
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Yeah, it's a tactical trade, and I've been buying the breakouts when I see them.
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Last doing so on Thursday, somewhere around $310.
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I'm going to sit back here and not buy further.
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I see the near -term momentum as a little bit stretched.
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That doesn't defeat where I think the long -term target is, where Apple continues to be one of the leaders as it relates to the Max 7.
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NVIDIA IS BENEFITING FROM A LITTLE INTERNAL ROTATION, MAYBE AWAY FROM MEMORY AND SEMICONDUCTORS.
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I THINK THAT'S WHAT'S UNFOLDING RIGHT NOW.
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uh.. and i think collectively the market continues to exhibit this game of rotation.
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AMONG SECTORS AND SUBINDUSTRIES TO THE BENEFIT OF THE OVERALL INDEX ITSELF but as it relates to Apple, steady as she goes moving forward,
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sit back, let it take a breath here because we've had very strong momentum.
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And then after earnings, I'd be interested in buying more.
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Surratt, optimism continues to bloom.
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IN THIS NAME, TARGET 365 AT CITY.
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I told you that Josh Brown $400 of last week.
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They sue OpenAI.
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That news comes out Friday after the close.
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What do you make of the run that this name has had?
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You could pull the chart back, guys.
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Look at it over...
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Yeah, there it is.
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Look at that.
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Like, you know, year to date,
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it just had a great move after So many wanted to criticize this company for being behind the curve on AI, which of course they were.
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There's no...
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SAYING THAT THEY WERE NOT.
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THEIR OWNERS, THEIR OWNERS, THE and it's going to lead to a really robust
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upgrade cycle along with some of the new products they have coming out, whether it's a foldable phone or otherwise, you're underpinned by a robust buyback,
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even in a period of CEO transition.
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This stock has looked beyond that, and it has looked through any...
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bit of uncertainty in ways that other companies might not have exhibited IN THE STOCK MARKET.
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YOU TELL ME THAT SOMEONE LIKE TIM COOK IS GOING TO BE LEAVING, in his role as CEO and then the stock is going to hit new all -time highs a few months later?
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I think some people would have said, well, I'm not sure.
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Yeah.
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And add to that that they've basically said we're raising prices, right?
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I mean, companies that were raising prices, demand is going to be strong.
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And I think, Scott, one of the things that WHEN YOU LOOK AT THE FAB 7 OR
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They're all spending money to grow and going to have negative cash flow.
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Well, Apple's still got positive cash flow.
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We'll have support for the stock.
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And the demand for their products is still increasing.
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So it's like a safe...
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YOU KNOW, SHIP IN A STORM WHERE YOU CAN -- A SPENDING STORM.
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YEAH, A SPENDING STORM WHERE THEY CAN ACTUALLY SAY, OUR SHARES ARE TOO UNDERVALUED, WE 'LL BUY THEM BACK OR WE 'LL ACTUALLY DO SOMETHING TO GROW.
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AND I THINK INVESTORS ARE
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And also looking for all the THE LACK OF VOLATILITY WHEN YOU CAN BUY AN APPLE THAT'S PROVEN THAT THEY CAN INNOVATE.
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AND I THINK AS A .I.
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COMES TO THEM, AS A .I.
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This is a stock that investors want to hold on to as opposed to kind of taking profits from the others.
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Okay, so how do we view the mega caps today?
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This nice move they've had, money coming out of semis, it's found a place in a lot of the mega caps.
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Right?
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Meta had this massive move.
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LAST WEEK, IT'S DOWN A LITTLE BIT TODAY.
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PUT NVIDIA IN A SEPARATE CATEGORY.
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It's not thought of as the hyperscaler, the hyperscalers are spending on NVIDIA.
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Amazon's green, Microsoft is green, What do you think?
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I'm going to bring together two thoughts that we had last week, Scott.
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One is a lot of these mega cap tech stocks are frankly trading at value territory.
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I could look at Meta.
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I could look at Microsoft as two examples of that.
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And I think this is a time that you have to stay true to your knitting.
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That's the second thought.
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These rotations, and Joe, you've been all over them for weeks and weeks.
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These rotations have been coming fast and furious from semis to software, from large cap to small cap, from the market cap weighted ETFs to the equally weighted ETFs.
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pick your style of investing and stick with it.
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And I do think this is a time when many styles can work.
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So somebody who's more, I'm going to say price aware as opposed to price sensitive, like myself, I can find plenty of bargains out there.
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And the thing that I have to do, though, is I have to hold them through whatever the volatility is
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that on a day -to -day basis comes up in terms of the rotation.
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So if, just as an example, I've bought Micron over the past three weeks, and today I'm not looking right at the second, but it was down about 5 % earlier this morning.
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I'm not thinking of getting out of that.
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I'm not paying too much attention to today's downturn.
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We've got Taiwan Semi coming up in terms of earnings at the end of the week.
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That'll be the first look at near -term earnings for the semi -space.
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And I think Micron's going to do fine over the intermediate to long -term.
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My style of investing is not to get too wrapped up in day -to -day rotations.
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No, you put your face right in the middle of the volatility on that one.
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You know what I'm saying?
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Kind of.
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You ever know me to shy away?
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No. Yeah.
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No. It's what endears me to you, I think.
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But really, um, rather than just sort of taking a back seat and saying, you know, this is, this thing's gotten a little too volatile,
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the willingness if not ability to sort of double down on your position
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which I think you basically did I did Even in the face of that, volatility is noteworthy.
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Well, and also fundamental investors.
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So one of the things I've said to you, Scott, I've said to our viewers is I think it's important
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that pretty soon there's going to be an anniversary of the CHIPS Act after
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which Micron can start to return capital to shareholders.
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I like that.
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That's something that I look for in companies that I own.
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So that sort of fundamental bait, if you will, has me nibbling at it, although now it's about a 3 % position, so it's more than a nibble.
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I do think that, look, if you're a momentum investor, Joe, you're fabulous at it, fine.
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There are opportunities here, and what you've done with Apple has been nothing short of genius.
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I'm patronizing, but go ahead.
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What?
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I said don't patronize it.
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Just go ahead.
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Joe and I are friends.
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I'm not patronizing it.
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I'll tell him I think he's wrong.
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Go ahead.
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No, but I'm going to go back to what I said.
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Stick to your style of investing.
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If you're a fundamental investor, if you're price aware, maybe a GARP investor, a value investor, there's plenty of opportunities out there.
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I'm looking at, Stephanie, your meta.
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I MEAN, HOW COULD I NOT BE LOOKING AT YOUR META?
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YOU SHOULD BE LOOKING AT HER FOR THE NVIDIA.
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which is the newest by which was the the move that was noteworthy right last week. for us.
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Yeah, because I've never owned it before.
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So and I just think the valuation has gotten so attractive at 18 times forward estimates.
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And the company is going to grow revenues something like 80 percent and mid 70s gross margins.
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Free cash flow is going to double.
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So I'm looking for opportunities where I either I have positions
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and I have more conviction because the valuations have come down to your point, Jimmy.
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I added to Amazon, too.
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The one I'm not adding to is Meta because It's very cheap,
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but they have to show better monetization for that stock to really take off.
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And I think they eventually will, Scott, but that's a timing kind of thing.
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I think there's more upside in Amazon.
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I think there is more upside in NVIDIA.
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And I have a lot of other technology stocks that I like, too.
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What was the NVIDIA stat that the valuation was like the cheapest?
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It's been seven years.
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It was like seven years or something like that, right?
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Yeah.
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I mean, and this is a company that has 97 % of the GPU market.
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Okay, fine, they're getting more competition, but that's not going to go to below 90.
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SO I THINK THERE'S A LOT OF WAYS YOU CAN WIN WITH THIS ONE.
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I JUST THINK IT'S REALLY OUT OF FAVOR RIGHT NOW.
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THAT IS VERY INTERESTING TO ME.
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I KNOW THE CHART LOOKS HORRIBLE.
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But it's really interesting to me that it's kind of found its footing around these levels.
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Vocabolario e note di pronuncia per questa lezione
Questa lezione di conversazione di livello B2 si basa sul video “A critical week for stocks: Your next move”. Questo video contiene 152 frasi e 1665 parole da ripetere con lo shadowing. Il parlato dura 8:28. Chi parla va veloce, circa 197 parole al minuto: aspettati suoni legati e ridotti. Il 83% delle parole rientra nelle 3.000 più comuni dell’inglese; conviene studiare le altre prima di iniziare.
Vocaboli chiave di questo video
Le 15 parole più avanzate del video, con pronuncia e significato:
| Parola | Pronuncia | Significato |
|---|---|---|
| investor sostantivo | /ɪnˈvɛs.tə(ɹ)/ | investitore, investitrice |
| rotation sostantivo | /ɹoʊˈteɪʃən/ | rotazione, giro completo |
| patronize verbo | /ˈpætɹəˌnaɪz/ | patrocinare, frequentare |
| momentum sostantivo | /ˌmə(ʊ)ˈmɛntəm/ | quantità di moto |
| nibble verbo | /ˈnɪb(ə)l/ | mordicchiare |
| noteworthy aggettivo | /ˈnəʊtˌwɜːði/ | notevole, considerevole |
| robust aggettivo | /ɹəʊˈbʌst/ | robusto |
| oppose verbo | /əˈpoʊz/ | opporre |
| headline sostantivo | /ˈhɛd.laɪn/ | titolo |
| exhibit verbo | /ɪɡˈzɪbɪt/ | mostrare |
| breakout sostantivo | fuga, evasione | |
| downturn sostantivo | /ˈdaʊntɜːn/ | recessione, calo |
| foldable aggettivo | pieghevole | |
| monetization sostantivo | /ˌmɒnətaɪˈzeɪʃən/ | monetazione |
| underpin verbo | /ˌʌn.dəˈpɪn/ | sostenere, sorreggere |
I phrasal verb che sentirai
| Parola | Pronuncia | Significato |
|---|---|---|
| go ahead verbo | /ˌɡoʊ əˈhɛd/ | procedere, andare avanti |
| get up to verbo | commettere | |
| take off verbo | togliere |
Frasi da ripetere
Frasi brevi e complete del video che puoi riutilizzare nella conversazione di tutti i giorni:
- What do you make of the run that this name has had?
- We'll have support for the stock.
- Amazon's green, Microsoft is green, What do you think?
- You know what I'm saying?
- You ever know me to shy away?
La grammatica di questo video
Le strutture che chi parla usa di più, con le parole esatte del video:
| Struttura | Nel video |
|---|---|
| Present perfect continuous have/has been + -ing — un’azione iniziata prima e ancora in corso | I've been buying · have been coming |
| Present perfect have/has + participio passato — un’azione passata che conta ancora adesso | has been · You've been · It's probably been |
Pronuncia a cui fare attenzione
Chi parla usa 43 contrazioni e forme ridotte, come I'm, I've, you're. Pronunciale nella forma breve, così come le senti.
- I suoni “sh” e “zh”: rotation /ɹoʊˈteɪʃən/, valuation /ˌvæ.ljuːˈeɪ.ʃən/, monetization /ˌmɒnətaɪˈzeɪʃən/, shareholder /ˈʃɛəˌhəʊl.də(ɹ)/, sharply /ˈʃɑɹpli/
- Parole lunghe — attenzione all’accento: volatility /ˌvɑ.ləˈtɪl.ə.ti/, valuation /ˌvæ.ljuːˈeɪ.ʃən/, momentum /ˌmə(ʊ)ˈmɛntəm/, monetization /ˌmɒnətaɪˈzeɪʃən/, undervalue /ˌʌndə(ɹ)ˈvælju/
Come esercitarsi con questo video
- Ascolta tutto il video una volta senza parlare e annota le parole che non conosci.
- Inizia a velocità 0,75×, fai shadowing frase per frase e torna alla velocità normale quando diventa facile.
- Registrati e confronta con l’originale, facendo attenzione a parole come investor, rotation, patronize.
Cos'è la tecnica dello Shadowing?
Shadowing è una tecnica di apprendimento delle lingue supportata da studi scientifici, originariamente sviluppata per la formazione dei traduttori professionisti e resa popolare dal poliglotta Dr. Alexander Arguelles. Il metodo è semplice ma potente: ascolti un audio in inglese di madrelingua e lo ripeti immediatamente ad alta voce — come un'ombra che segue il parlante con un ritardo di solo 1–2 secondi. A differenza dell'ascolto passivo o degli esercizi di grammatica, lo shadowing costringe il tuo cervello e i muscoli della bocca a elaborare e riprodurre simultaneamente i modelli di discorso reale. La ricerca dimostra che migliora significativamente la precisione della pronuncia, l'intonazione, il ritmo, il discorso connesso, la comprensione dell'ascolto e la fluidità del parlato — rendendolo uno dei metodi più efficaci per la preparazione alla prova di speaking dell'IELTS e per la comunicazione reale in inglese.