Практика Shadowing: 'VIRTUALLY ALL' US Missiles USED In Iran War - Изучайте разговорный английский по видео
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1
Turning now to Iran, major breaking news as of this morning.
2
Let's put it up here on the screen.
3
The United States per Reuters is now running out of virtually all long-range precision missiles during the Iran war per Reuters.
4
This is an internal U.S government assessment
5
that has been passed around now for the last week
6
and reportedly was one of the main reasons that Donald Trump decided not to go through with that full-scale attack on Iran, not some fake peace talks that were not actually happening.
7
I'm going to read from some of this story because there's so vitally important.
8
The United States Army has now used much of its stockpile of highly accurate long-range missiles during its five-month war with Iran.
9
The missiles are principally the Army surface-to-surface weapons known as the Army Tactical Missile System, the AT-CAMS, and precision strike missiles, the PRISMS.
10
The U.S has, quote, used virtually all of these weapons.
11
The degree to which the military is running out of these specific missiles has not yet been previously reported.
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The long-range munitions were an important part of the military arsenal before the war allowing accurate strikes from a safe distance.
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The U.S supplied weapons have now played a key role also in the war in Ukraine, where they currently are asking the United States for more of them.
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However, as we now know, virtually all of them have been used.
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According to this reporting, Crystal, Reuters says that CENTCOM actually used all of the missiles that they had in their domain and have had to draw down,
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as we saw previously with the THADs and others from virtually all the other theaters around the world.
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The next time that the PRISM missile, which is replacing the ATKAM missile, will come online to the United States in production is 2027.
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So we will have to wait a full year before new ones will begin to enter the arsenal.
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This is honestly, I mean, look, we knew it was bad.
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Didn't know it was this bad.
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They also actually, I just want to say, it's not just these land missiles that are vitally important for the United States.
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It's the tomahawk supplies as well, something that has not been covered nearly as much because we do have more of them.
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But approximately 50 percent have now been used in the war with Iran.
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Again, it takes years in order to just make even a few dozen
25
or so of these things from a single factory here in Arizona, just to demonstrate the billions of dollars
26
that have now been expended in terms of the munitions in this war and the tradeoffs that will be needed.
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Last thing that I do think is so vitally important
28
and also shows the strategic problem that we face is
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that they note inside of this U.S government assessment
30
that the reason why that we're running so low on these weapons
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and we've been
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so heavily reliant on them is we did not want to
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risk manned pilots dropping many of those other types of munitions over Iran out of fear that they would get shot down,
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which means that the United States does not have the total air supremacy over Iran
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and that they remain afraid
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that we would have more shoot downs as we saw in the final days of the war before the seas
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or the full scale war before the ceasefire broke out.
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So overall, a vitally, vitally dire position for the United States to be in.
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Can't emphasize enough how important these missiles obviously were in the course of the war
40
and in terms of the war plans for all of the other different theaters, including Russia and China.
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So the number one determining factor, it appears, as to whether the United States even can resume a full-scale all-out war against Iran, even if it wanted to.
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Just five months is all it took to basically expend most of them.
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Absolutely insane.
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And as people have been covering this for years at this point, it is shocking just how bad the situation is.
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I mean, what can you even say about this?
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Where does all the money go?
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What have you people spent all of our tax dollars on?
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I mean, we fund the Pentagon more and more and more every single year, whether it's a Democratic or Republican administration.
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The last time we had any sort of cuts was actually under Obama with that sequestration deal with the Republicans.
50
Outside of that, the line just continues to go up.
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Pete Hegseth is demanding $1.5 trillion.
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What is the money going to?
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Complete insanity.
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So to your point, look, what we did in the initial round of the wars, we used a lot of these precision long range weapons.
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Why?
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Because our planes kept mysteriously falling out of the sky.
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Remember those claims in the early days that there were like three fighter jets that were down by friendly fire?
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Yeah, I'm sure we all believe that one.
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In any case, we're having all kinds of problems being able to establish that air superiority.
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So we're using these long range missiles in order to hit targets.
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That is no longer an option.
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So next time Trump goes out there and says, oh, we're going to bomb their bridges, we're going to commit all these war crimes, we're going to bomb their water infrastructure, et cetera. With what?
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What are you going to use for that?
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So it just underscores once again, there is no military solution to the problem of Iran.
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The only solution is a negotiated diplomatic solution.
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The only solution is to surrender, is to admit defeat.
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That's where we're at.
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I mean, it's completely insane that the U.S military, which had all this projection of strength
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and all of this money spent way more on it than any other country in the entire world, cannot even sustain this long of a conflict and is thoroughly defeated.
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So, you know, as things go on, we were lucky to get the terms of the original MOU.
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That MOU is no longer on the table.
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The Iranians are going to drive a hard bargain because they're reading this reporting.
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They know the situation.
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They know that we have no real options to turn this thing around.
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So it just underscores What a dire, dire situation Donald Trump has gotten us into.
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I really just can't even like, look, we knew the situation was bad.
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CSIS has a good handle.
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Again, you can go and look at all their methodology.
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Ben Shapiro looking at you.
80
Apparently, he thinks he knows better than the people who are
81
literally connected to the war industrial base funded by them in many respects.
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But OK, so where we are right now is
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that CSIS had previously pegged it around 45 percent of all of them expended.
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We now know that that's not even the case.
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It's even more.
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And it appears that because of their ability to estimate methodology, they can actually undercount the number of missiles used.
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The internal assessment really matters in terms of what they're pointing out, especially because with those prisms,
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for example, I believe the number was fewer than 100 that we even had before going into the war.
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Another 120 will take about a year or so to come online.
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The tomahawks as well, I've talked about this to many ends, especially about the factories and the initial process and the way that it's all there.
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You could spend all the money in the world and it still wouldn't work.
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But it does still show you we have been spending all the money in the world.
93
We had years to plan for exactly a crisis moment like this from 2022 onward.
94
Biden squandered all of that.
95
He basically gave the entire barn over to Ukraine.
96
And now we've got nothing left, especially with Ukraine, with their hands out today for all of these even more critical missile systems.
97
And the bottom line remains the United States is afraid of being able to take casualties in the air over Iran.
98
So they're heavily reliant on this.
99
And now we're going to be in a situation where if the war does have to escalate or not have to, but if they want to escalate it again, a lot of people's lives are going to be seriously at risk,
100
both from the interceptor stockpiles being so low that they have to ration
101
and a lot of pilots may be at risk up in the air.
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And we already saw the F-35, the so-called friendly fire shutdowns.
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There's two tankers that allegedly ran into each other.
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So there are all kinds of sketchy situations that are all happening here.
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But it does explain all of Trump's BSing behavior
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because he remains totally committed to this idea that we are going to have some sort of talks.
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And in fact, we have here saying that talks are underway by Donald Trump.
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This is his claim yesterday in the Oval Office.
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B2, let's take a listen.
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Are the talks with Iran now off?
111
And are air strikes back on?
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No, they're on.
113
They're going on right now.
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It's an amazing thing.
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We have a little problem with Iran because we have many talks that will say we have or we don't have, you know, we're straight about it.
116
But they deny it, but they're not denying it now.
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They just put out a statement, not denying it.
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But for some reason, they, when they're talking, They don't like saying that they're talking.
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They're censors.
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So they called me and they said, please don't attack.
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We'll make a deal.
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That's the real truth.
123
And everyone knows it.
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And who wouldn't call?
125
So that's the real truth.
126
Meanwhile, the actual truth, let's put B3 up here on the screen, per Wall Street Journal and the Iranian Foreign Ministry.
127
Here's what they say.
128
Iran's Foreign Ministry, there are no discussions underway with the United States.
129
There are no plans to have any discussions.
130
The only discussions are currently with Oman, which continue on managing traffic through the passage.
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Trump calls Tehran unbelievably duplicitous.
132
And in fact, what we already see is
133
that even these talks with Oman about some sort of managed
134
route for the future through the Strait of Hormuz is not a guarantee.
135
We have had multiple vessels, including, again, maybe an hour or so before we even began this show, of another one
136
that was just hit by an Iranian projectile in the Strait of Hormuz trying to transit in a different manner.
137
The current estimate is that there's a lot of black market traffic that is moving through the strait, approximately 5 million barrels a day or so.
138
They're called ship-to-ship transfers, where it comes on one ship and a blockade runner takes it and takes it to another ship.
139
Hyper inefficient, very, very expensive.
140
Obviously, with the current price of oil, some people are willing to risk it, but it pales in the 20 million barrels a day that were originally moving through the straight-up-form moves and explains why,
141
even with oil prices, quote, down around $80, $85 per barrel, it is still going to be punishingly high at the gas station for all of us.
142
And to that point, by the way, Trump now basically abandoning, even trying to get oil prices down by increasing the supply,
143
is now saying that the oil companies are making too much money.
144
B1, let's take a listen.
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Exxon and Chevron integrated all U.S.
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Just announced record profits second year.
147
Unbelievable.
148
For Exxon, for instance, 14 million house, they've had an over decade.
149
For Chevron, for the quarter, highest in history.
150
By 12 times.
151
On the back.
152
You saw that.
153
Yes.
154
I mean, it's unbelievable.
155
On the backs.
156
I don't like it.
157
Workers paying higher debts.
158
Yeah.
159
Whatever is our.
160
They're making too much money.
161
Okay, based on a shortage, they're making too much money.
162
I don't like it.
163
And I should be the last one to say, because I'm a big free enterprise guy.
164
Nobody bigger.
165
And, you know, you're going to see oil when we're finished with Iran.
166
You're going to see the prices drop through the floor.
167
But they made too much money.
168
Too much money.
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Chevron, too much money.
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ExxonMobil, too much.
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Too much money.
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when you look at one company where they made 12 times what they made the year before
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they're going to give some of that back to the public
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and they better cut the retail price the consumer price too
175
much money you're surprised i'm saying it i'll say it loud
176
and clear i'm not happy about it he's not happy about it uh you know he's going to tell them
177
or send them a very strongly worded truth to tell them uh to drop their price
178
so i mean first of all you know there's A lot of funny things you could say about free enterprise
179
and all of that.
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But, you know, look, is he actually going to do anything to tell them not to do that?
181
No, he can't actually because of where things are today.
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He could try the export ban.
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It would be a disaster in the long run and probably lead to outright shortages, probably destroy the global oil market as we know it.
184
And in the long run would actually make oil prices much higher for everyone.
185
There's only one thing you can do, which is end the war.
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You end the war, then yeah, okay, we can have some oil that's going to go through, but still not accepting it.
187
As of this morning, retail gasoline average $4.08 a gallon around the nation, still well over $5 in California.
188
So that's where things are.
189
Well, one other breaking news, we've got Scott Besant on Fox News saying that we may have a deal within the next day or two.
190
I'll just read you what he says.
191
We've seen President Trump last week threaten what would have been the largest military campaign since World War II against the Iranians.
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Now, because of that, we are in talks with the Iranians.
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I think there's a chance we may have a deal today or tomorrow to open the straight saga.
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So this is, you know, we have no long-range precision missiles.
195
All we have left is like jawboning, market manipulation, lies, and propaganda.
196
That is effectively the only tool that's left in our arsenal.
197
So that's what Trump has deployed to his credit.
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I think he deploys it very effectively.
199
The markets are loving this new Scott Besson comments.
200
We'll see if today or tomorrow we have a deal to open the strait.
201
And if you guys think that's really going to happen, the Iranians, as Sagar has told you before, have said, we're not negotiating.
202
No, why would we do that?
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And the sentiment within Iran, as Professor Mirandi, when we had him on discussed with us, is no negotiations.
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Why would we do that right now?
205
We have the upper hand.
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And there's a report that they may have attacked our base in Kuwait.
207
They still have plenty of weapons that they can deploy.
208
They feel they're in a very strong position.
209
And so unless Trump is truly ready to accept the defeat that has been rendered on the battlefield, then we're going to continue in this kind of limbo state.
210
Yep, exactly.
211
And look, last thing, to that point, so there may be a deal.
212
But that deal is not between the United States.
213
That deal is between Oman, Qatar, and Iran.
214
So there was allegedly some final draft, which is being, you know, coming through.
215
It will actually institute some kind of a surrender of what we're talking about, which is we will say, okay, chips, go through the Iranian side,
216
exit the Omani side, some payment or something like that is going to have to go through.
217
And that will be an alleged framework to get to the point where we can have talk
218
so we can get back to the memorandum of understanding, so we can get back to a potential nuclear deal, just to show how far we are away from all of this.
219
So whether there's a quote deal or not to open the strait, we already literally had one.
220
This will still be an Iranian and an Omani understanding, which we then assent to and accept.
221
Last point here from Donald Trump before, let's put it up here on the screen.
222
He had said previously, Iran's leadership is unbelievably duplicitous.
223
They'd ask for a meeting.
224
Some would say beg that talks began with more scheduled in the immediate future.
225
They're saying openly and proudly.
226
They're not having any discussions.
227
They then go to give their usual blather in saying the Strait of Hormuz will be operated by them
228
when it's already completely controlled by the United States, the U.S.
229
Wall of Steel blockade, et cetera.
230
Nothing gets through to Iran unless we want it to, and nothing will get through unless a deal or total surrender is accomplished.
231
So he had said previously a couple of times, this is the last chance.
232
I mean, he's also said that many times before.
233
So take the Scott Besant news, this truth, all of that with a great assault.
234
The one thing you can count on, the hard fact, is that we're basically completely run out of some of these missiles.
235
We have very few of the other types left before we have to full-blown start rationing and enter a bad situation.
236
So maybe, you know, Besant is right that a, quote, deal is on the horizon, but it is not going to be one even remotely floated or any of that by the United States.
237
We'll remain in sea, and obviously will remain and keep everybody updated.
238
But let's get to Gaza.
239
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240
It really helps get the show to more people.
241
And if you'd like to get the full show ad-free and in your inbox every morning, you can sign up at breakingpoints.com.
242
That's right.
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Лексика и советы по произношению к этому уроку
В этом видео 243 предложений и 3084 слов для шедоуинга. Речь длится 15:32. Говорящий говорит быстро, около 199 слов в минуту, поэтому звуки часто сливаются и сокращаются. 87% слов входят в 3000 самых частых слов английского языка, поэтому лексика простая.
Ключевая лексика этого видео
15 менее частых слов из видео с произношением и значением:
- missile /ˈmɪs.aɪl/ (существительное) — снаря́д, пу́ля. Any object used as a weapon by being thrown or fired through the air, such as stone, arrow or bullet.
- strait /stɹeɪt/ (существительное) — проли́в, прото́к. A narrow channel of water connecting two larger bodies of water.
- virtually /ˈvɚ.t͡ʃə.wə.li/ (наречие) — практически. Almost but not quite.
- precision /pɹɪˈsɪʒ.ən/ (существительное) — то́чность. The state of being precise or exact; especially, both exact and accurate.
- assessment /əˈsɛsmənt/ (существительное) — оце́нка налогообложе́ния. The act of assessing or an amount (of tax, levy or duty etc) assessed.
- deny /dəˈnaɪ/ (глагол) — отрица́ть, отверга́ть. To disallow or reject.
- arsenal /ˈɑːsənəl/ (существительное) — арсена́л. A military establishment for the storing, development, manufacturing, testing, or repairing of arms, ammunition, and other war materiel; an armoury.
- barrel /ˈbæɹəl/ (существительное) — бо́чка. A round (cylindrical) vessel, such as a cask, of greater length than breadth, and bulging in the middle, made of staves bound with hoops, and having flat ends…
- surrender /səˈɹɛndə(ɹ)/ (глагол) — сдава́ть, сда́ть. To give up into the power, control, or possession of another.
- deploy /dɪˈplɔɪ/ (глагол) — развёртывать, разверну́ть. To prepare and arrange (originally military unit or units, i.e., to array troops) for use.
- dire /ˈdaɪ̯ə(ɹ)/ (прилагательное) — злове́щий, гнету́щий. Warning of bad consequences: ill-boding; portentous.
- insane /ɪnˈseɪn/ (прилагательное) — душевнобольно́й, невменя́емый. Exhibiting unsoundness or disorder of mind; not sane; utterly mad.
- enterprise /ˈɛntəˌpɹaɪz/ (существительное) — предприя́тие. A company, business, organization, or other purposeful endeavor.
- theater /ˈθi(ə)tɚ/ (существительное) — теа́тр. A place or building, consisting of a stage and seating, in which an audience gathers to watch plays, musical performances, public ceremonies, and so on.
- commit /kəˈmɪt/ (глагол) — вверя́ть. To give in trust; to put into charge or keeping; to entrust; to consign; used with to or formerly unto.
Фразовые глаголы, которые вы услышите
- go on /ˈɡoʊˌɒn/ (глагол) — продолжа́ть, продо́лжить. To continue in extent.
- ask for (глагол) — проси́ть, попроси́ть. To request; to order.
- break out (глагол) — сбега́ть, сбежа́ть. To escape, especially forcefully or defiantly.
- come on /ˌkʌm ˈɒn/ — пошли́. Come along with me; join me in going.
- count on /kaʊnʌn/ (глагол) — рассчи́тывать, рассчита́ть. To rely on, trust, or expect.
- deal with (глагол) — справляться с. To handle verbally or in some form of artistic expression; to address or discuss as a subject.
- do in (глагол) — прико́нчить. To kill or end; to defeat.
- draw down (глагол) — опуска́ть, опусти́ть. To lower (curtains, a portcullis, etc.).
Произношение, на которое стоит обратить внимание
Говорящий использует 62 сокращённых и редуцированных форм, например they're, we're, don't. Произносите их коротко, так, как слышите.
- Звуки «th»: theater /ˈθi(ə)tɚ/, methodology /ˌmɛθ.əˈdɑ.lə.d͡ʒi/, thoroughly /ˈθʌɹ.ə.li/, threaten /ˈθɹɛt.n̩/
- Звуки «sh» и «zh»: precision /pɹɪˈsɪʒ.ən/, negotiate /nəˈɡəʊ.ʃi.eɪt/, shortage /ˈʃɔː(ɹ)tɪd͡ʒ/, establish /ɪˈstæb.lɪʃ/, shock /ʃɔk/
- Длинные слова — следите за ударением: virtually /ˈvɚ.t͡ʃə.wə.li/, unbelievable /ˌʌnbɪˈliːvəbl̩/, allegedly /əˈlɛdʒ.ɪd.li/, negotiate /nəˈɡəʊ.ʃi.eɪt/, methodology /ˌmɛθ.əˈdɑ.lə.d͡ʒi/
Как заниматься с этим видео
- Прослушайте всё видео один раз молча и выпишите незнакомые слова.
- Начните со скорости 0,75×, повторяйте предложение за предложением и вернитесь к обычной скорости, когда станет легко.
- Запишите себя и сравните с оригиналом, обращая внимание на такие слова, как missile, strait, virtually.
Грамматика в этом видео
Конструкции, которые говорящий использует чаще всего, с точными словами из видео:
| Конструкция | В видео |
|---|---|
| Present Perfect Continuous have/has been + -ing — действие началось раньше и продолжается | have been covering · have been spending |
| Present Perfect have/has + причастие прошедшего времени — прошлое действие, важное сейчас | has been passed · have now played · have been |
| Пассивный залог be + причастие прошедшего времени — важно, что происходит, а не кто это делает | has been passed · has not been covered · been expended |
| Придаточные определительные who / which + предложение — уточнение о человеке или предмете | missile, which is · people who are · draft, which is |
Что такое техника Shadowing?
Shadowing — это научно обоснованная техника изучения языка, изначально разработанная для подготовки профессиональных переводчиков и популяризированная полиглотом доктором Александром Аргуэльесом. Метод прост, но эффективен: вы слушаете аудио на английском от носителей языка и немедленно повторяете вслух — как тень, следующая за говорящим с задержкой в 1–2 секунды. В отличие от пассивного прослушивания или грамматических упражнений, Shadowing заставляет мозг и мышцы рта одновременно обрабатывать и воспроизводить реальные речевые паттерны. Исследования показывают, что это значительно улучшает точность произношения, интонацию, ритм, связную речь, понимание на слух и беглость речи — что делает его одним из самых эффективных методов для подготовки к IELTS Speaking и реального общения на английском.