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What's up everyone?
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Alright, in today's episode, I'm going to walk you through my day trading watch list for Monday morning
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and the game plan for the week ahead.
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It is fall in New England.
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We had a frost last night, so I've broken out my winter hat and I will be wearing this for the next six months.
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Let's go ahead and jump on the screen share and start breaking down the watch list.
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All right, so Friday, as you may recall, was a dud.
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We just didn't have anything that was really solid, but the biggest move was XLAB,
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and this was a squeeze that really took off after the opening bell.
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So this is a stock that we kind of noticed, but I disregarded primarily because the float on it is 41 million shares.
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That's a higher float than what I would typically trade.
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It's also a lower price than what I typically do well on, but nonetheless, it ended up squeezing up to $1 .70,
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then up to $1 .90, up to $2 .20, pulled back up to $2 .60, $2 .90, $3 .10, $3 .50,
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$3 .80 before coming back down to earth.
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And now it's back at $2 .14.
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It's on the backside of the move.
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And I rarely would look at this as a good opportunity for a retest of the high
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when it's retraced more than 50 % of this move.
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So if I draw the 50 % line, just approximately, it doesn't have to be exact,
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at about there, if it was holding in this area after hours, then I would consider it for a retest at the top.
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We would be worried about a double top, which is when we come right back up to that previous high and we reject it.
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And we've had a number of examples of double tops just recently where, you know, you've had a stock that,
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well, this one, this was sort of a different example.
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Actually, I got to rename this one.
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Highly volatile example.
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But let's see, here's a double top.
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So we had this high here, it comes back up, it pushes through it just for a second and then flushes back down.
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You don't really like to see that.
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This one here's a triple top coming back up, the double top rejects, and it comes up again, and it ends up rejecting.
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So that one I just showed you this one oh that's the same one i gotta organize some of these
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so the fact is when i have something this is a good example double top here
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and then comes back up here and rejects
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and this is one where it did give back more than 50 of the move
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then it kind of rallied back up and then it went
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but it's really hard to kind of fight that battle
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when it's already shown the initial weakness
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so this is shown initial weakness by coming back down this far
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which means even if you get a little rally up to me.
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It's just not enough to be worthwhile.
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So XLAB from Friday, that's not interesting.
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UPLD, this is very light volume, moving up a little bit in after hours on Friday.
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No interest in that.
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ACTU, this is a cheaper stock.
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If we sort based on volume on Friday, ZTG had 172 million shares of volume.
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That's a ton of volume.
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But again, squeezes up in pre -market, rolls over, gives it all back.
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Then you get a little bounce off the low, but that's it.
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XLAB, we already talked about 170 million shares.
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TCRT, 32 million shares.
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This one's interesting because it tries to go, but it's just not able to do it.
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You zoom back out on the daily
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and you realize that the move from Friday in the context of this move from earlier in the week,
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you know, it gave back almost all of it, certainly more than 50 % of it.
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And then it's on the backside coming back down.
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So it just has the selling pressure pushing it down and it's not able to pull away.
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So that was no good.
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LHSW, this was a cheaper one.
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No interest in that for me.
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So now that we look at the overall market, the S &P 500, we know that last week was a little bit tough.
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The CPI numbers came in higher than expected.
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So that was on Wednesday here.
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So that means inflation is elevated more than what was anticipated.
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Coming into the midterm elections, that creates a little bit of concern.
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I mean, I was looking at the price of diesel, what was it, on Friday, $7 .84 a gallon for diesel.
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It's crazy.
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I mean, that's extremely high, especially for working class people who have diesel trucks.
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That's unbelievable.
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That's, you know, all the equipment that runs on diesel.
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It's just, it's insane.
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So, you know, people, people are definitely feeling the pinch there.
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And so, you know, anyways, costs, you know, across the board for things are inflated.
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And so the market's responding to that.
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And then another drop on Friday, you know, and of course, there's conversation about, you know,
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the semiconductors and the AI companies and everything else, they're coming back down.
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You can see NVIDIA coming back down a little bit.
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So, let's see, SOXL, Semiconductor Long ETF, coming back down, as you can see here,
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and then SOXS is the short ETF, which is rallying up.
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You know, but I don't get into trading ETFs, I just kind of look at them as a measure of what's happening in the market.
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The reason I don't typically trade them is that they are a derivative.
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So if you're looking at a candlestick pattern on this, what it does is based entirely on the price action of something else.
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And so you may get some patterns because those are patterns that are also occurring on the underlying instrument.
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But I generally don't do super well trading derivatives.
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I find them to be fairly challenging.
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And this is, of course, too expensive.
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So we're in a state right now where the overall market's pulling back.
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We know that for the last year and a half, whatever, people have been talking about AI bubble, AI bubble.
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And so, you know, now we're seeing, you know, some of these AI stocks or, you know, semiconductors, whatever, coming back down a little bit,
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NVIDIA coming back down, combined with inflation, combined with the midterms, we're in a period that is a bit uncertain.
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And so it shouldn't be a surprise that trading is a little bit more uncertain right now.
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And that's certainly been the case for me.
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Last week was not a great week.
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I was red.
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I was up on Monday and then the rest of the week was, you know, red or very small gains.
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And so it's a little discouraging.
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Right now, October is on track to be my second worst month of the year, you know, behind September.
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So September and October this year have been the two worst months of the entire year.
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Now, of course, there's still a couple weeks left.
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There's some time to redeem myself, which you never know.
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But But I wouldn't set my expectation that that's going to happen right now
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because I think this is the time to batten down the hatches.
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And saving yourself unnecessary loss might be the biggest goal right now.
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And I would say that it's difficult right now both for short sellers
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and long bias traders because we don't have clear direction.
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We don't have really obvious moves, which make it easier to read the patterns.
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So regardless of whether you're long bias or short bias,
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this is a challenging time I'm not seeing that short sellers are feeling like this is a super easy time.
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Yes, we're getting some more of those
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You know pops and and then reversals, but a lot of them are on such light volume I mean something like this.
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There's no liquidity behind it
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You know whether you're long or short.
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There's not much you can do with it
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So light volume moves without a lot of conviction
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It's hard to profit from those and of course if you have the misfortune of you know, getting caught the wrong way,
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because the liquidity is poor, they can move very quickly, you know, in your direction or against you.
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Look at that reversal from $5 .50 down to $2.
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And there was no news on that.
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It's just extreme, you know, kind of panic and greed and stuff that kicks these up and then drops them back down.
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So that means I always, on Sunday, look at my after hours top gainer scanner
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and you've got fufu there leading the way up 22 percent it's a singapore company
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and it's up 22 percent
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because it flushed 50 percent going into the close then bounced back up
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so you don't get credit for being up 22 percent
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because that's really not a fair assessment
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so aame this one um it again for me it's too cheap uh it doesn't have enough volume behind the move, half a million shares.
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I don't have any interest in it.
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RPGL, no. I mean, it's just, I would be surprised.
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It is a Singapore company, and that's where we've been seeing some pops.
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But look at the chart.
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We've been seeing that this one pops and drops.
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It's not trustworthy.
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So unfortunately, right now, we don't have any good after hours top gainers to look at for continuation to Monday morning.
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We don't really have anything on the scan right here for continuation to Monday morning, which means at this point right now,
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I don't have a list of two or three stocks that I really like for Monday.
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So when that's the case, and this is the case from time to time, here's the way I do it.
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I sit down.
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Well, usually what I actually do is around 6 .45 in the morning, 6 .30 in the morning,
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I'll pull up the scans right on my phone.
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So I'll pull up DayTrade Dash on my phone.
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I'll check the scans and I'll see what's our leading gainer, what's moving in the market right now.
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And if we have something that's moving in the market right now, then, you know, I'm like,
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all right, boom, we must have had news at four or five, 6am.
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It's already started to pop up.
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We've got a stock up a hundred percent, maybe 200%, whatever it is.
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And I'm going to come in and either trade that stock
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or look for continuation and sympathy momentum on the next stock that comes up with news.
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If I pull up my scans and our leading gappers are 20 -30 % the way they were on Friday, then that tells me, all right,
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we haven't gotten a headline yet that's gotten a stock moving, so I got to wait.
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But I'll come over to the office.
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I'll be here around 7 a .m.
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And then I just watch the top gainer scanner to see stocks moving up it.
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See right down here.
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This might be covered by my video.
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I'll just hide my video for a second.
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Let's see.
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So if you see right down here, you've got that red arrow going down and the green arrow going up.
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So when I see green arrow going up, that tells me this stock moved up the scan.
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So these two traded places, basically.
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One moved up, one moved down.
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So when I see one starting to move up, then I say, oh, all right, what's going on with that one?
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Oh, it's got a news headline or whatever, whatever.
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And then maybe a few minutes later, it hits the scanner.
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Now it's moving up with a little more momentum.
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It's got some buying volume.
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And that's kind of how I start to pick up on stocks that are squeezing.
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and next thing you know, a stock like that can end up being on the top gainer scanner for,
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you know, all the stocks above 50 cents in the entire market.
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And typically, the times that I look at that will be around the top and the bottom of the hour, 7, 7 .38, 8 .39.
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And then going into the opening bell, I kind of take my foot off the gas.
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In fact, I wish I had taken my foot off the gas, you know, with my share size, you know, in general, a little bit earlier.
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I often say that.
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I am, so I will say that I'm pretty good at putting the pedal to the metal and getting aggressive.
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That's not hard for me.
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That's kind of always been in my nature to get really aggressive with trading and take really big size.
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So it's not hard for me to get aggressive.
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It's hard for me to slow down.
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It's hard for me to take my foot off the gas.
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I get stubborn.
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I get frustrated.
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And usually what happens is, you know, I'll have an outsized loss.
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And initially that outsized loss, I'm kind of like, all right, was that just, you know,
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the market's hot and I was just off my game, whatever.
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And so when I come in the next day, I continue to swing hard.
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And in a hot market, I'll be back, I'll make that big loss back in one day.
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And then I just continue on the upward, you know, trend of making good money.
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But in a colder market, it's the second big red day.
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No, this is not good.
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Now I've had two big red days in a row.
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The third day is when I really have to rein things in.
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But if I see something starting to move and it looks good, I'll think, all right, this is the one.
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I jump in it.
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And now all of a sudden the stock did look good.
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But the last two days of bigger rejections, which were reflected in my own P &L, are also that sentiment is around the entire market.
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All the traders feel that because other traders got caught in similar rejections and then day three, another red day.
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And now it's like, uh -oh, in three days, I just gave back 10, 20 % of my profit, whatever, in the last X period.
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It could have been all the profit, depending on where you're at in your career.
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And now it's like, well, geez, I just cut my buying power way down.
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I've lost a bunch of money.
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I'm frustrated.
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I'm disappointed.
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And now you kind of have to sit with this feeling of,
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it's going to take me a long time to make back that loss in this market that we're in right now.
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You know, if the market was still hot, I can make it back really quickly.
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But it was three, four days in a row that were red, you know, or maybe a week, whatever happens to be.
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And now to make that back in a cold market, it's just going to take a long time.
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So this is sort of something that I've experienced a lot of my own trading.
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I'm not happy with my performance, you know, for the last 90 days or so.
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I kind of, you know, really peaked in July this year.
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and well, June technically was the peak
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and then July things were a little slower and then August there were a few tremors.
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$73 ,000 red day, $64 ,000 red day and I still finished the month up $223 ,000 but I had two,
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four, five red days and things really cooled off back here
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and then we go into September
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and September was you know two four six seven red days two four six eight nine green days
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I mean that's not good for me I had one bigger red day
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so slowest month of the entire year and now here we are in October
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and October you know except for one good day back here it's been a really difficult month.
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And now, you know, so this is kind of where we're at right now.
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And yes, we've got two weeks left.
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But, you know, at the same time, I'm not super optimistic that things are going to get better in the next two weeks.
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I almost think that they might not get much better until after the midterm elections.
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And which way the midterm elections go might also either, you know, end up adding fuel to the sell -off in some of the tech stocks.
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You know, these companies, I mean,
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we know that a lot of these big tech CEOs are spending a lot of money right now to try to keep
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Republicans in control of the House and Senate.
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So, But I'm concerned about the possibility that if we have a midterm election that doesn't go in their favor,
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that we're going to see more sell -off in tech stocks.
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Now, however you feel politically, that's just the reality of what I see or what I expect to happen in the market.
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So if that does happen, then we're going to have to try to parse through what
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is going to be the theme where we see traders get excited again.
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And this year, there's been sort of a combination of some crypto market or prediction market themes,
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some AI themes, which are sort of really softening at this point.
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Crypto is down.
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I mean, we're not going to have good crypto catalysts until crypto or, you know, Bitcoin is back to its all time high.
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So this is just a rough chart of crypto, but, you know, 122 high, and we're down here at 81, right after falling quite a bit.
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So we did sort of base out here.
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But I, you know, I don't know this, you could almost say this is an inverted or a traditional head and shoulders pattern.
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So if crypto, you know, falls by the wayside, AI falls by the wayside.
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Then where do we go next?
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Is it back to the biotech stocks?
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These biotech companies that are working on just genuine cures to terrible diseases and illnesses,
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which when they come out with them have the potential for
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that stock to go up a thousand percent in a single day.
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That's always been a tried and true sector for us, except that many of those biotech companies a couple days after they put out that news,
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sell shares to raise money to continue funding their research and development.
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So big news, move up, secondary offering, very common theme.
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But you never know when they'll do it.
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And sometimes they surprise us and they don't do a secondary offering.
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They instead get a private placement where they don't have to sell shares on the open market.
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The price is high and the stock surges even higher.
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Next thing you know, it's a $50, $75, $100 a share.
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So it's not to say it's a slam dunk for a short seller either that you just know two days after news,
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it's going to drop because that's not always the case.
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But biotech is tried and true, which is good.
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But yeah, I think at this point, for the rest of October, I think it's going to be a base hit market.
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Just get in, get green, get out.
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Don't overstay your welcome.
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There'll certainly be some opportunities in the next two weeks, but will there be more of the big moves?
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I'm not sure.
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Even the ones that we've had, like MNDR from last week, Singapore Company puts in a big move, no news.
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So look, I mean, I'm happy to trade it, but without clear catalyst beyond it's just a foreign listed security,
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it just feels a bit, it's hard to trust.
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It's hard to feel confident sizing up on that.
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JBDI, another one, Singapore Company.
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So Singapore is the new
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China right now.
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We've seen a number of Singapore stocks that have moved, which is, you know, part of why on that after hours top gainer scanner,
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I was kind of like, okay, well, you know, there are a few RPGL that's Singapore, right?
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So all right, I mean, I guess I shouldn't completely disregard it.
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Foo -foo, also Singapore.
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So, you know, well maybe
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if that's the theme in this market um you know it's better than nothing
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but it's a tough theme to get really confident in
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because it's just what any singapore stock with absolutely no news is going to go well
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that's not going to happen there's you know too many of
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that it just doesn't make sense so i would say right now keep it tight
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and i would also say this is a really good time to be studying
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because the cold markets are an opportunity for you to be in the trenches honing your skill.
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And then when it heats back up, you're better prepared to be able to capitalize on that opportunity.
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So to that end, I would encourage you guys to check out the two -week trial right here at Warrior Trading.
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Two -week trial gives you access to this software right here, gives you access to the charts, the scanners, the newsfeed.
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You'll also have access to a selection of classes from my curriculum,
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the Warrior Pro curriculum, and you'll be able to listen to my live broadcast every day.
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So I encourage you guys to check that out.
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I think it's a good use of your time if you're interested, if you're committed to being in the market, not just for a few weeks,
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but you actually want to make this thing happen.
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So my goal right now is just keeping risk in check,
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trying to avoid downward spiral and having the red days get bigger and bigger or red months get bigger, bigger, whatever.
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So just trying to keep everything reined in.
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To that end, I took 90 % of my account balance out.
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I did a transfer with a Roth IRA.
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You could do a direct transfer from Roth to Roth.
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And so I usually do that.
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at least once a year, a couple times a year, but I did it.
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So I cleared out all the profit, basically, from January through September, and reset my account back down to 150 grand.
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And it was at about two, a little over 2 million from the profit from this year.
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So now my buying power, you know, is, which is, and this is important, because even if I lost 50 % on a trade right now,
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I'd be down 75 grand.
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And that's tolerable.
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Prior to that, I had $2 million in the account, which meant if I had the misfortune of losing 50 % in a single trade,
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I could give back half my year of profit.
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And I need to manage my risk.
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Now, when the market's hot, I want to keep that money in my account so I can utilize it to keep growing my account,
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keep, you know, taking bigger and bigger positions.
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But once things cool off, you got to take your foot off the gas.
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I wish I'd done it sooner, but it is what it is.
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So always room for improvement as a trader.
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So that's it for me.
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You've got my game plan for Monday morning and a few tidbits about how I think about the market right now.
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But I'll be back at it.
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As always, you'll see me in the morning, 7 a .m streaming for members at Warrior Trading.
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So please make sure you guys check out that two week trial.
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But I'll remind you as always that trading is risky.
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My results aren't typical and there's no guarantee you'll find success whether you trade with me or you learn on your own.
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So please manage your risk, take it slow, and I'll see you tomorrow at 7 a .m.
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Vocabolario e note di pronuncia per questa lezione
Questa lezione di conversazione si basa sul video “Day Trading Watch List for Monday!”. Questo video contiene 314 frasi e 3960 parole da ripetere con lo shadowing. Il parlato dura 21:10. Chi parla va veloce, circa 187 parole al minuto: aspettati suoni legati e ridotti. Il 86% delle parole rientra nelle 3.000 più comuni dell’inglese; conviene studiare le altre prima di iniziare.
Vocaboli chiave di questo video
15 parole del video che vale la pena imparare, con pronuncia e significato:
| Parola | Pronuncia | Significato |
|---|---|---|
| scanner sostantivo | /ˈskænə/ | lettore ottico, scanner |
| scan verbo | /skæn/ | scrutare |
| trader sostantivo | /ˈtɹeɪdɚ/ | commerciante |
| diesel sostantivo | /ˈdisəl/ | diesel, gasolio |
| squeeze verbo | /skwiːz/ | spremere, stringere |
| chart sostantivo | /t͡ʃɑɹt/ | carta, carta nautica |
| rally sostantivo | /ˈɹæli/ | raduno, manifestazione |
| aggressive aggettivo | /əˈɡɹɛs.ɪv/ | aggressivo |
| bias sostantivo | /ˈbaɪ.əs/ | pregiudizio, predisposizione |
| arrow sostantivo | /ˈæɹəʊ/ | freccia |
| continuation sostantivo | /kənˌtɪnjʊˈeɪʃ(ə)n/ | continuazione |
| encourage verbo | /ɪnˈkʌɹ.ɪd͡ʒ/ | incoraggiare, raccomandare |
| weakness sostantivo | /ˈwik.nɪs/ | debolezza, cagionevolezza |
| bubble sostantivo | /ˈbʌbəl/ | bolla |
| inflation sostantivo | /ɪnˈfleɪ.ʃən/ | inflazione |
I phrasal verb che sentirai
| Parola | Significato |
|---|---|
| come back verbo | tornare |
| end up verbo | andare a finire, finire |
| give back verbo | rendere |
| go up verbo | salire |
| back down verbo | cedere |
| check out verbo | investigare |
| break out verbo | evadere |
| come up verbo | venire fuori, emergere |
Frasi da ripetere
Frasi brevi e complete del video che puoi riutilizzare nella conversazione di tutti i giorni:
- You don't really like to see that.
- You know whether you're long or short.
- I don't have any interest in it.
- I mean, it's just, I would be surprised.
- Then where do we go next?
La grammatica di questo video
Le strutture che chi parla usa di più, con le parole esatte del video:
| Struttura | Nel video |
|---|---|
| Present perfect continuous have/has been + -ing — un’azione iniziata prima e ancora in corso | have been talking · we've been seeing |
| Present perfect have/has + participio passato — un’azione passata che conta ancora adesso | I've broken · we've had · that's certainly been |
| Frasi relative who / which + frase — un’informazione in più su una persona o una cosa | top, which is · people who have · ETF, which is |
| Forma passiva be + participio passato — conta ciò che accade, non chi lo fa | is shown · is elevated · are inflated |
Pronuncia a cui fare attenzione
Chi parla usa 94 contrazioni e forme ridotte, come don't, I'll, I'm. Pronunciale nella forma breve, così come le senti.
- I suoni “th”: nonetheless /ˌnʌnðəˈlɛs/, sympathy /ˈsɪm.pəθ.i/, worthwhile /ˌwɜː(ɹ)θˈwaɪl/, trustworthy /ˈtɹʌst.wɜː.ði/
- I suoni “sh” e “zh”: continuation /kənˌtɪnjʊˈeɪʃ(ə)n/, inflation /ɪnˈfleɪ.ʃən/, rejection /ɹɪˈd͡ʒɛkʃən/, flush /ˈflʌʃ/, conviction /kənˈvɪkʃən/
- Parole lunghe — attenzione all’accento: continuation /kənˌtɪnjʊˈeɪʃ(ə)n/, curriculum /kəˈɹɪk.jə.ləm/, momentum /ˌmə(ʊ)ˈmɛntəm/, derivative /dɪˈɹɪvətɪv/, semiconductor /ˌsɛmikənˈdʌktə/
I suoni difficili per chi parla italiano:
- /h/ — va soffiata, non è muta: headline /ˈhɛd.laɪn/, hatch /hæt͡ʃ/, hone /hoʊn/
- Consonante finale — senza aggiungere una vocale dopo: squeeze /skwiːz/, chart /t͡ʃɑɹt/, aggressive /əˈɡɹɛs.ɪv/, bias /ˈbaɪ.əs/, encourage /ɪnˈkʌɹ.ɪd͡ʒ/
- /æ/ — più aperta della “e”: scanner /ˈskænə/, scan /skæn/, rally /ˈɹæli/, arrow /ˈæɹəʊ/, catalyst /ˈkæt.ɪ.lɪst/
Come esercitarsi con questo video
- Ascolta tutto il video una volta senza parlare e annota le parole che non conosci.
- Inizia a velocità 0,75×, fai shadowing frase per frase e torna alla velocità normale quando diventa facile.
- Registrati e confronta con l’originale, facendo attenzione a parole come scanner, scan, trader.
Cos'è la tecnica dello Shadowing?
Shadowing è una tecnica di apprendimento delle lingue supportata da studi scientifici, originariamente sviluppata per la formazione dei traduttori professionisti e resa popolare dal poliglotta Dr. Alexander Arguelles. Il metodo è semplice ma potente: ascolti un audio in inglese di madrelingua e lo ripeti immediatamente ad alta voce — come un'ombra che segue il parlante con un ritardo di solo 1–2 secondi. A differenza dell'ascolto passivo o degli esercizi di grammatica, lo shadowing costringe il tuo cervello e i muscoli della bocca a elaborare e riprodurre simultaneamente i modelli di discorso reale. La ricerca dimostra che migliora significativamente la precisione della pronuncia, l'intonazione, il ritmo, il discorso connesso, la comprensione dell'ascolto e la fluidità del parlato — rendendolo uno dei metodi più efficaci per la preparazione alla prova di speaking dell'IELTS e per la comunicazione reale in inglese.