Prática de Shadowing: 馬斯克：不只基本收入，是「全民高收入」｜辦公室工作會「像閃電一樣」被 AI 取代，那剩下什麼工作？｜Joe Rogan 節目馬斯克｜真實訪談精選、單字解釋、雙語字幕 - Aprenda a falar inglês com vídeo

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The only way to get us out of the debt crisis and to prevent America from going bankrupt is AI and robotics,

which is like just someone at a computer doing something.

AI is going to take over those jobs like lightning.

And ultimately, working will be optional because you'll have robots plus AI and we'll have,

in a benign scenario, universal high income.

One of the things you said when you stepped away is that you're kind of done and that it's unfixable that

Well or under its current form the way people are approaching it

You can you can make it directionally better, but ultimately you can't fully fix the system

So I I – like it is – it would be accurate to say

that even – like unless you go like super draconian like,

you know, Genghis Khan level on cutting waste and fraud, which you can't really do in a democratic country,

an aspirationally democratic country, then there's no way to solve the debt crisis.

So we've got national debt, that's just insane, where the debt payments, the interest payments on the debt exceed our entire military budget.

I mean, that was one of the wake -up calls for me.

I was like, wait a second, the interest on our national debt is bigger than the entire military budget and growing?

This is crazy um so um so so even

if you implement all these savings you're only delaying the day of reckoning for

when america becomes it goes bankrupt so unless you go full genghis khan um

which you can't really do so um so i came to the conclusion

that the only way that the only way to get us out of the debt crisis

and to prevent America from going bankrupt is AI and robotics.

So we need to grow the economy at a rate that allows us to pay off our debt.

The savings, like reducing waste and forward, can give us a longer runway, but it cannot ultimately pay off our national debt.

So what do you think the solution is to the jobs that are going to be lost because of AI and robotics,

the jobs due to automation, the jobs due to no longer do we need human beings to do these jobs because AI is doing them?

Do you think it's going to be some sort of a universal basic income thing?

Do you think there's going to be some other kind of solution that has to be implemented?

Because a lot of people are going to be out of work, right?

I think there will be actually a high demand for jobs, but not necessarily the same jobs.

So, I mean, this is actually, this process has been happening throughout modern history.

I mean, they used to be, like, doing calculations manually with, like, pencil and paper used to be a job

so used to have like buildings full of people called computers whether the banks would like the all

you do all day is is you do calculations

because they didn't have computers then didn't have digital didn't have digital computers

that people do this yeah well they're just people just like add

and subtract stuff on piece paper and and and that

that would be how banks would do you know financial processing

and you'd have to literally go over their equations to make sure the books are balanced yeah

and most times it's a simple math like

Like in a world before computers, how did you calculate, how did you do transactions?

You had to do them by hand.

So then when computers were introduced, the job of doing bank calculations no longer existed.

So people had to go do something else.

And that's what's going to happen.

That's what is happening at an accelerated rate.

Your AI and then robotics that's the issue though, right the accelerated rate because it's gonna be the accelerator

It's just happening.

Like I said, like AI is the supersonic tsunami so

That's why I call it supersonic tsunami

So it's like what other jobs will be available that aren't available now because of AI Well AI is really still digital.

Ultimately, AI can improve the productivity of humans who

Build things with their hands or do things with their hands, like literally welding, electrical work,

plumbing, anything that's physically moving atoms, like cooking food or farming,

like anything that's physical, those jobs will exist for a much longer time.

But anything that is digital, which is like just someone at a computer doing something, AI is going to take over those jobs like lightning.

Coding, anything along those lines.

It's going to take over those jobs like lightning.

Just like digital computers took over the job of people doing manual calculations, but much faster.

So what happens to all those people?

What kind of numbers are we talking about?

You're going to lose most drivers, right?

Commercial drivers, you're going to have automated vehicles, AI -controlled systems, just like there's certain ports in China,

I think in Singapore, where everything's completely automated.

But yeah, cars are going to be autonomous.

But there's just so many desk jobs where really what people are doing is they're processing email or they're answering the phone.

And just anything that isn't moving atoms, like anything that is not doing physical work, that will obviously be the first thing.

Those jobs will be and are being eliminated by AI at a very rapid pace um um

and ultimately i working will be optional uh because you'll have robots plus ai

and we'll have in a benign scenario universal high income not

just universal basic income universal high income meaning anyone can have any products or services that they want

So you but but there will be a lot of trauma and disruption along the way

So you anticipate a basic income

From that that the economy will boost to such an extent that a high income would be available to almost everybody

So we'd essentially eliminate poverty In the benign scenario.

Yes.

So like There's multiple scenarios.

There are multiple scenarios.

There's a lot of ways this movie can end

like the reason I'm so concerned about AI safety is

that like one of the possibilities is the Terminator scenario

it's not it's not zero percent by in the same way

having Grok be a maximally truth -seeking curious AI will force

the other AI companies to be also be more truth -seeking

and fair and the funniest thing is even though like the socialists

and the Marxists are in opposition to a lot of your ideas, but if this gets implemented and you really can achieve universal high income,

that's the greatest socialist solution of all time.

Like literally no one will have to work.

Correct.

Um, but like I said, so, so there is a benign scenario here, which I think probably people will be happy with if,

if, as long as we achieve it, which is sustainable abundance.

Um, which is if everyone can have – like if you ask people like, what's the future that you want?

And I think a future where we haven't destroyed nature, like you can still – we have the national parks,

we have the Amazon rainforest, it's still there.

We haven't paved the rainforest.

Like the natural beauty is still there.

But people have – nonetheless, everyone has abundance.

Everyone has excellent medical care.

Everyone has whatever goods and services they want.

It kind of sounds like heaven.

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It sounds like heaven.

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It is like the ideal socialist utopia and

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This idea

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that the only thing you should be doing with your time is working in order to pay your bills and feed yourself

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Sounds kind of archaic

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Considering the kind of technology that's at play.

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Yeah, like a world where that's not your concern at all anymore

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Everybody has money for food.

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Everybody has abundance.

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Everybody has electronics in their home.

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Everybody essentially has a high income.

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Now you can kind of do whatever you want.

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And your day can now be exploring your interests, doing things that you actually enjoy doing.

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Your purpose just has to shift.

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Instead of, you know, I'm a hard worker and this is what I do and that's how I define myself.

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Now you can.

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Golf all day, you know, you could whatever it is that you enjoy doing can now be your main pursuit.

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Yeah.

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Well, that sounds crazy good

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Yeah, that's that's that's that's that's that's the benign scenario that we should be ending to the movie is actually pretty good

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Yes Like I think there's there is still this question of meaning of like making sure people don't

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Lose meaning, you know, like so hopefully it can find meaning in ways

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that are not that's not derived from their work

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and Purpose the purpose for things that you you know find things that you do that you enjoy

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But there's a lot of people that are independently wealthy

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that spend most of their time doing something they enjoy right and That could be the majority of people

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Pretty much everyone we would have to rewire how people approach life

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Which seems to be like acceptable because you're not asking them to be enslaved

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You're exactly asking them the opposite like no longer be burdened by financial worries

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Now go do what you like

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yes test pizza do whatever you want um pretty much um

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so that's uh that's that's the that's the that's probably the best case outcome

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that sounds like the best case outcome period for the future

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if you're looking at like how much people have struggled just to feed themselves all throughout history food shelter safety

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if all that stuff can be fit like how much would you solve a lot of the crime

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if there was a universal high income just think of

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that like how much of crime is financially motivated you know the greater percentage of people

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that are committing crimes live in poor disenfranchised neighborhoods so

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if there's no such thing anymore

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if you really can achieve universal high income yeah

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this is it sounds like a utopian yes I think some people may commit crime

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because they like committing crime just some some amount of

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that is they just a lot of people out there yeah yeah

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and obviously they've become 40 years old living a life like

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that now all of a sudden universal high income is not gonna completely stop their instincts Yeah.

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But then, as you pointed out,

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the irony is that the ultimate capitalist thing of AI and robotics enabling prosperity for all and abundance of goods and services,

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actually the capitalist implementation of AI and robotics, assuming it goes down the good path,

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uh is is actually what results in the communist utopia

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because fate is fate is an irony maximizer right and

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and an actual socialism of maximum abundance of high income people

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universal high income yeah like the the problem with communism uh is is this universal low income um

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it's it's not that everyone gets elevated it's

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that everyone gets oppressed except for a very small minority of politicians who live a life of luxury

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that's what's happening every time it's been done yeah um

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so um but then the the actual communist topia

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if everyone gets anything they want will be will be

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if will be achieved if it is achieved it will be achieved via capitalism because fate is an irony maximizer.

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Thank you.

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Vocabulário e dicas de fala para esta lição

Esta aula de conversação usa o vídeo “馬斯克：不只基本收入，是「全民高收入」｜辦公室工作會「像閃電一樣」被 AI 取代，那剩下什麼工作？｜Joe Rogan 節目馬斯克｜真實訪談精選、單字解釋、雙語字幕”. As palavras que mais se repetem: income, universal, debt, scenario, computer. Este vídeo tem 158 frases e 1934 palavras para praticar shadowing. A fala dura 14:11. O falante mantém um ritmo estável de cerca de 136 palavras por minuto, confortável para o shadowing. 84% das palavras estão entre as 3.000 mais comuns do inglês; vale a pena estudar o restante antes de começar.

Vocabulário principal deste vídeo

15 palavras do vídeo que vale a pena aprender, com pronúncia e significado:

Palavra	Pronúncia	Significado
universal adjetivo	/ˌjunəˈvɜɹs(ə)l/	universal
scenario substantivo	/sɪˈnɛəɹioʊ/	cenário
robotics substantivo	/ɹoʊˈbɑ.tɪks/	robótica
abundance substantivo	/əˈbʌn.dn̩s/	abundância
benign adjetivo	/bɪˈnaɪn/	benigno
calculation substantivo	/ˌkælkjuˈleɪʃn̩/	cálculo
fate substantivo	/feɪt/	destino, fado
lightning substantivo	/ˈlaɪt.nɪŋ/	relâmpago
socialist substantivo	/ˈsoʊ.ʃə.lɪst/	socialista
implement verbo	/ˈɪmpləmənt/	implementar
irony substantivo	/ˈaɪ.ɚ.ni/	ironia
bankrupt adjetivo	/ˈbæŋk.ɹəpt/	bancarrota, falido
essentially advérbio	/ɪˈsɛnʃəli/	em essência, essencialmente
solve verbo	/sɒlv/	resolver, solucionar
communist substantivo	/ˈkɑ.mjə.nɪst/	comunista, marxista

Phrasal verbs que você vai ouvir

Palavra	Pronúncia	Significado
take over verbo		tomar posse de, apoderar-se de
pay off verbo		compensar
go down verbo		descer
point out verbo		apontar
wake up verbo	/ˌweɪk ˈʌp/	acordar, despertar

Frases que vale a pena repetir

Frases curtas e completas do vídeo que você pode usar na conversa do dia a dia:

What kind of numbers are we talking about?
You're going to lose most drivers, right?
We haven't paved the rainforest.

Gramática neste vídeo

As estruturas que o falante mais usa, com as palavras exatas do vídeo:

Estrutura	No vídeo
Frases condicionais if + oração, will/would + verbo — uma condição e seu resultado	if everyone gets anything they want will be
“Used to” used to + verbo — um hábito ou estado do passado que não é mais verdade	used to be · used to have
Voz passiva be + particípio passado — o foco está no que acontece, não em quem faz	be lost · be implemented · are balanced
Present perfect have/has + particípio passado — uma ação passada que ainda importa agora	haven't destroyed · haven't paved · have struggled

Pronúncia para ficar de olho

O falante usa 33 contrações e formas reduzidas, como you're, can't, didn't. Diga-as na forma curta, do jeito que você ouve.

Os sons de “th”: math /mæθ/, wealthy /ˈwɛl.θi/, nonetheless /ˌnʌnðəˈlɛs/
Os sons de “sh” e “zh”: calculation /ˌkælkjuˈleɪʃn̩/, socialist /ˈsoʊ.ʃə.lɪst/, essentially /ɪˈsɛnʃəli/, optional /ˈɑp.ʃə.nəl/, conclusion /kənˈkluːʒən/
Palavras longas — acerte a sílaba tônica: universal /ˌjunəˈvɜɹs(ə)l/, essentially /ɪˈsɛnʃəli/, eliminate /ɪˈlɪm.ɪ.neɪt/, capitalist /ˈkæp.ɪ.tə.lɪst/, accelerate /ɪkˈsɛl.əˌɹeɪt/

Sons difíceis para falantes de português:

Consoante final — sem acrescentar um “i” depois: fate /feɪt/, commit /kəˈmɪt/, socialist /ˈsoʊ.ʃə.lɪst/, implement /ˈɪmpləmənt/, bankrupt /ˈbæŋk.ɹəpt/
/l/ final — a língua toca o céu da boca, não vira “u”: universal /ˌjunəˈvɜɹs(ə)l/, optional /ˈɑp.ʃə.nəl/, ideal /aɪˈdi(ə)l/, electrical /ɪˈlɛktɹɪkəl/, manual /ˈmæn.j(u)əl/

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Faça shadowing frase por frase na velocidade normal, repetindo cada uma até o seu ritmo ficar igual ao do falante.
Grave a sua voz e compare com o original, prestando atenção a palavras como universal, scenario, robotics.

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