Практика Shadowing: 馬斯克:不只基本收入,是「全民高收入」|辦公室工作會「像閃電一樣」被 AI 取代,那剩下什麼工作?|Joe Rogan 節目 馬斯克|真實訪談精選、單字解釋、雙語字幕 - Изучайте разговорный английский по видео

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158 предложений
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1
The only way to get us out of the debt crisis and to prevent America from going bankrupt is AI and robotics,
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which is like just someone at a computer doing something.
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AI is going to take over those jobs like lightning.
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And ultimately, working will be optional because you'll have robots plus AI and we'll have,
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in a benign scenario, universal high income.
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One of the things you said when you stepped away is that you're kind of done and that it's unfixable that
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Well or under its current form the way people are approaching it
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You can you can make it directionally better, but ultimately you can't fully fix the system
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So I I – like it is – it would be accurate to say
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that even – like unless you go like super draconian like,
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you know, Genghis Khan level on cutting waste and fraud, which you can't really do in a democratic country,
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an aspirationally democratic country, then there's no way to solve the debt crisis.
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So we've got national debt, that's just insane, where the debt payments, the interest payments on the debt exceed our entire military budget.
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I mean, that was one of the wake -up calls for me.
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I was like, wait a second, the interest on our national debt is bigger than the entire military budget and growing?
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This is crazy um so um so so even
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if you implement all these savings you're only delaying the day of reckoning for
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when america becomes it goes bankrupt so unless you go full genghis khan um
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which you can't really do so um so i came to the conclusion
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that the only way that the only way to get us out of the debt crisis
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and to prevent America from going bankrupt is AI and robotics.
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So we need to grow the economy at a rate that allows us to pay off our debt.
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The savings, like reducing waste and forward, can give us a longer runway, but it cannot ultimately pay off our national debt.
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So what do you think the solution is to the jobs that are going to be lost because of AI and robotics,
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the jobs due to automation, the jobs due to no longer do we need human beings to do these jobs because AI is doing them?
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Do you think it's going to be some sort of a universal basic income thing?
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Do you think there's going to be some other kind of solution that has to be implemented?
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Because a lot of people are going to be out of work, right?
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I think there will be actually a high demand for jobs, but not necessarily the same jobs.
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So, I mean, this is actually, this process has been happening throughout modern history.
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I mean, they used to be, like, doing calculations manually with, like, pencil and paper used to be a job
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so used to have like buildings full of people called computers whether the banks would like the all
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you do all day is is you do calculations
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because they didn't have computers then didn't have digital didn't have digital computers
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that people do this yeah well they're just people just like add
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and subtract stuff on piece paper and and and that
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that would be how banks would do you know financial processing
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and you'd have to literally go over their equations to make sure the books are balanced yeah
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and most times it's a simple math like
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Like in a world before computers, how did you calculate, how did you do transactions?
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You had to do them by hand.
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So then when computers were introduced, the job of doing bank calculations no longer existed.
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So people had to go do something else.
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And that's what's going to happen.
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That's what is happening at an accelerated rate.
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Your AI and then robotics that's the issue though, right the accelerated rate because it's gonna be the accelerator
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It's just happening.
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Like I said, like AI is the supersonic tsunami so
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That's why I call it supersonic tsunami
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So it's like what other jobs will be available that aren't available now because of AI Well AI is really still digital.
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Ultimately, AI can improve the productivity of humans who
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Build things with their hands or do things with their hands, like literally welding, electrical work,
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plumbing, anything that's physically moving atoms, like cooking food or farming,
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like anything that's physical, those jobs will exist for a much longer time.
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But anything that is digital, which is like just someone at a computer doing something, AI is going to take over those jobs like lightning.
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Coding, anything along those lines.
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It's going to take over those jobs like lightning.
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Just like digital computers took over the job of people doing manual calculations, but much faster.
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So what happens to all those people?
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What kind of numbers are we talking about?
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You're going to lose most drivers, right?
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Commercial drivers, you're going to have automated vehicles, AI -controlled systems, just like there's certain ports in China,
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I think in Singapore, where everything's completely automated.
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But yeah, cars are going to be autonomous.
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But there's just so many desk jobs where really what people are doing is they're processing email or they're answering the phone.
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And just anything that isn't moving atoms, like anything that is not doing physical work, that will obviously be the first thing.
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Those jobs will be and are being eliminated by AI at a very rapid pace um um
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and ultimately i working will be optional uh because you'll have robots plus ai
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and we'll have in a benign scenario universal high income not
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just universal basic income universal high income meaning anyone can have any products or services that they want
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So you but but there will be a lot of trauma and disruption along the way
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So you anticipate a basic income
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From that that the economy will boost to such an extent that a high income would be available to almost everybody
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So we'd essentially eliminate poverty In the benign scenario.
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Yes.
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So like There's multiple scenarios.
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There are multiple scenarios.
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There's a lot of ways this movie can end
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like the reason I'm so concerned about AI safety is
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that like one of the possibilities is the Terminator scenario
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it's not it's not zero percent by in the same way
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having Grok be a maximally truth -seeking curious AI will force
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the other AI companies to be also be more truth -seeking
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and fair and the funniest thing is even though like the socialists
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and the Marxists are in opposition to a lot of your ideas, but if this gets implemented and you really can achieve universal high income,
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that's the greatest socialist solution of all time.
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Like literally no one will have to work.
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Correct.
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Um, but like I said, so, so there is a benign scenario here, which I think probably people will be happy with if,
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if, as long as we achieve it, which is sustainable abundance.
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Um, which is if everyone can have – like if you ask people like, what's the future that you want?
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And I think a future where we haven't destroyed nature, like you can still – we have the national parks,
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we have the Amazon rainforest, it's still there.
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We haven't paved the rainforest.
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Like the natural beauty is still there.
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But people have – nonetheless, everyone has abundance.
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Everyone has excellent medical care.
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Everyone has whatever goods and services they want.
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It kind of sounds like heaven.
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It sounds like heaven.
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It is like the ideal socialist utopia and
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This idea
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that the only thing you should be doing with your time is working in order to pay your bills and feed yourself
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Sounds kind of archaic
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Considering the kind of technology that's at play.
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Yeah, like a world where that's not your concern at all anymore
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Everybody has money for food.
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Everybody has abundance.
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Everybody has electronics in their home.
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Everybody essentially has a high income.
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Now you can kind of do whatever you want.
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And your day can now be exploring your interests, doing things that you actually enjoy doing.
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Your purpose just has to shift.
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Instead of, you know, I'm a hard worker and this is what I do and that's how I define myself.
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Now you can.
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Golf all day, you know, you could whatever it is that you enjoy doing can now be your main pursuit.
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Yeah.
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Well, that sounds crazy good
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Yeah, that's that's that's that's that's that's the benign scenario that we should be ending to the movie is actually pretty good
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Yes Like I think there's there is still this question of meaning of like making sure people don't
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Lose meaning, you know, like so hopefully it can find meaning in ways
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that are not that's not derived from their work
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and Purpose the purpose for things that you you know find things that you do that you enjoy
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But there's a lot of people that are independently wealthy
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that spend most of their time doing something they enjoy right and That could be the majority of people
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Pretty much everyone we would have to rewire how people approach life
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Which seems to be like acceptable because you're not asking them to be enslaved
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You're exactly asking them the opposite like no longer be burdened by financial worries
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Now go do what you like
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yes test pizza do whatever you want um pretty much um
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so that's uh that's that's the that's the that's probably the best case outcome
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that sounds like the best case outcome period for the future
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if you're looking at like how much people have struggled just to feed themselves all throughout history food shelter safety
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if all that stuff can be fit like how much would you solve a lot of the crime
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if there was a universal high income just think of
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that like how much of crime is financially motivated you know the greater percentage of people
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that are committing crimes live in poor disenfranchised neighborhoods so
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if there's no such thing anymore
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if you really can achieve universal high income yeah
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this is it sounds like a utopian yes I think some people may commit crime
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because they like committing crime just some some amount of
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that is they just a lot of people out there yeah yeah
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and obviously they've become 40 years old living a life like
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that now all of a sudden universal high income is not gonna completely stop their instincts Yeah.
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But then, as you pointed out,
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the irony is that the ultimate capitalist thing of AI and robotics enabling prosperity for all and abundance of goods and services,
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actually the capitalist implementation of AI and robotics, assuming it goes down the good path,
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uh is is actually what results in the communist utopia
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because fate is fate is an irony maximizer right and
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and an actual socialism of maximum abundance of high income people
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universal high income yeah like the the problem with communism uh is is this universal low income um
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it's it's not that everyone gets elevated it's
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that everyone gets oppressed except for a very small minority of politicians who live a life of luxury
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that's what's happening every time it's been done yeah um
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so um but then the the actual communist topia
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if everyone gets anything they want will be will be
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if will be achieved if it is achieved it will be achieved via capitalism because fate is an irony maximizer.
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Thank you.

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Лексика и советы по произношению к этому уроку

Этот урок разговорной практики построен на видео «馬斯克:不只基本收入,是「全民高收入」|辦公室工作會「像閃電一樣」被 AI 取代,那剩下什麼工作?|Joe Rogan 節目 馬斯克|真實訪談精選、單字解釋、雙語字幕». Чаще всего повторяются слова: income, universal, debt, scenario, computer. В этом видео 158 предложений и 1934 слов для шедоуинга. Речь длится 14:11. Говорящий держит ровный темп — около 136 слов в минуту, удобный для шедоуинга. 84% слов входят в 3000 самых частых слов английского языка; остальные стоит разобрать перед занятием.

Ключевая лексика этого видео

15 слов из видео, которые стоит выучить, с произношением и значением:

СловоПроизношениеЗначение
universal прилагательное/ˌjunəˈvɜɹs(ə)l/вселе́нский, косми́ческий
scenario существительное/sɪˈnɛəɹioʊ/сцена́рий
robotics существительное/ɹoʊˈbɑ.tɪks/робототе́хника
abundance существительное/əˈbʌn.dn̩s/оби́лие, избы́ток
benign прилагательное/bɪˈnaɪn/до́брый, любе́зный
calculation существительное/ˌkælkjuˈleɪʃn̩/вычисле́ние, исчисле́ние
fate существительное/feɪt/судьба́, до́ля
commit глагол/kəˈmɪt/вверя́ть
lightning существительное/ˈlaɪt.nɪŋ/мо́лния
socialist существительное/ˈsoʊ.ʃə.lɪst/социали́ст, социали́стка
implement глагол/ˈɪmpləmənt/выполня́ть, осуществля́ть
irony существительное/ˈaɪ.ɚ.ni/иро́ния
bankrupt прилагательное/ˈbæŋk.ɹəpt/обанкро́тившийся
essentially наречие/ɪˈsɛnʃəli/по существу́, суще́ственно
solve глагол/sɒlv/реша́ть, реши́ть

Фразовые глаголы, которые вы услышите

СловоПроизношениеЗначение
take over глаголбрать на себя́, взять на себя́
pay off глаголподкупа́ть, подкупи́ть
go down глаголспуска́ться, спусти́ться
go over глаголхорошо́ принима́ться
point out глаголука́зывать, указа́ть
wake up глагол/ˌweɪk ˈʌp/просыпа́ться, просну́ться

Фразы, которые стоит повторять

Короткие законченные фразы из видео, которые пригодятся в повседневном разговоре:

  • What kind of numbers are we talking about?
  • You're going to lose most drivers, right?
  • We haven't paved the rainforest.

Грамматика в этом видео

Конструкции, которые говорящий использует чаще всего, с точными словами из видео:

КонструкцияВ видео
Условные предложения if + предложение, will/would + глагол — условие и его результатif everyone gets anything they want will be
«Used to» used to + глагол — прошлая привычка или состояние, которых больше нетused to be · used to have
Пассивный залог be + причастие прошедшего времени — важно, что происходит, а не кто это делаетbe lost · be implemented · are balanced
Present Perfect have/has + причастие прошедшего времени — прошлое действие, важное сейчасhaven't destroyed · haven't paved · have struggled

Произношение, на которое стоит обратить внимание

Говорящий использует 33 сокращённых и редуцированных форм, например you're, can't, didn't. Произносите их коротко, так, как слышите.

  • Звуки «th»: math /mæθ/, wealthy /ˈwɛl.θi/, nonetheless /ˌnʌnðəˈlɛs/
  • Звуки «sh» и «zh»: calculation /ˌkælkjuˈleɪʃn̩/, socialist /ˈsoʊ.ʃə.lɪst/, essentially /ɪˈsɛnʃəli/, optional /ˈɑp.ʃə.nəl/, conclusion /kənˈkluːʒən/
  • Длинные слова — следите за ударением: universal /ˌjunəˈvɜɹs(ə)l/, essentially /ɪˈsɛnʃəli/, eliminate /ɪˈlɪm.ɪ.neɪt/, capitalist /ˈkæp.ɪ.tə.lɪst/, accelerate /ɪkˈsɛl.əˌɹeɪt/

Звуки, трудные для русскоязычных:

  • /w/ — губы округлены, это не /v/: worker /ˈwɝ.kɚ/, wealthy /ˈwɛl.θi/, equation /ɪˈkweɪ.ʒən/, runway /ˈɹʌnweɪ/, rewire /ɹiːˈwaɪə(ɹ)/
  • Звонкие согласные в конце слова — не оглушайте их: solve /sɒlv/, percentage /pə(ɹ)ˈsɛntɪd͡ʒ/, rapid /ˈɹæp.ɪd/, fraud /ˈfɹɔːd/, exceed /ɪkˈsiːd/
  • /ŋ/ в конце слова — носовой звук без «г»: lightning /ˈlaɪt.nɪŋ/, plumbing /ˈplʌmɪŋ/

Как заниматься с этим видео

  1. Прослушайте всё видео один раз молча и выпишите незнакомые слова.
  2. Повторяйте предложение за предложением на обычной скорости, пока ваш ритм не совпадёт с ритмом говорящего.
  3. Запишите себя и сравните с оригиналом, обращая внимание на такие слова, как universal, scenario, robotics.

Что такое техника Shadowing?

Shadowing — это научно обоснованная техника изучения языка, изначально разработанная для подготовки профессиональных переводчиков и популяризированная полиглотом доктором Александром Аргуэльесом. Метод прост, но эффективен: вы слушаете аудио на английском от носителей языка и немедленно повторяете вслух — как тень, следующая за говорящим с задержкой в 1–2 секунды. В отличие от пассивного прослушивания или грамматических упражнений, Shadowing заставляет мозг и мышцы рта одновременно обрабатывать и воспроизводить реальные речевые паттерны. Исследования показывают, что это значительно улучшает точность произношения, интонацию, ритм, связную речь, понимание на слух и беглость речи — что делает его одним из самых эффективных методов для подготовки к IELTS Speaking и реального общения на английском.

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