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Welcome back here on Live Now from Fox.
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It is 1035 on the East Coast, Stan 735 on the West Coast.
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My name is Josh Breslow, and there on the right -hand side of your screen,
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you can see a live look over the Capitol building in D .C.
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As I remind you that all throughout the day, we are going to have campaign events on both sides of the aisle,
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and we'll be dipping in
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and out of those as we bring you everything the candidates have to say in the last push ahead of the elections,
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which, as you can see there on the bottom right -hand side of your screen, the polls, the first polls,
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I should say, open over in New Hampshire in two days, 13 hours, 23 minutes, and about 44 seconds.
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Right now, though, I do want to take you out to some breaking news
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that we are following out of the Middle East.
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As Iran's supreme leader issuing another threat against the U .S
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and Israel via social media and that happening just a short time ago,
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A long statement attributed to Mashtab Ahamany appeared on his X page this morning, and the remarks in part say,
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quote, should Iran's enemies resume military or terrorist attacks, it will be the armed forces of the Islamic Republic
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and the Iranian nation that will determine when and under what conditions those attacks will end.
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Any level or type of threat must be met with an immediate, impactful and geographically unrestricted response, end quote.
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Again, that is just part of the statement there from Ashtabah Hamini, who has not been seen since he was named as the
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new supreme leader after his father was killed at the start of Operation Epic Fury all the way back in late February.
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In the meantime, a U .S delegation expected to join
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Iranian officials for direct talks in Doha today.
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That is according to Iran International English,
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as Barack Rabid with Axios reports that Qatari mediators held talks in Tehran Friday for about 12 hours or so,
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trying to restart those negotiations between the U .S and Iran.
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President Trump has said strikes on Iran could continue after Tuesday's midterm elections if a deal is not reached.
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Right now, I want to bring in Jonathan Saieh at the Foundation for Defense of Democracies as we cover all those breaking developments.
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Jonathan, thank you so much, as always, for being here with us today.
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Hi, Josh.
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Always a pleasure joining your show.
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And we definitely appreciate it.
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First off, these new threats here are just coming in from Ashtabah Hamini.
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He is, of course, the supreme leader in Iran.
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But I really should say the statements attributed to him because we have not heard or seen from him.
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So what do you kind of make of those threats?
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Well, you're right.
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We haven't heard from him since the United States and Israel jointly eliminated his father
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and a lot of his close ones and loved ones.
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And we have to remember, this is a regime that's driven by revenge, more than rational thinking, more than nation -building.
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What really drives the Islamic Republic nowadays is increasingly paranoia.
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But more importantly, that wasn't the case in the past, is revenge against the Trump administration and as they frame it against the American people.
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So that's what the regime is thinking.
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But the timing is also significant.
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This renewed threats that, as the supreme leader allegedly noted, said it would not be limited to a strict geography,
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meaning, of course, they again would regionalize the war, if not take it a bit further, maybe use their Houthi militias to close the bubble,
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Mendeb, maybe again attack mainland Europe like they have in the past.
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So options on the table amid when the United States reached out again for negotiations, for talks.
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So again, once you see the supreme leader, the highest authority, issue such threats amid a diplomatic meeting, I think really speaks volumes in itself.
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And I think the last point on
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that is we've seen
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this scenario play out about three times specifically with the U
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.S trying to reach out to a different regime official that is supposedly close to the supreme leader.
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It was first the parliament speaker, then it was the head of the IRGC, and now the letter that was sent from J .D.
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Vance actually went to the secretary of the Supreme National Defense Council of the Islamic Republic.
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But what we see time and time again is the regime does not moderate its behavior,
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regardless of who is in charge or who do we think calls the shot.
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Ultimately, the strategy of escalation to extract concessions, not to compromise, is really very evident across the board with the Islamic Republic.
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I'm going to pop this up coming in, and I mentioned this kind of off the top, but it's from Barack Ravid over at Axios.
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He has a lot of sources, just about everywhere.
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And he says
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that Qatari mediators held talks in Tehran for more than 12
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hours Friday in an effort to reach a deal to restart direct negotiations between the U .S
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and Iran and avoid an outbreak of war after the midterms.
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That is according to diplomatic sources.
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The discussions continuing today, Saturday, of course, and why it matters, Thank you.
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The U .S is now just days away from a possible military operation
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that would inflict enormous damage on Iran and likely lead to retaliatory strikes against Israel and a host of Gulf countries.
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Of course, Jonathan, that's what you were mentioning there.
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Now, a diplomatic source said Qatari mediators were in regular contact with the White House during Friday's day -long session,
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again lasting there for about 12 hours.
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What needs to happen for a deal to be reached
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and to avoid any more kind of military conflict or an escalation again of sorts?
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That is such a fair question.
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But first, let's not forget Doha's role here.
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So there were two countries primarily trying to save the Islamic Republic from collapse.
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One of them is Qatar.
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The other one is, of course, Pakistan, both that have strong Islamist ties to begin with.
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So it's troubling that we have to rely on such allies to have outreach to an adversary,
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which it's really hard to see the blurred line between the two.
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But to your excellent question, negotiations really come down to leverage versus upper hand.
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So if you are sitting in the White House currently, you look at how the region is playing out,
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you see that Iran overplayed its hand on the Strait of Hormuz to the point
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that the flow has actually returned to pre -war supplies more or less, again, is not quite excellent yet.
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But again, you see Iran's declining influence over this trade, and they thought that's their number one leverage.
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And of course, you have the naval blockade that's crushing the Islamic Republic's economy
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and restricting regime officials' access to cash flow and, of course, weapons procurement.
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That's going to be critical.
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So on the U .S side, really, the naval blockade, The economic sanctions are doing the job.
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So it's really a question of what would the military strikes seek to achieve is, I guess, one way of looking at it.
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And of course, from the Islamic Republic side,
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they have everything really to lose because they don't have control over the strait as much as they used to.
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Their economy would turn into an existential crisis for them.
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Any sanctions relief for them might be a plus.
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But again, let's not forget, there was a deal in place in May that enabled them to repatriate funds and actually revive their economy,
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and they deliberately broke it.
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So this is a regime that has maximalist demands.
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And the last point on that, when it comes to the prospects of a potential military strike,
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I know some of the rhetoric is specifically mentioning a limited strike with increased intensity.
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Now, we've seen the United States attack the southern part of Iran by the Persian Gulf numerous times.
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Sometimes we see them take out launchers, and I hear the same areas be repeated.
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So if it's going to be another attack similar in scale, similar in targeting, but maybe more increased in scale,
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I fail to see how that would moderate the Islamic Republic's stance.
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I think what we are looking at is whether their targeting would change, if they would go after maybe internal security infrastructure.
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But it's seeming like they might be going after some of the energy facilities, oil and power, to really capitalize on domestic strain against the regime.
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But like I said, negotiations are repeating the same failures as we've seen in the past few months.
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So it's really about the optics of a potential renewed conflict after the midterms.
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And Jonathan, what are you going to be watching for?
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I mean, you touched on it there, but we have so much that we're watching and have been now for months upon months.
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What are you going to be watching for?
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And what should folks out there who are kind of following all of this be watching for?
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The bigger theme here is that one, Israeli elections did not lead to anything decisive,
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which means Benjamin Netanyahu is going to be dealing with the Islamic Republic for at least a few months.
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So that's on the Israeli side.
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Iranians were watching that closely.
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And now they know they still have to deal with the prime minister that is very much adamant about regime change.
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Now of course, after the midterms, it's going to be a similar scenario for Trump in a sense that the two crucial leaders,
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Israeli and American, that were leading the front against the Islamic Republic, at this point do not have any political restraint on them,
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which means now the way is really paved.
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In two years, it's still quite a long time.
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And what I'm looking for is, should there be renewed strike?
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And it seems like it's looking increasingly likely.
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And it seems like the latest letter from J .D.
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Vance was more or less an ultimatum, more than anything.
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But I'm looking at the nature of the targeting, if that's going to change and let's say we even take out some of the energy infrastructure,
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is there enough momentum and is there enough effort from the White House
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and Israel to actually back protesters if they take place?
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Because the last point on that
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that I'll make is let's say the situation inside Iran crumbles to the point of absolute chaos.
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But if the United States and Israel are not prepared to effectively capitalize on it,
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that's not going to change Tehran's behavior because they think they can just kill their way through.
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And I'm sorry if I sound like a broken record, but we see the same themes reappearing, which means something might be wrong.
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That's why I think the nature of targeting should change with sufficient backing of the Iranian people.
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And I mean, you say broken record, but in all reality, this is what we're hearing time and time again.
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So that's not what it is.
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It's just what we're hearing.
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Jonathan, thank you so much for being here.
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Anything we missed that you want to make sure to mention about any of this before I let you go?
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I think we covered all critical parts.
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Sorry, it comes down to really the Israeli elections and how they're going to turn out in the next few months.
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I think Iran was watching that very, very closely.
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But the facts remain in the next few months.
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I think they have to deal with Netanyahu in the time being.
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All right, Jonathan Saie at the Foundation for Defense of Democracies.
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Thank you so much for being here with us.
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We definitely appreciate it.
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Thank you.
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And you are taking a live look over the Strait of Hormuz at this hour.
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Again, the reds, the greens, they all represent the different vessels that are there in the strait traveling.
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Of course, if you see an arrow, it means it's moving.
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But if you see a circle not moving, it's remaining stationary.
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Now, also important to note that these are just the ships that have their transponders on.
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So you have to imagine there are quite a few of them there that you're not seeing on this map.
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Vocabulário e dicas de fala para esta lição
Esta aula de conversação usa o vídeo “Iran's supreme leader issues new threat against US”. As palavras que mais se repetem: Islamic, Iran, regime, Republic. Este vídeo tem 151 frases e 2089 palavras para praticar shadowing. A fala dura 11:06. O falante fala rápido, cerca de 188 palavras por minuto, então espere sons ligados e reduzidos. 84% das palavras estão entre as 3.000 mais comuns do inglês; vale a pena estudar o restante antes de começar.
Vocabulário principal deste vídeo
15 palavras do vídeo que vale a pena aprender, com pronúncia e significado:
| Palavra | Pronúncia | Significado |
|---|---|---|
| regime substantivo | /ɹəˈʒiːm/ | regime, regimento |
| negotiation substantivo | /nɪˌɡəʊ.ʃiˈeɪ.ʃən/ | negociação |
| strait substantivo | /stɹeɪt/ | estreito |
| diplomatic adjetivo | /ˌdɪpləˈmætɪk/ | diplomático |
| renew verbo | /ɹɪˈnjuː/ | renovar |
| infrastructure substantivo | /ˈɪnfɹəˌstɹʌkt͡ʃə/ | infraestrutura |
| increasingly advérbio | cada vez mais | |
| poll substantivo | /poʊl/ | enquete, sondagem |
| revenge substantivo | /ɹəˈvɛnd͡ʒ/ | vingança |
| moderate adjetivo | /ˈmɑdəɹət/ | moderado |
| naval adjetivo | /ˈneɪvəl/ | naval |
| scenario substantivo | /sɪˈnɛəɹioʊ/ | cenário |
| amid | /əˈmɪd/ | em meio a |
| leverage substantivo | /ˈlɛv.(ə.)ɹɪd͡ʒ/ | alavancagem |
| attribute substantivo | /ˈæt.ɹɪˌbjut/ | atributo |
Phrasal verbs que você vai ouvir
| Palavra | Significado |
|---|---|
| take out verbo | tirar, remover |
| reach out verbo | estender a mão, esticar a mão |
Gramática neste vídeo
As estruturas que o falante mais usa, com as palavras exatas do vídeo:
| Estrutura | No vídeo |
|---|---|
| Voz passiva be + particípio passado — o foco está no que acontece, não em quem faz | must be met · has not been seen · was killed |
| Present perfect have/has + particípio passado — uma ação passada que ainda importa agora | has not been seen · has said · have not heard |
Pronúncia para ficar de olho
O falante usa 18 contrações e formas reduzidas, como I'm, we're, we've. Diga-as na forma curta, do jeito que você ouve.
- Os sons de “sh” e “zh”: regime /ɹəˈʒiːm/, negotiation /nɪˌɡəʊ.ʃiˈeɪ.ʃən/, sufficient /səˈfɪʃənt/, crucial /ˈkɹuː.ʃəl/, crush /kɹʌʃ/
- Palavras longas — acerte a sílaba tônica: negotiation /nɪˌɡəʊ.ʃiˈeɪ.ʃən/, diplomatic /ˌdɪpləˈmætɪk/, infrastructure /ˈɪnfɹəˌstɹʌkt͡ʃə/, primarily /ˈpɹaɪ.mə.ɹə.li/, eliminate /ɪˈlɪm.ɪ.neɪt/
Sons difíceis para falantes de português:
- Consoante final — sem acrescentar um “i” depois: strait /stɹeɪt/, diplomatic /ˌdɪpləˈmætɪk/, moderate /ˈmɑdəɹət/, amid /əˈmɪd/, attribute /ˈæt.ɹɪˌbjut/
- /l/ final — a língua toca o céu da boca, não vira “u”: poll /poʊl/, naval /ˈneɪvəl/, enable /ɪˈneɪ.bəl/, crucial /ˈkɹuː.ʃəl/, vessel /ˈvɛsəl/
- s + consoante no início — sem um “i” antes: strait /stɹeɪt/, strict /stɹɪkt/, strain /stɹeɪn/, stance /stæns/, stationary /ˈsteɪʃəˌnɛɹi/
Como praticar com este vídeo
- Ouça o vídeo inteiro uma vez sem falar e anote as palavras que você não conhece.
- Comece na velocidade 0,75×, faça shadowing frase por frase e volte à velocidade normal quando ficar fácil.
- Grave a sua voz e compare com o original, prestando atenção a palavras como regime, negotiation, strait.
O que é a Técnica de Shadowing?
Shadowing é uma técnica de aprendizado de idiomas com base científica, originalmente desenvolvida para o treinamento de intérpretes profissionais. O método é simples, mas poderoso: você ouve áudio em inglês nativo e repete imediatamente em voz alta — como uma sombra seguindo o falante com 1-2 segundos de atraso. Pesquisas mostram melhora significativa na precisão da pronúncia, entonação, ritmo, sons conectados, compreensão auditiva e fluência na fala.