ฝึกพูดภาษาอังกฤษด้วยเทคนิค Shadowing จากวิดีโอ: Will China Attack Taiwan? | Ask The Professor

กำลังสร้างบทเรียน...
1
Hi, this is John Mearsheimer.
2
In doing my various videos, I often receive questions that people in the audience would like me to answer.
3
And I thought what I would do moving forward is try on occasion to answer one of those questions
4
and build up an inventory of questions and answers moving forward.
5
One question I received recently is,
6
will China invade Taiwan in the next decade?
7
My answer to that is no, I think it's highly unlikely.
8
There's one possible caveat, and I'll explain that at the end.
9
The reason I don't think that China will invade Taiwan is
10
because they don't have the military capability to do it at an acceptable price.
11
The fact is that for China to invade Taiwan, it would have to cross the Taiwan Strait.
12
And the Taiwan Strait is a formidable body of water.
13
And getting across that body of water with a large amphibious force in the face of resistance would be extremely difficult.
14
We know from the historical record, especially from the American campaigns in Europe and in the Pacific during World War II,
15
that amphibious operations are very difficult to pull off
16
because the forces are sitting on top of the water as they move towards the other side's beaches,
17
and they provide a target -rich environment for the defending forces.
18
So you have to have the right circumstances, and you have to have formidable forces to pull that off.
19
And I don't think that the Chinese at this point in time are capable of pulling off an amphibious operation.
20
or an amphibious assault of Taiwan.
21
First of all, it's important to emphasize that the Chinese army has not fought a war since 1979.
22
So this is not an army that's primed for combat.
23
This is not an army that's had a lot of combat experience
24
and could pull off with ease a difficult military operation like an amphibious assault across the Taiwan Strait.
25
Moreover, if the United States is involved, and I assume that the United States would be involved,
26
the forces that the Chinese would have to overcome would be formidable.
27
There would be many thousands of drones in the sky.
28
And we know from the Ukraine war that drones have a significant effect on the battlefield,
29
and for sure drones would have a significant effect on the ability of those amphibious forces coming from China
30
and moving across the Taiwan Strait.
31
I think that those drones would do enormous damage to the amphibious forces. And moreover,
32
I think that American submarines operating underneath the waters of the Taiwan Strait would wreak havoc on the attacking forces as well.
33
So I don't think the Chinese would be able to pull it off
34
or will be able to pull it off in the next decade.
35
I also think that even if I'm wrong
36
and the Chinese were able to get across the Taiwan Strait and land on the beaches of Taiwan,
37
they would pay an enormous cost.
38
And in effect, it would be a pyrrhic victory.
39
I think for the Chinese to do it, to even attempt to attack Taiwan,
40
they would have to believe that they could win the war rather quickly and that the consequences would not be too great.
41
In other words, the cost of doing so would not be too great.
42
So I don't think it's necessary for the Taiwanese and the Americans, and again, I'm assuming the Americans and the Japanese for that matter,
43
would assist the Taiwanese in their defense of their country.
44
I don't think that they have to guarantee that China will lose to deter the Chinese.
45
All they have to do is promise the Chinese that they would pay a huge cost, even if they were to win this war.
46
And I think that the Taiwanese, the Americans, and Japanese have that capability, and will have that capability for the next 10 years at least.
47
So for all those reasons, I don't imagine that.
48
that the Chinese will attempt to conquer Taiwan in the next decade.
49
But I want to add one caveat to what I just said.
50
I think the Chinese have made it clear that if Taiwan were to declare its independence,
51
they would find that categorically unacceptable, and they would attack Taiwan,
52
and that would include an amphibious assault.
53
So I think that the Chinese, were they to face a Taiwan that had declared its independence,
54
would go to war, even if they thought they had to pay an egregious price to defeat Taiwan.
55
Taiwan is just so important to China,
56
its sacred territory, that the idea of Taiwan declaring its independence is unacceptable, period, end of story.
57
And therefore, I think in that circumstance, China would go to war over Taiwan in the next decade.
58
But it's important to also emphasize that the United States is fully aware of this danger.
59
The United States does not want to fight a war over Taiwan.
60
Very important to emphasize that.
61
The United States, of course, basically has an ally in Taiwan at this point in time the United States is interested in maintaining the status quo,
62
not changing the status quo.
63
So the United States wants to avoid war.
64
And if the United States even smells any indication that Taiwan is going to declare its independence,
65
it will land on the Taiwanese like a ton of bricks
66
and make it clear to them that declaring independence or even hinting
67
that they're declaring independence is unacceptable so i think that
68
when you look at all the various factors
69
that underpin this issue it's unlikely
70
that china will attempt to invade taiwan in the next decade which of course is all for the good.
71
Thank you.
📺 ช่องเดียวกัน
We’ll Never Beat the HouthisC1
1

We’ll Never Beat the Houthis

Episode 10: The Inescapable US China RivalryC1

Episode 10: The Inescapable US China Rivalry

IELTS PrepTOEFL PrepUniversity Students
✨ วิดีโอแนะนำ
Can there ever really be “one China?”C1
5
190 ประโยค

Can there ever really be “one China?”

IELTS PrepTOEFL PrepUniversity Students
Can Humanity Stop A Planet-Killing Asteroid?C1
3
149 ประโยค

Can Humanity Stop A Planet-Killing Asteroid?

IELTS PrepTOEFL PrepUniversity Students
The Iran War Is the Biggest Strategic Blunder in US History (w/ John Mearsheimer) | TCHRC1
588 ประโยค

The Iran War Is the Biggest Strategic Blunder in US History (w/ John Mearsheimer) | TCHR

IELTS PrepTOEFL PrepUniversity Students
Should America Leave NATO?B2
260 ประโยค

Should America Leave NATO?

IELTS PrepTOEFL PrepUniversity Students
Is War Over? — A Paradox ExplainedC1
2
65 ประโยค

Is War Over? — A Paradox Explained

IELTS PrepTOEFL PrepUniversity Students
The Attack on Pearl Harbor Changed Everything | WWII With Tom HanksB2
77 ประโยค

The Attack on Pearl Harbor Changed Everything | WWII With Tom Hanks

IELTS PrepTOEFL PrepUniversity Students
Washington Provoked Turkey and Made a Fatal Mistake — What Happens Now? | Scott RitterC1
2
450 ประโยค

Washington Provoked Turkey and Made a Fatal Mistake — What Happens Now? | Scott Ritter

IELTS PrepTOEFL PrepUniversity Students
John Mearsheimer: Why Russia Might NUKE EuropeC1
2
150 ประโยค

John Mearsheimer: Why Russia Might NUKE Europe

IELTS PrepTOEFL PrepUniversity Students
The CIA's new tech doesn't make senseC1
2
246 ประโยค

The CIA's new tech doesn't make sense

IELTS PrepTOEFL PrepUniversity Students
Trung Cộng đang tự cắn xé chính mình | Trung Quốc Không Kiểm DuyệtB2
2
91 ประโยค

Trung Cộng đang tự cắn xé chính mình | Trung Quốc Không Kiểm Duyệt

IELTS PrepTOEFL PrepUniversity Students
The Tribute System: The new World OrderC1
4
44 ประโยค

The Tribute System: The new World Order

IELTS PrepTOEFL PrepBusiness English
Joe & Matt Walsh Go Back and Forth on the Moon Landing ConspiracyC1
3
215 ประโยค

Joe & Matt Walsh Go Back and Forth on the Moon Landing Conspiracy

IELTS PrepTOEFL PrepUniversity Students

คำศัพท์และข้อสังเกตด้านการพูดสำหรับบทเรียนนี้

วิดีโอนี้มี 71 ประโยค และ 955 คำ สำหรับฝึกพูดตาม ช่วงที่มีเสียงพูดยาว 7:17 ผู้พูดพูดด้วยความเร็วสม่ำเสมอ ประมาณ 131 คำต่อนาที เหมาะกับการฝึกพูดตาม 83% ของคำอยู่ใน 3,000 คำที่ใช้บ่อยที่สุดในภาษาอังกฤษ ส่วนที่เหลือควรดูไว้ก่อนเริ่มฝึก

คำศัพท์สำคัญในวิดีโอนี้

คำที่ควรเรียนรู้ 15 คำจากวิดีโอ พร้อมคำอ่านและความหมาย:

คำศัพท์คำอ่านความหมาย
declare คำกริยา/dɪˈklɛɚ/ประกาศ
invade คำกริยา/ɪnˈveɪd/บุกรุก
emphasize คำกริยา/ˈɛm.fə.saɪz/เน้น, เน้นย้ำ
enormous คำคุณศัพท์/ɪˈnɔː.məs/มหึมา
circumstance คำนาม/ˈsɝ.kəmˌstæns/กรณี, สถานการณ์
defend คำกริยา/dɪˈfɪnd/ป้องกัน
guarantee คำนาม/ˌɡæɹ.ənˈtiː/การรับประกัน
occasion คำนาม/əˈkeɪ̯ʒən/โอกาส
overcome คำกริยา/ˌəʊ.vəˈkʌm/เอาชนะ
brick คำนาม/ˈbɹɪk/อิฐ
sacred คำคุณศัพท์/ˈseɪkɹɪd/ศักดิ์สิทธิ์
consequence คำนาม/ˈkɑn.sɪ.kwəns/ผล, ผลลัพธ์
hint คำนาม/hɪnt/คำใบ้
battlefield คำนาม/ˈbætəlˌfiːld/สนามรบ, สมรภูมิ
alley คำนาม/ˈæl.i/ซอย, ตรอก

การออกเสียงที่ควรระวัง

ผู้พูดใช้รูปย่อและรูปลดเสียง 11 ครั้ง เช่น don't, I'm, I'll ให้พูดแบบสั้นตามที่ได้ยิน

  • เสียง “sh” และ “zh”: occasion /əˈkeɪ̯ʒən/, indication /ɪndɪˈkeɪʃən/
  • คำยาว — ลงเสียงหนักให้ถูกพยางค์: capability /ˌkeɪ.pəˈbɪl.ɪ.ti/, unacceptable /ˌʌn.ækˈsɛp.tə.bl̩/, formidable /ˈfɔɹmɪdəbəl/, acceptable /əkˈsɛp.tə.bəl/, indication /ɪndɪˈkeɪʃən/

วิธีฝึกกับวิดีโอนี้

  1. ฟังวิดีโอให้จบหนึ่งรอบโดยยังไม่ต้องพูด แล้วจดคำที่ยังไม่รู้จัก
  2. พูดตามทีละประโยคด้วยความเร็วปกติ ทำซ้ำแต่ละประโยคจนจังหวะของคุณตรงกับผู้พูด
  3. อัดเสียงตัวเองแล้วเทียบกับต้นฉบับ โดยสังเกตคำอย่าง declare, invade, emphasize เป็นพิเศษ

เทคนิค Shadowing คืออะไร?

Shadowing เป็นเทคนิคการเรียนรู้ภาษาที่ได้รับการรับรองทางวิทยาศาสตร์ พัฒนาขึ้นสำหรับการฝึกนักแปลมืออาชีพ วิธีการนี้เรียบง่ายแต่ทรงพลัง: คุณฟังเสียงภาษาอังกฤษจากเจ้าของภาษาและพูดตามทันที — เหมือนเงาที่ตามผู้พูดด้วยช่วงเวลาห่าง 1-2 วินาที การวิจัยแสดงว่าเทคนิคนี้ปรับปรุงความแม่นยำในการออกเสียง ทำนองเสียง จังหวะ การเชื่อมเสียง การฟังเข้าใจ และความคล่องแคล่วในการพูดได้อย่างมีนัยสำคัญ

เทคนิค shadowing: อ่านคู่มือฉบับเต็มทีละขั้นตอน →